Canada Goose’s controlling shareholder Bain Capital is considering a sale of its stake in the luxury parka-maker https://t.co/GtVG4YqVTP ...

Group 1 - The trading history of Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (NYSE: GOOS) since its IPO in 2017 shows a significant decline from all-time highs of approximately $70 set in 2018 [1] - The stock has experienced a dismal performance since reaching its peak, indicating potential challenges for the company [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide specific financial metrics or future projections for Canada Goose Holdings Inc. [1]

Group 1 - Canada Goose is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, which includes 209 individual stocks and currently holds a Zacks Sector Rank of 10 [2] - Canada Goose has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook based on earnings estimates and revisions, with a 2.9% increase in the consensus estimate for full-year earnings over the past quarter [3] - Year-to-date, Canada Goose has returned approximately 16%, significantly outperforming the average gain of 2.6% for the Retail-Wholesale group [4] Group 2 - Canada Goose belongs to the Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which consists of 39 companies and currently ranks 187 in the Zacks Industry Rank, with an average loss of 15.2% for the industry this year [6] - Sportsman's Warehouse, another stock in the Retail-Wholesale sector, has returned 23.8% year-to-date and also holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [4][5] - Investors should continue to monitor Canada Goose and Sportsman's Warehouse for their strong performance in the Retail-Wholesale sector [7]

Group 1 - Canada Goose (GOOS) has reached a key level of support and recently crossed above the 20-day moving average, indicating a short-term bullish trend [1] - The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) is a popular trading tool that helps smooth out short-term price trends and provides trend reversal signals [2][3] - GOOS has moved 27.4% higher over the last four weeks, and it is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) stock [5] Group 2 - Positive earnings estimate revisions support the bullish case for GOOS, with no estimates decreasing in the past two months and one estimate increasing [5] - Investors are encouraged to monitor GOOS for potential gains due to its key technical level and favorable earnings revisions [6]

Company Performance - Canada Goose (GOOS) shares decreased by 3.84% to $11.02, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 1.13% [1] - Over the last month, Canada Goose's shares increased by 26.21%, outperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 1.63% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.55% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Analysts expect Canada Goose to report earnings of -$0.61 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 5.17% [2] - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenue is $66.96 million, which represents a 3.99% increase from the previous year [2] Annual Forecast - Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $0.88 per share and revenue of $1 billion for the year, indicating changes of +10% and +2.89% respectively compared to the previous year [3] - Recent analyst estimate revisions suggest optimism regarding Canada Goose's business and profitability [3] Analyst Ratings - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimated changes, currently ranks Canada Goose at 2 (Buy) [5] - Over the past month, there has been a 1.74% increase in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate [5] Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose has a Forward P/E ratio of 13.1, which is lower than the industry average Forward P/E of 17.13 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.73, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 1.92 [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which includes Canada Goose, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 168, placing it in the bottom 32% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Group 1 - Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is a notable stock within the Retail-Wholesale group, which consists of 209 companies, currently ranked 10 in the Zacks Sector Rank [2][4] - AAP has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable outlook based on earnings estimate revisions and improving earnings outlooks [3][4] - Year-to-date, AAP has returned 11%, significantly outperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's average return of 3.4% [4] Group 2 - AAP is part of the Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry, which includes 7 companies and is currently ranked 90 in the Zacks Industry Rank [6] - The Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry has gained an average of 11.8% year-to-date, indicating that AAP is slightly underperforming its industry [6] - In contrast, Canada Goose (GOOS), another outperforming stock in the Retail-Wholesale sector, has returned 13.5% year-to-date and is part of the Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which has declined by 13.1% this year [5][7]

Core Insights - Canada Goose reported strong financial results for Q4 and the full fiscal year 2025, showcasing resilience amid a global consumer slowdown and retail sector challenges, with revenue and profit growth exceeding market expectations [1] - The direct-to-consumer (DTC) segment was a key driver of growth, reflecting the brand's strategic focus on product innovation and marketing synergy, transitioning from a "down jacket expert" to a "full-category high-end functional apparel brand" [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Global revenue for Q4 increased by 7.4% year-over-year, reaching CAD 385 million, while full-year revenue was CAD 1.3484 billion, up 1.1% [2] - DTC channel revenue grew by 15.7% year-over-year to CAD 314.1 million, highlighting the brand's effective market trend adaptation and operational improvements [2][3] Group 2: Operational Enhancements - Canada Goose implemented localized product assortments, accelerated new product launches, optimized size offerings, and enhanced employee training to improve store conversion rates and sales [2] - The brand is focusing on optimizing personnel allocation, inventory management, and standardizing store services to strengthen retail execution capabilities [2][10] Group 3: Digital Strategy - The launch of the Sea Mantra collection in February 2025 led to a 19% increase in global brand search volume, particularly strong in the U.S. market [2] - Increased investment in live streaming and interactive content has effectively boosted e-commerce sales, especially in the Asia-Pacific region [2][3] Group 4: Product and Marketing Synergy - The introduction of the Snow Goose by Canada Goose collection marks a significant strategic shift, enhancing the brand's positioning as a high-end functional leader and attracting younger consumers [4][6] - Approximately two-thirds of Snow Goose consumers are existing customers, indicating strong brand loyalty and a positive consumption cycle [6] Group 5: Market Focus - The Greater China region remains a crucial part of Canada Goose's global strategy, with nearly 10% year-over-year revenue growth in FY2025, supporting overall regional performance [7] - The brand's marketing efforts in China have included culturally relevant campaigns and immersive brand experiences, enhancing emotional connections with consumers [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The comparison between Canada Goose (GOOS) and Industria de Diseno Textil SA (IDEXY) indicates that GOOS presents a better value opportunity for investors at this time [1]. Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose has a forward P/E ratio of 13.25, while Industria de Diseno Textil SA has a forward P/E of 24.35 [5]. - The PEG ratio for Canada Goose is 0.74, indicating a more favorable valuation compared to IDEXY's PEG ratio of 2.79 [5]. - Canada Goose's P/B ratio stands at 2.80, significantly lower than IDEXY's P/B ratio of 7.88, suggesting that GOOS is undervalued relative to its book value [6]. Zacks Rank and Style Scores - Canada Goose holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), while Industria de Diseno Textil SA has a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), indicating a stronger earnings outlook for GOOS [3]. - The Value grade for Canada Goose is A, whereas Industria de Diseno Textil SA has a Value grade of D, further supporting the conclusion that GOOS is the more attractive investment option [6].

Core Insights - Canada Goose reported strong financial performance for the fourth quarter and the full year ending March 30, 2025, with both profit and revenue exceeding market expectations, particularly driven by robust growth in direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales [2][3] - The company is transitioning from a "single-category expert" to a "full-category premium functional brand," leveraging product innovation and marketing strategies to strengthen its brand positioning [2][5] Financial Performance - Fourth-quarter global revenue increased by 7.4% year-over-year, with total annual revenue reaching CAD 1.348 billion [2] - The Asia-Pacific region led global growth with a 15.2% increase, while the Greater China region achieved a steady growth of 7.9% [2] Product Innovation and Marketing - Canada Goose showcased unprecedented multi-dimensional innovation in products, such as the Sea Mantra collection focused on ocean sustainability, which drove a 19% increase in global brand search volume [3] - The launch of a new eyewear line in February 2025 quickly became one of the top three fastest-growing product categories for the brand [3] Strategic Focus for 2026 - The company has outlined four core areas for strategic focus in fiscal 2026, including increased marketing investment to enhance brand relevance and consumer engagement [6][7] - Plans to expand product categories and improve seasonal suitability while maintaining high standards in product performance and design aesthetics [6] Retail Development Strategy - Canada Goose is adopting a dual strategy of "strategic expansion + efficiency enhancement" for retail business development, focusing on careful store network expansion and operational efficiency improvements [7] - The brand aims to create high-quality touchpoints that convey brand value through upgraded store designs and optimized inventory management [7] Future Outlook - The successful fiscal 2025 has laid a solid foundation for future growth, with the company planning to implement bolder marketing initiatives and enhance consumer experiences in fiscal 2026 [8]

Core Viewpoint - Canadian Goose's performance has improved due to the sales peak season, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit in Q4 of FY2025, despite previous concerns about the luxury goods market [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q4 FY2025, Canadian Goose reported a revenue increase of 7.4% year-on-year to CAD 385 million, with a net profit of CAD 27.1 million compared to CAD 5 million in the same period last year [1]. - For the entire FY2025, total revenue grew by 1.1% to CAD 1.348 billion, while net profit rose to CAD 94.8 million from CAD 58.4 million in the previous year [4]. Business Segments - Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) sales in Q4 increased by 15.7% to CAD 314 million, while wholesale revenue decreased by 23.2% to CAD 31.8 million due to reduced order volumes in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa [3][4]. - The overall gross profit for Q4 increased by 17.8% to CAD 274 million, with the gross margin rising from 65.1% to 71.3% [4]. Market Dynamics - The Greater China region became Canadian Goose's largest market in FY2024, with Q4 sales growing by 7.9% to CAD 139 million, leading to a 15.2% increase in the Asia-Pacific region [6][10]. - The company has expanded its store presence in China, with 30 stores across 18 cities, primarily operating on a direct sales model [7][11]. Strategic Initiatives - For FY2026, Canadian Goose plans to innovate within existing product lines and expand its clothing offerings while maintaining the core focus on down jackets [6]. - The company aims to enhance retail execution through store upgrades and improved sales training, while also focusing on strengthening its wholesale business [6][11]. Challenges and Outlook - Despite the positive Q4 results, Canadian Goose faces uncertainties due to a slowing growth rate and the impact of global trade tensions on consumer demand [2][12]. - The company has refrained from providing financial guidance for FY2026 due to the unpredictable macroeconomic environment, although it remains optimistic about its production strategy and tariff implications [12][13].