(Bloomberg) — Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) made history last week when it became the first company ever to have a market value of $5 trillion. But that’s just one way it’s casting a shadow over the global economy. Most Read from Bloomberg The chipmaker at the heart of the artificial intelligence revolution is not only by far the biggest company on the planet, it also may be the most influential stock in Wall Street history. Nvidia has been the primary driver of the market’s gains since the start of 2023, deliveri ...

Donald Trump’s re-election was supposed to deliver a booming stock market. It’s done that, just not for the reasons prognosticators anticipated. The S&P 500 Index has surged 18% since Trump’s Nov. 5 win, ending October on a six-month winning streak and at an all-time high. The run started on expectations an economic boom would follow Trump’s plan to slash taxes and regulations. Most Read from Bloomberg While he has largely delivered the cuts, his attempts at a wholesale re-write of US trade policies, o ...

Core Insights - The "Magnificent 7" companies—Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Apple, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Tesla—are driving strong earnings performance in the S&P 500, contributing to investor optimism and market momentum [2][4][5] Earnings Performance - As of now, 64% of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 83% surpassing consensus estimates [3] - The blended earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 in Q3 is 10.7% year-over-year, exceeding the initial expectation of 7.9% [3] - Expected earnings growth rates for 2025 and 2026 have increased to 11.2% and 14.0%, respectively [3] Sector Contributions - Positive earnings surprises from the information technology, consumer discretionary, and health care sectors significantly contributed to the S&P 500's earnings growth [7] - Microsoft and Apple were the most significant positive drivers in the technology sector, while Amazon was the key positive surprise in consumer discretionary [7] Revenue Growth - Sales growth is at 7.9%, with three sectors—information technology, communication services, and health care—on track for double-digit year-over-year sales growth this quarter [8] Company-Specific Insights - Meta Platforms reported disappointing earnings due to a non-cash tax charge but saw a 26% year-over-year revenue growth, indicating a robust underlying business [6] - Despite challenges faced by Tesla and Meta, other members of the Magnificent 7, particularly Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon, continue to show strong growth driven by demand for artificial intelligence [5][6]

Group 1: Market Overview - In October, the communication sector experienced a decline of 0.45%, aligning closely with the overall market performance, ranking 20th among 31 primary industries [12][17] - The communication industry’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio was 23.2, indicating a recovery from historical lows, while the price-to-book (PB) ratio was 2.4, reflecting a return to historical median levels [17][22] Group 2: Fund Holdings Analysis - As of Q3 2025, the market value of funds heavily invested in the communication sector reached 288.6 billion yuan, accounting for 7.14% of total fund holdings, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.2 percentage points [30][34] - The concentration of fund holdings in the top ten communication stocks increased, with these stocks representing 99% of the total market value in the communication sector [34][40] Group 3: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the communication industry (excluding operators) saw a revenue growth of 19.57% and a net profit growth of 33.69% [2][42] - For Q3 2025 alone, non-operator communication companies reported total revenues of 185.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.47%, and net profits of 16.7 billion yuan, reflecting a significant growth of 47.4% [2][42] Group 4: Subsector Performance - The growth rates for revenue in the first three quarters of 2025 were led by the optical module, optical device/chip, and liquid cooling sectors, with growth rates of 63.5%, 37.1%, and 36.4% respectively [44] - Notably, the optical module sector achieved a profit growth rate of 125.7%, while AIDC and optical devices/chips also showed significant profit increases of 117.7% and 93.9% respectively [44] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Continuous attention is recommended for the development of AI computing infrastructure, particularly in sectors such as optical devices, communication equipment, and liquid cooling [4] - The three major operators remain important assets for dividend configuration, with stable operations and increasing dividend payouts [4]

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 11 月 2 日 [Table_Title] AIDC 海内外景气共振，储能需求向好发展 [Table_Title2] 电力设备与新能源行业周观察 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要 1.人形机器人 越疆机器人与瑞德丰签署具身智能机器人采购合同 随着国内外企业布局加速&AI 技术突破，人形机器有望迎来量产落 地时点。在降本需求的驱动下，人形机器人核心零部件的国产替代 需求强烈，市场空间广阔，率先取得突破的国内企业有望深度受 益。重点看好国产机器人/机器狗有望加速放量带动的产业链需 求。 2.新能源汽车 《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的 建议》正式发布 我们认为，在国家政策的推动下，国内实现新能源汽车的快速渗 透、产业链的持续完善，国内企业在全球电动化市场中已经占据主 流的地位。而技术始终是驱动产业链行稳致远的主要推手，锂电池 产品的不断迭代优化将成为新能源汽车、低空等领域发展的重要基 础，固态电池等新兴技术产业化落地持续推进，未来商业化应用将 打开增长空间，看好具备优质技术和供应链优势的设备-材料-电池 环节。 3 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia is projected to experience significant growth in data center capital expenditure, with expectations of continued strong performance in AI stocks through 2030, driven by increasing AI computing capacity [1][6]. Company Overview - Nvidia is recognized as a leading producer of semiconductor chipsets essential for AI computing infrastructure, contributing to its impressive stock performance over the past three years and positioning it for further explosive growth [2][5]. - Despite emerging competition, Nvidia remains the dominant player in the AI computing market, with its strategic partnerships and customer relationships reinforcing its market position [3]. Financial Performance - Nvidia reported a 56% year-over-year revenue increase to $46.7 billion for its fiscal Q2 2026, with expectations of further growth to $54 billion in fiscal Q3 [5]. - The company's gross margin stands at 69.85%, and it currently does not offer a dividend [4]. Market Projections - Nvidia's management anticipates global data center capital expenditure to grow from $600 billion by the end of 2025 to between $3 trillion and $4 trillion by 2030, indicating a substantial growth trajectory [6][7]. - A projected compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 42% over the next five years is expected if the mid-point of the 2030 capex projection is realized [7]. Future Outlook - If Nvidia can sustain a 40% CAGR in revenue while maintaining its profit margins, its market capitalization could reach $25 trillion by 2030, representing a fivefold increase from its current valuation of $4.93 trillion [8]. - The increasing investment in AI infrastructure is likely to drive Nvidia's stock price higher, as the global economy continues to explore the potential of generative AI [9].

NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) is one of the AI Stocks on the Market’s Radar. On October 30, Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated an “Overweight” rating on the stock with a $300 price target. The firm said that the stock is too inexpensive to ignore despite AI bubble fears. The firm said that despite talks of an “AI bubble,” Nvidia is still trading at roughly 21 times its projected 2026 EPS of $9–$10. “NVDA Remains too Inexpensive to Ignore: While concerns around the AI bubble continue to dominate headlines, N ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential for an investment bubble in artificial intelligence (AI), with Nvidia as a central figure, and the risks associated with the bubble's eventual collapse [1][12]. Group 1: Phases of the Bubble - Investment bubbles have five distinct phases: displacement, boom, euphoria, peak, and collapse, with AI currently in the euphoria stage where irrational investment decisions are prevalent [2][3]. - The peak phase is characterized by rising skepticism among investors about the sustainability of high stock prices, often leading to profit-taking [5][6]. Group 2: Nvidia's Position - Nvidia is positioned at the forefront of the AI revolution, producing high-demand computer chips essential for AI applications, which may suggest resilience against a bubble collapse [7]. - Despite Nvidia's current valuation being below its five-year average price-to-earnings ratio, the company is unlikely to escape the fallout when the AI bubble bursts, as investors tend to sell off all AI-related stocks during a collapse [8][11]. Group 3: Market Impact - Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft collectively account for 21% of the S&P 500, indicating that a downturn in AI stocks could significantly impact the broader market, potentially leading to a bear market [12]. - The emotional dynamics of greed and fear in the market can lead to substantial losses for even strong companies, as seen in historical examples like Cisco Systems post-dot-com bubble [9][11]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - Investors holding Nvidia shares with significant profits may consider selling a portion of their holdings to lock in gains while still allowing for potential future upside [13].

Key Points - The article highlights significant events in the global expansion of companies, including new product launches, market share growth, and strategic investments [2][3]. Group 1: E-commerce Developments - AliExpress launched a new "Brand+" channel in the UK, offering price protection for consumers who find lower prices on competing platforms within seven days [5]. - TikTok Shop's market share in Vietnam surged to 41%, narrowing the gap with Shopee, which held 58% earlier this year [6]. Group 2: Corporate Actions and Investments - WeRide's CFO accused Pony.ai of providing false data in its Hong Kong roadshow materials, claiming that WeRide operates over 700 Robotaxi vehicles across multiple cities [8][11]. - Pop Mart opened its first 24-hour store in the Middle East at Hamad International Airport, aiming to enhance cultural exchange and attract global travelers [12]. - Sequoia China agreed to acquire Bayer's antibiotic Avelox business for between €160 million and €260 million, as the original drug's price in China has plummeted by over 95% [15]. - Ant Group invested in AI hardware developer Aide Future, expanding its footprint in the AI sector [16]. - Ant International invested in the Latin American embedded credit platform R2, targeting a $1 trillion financing gap for SMEs in the region [17][18]. - BYD partnered with Aeon in Japan to sell cars in approximately 30 commercial facilities, offering competitive pricing and promotional activities [19]. - Intel and BOE announced a collaboration to develop energy-saving display solutions for laptops, expected to be implemented in 2026 [22]. - Nvidia announced a $1 billion investment in Nokia, aiming to enhance AI-driven mobile network infrastructure [30][31].

Core Insights - Wall Street analysts are underestimating Nvidia's growth potential, with CEO Jensen Huang announcing a demand of half a trillion dollars for the company's chips through 2026, leading to a surge in stock prices [1][2][4] Demand and Revenue - Nvidia's leadership in the AI chip market, particularly in GPUs, has resulted in a 56% year-over-year revenue increase in fiscal Q2, indicating strong demand for its products [2][5] - Huang highlighted that Nvidia has visibility into $500 billion of cumulative demand for its Blackwell and upcoming Rubin chips over the next five quarters, suggesting robust future revenue [3][4] Market Position and Competition - Nvidia's trailing-12-month revenue stands at $165 billion, with analysts projecting it to reach $278 billion next year, likely leading to upward revisions of estimates [4][9] - Despite increasing competition from custom AI chip designers, Nvidia's general-purpose GPUs are still preferred for their ability to handle large workloads, providing reassurance to investors [7][9] Strategic Partnerships and Investments - Nvidia is making significant investments, including $1 billion in Nokia for AI-powered telecommunications and collaboration with Oracle to develop an AI supercomputer for the Department of Energy [8] Stock Valuation - Nvidia's stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 33, which is considered reasonable given the company's earnings growth rate, suggesting attractive return prospects [6][9]