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Canada Goose Soars 30%—Is This Rally Built to Last?
MarketBeat· 2025-05-21 18:24
Core Viewpoint - Canada Goose's stock price surged by 30% following its FQ4 report, driven by brand loyalty and high short interest, although the short interest has decreased since the report [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Canada Goose's Q4 revenue grew by 7.4% year-over-year, with a 15.7% increase in direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales, while wholesale sales declined by 23.2% [4] - DTC sales increased by 11.6% on an FX-neutral basis, supported by a 6.8% rise in comparable sales and an increased store count [5] - The company improved its gross margin by 620 basis points, with operating income more than doubling and net income growing by over 400% [6] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The high short interest at the beginning of May was above 20%, contributing to the stock's price spike [1] - Analysts predict that short sellers may reposition at higher levels following the Q4 release, despite concerns about future profitability due to tariff impacts [2][7] - Institutions own about 85% of Canada Goose stock, but their trading activity has been limited, influencing the stock's price action [8][9] Group 3: Analyst Sentiment - The consensus among analysts is a "Reduce" rating with a 12-month price target of $9.50, indicating a potential downside of 14.99% from the current price [8][10] - Analysts have reduced coverage and ratings for Canada Goose, favoring retailers with better cash flow and capital returns [11][14] - The stock's recent price surge may have already peaked, facing resistance at around $11.80, with limited upside potential [12][13]
Canada Goose withholds guidance, shares fly on increased quarterly profit
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-05-21 15:06
Group 1 - Proactive provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The news team covers medium and small-cap markets, as well as blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive's content includes insights across various sectors such as biotech, pharma, mining, natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging technologies [3] Group 2 - Proactive is committed to adopting technology to enhance workflows and content production [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring all content is edited and authored by humans [5]
Canada Goose (GOOS) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-21 13:00
Core Viewpoint - Canada Goose reported quarterly earnings of $0.23 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.16 per share, and showing an increase from $0.14 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 43.75% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $267.9 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.92%, and compared to $265.56 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Canada Goose has consistently surpassed consensus EPS estimates and revenue estimates [2] Stock Performance - Canada Goose shares have declined approximately 11.1% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 1% [3] - The stock's immediate price movement will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call [3] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.59 on revenues of $67.14 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.86 on revenues of $978.95 million [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Canada Goose is currently favorable, leading to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, to which Canada Goose belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 47% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8]
Canada Goose beats estimates, pulls full-year guidance on 'macroeconomic uncertainty'
CNBC· 2025-05-21 12:06
Canada Goose's revenue was up 7.4% from the same period last year. Net income attributable to shareholders for the fiscal fourth quarter ending March 30 was CA$27.1 million, or 28 Canadian cents per diluted share, compared with a net income attributable to shareholders of CA$5 million, or 5 Canadian cents per diluted share in the prior year period. As of Monday's close, shares had fallen nearly 14% year to date, hitting an all-time low last month after Barclay's analysts downgraded the stock and cut their p ...
Canada Goose(GOOS) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Report
2025-05-21 11:46
Canada Goose Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year Fiscal 2025 Results Fourth Quarter Revenue increased 7% year-over-year to $384.6M Reported net income of $27.7M Adjusted EBIT of $59.7M 1 Toronto – May 21, 2025 – Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (NYSE, TSX: GOOS) announced today financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 and fiscal year ending March 30, 2025. All amounts are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise indicated. "Our strong Q4 results show the kind of impact Canada Goose can make when our b ...
Canada Goose(GOOS) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Report
2025-05-21 11:40
Company Operations - As of March 30, 2025, the company operates 74 permanent retail stores and eight manufacturing facilities, with a global leased property footprint including a distribution center in the United States[249]. - The company’s manufacturing and warehouse properties range in size from 50,000 to 190,000 square feet, indicating a significant operational capacity[249]. Financial Reporting - The company’s fiscal year 2025 is a 52-week reporting cycle ending on March 30, 2025, with previous fiscal years ending on April 2, 2023, and March 31, 2024[14]. - The company’s consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with IFRS Accounting Standards, with all monetary amounts reported in Canadian dollars[13]. Regulatory Compliance - The company is subject to various government regulations, including labor laws, advertising laws, and consumer protection regulations, which it believes to be in material compliance with[245]. - The company emphasizes the importance of monitoring changes in laws and regulations affecting its operations, particularly regarding tariffs and trade agreements for products sold outside Canada[245]. Market Adaptation - The company maintains a focus on adapting to changing consumer preferences and managing inventory levels to fulfill demand[22]. - The company faces risks related to global supply chain disruptions, which could impact its ability to maintain sufficient inventory levels[22]. - The company is committed to expanding its brand and product offerings, although it acknowledges potential challenges in maintaining brand strength and entering new markets[23]. Organizational Structure - The company’s organizational structure reflects its various entities as of May 19, 2025, indicating a well-defined management hierarchy[246].
GOOS vs. IDEXY: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-05-19 16:41
Investors with an interest in Retail - Apparel and Shoes stocks have likely encountered both Canada Goose (GOOS) and Industria de Diseno Textil SA (IDEXY) . But which of these two stocks presents investors with the better value opportunity right now? Let's take a closer look.There are plenty of strategies for discovering value stocks, but we have found that pairing a strong Zacks Rank with an impressive grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system produces the best returns. The Zacks Rank favors s ...
Canada Goose (GOOS) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 22:50
Group 1: Stock Performance - Canada Goose (GOOS) closed at $8.30, with a +0.97% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.44% [1] - The stock has increased by 19.48% over the past month, surpassing the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 9.15% and the S&P 500's gain of 10.62% [1] Group 2: Upcoming Earnings - Canada Goose is set to announce its earnings on May 21, 2025, with analysts expecting earnings of $0.16 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 14.29% [2] - The consensus estimate anticipates revenue of $262.86 million, indicating a 1.02% decline from the same quarter last year [2] Group 3: Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Canada Goose indicate positive sentiment towards the company's business operations and profit generation capabilities [3] Group 4: Zacks Rank and Performance - Canada Goose currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), with the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate having increased by 1.18% in the past month [5] - The Zacks Rank system has a strong track record, with 1 stocks averaging an annual return of +25% since 1988 [5] Group 5: Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 9.56, which is below the industry average of 13.81 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.64, compared to the Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry's average PEG ratio of 1.4 [6] Group 6: Industry Context - The Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry ranks in the bottom 40% of all industries, with a current Zacks Industry Rank of 149 [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
GOOS or DECK: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 16:45
Core Insights - The article compares Canada Goose (GOOS) and Deckers (DECK) to determine which stock offers better value for investors [1] Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook, while Deckers has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - GOOS has a forward P/E ratio of 9.72, significantly lower than DECK's forward P/E of 17.16, suggesting GOOS may be undervalued [5] - The PEG ratio for GOOS is 0.65, compared to DECK's 1.13, indicating GOOS has a better expected EPS growth relative to its price [5] - GOOS has a P/B ratio of 2.22, while DECK's P/B ratio is 6.39, further supporting the notion that GOOS is more attractively valued [6] - GOOS has a Value grade of A, whereas DECK has a Value grade of C, highlighting the relative undervaluation of GOOS [6] Conclusion - Overall, GOOS shows stronger estimate revision activity and more attractive valuation metrics than DECK, making it a more appealing option for value investors [7]
Canada Goose (GOOS) Rises But Trails Market: What Investors Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-04-22 22:50
Group 1: Stock Performance - Canada Goose (GOOS) closed at $8.33, reflecting a +1.96% change from the previous trading day's close, while trailing the S&P 500's gain of 2.51% [1] - Over the past month, shares of Canada Goose have decreased by 5.22%, compared to the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 6.97% and the S&P 500's loss of 8.86% [1] Group 2: Upcoming Financial Results - Canada Goose is projected to report earnings of $0.16 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 14.29% [2] - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenue is $262.86 million, which represents a decline of 1.02% from the previous year [2] Group 3: Analyst Estimates and Ratings - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for Canada Goose reflect short-term business trends, with upward revisions indicating analysts' positive outlook on the company's operations [3] - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate changes, currently ranks Canada Goose at 2 (Buy), with a historical average annual return of +25% for stocks rated 1 since 1988 [5] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose has a Forward P/E ratio of 9.5, which is below the industry average Forward P/E of 12.4 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.64, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 1.24, indicating a favorable valuation relative to expected earnings growth [6] Group 5: Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which includes Canada Goose, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 146, placing it in the bottom 42% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]