Core Insights - Newmont Corporation (NEM) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 23, with anticipated benefits from higher gold prices despite cost challenges [1][6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $1.27 per share, reflecting a 56.8% year-over-year increase, while revenues are projected at $4.97 billion, indicating an 8% rise from the previous year [2] Earnings Performance - NEM has outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 32.8% [3] - The company has an Earnings ESP of +1.32% and holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting a high likelihood of an earnings beat this quarter [4][5] Factors Influencing Q3 Results - Higher gold prices are expected to positively impact NEM's top line and margins, with average realized prices estimated at $3,357 per ounce, a 33.3% year-over-year increase [6][9] - The company's strategic focus on Tier 1 assets is anticipated to support growth, despite rising production costs [10] Market Conditions - Gold prices have surged approximately 17% in the third quarter and about 65% year-to-date, driven by factors such as geopolitical tensions, a weak dollar, and increased central bank purchases [8] - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have further fueled the rally in gold prices [8] Cost Considerations - NEM is facing higher unit costs, with costs applicable to sales and all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) rising around 6% and 2% year-over-year, respectively [11] - Sustaining capital spending is expected to increase significantly in the third quarter due to planned investments [11] Stock Performance and Valuation - NEM's shares have increased by 61.8% over the past year, underperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's 70.1% rise but outperforming the S&P 500's 16.3% increase [12] - The company is trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 15.29, slightly below the peer group average of 15.49 [15] Investment Thesis - Newmont is positioned for growth with a strong project portfolio that is expected to enhance production capacity and extend mine life [19] - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited is anticipated to create significant shareholder value and synergies [19] - NEM's robust liquidity and cash flow generation capabilities support its growth initiatives and shareholder value [20] Conclusion - Investing in NEM stock ahead of its earnings announcement is seen as a compelling opportunity due to its strong market position, financial health, and favorable growth outlook [21]

Group 1 - Newmont Mining Corporation is expected to report quarterly revenues of approximately $5.2 billion, driven by increased gold and copper prices and stable production levels [2] - The company has a current market capitalization of $104 billion, with total revenue for the past twelve months at $21 billion, operating profits of $8.0 billion, and net income of $6.3 billion [3] - Margins may face slight pressure due to rising labor and energy costs, as well as persistent inflation in mining supplies, despite stronger precious metal prices expected to bolster operating cash flow [2] Group 2 - Historical data shows that over the last five years, Newmont has recorded 16 earnings data points, with 5 positive and 11 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 31% of the time [6] - The median of the 5 positive returns is 2.0%, while the median of the 11 negative returns is -4.6% [6] - A strategy based on understanding the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can be beneficial for traders [7]

Core Insights - Five stocks have been added to the Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) List, indicating strong potential for investment returns Group 1: Company Earnings Estimates - Newmont Corporation (NEM) has seen a 6.9% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [1] - Royal Bank of Canada (RY) has experienced a 5.6% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [1] - Amer Sports, Inc. (AS) has seen a 9.1% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [2] - Verastem, Inc. (VSTM) has experienced a significant 21.5% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [2] - Sono-Tek Corporation (SOTK) has seen a remarkable 37.5% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [3]

Core Viewpoint - Spot gold prices have surpassed $4,340 per ounce, marking a daily increase of over 2%, which has positively impacted gold-related stocks and ETFs [1] Group 1: Gold Market Performance - Spot gold has increased by more than 2% in a single day, reaching over $4,340 per ounce [1] - Leveraged gold ETFs have seen gains exceeding 5% [1] Group 2: Company Stock Movements - Coeur Mining (CDE.US) has risen by over 5.3% [1] - Newmont Corporation (NEM.US) has increased by over 3% [1] - Barrick Gold (B.US) has gained over 3.6% [1] - Harmony Gold (HMY.US) has seen a rise of 0.9% [1]

Core Insights - JR Research is recognized as a top analyst in technology, software, and internet sectors, focusing on growth and GARP strategies [1] - The investment approach emphasizes identifying attractive risk/reward opportunities with strong price action to generate alpha above the S&P 500 [1][2] - The investment group Ultimate Growth Investing specializes in high-potential opportunities across various sectors, targeting stocks with robust fundamentals and turnaround potential [3] Investment Strategy - The focus is on growth investing opportunities that offer significant upside potential while avoiding overhyped and overvalued stocks [2] - The strategy includes capitalizing on battered stocks that have substantial recovery possibilities [2] - The investment thesis typically has an 18 to 24 month outlook for realization [3] Group Characteristics - Ultimate Growth Investing is designed for investors looking to capitalize on growth stocks with strong fundamentals and buying momentum [3] - The group also targets turnaround plays at highly attractive valuations [3]

Core Insights - JR Research is recognized as a top analyst in technology, software, and internet sectors, focusing on growth and GARP strategies [1] - The investment approach emphasizes identifying attractive risk/reward opportunities with strong price action to generate alpha above the S&P 500 [1][2] - The investment group Ultimate Growth Investing specializes in high-potential opportunities across various sectors, targeting stocks with robust fundamentals and turnaround potential [3] Investment Strategy - The focus is on growth investing opportunities that offer significant upside potential while avoiding overhyped and overvalued stocks [2] - The strategy includes capitalizing on battered stocks that have substantial recovery possibilities [2] - The investment outlook typically spans 18 to 24 months for the thesis to materialize [3] Group Characteristics - Ultimate Growth Investing is designed for investors looking to capitalize on growth stocks with strong fundamentals and buying momentum [3] - The group targets turnaround plays at highly attractive valuations [3]

Core Insights - Recent surge in gold prices has made it a topic of widespread discussion, with China maintaining its position as the world's largest gold producer for 15 consecutive years, projected to produce 380.2 tons in 2024 [1] - Despite being the largest producer, China does not have any gold mines among the top 30 globally, which collectively are expected to produce 2,694.3 tons in 2024, a slight increase of 0.4% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Major Gold Mines - The Olimpiada mine in Russia, the largest in the country, produced 45.9 tons in the previous year, a 1% decrease, while its parent company, Polyus, expects a 49% increase in EBITDA to $5.7 billion in 2024 [3] - Grasberg mine in Indonesia, the second-largest, saw a 6% decrease in production to 57.9 tons, facing challenges such as aging equipment and operational difficulties [5] - Muruntau mine in Uzbekistan, the largest globally, is projected to increase production by 5% to 65.1 tons in 2024, with significant investments made to expand capacity [7] Group 2: Production Data and Rankings - The top three gold mines for 2024 are: 1. Muruntau mine (Uzbekistan) - 65.1 tons, up 5% 2. Grasberg mine (Indonesia) - 57.9 tons, down 6% 3. Olimpiada mine (Russia) - 45.9 tons, down 1% [8] - The overall production from the top 30 mines reflects a diverse geographical distribution, with North America having 8 mines, Africa 7, and Asia, Europe, and Oceania each having 4 [1]

Core Viewpoint - This week is significant for earnings reports from major tech and industrial companies, including Tesla, Netflix, Intel, and others, indicating a pivotal moment for stock performance [1]. Earnings Reports Schedule - **Monday**: No notable reports [4] - **Tuesday**: - Netflix (NFLX) expected move: 7.9% - Coca-Cola (KO) expected move: 2.9% - General Motors (GM) expected move: 6.5% - General Electric (GE) expected move: 6.5% - Capital One Financial (COF) expected move: 6.4% - Texas Instruments (TXN) expected move: 7.36% - Philip Morris (PM) expected move: 5.9% [4] - **Wednesday**: - Tesla (TSLA) expected move: 7.9% - Boston Scientific (BSX) expected move: 4.9% - AT&T (T) expected move: 4.4% - Vertiv (VRT) expected move: 11.4% - IBM expected move: 7.2% - Lam Research (LRCX) expected move: 7.8% - Genworth Financial (GEV) expected move: 8.4% - Kinder Morgan (KMI) expected move: 3.4% [5] - **Thursday**: - Intel (INTC) expected move: 12.1% - Ford (F) expected move: 6.1% - Freeport McMoRan (FCX) expected move: 5.5% - Newmont Mining (NEM) expected move: 7.1% - Blackstone (BX) expected move: 5.6% [6] - **Friday**: - Procter & Gamble (PG) expected move: 3.4% [6] Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize expected moves to structure trades: - Bearish traders may consider selling bear call spreads outside the expected range - Bullish traders can sell bull put spreads outside the expected range or opt for naked puts for higher risk tolerance - Neutral traders might look into iron condors, ideally keeping short strikes outside the expected range [6]. - It is advisable to employ risk-defined strategies and maintain small position sizes when trading options over earnings [7].

Core Insights - Headwater Gold Inc. has announced that its Spring Peak project has been included in the FAST-41 program, which aims to streamline federal permitting for mining projects, enhancing transparency and efficiency in the review process [1][3][7] - The exploration program at Spring Peak is funded by Newmont Corporation, which may earn a 65% interest in the project by investing US$40 million over 36 months [1][4] Company Overview - Headwater Gold Inc. is focused on exploring high-grade precious metal deposits in the Western USA, with a portfolio of epithermal vein exploration projects [5] - The company has strategic partnerships with Newmont and OceanaGold Corporation, enhancing its exploration capabilities [5] Project Details - The Spring Peak project is located in the Walker Lane belt of Nevada, adjacent to Hecla Mining Company's past-producing Aurora mine, and includes existing infrastructure such as a 600 ton per day mill [4] - The Burnt Rock Plan of Operations proposes the construction of up to 266 drill sites and 29 miles of new access roads, along with a comprehensive reclamation plan [3][4]

Key Points - NIO-SW (09866) rose over 4% as CEO Li Bin emphasized the necessity of achieving profitability in Q4 during an internal meeting on October 17 [1] - COSCO Shipping Energy (01138) increased over 4% due to successful capital increase enhancing future shipping capacity and strategic value in international shipping competition [1] - Datang New Energy (01798) fell over 4% despite a more than 10% increase in power generation in the first nine months, influenced by adjustments in VAT policies for wind power [1] - Laopuhuang Gold (06181) dropped over 6%, although it still recorded a cumulative increase of over 10% this month, with a price adjustment announcement set for October 26 [1] - Jitu Express-W (01519) rose over 3% as Q3 parcel volume exceeded market expectations, with anti-involution policies likely to restore company profits [1] - JD Health (06618) increased over 4% as institutions expect enhanced drug sales to benefit overall gross margin [1] - Derin Holdings (01709) rose over 3% after announcing plans to acquire 2,995 BM mining machines from Bitmain, strengthening its Bitcoin mining business [1] - Sanhua Intelligent Control (02050) increased over 6% after announcing an increase in the share repurchase price limit, with recent catalysts in the robotics sector [1] - Bilibili-W (09626) rose over 3% as Q3 advertising performance is expected to continue, with a new card game set to contribute additional revenue early next year [1] - Alibaba-W (09988) rose over 4% after partnering with Ant Group to acquire a 13-story commercial building in Causeway Bay for HKD 7.2 billion [2] US Market Highlights - CSX Transportation (CSX.US) rose 1.69% as CEO Steve Angel indicated a focus on strategic opportunities and reevaluating aspects of railroad operations [3] - Novo Nordisk (NVO.US) fell 3.07% and Eli Lilly (LLY.US) dropped 2.02% following Trump's comments on potential price reductions for the weight loss drug Ozempic [3] - American Lithium (LAC.US) fell 8.12% after JPMorgan downgraded its rating from "neutral" to "underweight," citing overvaluation concerns [3] - Ford Motor Company (F.US) rose 1.53% as the NHTSA announced a recall of nearly 625,000 vehicles due to safety issues [3] - ASE Technology Holding (ASX.US) continued to rise 1.11% with the expansion of its K18B advanced packaging plant expected to commence production in Q1 2028 [3] - NetEase (NTES.US) fell 0.26% after announcing the discontinuation of its mobile game "The Lord of the Rings: Rise to War" [3] - Oracle (ORCL.US) fell 6.93% as it projected a 35% gross margin for its AI infrastructure plans during the Oracle AI World conference [4] - Hims & Hers Health (HIMS.US) dropped 15.84% after launching affordable treatment options for perimenopausal and menopausal individuals [4] - Gold stocks generally declined, with Harmony Gold (HMY.US) down 8.86% and Kinross Gold (KGC.US) down 8.99%, amid a significant drop in spot gold prices [4]