本周重点事件 & 指标 11 月 24 日 11 月 25 日美国 9 月 PPI 年率（21:30） 来源：市场资讯 （来源：吴说） 编译：GaryMa 吴说区块链 摘要 吴说本周宏观指标与分析：上周美联储会议纪要显示 12 月利息决策或陷入胶着，英伟达财报超预期； 本周重点关注美联储公布经济状况褐皮书以及欧洲央行公布 10 月货币政策会议纪要等。 上周回顾美联储 10 月会议纪要显示，官员在 12 月是否应进一步降息的问题上出现明显分歧，其中"许 多"官员认为 12 月不宜降息，"几个"官员则认为降息可能合适。Nick Timiraos 指出，纪要强化了会后逐 渐浮现的态势：目前可能已经出现一个在数量上略占优势的官员多数倾向于在 12 月维持利率不变，使 政策决定呈现高度胶着。此外，会议纪要还显示部分与会者提到金融资产估值偏高的风险，几位官员强 调，若市场对人工智能相关技术的前景出现突然重新评估，股票价格可能面临无序下跌的压力。英伟达 公布 Q3 业绩，营收与数据中心收入超预期。美国至 11 月 15 日当周初请失业金人数 22 万人，预期 23 万人。美国 9 月失业率 4.4%，预期 4.30%，前值 ...

Core Insights - NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has started November with mixed investor sentiment, as the market appears to be seeking more from the company despite its recent performance [1] Group 1: Analyst Profile - JR Research is recognized as a Top Analyst by TipRanks and Seeking Alpha, focusing on technology, software, and internet sectors [1] - The analyst identifies attractive risk/reward opportunities supported by robust price action, aiming to generate alpha above the S&P 500 [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes growth opportunities with significant upside potential while avoiding overhyped stocks [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The investment group Ultimate Growth Investing specializes in identifying high-potential opportunities across various sectors [1] - The focus is on stocks with strong growth potential and contrarian plays, with an investment horizon of 18 to 24 months [1] - The group targets growth stocks with robust fundamentals, buying momentum, and turnaround plays at attractive valuations [1]

Group 1: Technology Sector Performance - The technology sector has seen significant growth in 2025, with the Nasdaq increasing by approximately 18% year-to-date, driven by substantial investments in AI [1] Group 2: Future Outlook for AI and Tech Stocks - Experts express concerns about the sustainability of the AI surge, predicting potential challenges for tech stocks in 2026 [2][3] - Chad Cummings forecasts that the AI bubble may burst in 2026, citing unsustainable growth assumptions in AI infrastructure and service firms [4] - Cummings highlights that many companies are heavily investing without stable revenue, leading to expected consolidation at lower prices in 2026 [4] Group 3: AI Sector Dynamics - Cummings describes GPT 5 as a failure, indicating a critical issue within the AI sector, which he believes is inflating beyond its fundamentals [5] - Edward Corona offers a more optimistic view, suggesting that 2026 will focus on distinguishing genuine players from less credible ones in the AI space [6] - Corona identifies companies that produce essential tools, such as chips and cybersecurity, as likely to continue growing, recommending stocks like AMD, Nvidia, and Palo Alto Networks [6] Group 4: Broader Economic Implications - The growth of AI has positively impacted other sectors, including commercial real estate and energy, but a slowdown in AI could adversely affect these related industries [7] - Cummings warns of a potential collapse in commercial real estate linked to tech, exacerbated by rising interest rates affecting refinancing [8]

可Q3财报一出炉，所有质疑全被推翻，单季营收570亿美元，数据中心狂赚512亿，同比暴涨66%，Blackwell芯片卖断 货，下季度还预告赚650亿。 黄仁勋说"AI不是泡沫"，这份底气从哪来？算力狂潮到底是真革命还是假狂欢？ 家人们，AI泡沫论刚热，英伟达就用570亿营收硬核回应！前段时间全球资本市场都在传"AI虚火要灭"，英伟达股价5天 跌了7%，做空者跃跃欲试。 市场撕裂 近三周全球股市震荡不断，英伟达的股价波动让投资者捏了把汗，财报公布前五个交易日，这家科技巨头市值蒸发数百 亿美元，单日最大跌幅超3%，"AI投资见顶"的焦虑在市场蔓延。 当下多数AI应用公司确实处境尴尬，估值被炒得离谱，实际营收却跟不上，大家担心"投资打水漂"也不是没道理。 前言： 但英伟达偏偏走出了独立行情，这份Q3财报堪称"史上最强"，总营收冲到570亿美元，比上季度增长22%，和去年同期 比更是飙升62%。 核心的AI数据中心业务更亮眼，营收512亿美元，环比涨25%，同比大涨66%，远超市场预期。 | 指标 (单位: 美元) | 华尔街预期 (Consensus) | 实际公布结果 (Actual) | 同比增 | | -- ...

Core Viewpoint - The current market cycle is fragile, as evidenced by a sudden selloff in high-risk assets like crypto and AI stocks, highlighting the vulnerability of momentum-driven markets [1][3]. Market Dynamics - A notable shift occurred in the market, with the Nasdaq 100 experiencing a nearly 5% drop from its peak, marking its sharpest reversal since April [2][4]. - Nvidia Corp. lost nearly $400 billion in market value despite beating earnings expectations, while Bitcoin fell to a seven-month low, indicating a broader risk-off sentiment [2][4]. - The correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 reached a record high, suggesting that crypto is increasingly moving in tandem with other risk assets [5][8]. Investor Sentiment - Investors are reacting to market volatility with heightened anxiety, as evidenced by a spike in the VIX, which reached its highest level since April [10][11]. - There is a growing trend of investors shifting from risk assets to protective measures, with many now viewing crypto as a speculative holding rather than a safe haven [11][12]. - The market is seeing a retreat from speculative investments, particularly in AI and high-beta stocks, as investors reassess their positions amid rising concerns [12][13]. Technical Factors - Technical factors such as volatility-linked fund adjustments and algorithmic trading are contributing to the market's instability, indicating that even minor market movements can lead to significant reactions [9][10]. - The recent selloff has prompted a reconsideration of risk budgets among investors, with many seeking to hedge against potential downturns [13].

Core Insights - Nvidia and Oracle are both positioned to benefit from the growth in AI infrastructure, but their business models and growth trajectories differ significantly [1][2] Nvidia's AI Momentum - Nvidia's fiscal Q3 revenue increased by 62% year over year to $57.0 billion, with data center revenue rising 66% to $51.2 billion [3][7] - CEO Jensen Huang highlighted that Nvidia is experiencing "three massive platform shifts," indicating a broad demand for its products beyond a single product cycle [4][6] - The company's gross margin for fiscal Q3 was 73.4%, and free cash flow reached $22.1 billion, up from $13.5 billion year-over-year [7] Oracle's Cloud Acceleration - Oracle's total revenue grew by 12% year over year to $14.9 billion in Q1 of fiscal 2026, with cloud revenue increasing by 28% to $7.2 billion [8][10] - The company reported a 359% increase in remaining performance obligations (RPOs) to $455 billion, indicating strong future demand [10] - Oracle's gross margin stands at 66.10%, and its price-to-earnings ratio is 46, similar to Nvidia's [9][10] Investment Considerations - Both companies provide exposure to AI infrastructure spending, but Nvidia is seen as better positioned due to its rapid growth and strong profitability [11] - Oracle has potential upside if its cloud strategy continues to gain traction, but uncertainty remains regarding its ability to convert RPOs into revenue [11][12] - Nvidia is recommended for investors seeking AI exposure with a higher risk tolerance, while Oracle may appeal to those looking for a safer option [12]

西诺佛斯信托公司高级投资组合经理丹尼尔・摩根：英伟达的最新财报并未解答市场对科技巨头基础设 施投资热潮持续性，以及该公司循环融资交易合理性的疑问。这些问题只是被推迟到下一季度再解决而 已。 来源：视频滚动新闻 ...

【导读】周末，两个利好！一是 国内已建成首条大容量全固态电池产线，目前正在小批量测试生 产；二是 美联储官员认为近期可能需要再次降息 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好，马上就要开盘了，一起回顾下周末大事，以及看看券商分析师们的最新研判。 周末大事 重大利好！国内首条大容量全固态电池产线建成 据报道，国内已建成首条大容量全固态电池产线，目前正在小批量测试生产。 全固态电池和传统锂离子电池相比，最大的优势在于里面没有任何液体，而是全固态物质， 全固态电池让未来的新能源汽车跑得更远，更加安全。 专家表示，除了生产工艺的优化，另一个核心突破就是电解质的改变。在这里，他们已经摒 弃传统的液态电解液，改用自主研发的固态电解质材料，帮助产品的耐热性和安全性大幅提 升。 生产线有了技术突破，下一步就是产业化承接落地。在广汽集团，国内首条大容量全固态电 池产线建成，这在行业内率先具备了60安时以上车规级全固态电池的批量量产条件。 相关单位研发负责人表示，现在开发的全固态电池的能量密度比现有的电池能量密度高了接 近一倍。500公里以上续航的车使用之后达到1000公里以上的续航。计划是2026年可以进行 小批量的装车实验，2027年到 ...

Wall Street mistakenly thought blowout earnings from Nvidia would calm investors’ nerves about a bubble forming in AI stocks. So where does the AI trade stand now? As with all complex questions, it depends who you ask https://t.co/gD4VRr2ZzE ...

“We saw an initial relief rally on the confirmation that demand is strong, but investors are now asking the next questions, which are, what about the power needs, what about margins, what’s the ROI?” said Natalie Hwang, managing partner of Apeira Capital Advisors. “Relief rallies can’t hold so long as the market has unanswered questions.”The uncertainty was highlighted by the stock market’s wild swing Thursday in the wake of Nvidia’s earnings report. The chipmaker’s shares initially jumped more than 5%, sup ...