Core Viewpoint - Investors are concerned about the return on massive investments in artificial intelligence (AI) as Microsoft and Meta Platforms prepare to release their earnings reports, which may provide insights into the profitability of such expenditures [1][4]. Group 1: Company Earnings and Market Reactions - Microsoft and Meta are among the top four companies in the U.S. for AI spending, with a projected capital expenditure of approximately $505 billion in 2026, up from an estimated $366 billion in 2025 [1]. - Since the last earnings report on October 29, 2022, Microsoft's stock has dropped by 11%, while Meta's stock has decreased by about 10%, contrasting with a 1.3% increase in the S&P 500 index during the same period [1]. - Investors are closely monitoring the return on investment for these expenditures, with Jonathan Kofsky from Janus Henderson emphasizing that quarterly evaluations will be critical [1][4]. Group 2: AI Spending and Market Implications - Any indication that Microsoft and Meta plan to invest more than expected in AI could pressure their stock prices, while benefiting companies like Nvidia, Broadcom, and Micron that stand to gain from such spending [4]. - Seagate has reported strong demand for high-capacity hard drives, which is expected to continue at least until 2027, positively impacting the stock prices of related companies [4]. - Kofsky noted that investor expectations are that results will often meet or exceed the upper limits of projections, particularly for AI infrastructure companies like Nvidia and TSMC [4]. Group 3: Microsoft and Meta's Specific Challenges - For Microsoft, the focus will be on its Azure cloud computing business, which is experiencing strong demand for AI service development and operation [5]. - Azure's revenue is expected to grow by 38% year-over-year in the second quarter, following a 39% increase in the first quarter [5]. - Investors are also interested in the progress of Microsoft's Copilot product, which is a key AI software tool for office workers, although details on its contribution to overall sales growth remain limited [5]. Group 4: Meta's Growth Pressure - Unlike Microsoft, Meta lacks a cloud computing business and relies on AI to enhance advertising targeting and user engagement on its social media platforms [6]. - Meta faces significant pressure to demonstrate how its AI spending translates into growth, especially after a previous drop in stock price following its commitment to increased capital expenditures without clear return timelines [6]. - Market expectations for Meta's fourth-quarter revenue are optimistic, projecting a 21% increase to $58.4 billion, with earnings per share expected to rise by 2.1% to $8.19 [5].

Core Insights - The focus of Wall Street is shifting towards "remaining performance obligations," a metric indicating future sales backlog from long-term contracts in the cloud computing sector, as companies like Microsoft and Amazon report earnings [1][2] - The surge in long-term commitments from AI companies to cloud service providers is reshaping the competitive landscape of the cloud market, with Microsoft surpassing Amazon in new order backlog [1][3] - Concerns arise regarding the actual realization of these sales commitments, highlighted by Oracle's case where a significant increase in backlog did not translate to stock price gains due to doubts about profitability and execution [1][6] Group 1: Remaining Performance Obligations - "Remaining performance obligations" is gaining attention as a financial metric that reflects future sales from long-term contracts, particularly in the context of AI companies making substantial commitments to cloud providers [2] - Analysts note that when order backlog diverges from revenue growth, it becomes a critical indicator for investors to monitor [2] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Amazon, while still holding the largest market share in cloud computing, has fallen behind Microsoft in terms of new order backlog since the launch of ChatGPT, with Google also emerging as a strong competitor [3] - Google's advancements in AI technology have allowed it to attract significant business from AI companies, altering the competitive dynamics in the cloud market [3] Group 3: Concerns Over Backlog Data - The data on order backlog has limitations, as different companies may have varying accounting methods, which can affect the comparability of the figures [4] - There are concerns about the reliability of these commitments, especially given past instances where companies renegotiated contracts to defer spending [4][5] Group 4: Oracle's Warning - Oracle's experience serves as a cautionary tale, where a massive increase in order backlog did not lead to positive market reactions due to skepticism about the profitability and realization of those contracts [6] - The market's response to the latest commitments from Microsoft, Amazon, and Google will be crucial in assessing investor sentiment regarding potential AI bubbles [6]

Group 1 - AI spending and advancements have led to the emergence of the "Magnificent Seven," which includes Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, and Tesla, significantly impacting market returns and contributing to the outperformance of the large cap S&P 500 Index over the small cap Russell 2000 Index for the past five years [1] - The Russell 2000 Index has gained over 7% at the start of the year, outperforming the S&P 500 Index, which only gained just over 2% [2] - The recent 14-day win streak for the Russell 2000 Index is the second longest on record, indicating a potential trend in small-cap outperformance [3] Group 2 - Following a win streak of at least eight consecutive trading days, the Russell 2000 Index has averaged a 2.72% return in the month after, with 79% of the returns being positive and outperforming the S&P 500 Index 74% of the time [4] - The S&P 500 Index, after similar win streaks, has shown a short-term average gain of 1.49% in one month, but underperformed in the six-month period with an average loss of -0.36% [7][8] - Both the Russell 2000 and S&P 500 Indexes exhibit momentum immediately after small-cap outperformance streaks, but tend to pull back and become more volatile around the three-month mark, ultimately nearing breakeven after six months [9][10]

Earnings Reports - Microsoft (MSFT), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA) are scheduled to report earnings after the market closes today, with market expectations being closely monitored [6] - Companies reporting today also include AT&T (T) and IBM (IBM) [16] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to maintain its benchmark rate at 3.50%-3.75% after three consecutive rate cuts, with the timing of any future cuts being a key focus [7] - Most FOMC members are not in a hurry to ease policy further, as the labor market shows signs of softening but is not raising urgent alarms, and inflation remains above the 2% target without signs of a dramatic resurgence [8] - There is a disconnect between the FOMC's projected rate path for 2026 and market expectations, with the FOMC indicating only a single rate cut in 2026, while markets anticipate two cuts this year [8] Corporate Developments - SoftBank (SFTBY) is considering an additional investment of $30 billion in OpenAI (OPENAI) [9] - SpaceX (SPACE) is targeting a mid-June IPO with a potential valuation of $1.5 trillion [9] - UnitedHealth (UNH) has indicated potential benefit cuts due to disappointing Medicare rates [10] - UPS (UPS) plans to cut 30,000 jobs as it ends its partnership with Amazon [11] - Amazon (AMZN) is set to close its Go and Fresh stores while expanding its Whole Foods operations [12] - Boeing (BA) aims for 500 deliveries of its 737 aircraft as its inventory nears exhaustion [13] - Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) will pay $40 million to settle SEC claims regarding performance inflation [14] - Tether, the issuer of the USDT-USD stablecoin, has emerged as a significant beneficiary of the recent gold rally [15]

'n Shake adds $5M to Bitcoin reserves, now holds $15M in BTC]January 28, 2026Share viaFacebookX (Twitter)LinkedInMixEmailPrintCopy Link US futures rise as Fed decision looms; Tesla and Meta to announce results | Invezz false### Choose your country### Choose preferred languagePopular languagesEnglish (USA) [Deutsch] [Español] [Français] [Português]All available languagesEnglish (USA) [English (UK)] [English (Australia)] [English (Canada)] [English (New Zealand)] [English (South Africa)] [English (Ireland)] [ ...

以下文章来源于科创日报 ，作者刘蕊 科创日报 . 科创圈都在关注的主流媒体，上海报业集团主管主办，《科创板日报》出品。 近几年来，每逢财报季，微软、苹果、英伟达、Alphabet、亚马逊、Meta和特斯拉这七家巨头公司都是聚光灯下的焦点，在本个财报季也 不例外。 北京时间本周四早间，"七巨头"中的三家（特斯拉、Meta和微软）即将率先公布财报，苹果也将在周五早间公布财报。 目前，华尔街分析师们对于"七巨头"的总体业绩充满信心，不过随着AI热潮逐步演变，那些能够从AI基建和变现势头中尝到甜头的公司显然 将更受投资者青睐。 "七巨头"的差异愈发凸显 与此同时，对于"七巨头"正大力推进的AI业务来看，来自资本、电力和政策等方面的限制也将愈发受到关注。 "七巨头"Q4业绩强劲 本周美股Q4财报季全面展开，标普500指数中有102家将公布财报，这其中就包括"七巨头"中的四家。 目前，华尔街对于"七巨头"的业绩表现充满信心。FactSet高级盈利分析师约翰·巴特斯预计，"七巨头"第四季度整体盈利增长率将达到 20.3%，远超其他公司4.1%的同比每股收益增长率，其中，英伟达、Alphabet和微软预计将会是最主要的领跑者 ...

Group 1 - Dow Jones futures edged lower, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures rose, indicating mixed market sentiment ahead of major earnings reports [1] - Seagate Technology and ASML were highlighted as leading earnings movers, reflecting strong performance in the tech sector [1] - The Federal Reserve is set to conclude its policy meeting, which may impact market dynamics, particularly for tech stocks [1] Group 2 - Tesla, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft are scheduled to report earnings after the market close, which could influence investor sentiment and stock performance [1] - The S&P 500 has reached a record high, with the Nasdaq leading the market rally, showcasing strong investor interest in technology stocks [1] - Microsoft has regained a key level amid the launch of a new AI chip, suggesting positive momentum ahead of its earnings report [1]

盘前市场动向 1. 1月28日(周三)美股盘前，美股三大股指期货齐涨。截至发稿，道指期货涨0.04%，标普500指数期货涨0.37%，纳指期货涨 0.95%。 | = US 30 | 49,020.90 | 49,079.60 | 48,972.10 | +17.50 | +0.04% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | = US 500 | 7,004.30 | 7.014.80 | 6,983.30 | +25.70 | +0.37% | | 트 US Tech 100 | 26,185.00 | 26,224.70 | 26,003.30 | +245.30 | +0.95% | 2. 截至发稿，德国DAX指数跌0.10%，英国富时100指数跌0.44%，法国CAC40指数跌0.96%，欧洲斯托克50指数涨0.03%。 | 德国DAX30 | 24,882.14 | 24,929.93 | 24,795.48 | -26.09 | -0.10% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 英国富时100 | 10,1 ...

但斌美股持仓最新出炉！ 私募排排网据美国证券交易委员会（SEC）统计称，截至2025年末，东方港湾旗下海外基金在美股市场共持有10只股票，持仓总市值约为 13.16亿美元（约合人民币91亿元），较三季度末的12.92亿美元略有增长。从调仓动作来看，东方港湾2025年四季度清仓了包括Coinbase、奈 飞、博通、台积电在内的多只股票，同时大手笔加仓谷歌、纳斯达克指数等，持仓进一步集中于科技板块巨头，第一大重仓股也由英伟达变为 谷歌。 多位业内人士称，2026年科技仍将是全球资本市场的重要投资主线，尤其是AI相关且逐步兑现业绩的标的值得关注。 第一大重仓股变更 同时，东方港湾旗下海外基金2025年四季度大手笔加仓了TQQQ（三倍做多纳斯达克100ETF）和GGLL（二倍做多谷歌ETF）。 截至2025年末，东方港湾旗下海外基金持仓进一步聚焦科技，除谷歌和英伟达外，微软、苹果、Meta、特斯拉和亚马逊均位列其中，显示出 对美股科技龙头股的高度关注。 SEC官网披露的信息显示，截至2025年末，东方港湾旗下海外基金共持有10只美股标的，前五大重仓股分别为谷歌、英伟达、TQQQ（三倍做 多纳斯达克100ETF）、FN ...

By Lewis Krauskopf NEW YORK, Jan 28 (Reuters) - Stakes are high for earnings reports from U.S. megacap companies this week, as investors seek proof that strong profit growth will lift stocks this year, including evidence that artificial-intelligence investments are paying off. Reports are due from Microsoft, Apple, Facebook parent ​Meta Platforms and Tesla - four of the "Magnificent Seven" megacap companies whose bottom-line results broadly are key drivers of overall U.S. profits. The group is expected ‌ ...