Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock has significant potential upside driven by increasing spending on AI infrastructure and its dominant position in the AI chip market [1][2]. Industry Insights - Spending on AI infrastructure is expected to rise, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing projecting AI chip revenue growth at a mid-to-high 50% annually through 2029 [1]. - Ark Invest forecasts that data center capital expenditures will triple to approximately $1.4 trillion by 2030 [1]. Company Performance - Nvidia holds about 90% market share in the GPU market, which is crucial for powering AI workloads [2]. - The company's networking portfolio revenue surged 162% last quarter to $8.2 billion, significantly outpacing its 56% compute revenue growth [3]. Financial Projections - Nvidia is projected to generate $213.4 billion in revenue for the fiscal year ending in January, with a potential revenue compound average growth rate of 37.5% through 2031, leading to an estimated revenue of around $1.4 trillion [4]. - If adjusted operating expenses rise at an average of 7% quarter over quarter and gross margins remain at approximately 73%, Nvidia could generate over $792 billion in adjusted earnings by 2031, translating to about $32.50 per share [5]. - A forward price-to-earnings ratio of 20 to 25 on fiscal 2032 projections could place Nvidia's share price between $650 and $815 by the end of 2030 [5]. Revenue and Earnings Growth Model - Projected revenue growth from FY2027 to FY2032 shows a steady increase, with revenue reaching $1.42 trillion by FY2032 and earnings per share growing to $32.58 [7].

Core Insights - The demand for custom chips, particularly from Broadcom, is increasing among hyperscalers for building advanced AI models, with Google utilizing Broadcom's tensor processor units (TPUs) for its Gemini AI project [1] - Nvidia remains a dominant player in the AI chip market, with its GPUs being essential for many companies, including Google, despite the rise of custom chips [1] - Broadcom's AI revenue has surged by 65% year-over-year to $20 billion, contributing to a record semiconductor revenue of $37 billion for the company [1] Company Analysis - Google has been developing TPUs for over a decade and is now offering them to cloud customers, positioning itself as a competitor to Nvidia in the AI chip space [1] - Nvidia's CEO has downplayed the threat from custom chips, asserting that Nvidia's versatility allows it to address a broader market than just AI [1] - Broadcom's recent custom chip deal with OpenAI highlights the trend of diversification in the chip market, although Nvidia's market share is expected to remain strong [1] Market Dynamics - Analysts suggest that Nvidia will maintain over 50% market share for at least the next five years, with a buy rating and a price target of $250 per share [1] - Broadcom's position in the custom chip market is considered more fragile, primarily due to its reliance on Google as a major customer [1] - Wolfe analysts predict that Google's willingness to make TPUs available to third parties could create significant competition for Nvidia, with an estimated 7 million TPU shipments by 2028 [1]

Dr. Michael Burry, the man made famous from The Big Short, has had a lot of things to say in recent months. ...

Core Viewpoint - The year 2026 is identified as the pivotal moment for "Physical AI," where artificial intelligence transitions from digital platforms to physical applications in robots, vehicles, and handheld devices [1] Group 1: Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) - Tesla is viewed as the leading company in the Physical AI sector, evolving beyond a traditional car manufacturer to a significant player in embodied AI [1] - Concerns regarding quarterly delivery fluctuations are dismissed, with a focus on the anticipated "golden year" ahead [1] - Key technologies driving Tesla's valuation include Full Self-Driving (FSD) and the Optimus humanoid robot, with FSD adoption expected to reach 50% and autonomous "Cybercabs" operational in 30 cities by the end of 2026 [1] Group 2: Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA) - Nvidia is described as the foundational company for the Physical AI ecosystem, providing essential computing power and specialized chips for autonomous fleets and industrial robotics [1] - The company is considered four to five years ahead of competitors, creating a significant competitive moat [1] - Nvidia's hardware is characterized as the "oxygen" of the industry, indicating its critical role in the shift towards physical robotics [1] Group 3: Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) - Apple is positioned as a key player in the upcoming physical AI upgrade cycle, with 2026 seen as a crucial year for the company [1] - The integration of generative AI into iPhone hardware and a potential partnership with Google Gemini are highlighted as catalysts for a major upgrade cycle [1] - The iPhone is regarded as the primary interface for consumers engaging with the AI revolution, with predictions of unlocking billions in recurring, high-margin revenue, potentially elevating Apple's valuation towards $5 trillion [1]

If you want full access to all our reports, data, and investing ideas, join The Aerospace Forum , the #1 aerospace, defense, and airline investment research service on Seeking Alpha, with access to evoX Data Analytics, our in-house developed data analytics platform.Intel Corporation ( INTC ) has gained 25.6% since my last report , sharply outperforming the S&P 500’s 1.8% return. There has been a lot of optimism driven by investments from Nvidia ( NVDA ) andDhierin-Perkash Bechai is an aerospace, defense and ...

If you want full access to all our reports, data, and investing ideas, join The Aerospace Forum , the #1 aerospace, defense, and airline investment research service on Seeking Alpha, with access to evoX Data Analytics, our in-house developed data analytics platform.Intel Corporation ( INTC ) has gained 25.6% since my last report , sharply outperforming the S&P 500’s 1.8% return. There has been a lot of optimism driven by investments from Nvidia ( NVDA ) andDhierin-Perkash Bechai is an aerospace, defense and ...

Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below. $1,000. That's all it would have taken to get meaningful exposure to one of the most explosive stock runs of the AI era. When ChatGPT launched in late 2022, Nvidia was already a known name in gaming and data-center chips. What most investors didn't fully grasp yet was that Nvidia was about to become the backbone of the generative AI boom, supplying the computing power that would train and run large languag ...

Best known in recent years for his investments in pre-public companies that went public via SPAC merger, Chamath Palihapitiya has been making investments in private companies for years. One of those investments became a huge win in 2025 with NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) acquiring Groq. Chamath Palihapitiya Depressed After Deal Palihapitiya was an early investor in Groq, investing a reported $10 million in the company in 2017 and $52.3 million additionally in 2018. Those investments helped Palihapitiya have ...

Decoding markets beyond P/E. As an investor, I either put my money into low cost funds or in single stocks that (I think) are asymmetric bets. My portfolio is roughly 50/50 between the two. I like to write about Macro and Fundamentals, with the (painful) awareness that Momentum and Sentiment are what really matters. That’s why I never try to time the market and I only buy stocks if I am willing to hold them for at least 10 years.When it comes to fundamentals, everybody knows the market is forward looking, b ...

With the first month of 2026 nearly over, there are some themes starting to take shape. First, investors are still skeptical that artificial intelligence (AI) spending is real. However, if you paid attention to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's (NYSE: TSM) fourth-quarter results, then you know that it's real and only going to get bigger. However, the market hasn't caught on to that yet. That leads to a few stocks looking like incredible buys, but there are also some other non-AI stocks that look like ...