Core Viewpoint - Galaxy Entertainment's Q2 2025 financial results show strong recovery in gaming operations, driven by the concert economy, but stock performance was muted due to profit-taking and operational pressures at the StarWorld Hotel [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Q2 2025 gaming gross gaming revenue (GGR) reached HKD 12 billion, up 16% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 82% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. - VIP gaming revenue was HKD 2.4 billion, up 73% year-on-year and 22% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 33% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. - Mass gaming revenue was HKD 8.8 billion, up 6% year-on-year and 7% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 130% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. - Slot machine revenue was HKD 800 million, up 19% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 139% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was HKD 3.6 billion, up 12% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 82% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. Group 2: Entertainment and Customer Traffic - In the first half of 2025, Galaxy hosted 190 entertainment, sports, and exhibition events, resulting in a 65% year-on-year increase in customer traffic [2]. - Notable events included the World Table Tennis Championships and concerts by major artists, leading to a peak daily visitor count of 123,000 [2]. - The company is advancing the upgrade of the StarWorld Hotel and the construction of Phase IV in Cotai, which will feature a theater, water park, and family-friendly facilities, expected to open in 2027 [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Valuation - The entertainment momentum is expected to continue into the second half of 2025, with various events planned that could enhance customer traffic across the Cotai area [3]. - The target price for Galaxy has been raised to HKD 49.5, reflecting a valuation premium due to its strong market position and diversified non-gaming offerings [3]. - GGR forecasts for 2025-2027 have been increased by 1.6%, 5.6%, and 2.7% to HKD 459 billion, HKD 529 billion, and HKD 568 billion respectively [3].

Core Viewpoint - Galaxy Entertainment's 2Q25 performance met market expectations, with net revenue of HKD 12.044 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8%, recovering to 91% of 2Q19 levels [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA for 2Q25 was HKD 3.569 billion, up 12% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, aligning closely with Bloomberg's expectation of HKD 3.540 billion [1] - The company announced an interim dividend of HKD 0.70 per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of approximately 60% [1] Growth Drivers - The strong performance was attributed to the opening of the Capella hotel, which increased market share, and entertainment activities that boosted property visitation [1] - Cost control measures helped maintain stable daily operating costs [1] Management Insights - The management expects capital expenditure for 2025 to be HKD 7 billion, with HKD 3 billion spent in the first half of 2025 [1] - The company plans to continue hosting large concerts and entertainment events in Macau, recognizing the sustainability and return potential of integrated resorts [1] Market Positioning - The high-end gaming segment continues to outperform the regular gaming segment, driven by the opening of Capella [1] - The management anticipates that the StarWorld Hotel will benefit from the demand for satellite casinos, which are expected to close by the end of 2025 [1] Investment Outlook - Due to the better-than-expected performance of Capella, the adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 5% and 3% to HKD 14.524 billion and HKD 15.330 billion, respectively [2] - The target price has been increased by 6% to HKD 44.80, reflecting an 11% upside potential based on a 10x EV/adjusted EBITDA for 2025 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for Q2 2025, with significant year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth in net revenue and adjusted EBITDA, driven primarily by high-end gaming activities [1][2][4] Financial Performance - Net revenue for the company increased by 10.3% year-on-year and 7.5% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 12.04 billion, recovering to 91.4% of the same period in 2019 [1] - Adjusted EBITDA rose by 12.4% year-on-year and 8.3% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 3.57 billion, recovering to 82.4% of the same period in 2019, with an EBITDA margin of 29.6% [1] - The company announced an interim dividend of HKD 0.7 per share, with a payout ratio increased to 59%, marking it as the first in the industry to raise dividends [1] Segment Performance - "Galaxy Macau" and StarWorld Hotel reported net revenues of HKD 10 billion and HKD 1.17 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth of 16% and a decline of 11.5%, while quarter-on-quarter changes were 9% and a decrease of 5.7% [2] - Adjusted EBITDA for "Galaxy Macau" and StarWorld Hotel was HKD 3.33 billion and HKD 0.30 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth of 19.5% and a decline of 22.3%, and quarter-on-quarter changes of 10.2% and a decrease of 13.4% [2] - Hotel occupancy rates for "Galaxy Macau" and StarWorld Hotel were reported at 98% and 100% respectively [2] Development Projects - The company has commenced trial operations for its new hotel brand, Capella, which features approximately 95 luxury villas and suites, aiming to attract high-quality clientele [3] - Ongoing construction for the fourth phase of "Galaxy Macau" is expected to be completed by 2027, covering an area of approximately 600,000 square meters and introducing several high-end hotel brands [3] - The total capital expenditure budget for the year is set at HKD 7 billion, with HKD 1.5 billion already invested during the period [3] Market Dynamics - Large concerts and performances are contributing to overall revenue growth, while competition within the industry remains intense but manageable [4] - Retail sales remained stable, with rental income increasing by 1%, and future retail growth is expected to be steady [4] - The company is focusing on enhancing non-gaming facilities to cater to mid-market strategies, particularly at StarWorld Hotel [4] Investment Outlook - The company maintains a buy rating with a target price of HKD 49.81, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth prospects due to strong financials, robust management, and ongoing development projects [4]

Core Viewpoint - Macquarie's research report indicates that Galaxy Entertainment's net income for the second quarter increased by 10% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, with gaming revenue rising by 16% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter, slightly below the firm's forecast by 1% [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 12% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the firm's forecast by 2% [1] - The company declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.7, with a payout ratio of 58%, up from 50% in the same period last year, surpassing market expectations [1] Cash Flow and Dividend Outlook - The firm believes that Galaxy Entertainment has strong free cash flow and net cash accumulation capabilities, allowing it to maintain the current dividend payout ratio [1] - The expected payout ratio for the company in 2023 is 60%, translating to a cash dividend yield of 3.5% [1] Future Earnings Projections - Due to lower expectations for non-gaming revenue, the firm has slightly reduced its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 0.1% and 0.5%, respectively, while increasing the 2027 forecast by 0.6% [1] - The target price for Galaxy Entertainment has been raised from HKD 53.6 to HKD 55.6, maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive outlook for Galaxy Entertainment, indicating confidence in its long-term prospects with an interim dividend of HKD0.70 per share, reflecting a dividend payout ratio of 58% [5][12]. Core Insights - Galaxy Entertainment reported a net revenue of HKD12.04 billion for Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.5% [2][7]. - The adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 reached HKD3.57 billion, up 12.4% year-on-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 29.6%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [4][11]. - The company's market share increased to 20.2% in Q2 2025, up from 19.5% in Q1 2025, indicating a strengthening position in the market [5][12]. Revenue Breakdown - In Q2 2025, gaming revenue increased by 12.3% year-on-year, contributing HKD9.66 billion, while non-gaming revenue reached HKD1.61 billion, up 8.4% year-on-year [2][8]. - The total betting amount for the company reached HKD119.45 billion, an increase of 18.4% year-on-year, with VIP betting accounting for 46.7% of the total [3][9]. Performance Metrics - The company's gross gaming revenue (GGR) for Q2 2025 was HKD12.01 billion, reflecting an 11.8% year-on-year increase, which outpaced the industry growth rate of 8.3% [10]. - The adjusted EBITDA for Galaxy Macau and StarWorld Macau was HKD3.33 billion and HKD0.3 billion respectively, with respective adjusted EBITDA margins of 33.3% and 25.9% [4][11].

8月12日午间，银河娱乐在港交所公告，2025年上半年，集团录得净收益为232亿港元，按年上升8%； 股东应占溢利为52亿港元，按年上升19%；经调整EBITDA为69亿港元，较去年增加14%。第二季度， 集团净收益为120亿港元，按年增加10%，按季增加8%；经调整EBITDA为36亿港元，按年升12%，按 季升8%。董事会宣布中期股息每股0.70港元，将于2025年10月派发。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Buy" with a target price of HKD 49.50 [1][9][12] Core Views - The report highlights the positive impact of the concert economy on the company's performance, with expectations for continued growth in the second half of 2025 [6][8][12] - The company is benefiting from a diverse non-gaming portfolio and is expected to attract high-end clientele with the opening of the Capella hotel in September [6][12] - The overall gaming revenue (GGR) is projected to increase, with adjustments made to the EBITDA forecasts for 2025-2027 [9][12] Summary by Sections Financial Data - The closing price as of August 12 was HKD 40.18, with a market capitalization of HKD 175,783 million [2] - The average daily trading volume over the past six months was HKD 462.68 million [2] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are HKD 43,432 million, HKD 47,205 million, HKD 53,662 million, and HKD 57,896 million respectively, reflecting growth rates of 21.71%, 8.69%, 13.68%, and 7.89% [5] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be HKD 8,759 million, HKD 10,110 million, HKD 10,504 million, and HKD 11,628 million for the same years, with growth rates of 28.29%, 15.42%, 3.90%, and 10.70% [5] Gaming Performance - The company's gaming revenue for Q2 2025 was HKD 12 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 16% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10% [6] - The breakdown of gaming revenue includes VIP at HKD 2.4 billion (up 73% YoY), mass market at HKD 8.8 billion (up 6% YoY), and slots at HKD 800 million (up 19% YoY) [6] Entertainment and Customer Traffic - The company hosted 190 entertainment and sports events in the first half of 2025, resulting in a 65% increase in customer traffic [7] - Upcoming concerts and events are expected to further boost visitor numbers and spending in the second half of 2025 [8][12] Valuation and Market Position - The report suggests that the company deserves a valuation premium due to its strong market position and diverse offerings compared to competitors [9][12] - The target price of HKD 49.50 corresponds to a 10.6x EV/EBITDA multiple for 2026E, reflecting an upward adjustment from the previous target of HKD 39.50 [9][12]

Core Viewpoint - Macquarie's report indicates that Galaxy Entertainment (00027) has shown a 10% year-on-year increase in net revenue for the second quarter, with an 8% quarter-on-quarter growth, while gaming revenue rose by 16% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter, slightly below the firm's forecast [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 12% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the firm's forecast by 2% [1] - The firm has adjusted its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for Galaxy Entertainment for 2025 and 2026 down by 0.1% and 0.5%, respectively, but raised the 2027 forecast by 0.6% [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price for Galaxy Entertainment has been raised by 4%, from HKD 53.6 to HKD 55.6, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1] Dividend Announcement - Galaxy Entertainment declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.7, with a payout ratio of 58%, an increase from 50% in the same period last year, surpassing market expectations [1] - The firm believes that due to strong free cash flow and net cash accumulation, Galaxy Entertainment is financially capable of maintaining this payout ratio, with an expected payout ratio of 60% for the year, translating to a cash dividend yield of 3.5% [1]

Core Insights - Macquarie's report indicates that Galaxy Entertainment's Q2 net revenue increased by 10% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, with gaming revenue rising by 16% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter, slightly below the firm's forecast by 1% [1] - Adjusted EBITDA grew by 12% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the firm's forecast by 2% [1] - The firm has adjusted its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for Galaxy Entertainment down by 0.1% and 0.5% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, while increasing the 2027 forecast by 0.6% [1] - The target price for the group has been raised by 4%, from HKD 53.6 to HKD 55.6, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1] Dividend and Financial Health - Galaxy Entertainment declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.7, with a payout ratio of 58%, up from 50% in the same period last year, exceeding market expectations [1] - The firm believes that due to the group's strong free cash flow and net cash accumulation capabilities, it can maintain this payout ratio [1] - The expected payout ratio for the group this year is 60%, translating to a cash dividend yield of 3.5% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Daiwa Capital Markets indicates that Galaxy Entertainment (00027) is expected to see a 7% quarter-on-quarter growth in normalized EBITDA for Q2 2025, with a slight increase in market share due to lower win rates [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.7 per share, resulting in a payout ratio of 58%, with management expecting a sustainable payout ratio of around 60% [1] - Daiwa has raised its EBITDA forecasts for Galaxy Entertainment for 2025 and 2026 by 5% and 4% respectively [1] - The target price for the stock has been increased by 5%, from HKD 43 to HKD 45, while maintaining a "buy" rating [1] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - In Q2 2025, Galaxy Entertainment's mass market share is estimated to grow by 0.8 percentage points to 22%, which investors perceive as moderate growth [1] - The management acknowledges the current intense market competition but does not expect further deterioration this year [1] - The opening of the Capella Hotel is anticipated to enhance reinvestment efficiency, with positive impacts already observed during its trial operation period [1]