Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) reported strong fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results, driven by the performance of its HOKA and UGG brands, with earnings per share of $1.00, exceeding expectations [1][3] - The company did not provide guidance for fiscal 2026 due to macroeconomic uncertainties, leading to a 15.3% decline in shares during after-market trading [1][15] Financial Performance - Net sales increased by 6.5% year over year to $1,021.8 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $993 million [3] - Gross profit rose 7.5% year over year to $579.8 million, with a gross margin of 56.7%, up from 56.2% in the prior year [4] - Operating income was $173.9 million, a 20.6% increase from the previous year, with an operating margin of 17% [6] Brand Performance - HOKA brand sales grew by 10% year over year to $586.1 million, while UGG brand sales increased by 3.6% to $374.3 million, exceeding estimates [7] - Other brands, including Teva, AHNU, and Koolaburra, saw a decline in sales by 6.3% to $61.3 million [7] Sales Channels and Geography - Wholesale net sales increased by 12.3% year over year to $611.6 million, while DTC net sales decreased by 1.2% to $410.2 million [8] - Domestic net sales remained flat at $647.7 million, whereas international net sales rose by 19.9% to $374.1 million [8] Financial Position - As of March 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $1.89 billion, with total stockholders' equity at $2.51 billion and no outstanding borrowings [9] - The company repurchased 1.78 million shares for $266 million in the fourth quarter and 3.80 million shares for $567 million in fiscal 2025 [10] Future Outlook - For Q1 fiscal 2026, DECK expects revenues between $890 million and $910 million, with HOKA projected to grow in the low-double digits and UGG in the mid-single digits [13] - Gross margin is anticipated to decline by 250 basis points due to higher freight costs and increased promotional activity [13] - SG&A expenses are expected to rise slightly faster than revenues, reflecting continued investments in brand marketing [14]

Market Overview - Market indexes showed resilience against high bond yields, with the 30-year bond yield at +5.05%, the highest in 18 years, but moderated from previous spikes [1] - Major indexes finished flat, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 remaining unchanged, while the Nasdaq closed up +53 points (+0.28%) [2] - Despite being in the red over the past five trading days, the indexes have seen double-digit gains over the past month [2] Quarterly Earnings Summary - **Workday (WDAY)**: Reported Q1 earnings of $2.23 per share on $2.4 billion in sales, beating previous figures of $1.99 per share and $2.22 billion. However, shares fell -5% due to steady guidance and reduced capex spending [3] - **Deckers Outdoor (DECK)**: Earnings of $1.00 per share exceeded the Zacks consensus of 57 cents, with revenues of $1.02 billion surpassing expectations of $988.6 million. Shares dropped -11% due to lower-than-expected guidance for the current quarter and full-year guidance held back due to tariff issues [3] - **Intuit (INTU)**: Surpassed earnings expectations with $11.65 per share against a consensus of $10.89, and revenues of $7.75 billion exceeding the $7.54 billion forecast. Shares rose +5% following a significant increase in next-quarter guidance driven by Credit Karma growth [4] - **Ross Stores (ROST)**: Beat earnings estimates by 4 cents with $1.47 per share on $4.98 billion in revenues, slightly above consensus. Same-store sales were flat but improved from a projected decline. Shares fell -9% due to lower next-quarter earnings guidance attributed to tariff pressures [5] - **AutoDesk (ADSK)**: Reported Q1 earnings of $2.29 per share, beating the anticipated $2.14, with revenues of $1.63 billion slightly above the forecast of $1.61 billion. Shares gained +5% due to positive next-quarter guidance [6]

Core Viewpoint - Deckers reported quarterly earnings of $1 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.57 per share, and showing an increase from $0.82 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of 75.44% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of $1.02 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.35%, and up from $959.76 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Deckers has consistently surpassed consensus EPS estimates and revenue estimates [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - Deckers shares have declined approximately 39.3% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's decline of only 0.6% [3] - The company's future stock performance will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the trends in earnings estimate revisions [3][4] Earnings Estimates - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.79, with expected revenues of $923.28 million, and for the current fiscal year, the EPS estimate is $6.36 on revenues of $5.4 billion [7] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, to which Deckers belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 45% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For fiscal year 2025, the company reported a revenue growth of 16% year-over-year, reaching nearly $5 billion [7] - Gross margin expanded by 230 basis points to 57.9%, while operating margins improved by 200 basis points to 23.6% [7][36] - Earnings per share increased by 30% to $6.33 compared to the previous year [7][38] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - HOKA brand revenue increased by 24% to $2.2 billion, with wholesale revenue growing 24% and DTC revenue rising 23% [11][36] - UGG brand revenue grew by 13% to $2.5 billion, with wholesale revenue increasing 15% and DTC revenue rising 11% [24][36] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International revenue for HOKA expanded by 39%, now representing 34% of global revenue, up from 30% last year [11] - UGG's international revenue increased by 20%, now accounting for 39% of global sales, up from 37% last year [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for a balanced channel mix of 50% DTC and 50% wholesale, focusing on brand-led growth and expanding international presence [9][10] - HOKA is positioned as a leading performance brand with plans to enhance product innovation and expand into lifestyle and fitness categories [19][23] - UGG is focusing on increasing adoption among male consumers and developing year-round products to capture a broader market [26][27] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged uncertainty due to shifting U.S. trade policy but expressed confidence in the company's ability to adapt [8] - The company expects fiscal year 2026 to face challenges, including potential tariff impacts of up to $150 million on cost of goods sold [39][41] - Despite these challenges, management remains optimistic about long-term growth prospects for both HOKA and UGG [49] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately $567 million worth of shares during fiscal year 2025, reflecting strong cash flow and confidence in its strategic plan [38][47] - A new board chair, Cindy Davis, was announced, succeeding Mike Devine, who retired after 14 years of service [51] Q&A Session Summary Question: What factors contributed to the slowdown in HOKA U.S. DTC? - Management noted that the slowdown was due to unique factors in the U.S. market, including model changeovers and increased promotions, but expressed confidence in international performance [55][56] Question: Is mid-teens growth for HOKA still possible? - Management indicated that while they are not providing formal guidance, they remain optimistic about mid-teens growth based on strong international performance and brand awareness [60][64] Question: Can you elaborate on the impact of tariff costs? - The $150 million tariff cost is a gross estimate, and management is exploring pricing adjustments and cost-sharing strategies to mitigate the impact [75][76] Question: How will HOKA's growth be split between DTC and wholesale? - Management emphasized that the growth framework includes strategic expansion of wholesale distribution, which is expected to drive consumer engagement and brand awareness [81][82]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For fiscal year 2025, the company reported a revenue increase of 16% year-over-year, reaching nearly $5 billion [7][35] - Gross margin expanded by 230 basis points to 57.9%, while operating margins improved by 200 basis points to 23.6% [7][35] - Earnings per share (EPS) increased by 30% year-over-year to $6.33 [7][38] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - HOKA brand revenue grew 24% year-over-year to $2.2 billion, with wholesale revenue also increasing by 24% [12][35] - UGG brand revenue increased by 13% to $2.5 billion, with wholesale revenue rising by 15% [23][35] - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) revenue for HOKA increased by 23%, while UGG's DTC revenue rose by 11% [12][23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International revenue for HOKA expanded by 39%, now representing 34% of global revenue, up from 30% last year [12] - U.S. revenue for HOKA rose by 17%, totaling just under $1.5 billion [12] - UGG's international revenue grew by 20%, now accounting for 39% of global sales, up from 37% last year [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for a balanced channel mix of 50% DTC and 50% wholesale, focusing on brand-led growth and innovation [10][11] - HOKA is positioned as a leading performance brand with plans to expand its market share through innovation and increased brand awareness [19][22] - UGG is focusing on increasing adoption among male consumers and developing year-round products to capture a broader market [25][27] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment and its potential impact on consumer spending [29][31] - The company expects to face challenges in fiscal year 2026 due to tariff impacts, estimating an increase of up to $150 million in cost of goods sold [39][41] - Despite these challenges, management remains confident in the long-term growth potential of both HOKA and UGG brands [29][41] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately $567 million worth of shares during fiscal year 2025, reflecting strong cash flow generation [38][47] - A new board chair, Cindy Davis, was announced, succeeding Mike Devine [51] Q&A Session Summary Question: About the slowdown in HOKA U.S. DTC - Management noted that the slowdown was due to several unique factors affecting the U.S. market, but international DTC performance remained strong [54][56] Question: Potential for mid-teens growth for HOKA - Management expressed confidence in HOKA's growth potential, emphasizing that the brand's international growth would likely outpace U.S. growth [60][66] Question: Transition to new models and tariff costs - Management confirmed that the $150 million tariff cost is a gross number, with potential mitigations through pricing strategies [76][78]

Exhibit 99.1 DECKERS BRANDS REPORTS FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL FISCAL YEAR 2025 FINANCIAL RESULTS Goleta, California (May 22, 2025) -- Deckers Brands (NYSE: DECK), a global leader in designing, marketing, and distributing innovative footwear, apparel, and accessories, today announced financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter and full fiscal year ended March 31, 2025. The Company also provided its financial outlook for the first fiscal quarter ending June 30, 2025. "Deckers delivered another exceptional y ...

Group 1 - Deckers Outdoor Corp (NYSE: DECK) is expected to report fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on May 22, 2025, with analysts forecasting earnings of 60 cents per share and revenue of $1 billion, indicating a 28% decline in earnings year-over-year and a 4% sales growth compared to last year's figures of 83 cents per share and $960 million in revenue [1] - The company primarily owns the Ugg and Hoka shoe brands, which account for approximately 68% and 29% of total sales, respectively, with Ugg sales increasing by 16% and Hoka sales increasing by 24% in the third quarter of fiscal 2025 [2] - Deckers has a market capitalization of $19 billion, with revenue for the past twelve months at $4.9 billion, operating profits of $1.1 billion, and net income of $942 million [2] Group 2 - Historical trends indicate that DECK stock has risen 61% of the time after earnings announcements, with a median one-day increase of 9.0% and a maximum recorded rise of 19% [1][6] - Over the past five years, there have been 18 earnings data points, with 11 positive and 7 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns occurring approximately 61% of the time, which increases to 67% when considering the last three years [6] - The correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings can provide a less risky trading approach, particularly if the correlation between 1D and 5D returns is strong [4]

As Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) prepares to announce its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings results on May 22, after the market closes, investors are keen to assess the company's performance amid ongoing market challenges and opportunities. Deckers, known for its portfolio, including UGG and HOKA brands, has been navigating a dynamic landscape with strategic initiatives to sustain growth. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $985.6 million, which indicates an improvement of 2.7% fro ...

The competition in the athletic footwear space is heating up, with two key players — NIKE Inc. (NKE) and Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) — drawing investor attention. While NIKE leans on its global brand power and deep product portfolio, Deckers is gaining traction with strong growth from brands like HOKA and UGG. As market dynamics evolve and consumer preferences shift, the real question is: which stock has the better upside potential in the months ahead?The Case for NIKENIKE continues to hold a promine ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the author's extensive experience in value investing and the analysis of listed companies in the ASEAN and US regions [1] Group 1: Author's Background - The author has two decades of investing experience and has served as a Board member of a Malaysia listed company for several decades [1] - The author is a self-taught value investor and has published a value investing book titled "Do you really want to master value investing?" available on Amazon [1] Group 2: Investment Philosophy - The blog focuses on value investing through case studies, analyzing and valuing companies [1] - The author expresses personal opinions and insights without any compensation from the companies mentioned [1]