责任编辑：山上 摩根士丹利在最新报告中表示，超大型企业正从相对轻资产的商业模式向依赖基础设施的运营模式转 变，因为它们正在扩大数据中心容量，以满足不断增长的AI需求。该行全球研究部主管Katy Huberty表 示，这一转变具有重要的会计方面的影响。报告称，大摩采用了一种修正后的折旧模型，该模型能够对 因在建工程余额上升而产生的偏差进行调整。据此估算，微软、甲骨文、Meta以及谷歌这四家公司在 未来四年内可能总共需要支付超过6800亿美元的折旧费用。大摩表示，传统的预测方法可能会低估未来 的资产贬值幅度，因为这些方法未能充分考虑到资本支出与资产投入使用之间的时滞因素。 美股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> ...

Group 1 - Piper Sandler downgraded ratings for three enterprise software stocks: Adobe, Freshworks, and Vertex, from "Overweight" to "Neutral" and significantly reduced their target prices to $330, $12, and $20 respectively [1] - The rationale for the bearish outlook includes concerns that AI-driven efficiency will suppress or reduce employee growth, negatively impacting software companies that charge per seat [1] - The report anticipates that 2026 will mark the fifth consecutive year of slowing growth in the software industry, leading to valuation downgrades for companies on their coverage list [1] Group 2 - Target prices were also lowered for several other companies including Amplitude, Asana, BlackLine, Braze, Figma, HubSpot, Salesforce, Oracle, Klaviyo, monday.com, ServiceTitan, and ZoomInfo [2] - Despite the overall pessimism in the software sector, Piper Sandler remains optimistic about Microsoft and ServiceTitan, naming them as top picks for 2026 [2] - The analysis suggests that Microsoft is potentially the best pure play in the current AI application space, with positive sentiment emerging from CIO surveys regarding Azure and Copilot activities [2]

Core Viewpoint - Oracle's significant AI infrastructure financing needs are pushing Wall Street banks to their limits, leading them to securitize and sell off hundreds of billions in loans related to Oracle's data center projects to mitigate risk exposure [1][2]. Group 1: Financing and Ratings - Banks are under pressure to offload existing risks to continue lending, prompting them to seek investment-grade ratings for construction loans tied to Oracle's projects [2][3]. - At least $56 billion in loans for data center construction have received investment-grade ratings, supported by future lease revenues from Oracle's $300 billion deal with OpenAI [1][2]. - The push for ratings is seen as transformative, opening new funding sources from insurance companies and pension funds that previously avoided high-risk non-operational assets [3]. Group 2: Market Conditions and Investor Sentiment - Despite the ratings, investor concerns are rising regarding Oracle's aggressive AI spending and increasing debt levels, with borrowing costs for new projects nearing junk bond levels [4][5]. - Some investors are hesitant to engage with Oracle's loans, anticipating better returns from upcoming offerings, which has led banks to offer higher interest rates to attract buyers [5]. Group 3: Oracle's Expansion Plans - Oracle plans to raise up to $50 billion by 2026 through bond and equity refinancing to meet cloud infrastructure demands from major clients like AMD, Meta, and Nvidia [6]. - The company currently holds approximately $95 billion in outstanding debt, making it one of the largest corporate bond issuers outside the financial sector [6]. Group 4: Market Risks and Short Selling - Oracle's shift from a "light asset" software company to a "heavy asset" cloud infrastructure provider has raised market concerns about its financial stability [7]. - Notably, short-seller Michael Burry has criticized Oracle's unnecessary heavy asset expansion, labeling it a "pure AI bubble vehicle" and highlighting its vulnerability due to high debt levels [7].

Core Viewpoint - A class action lawsuit has been filed against Oracle Corporation regarding misleading statements in the Offering Documents related to senior notes issued by the company, which may have impacted investors' financial interests [1][4]. Group 1: Lawsuit Details - The lawsuit claims that the Offering Documents contained false and/or misleading statements and failed to disclose Oracle's need for significant additional debt to build its AI infrastructure, which raised concerns about the creditworthiness of the bonds [4]. - Investors are encouraged to join the class action lawsuit to seek compensation without incurring out-of-pocket fees through a contingency fee arrangement [2]. Group 2: Legal Representation - The Rosen Law Firm emphasizes the importance of selecting qualified legal counsel with a proven track record in securities class actions, highlighting its own success in recovering hundreds of millions of dollars for investors [3]. - The firm has been recognized for its leadership in securities class action settlements, achieving the largest settlement against a Chinese company and ranking highly in the number of settlements since 2013 [3].

Core Viewpoint - The market is currently favoring hardware and industrial companies while software companies are facing significant declines, driven by fears of obsolescence due to AI advancements [2][4][19]. Group 1: Market Trends - The Dow dropped 167 points, reflecting a broader market trend where software stocks are being heavily sold off, with the NASDAQ down 1.43% [2]. - High-quality enterprise software stocks like Salesforce, ServiceNow, and Adobe reported strong earnings but still saw their stock prices decline significantly [4]. - The market sentiment indicates a collective belief that software companies are at risk of being replaced or diminished by AI technologies [5][16]. Group 2: Company Performance - Major software companies such as Microsoft, Salesforce, Oracle, and Adobe experienced stock declines ranging from 3% to 11% [10][11]. - Companies that utilize software, like Procter & Gamble and FedEx, are currently performing well despite their own earnings challenges [8]. - Private equity firms with stakes in enterprise software companies are also facing pressure, as the market for new public offerings in this sector appears to be closing [18]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - There is a growing trend of investors using ETFs to short software stocks, indicating a bearish outlook on the sector [9]. - Some analysts suggest that it may be prudent to take advantage of the current low prices of certain tech stocks that are being unfairly dragged down by the broader software sell-off [12]. - The shrinking price-to-earnings multiples for software companies suggest that investors are becoming increasingly cautious about future earnings potential [16][17].

Core Viewpoint - Oracle Corporation is raising between $45 billion and $50 billion in 2026 to expand its Oracle Cloud Infrastructure business, driven by increasing demand from major clients like AMD, Meta, and NVIDIA [1][6] Financing Strategy - The financing strategy involves a mix of debt and equity, with plans to raise about half of the funds through equity-linked and common equity issuances, including a $20 billion at-the-market equity program [2][6] - On the debt side, Oracle plans a one-time issuance of investment-grade senior unsecured bonds in early 2026 to cover the remaining funding needs for the year [3][6] Financial Position - Barclays has reiterated its "Overweight" rating for Oracle, with the stock priced at $168.23 as of February 2, 2026, reflecting a solid financial position with total assets of approximately $204.98 billion and liabilities of around $174.53 billion [4][6] - Oracle's cash and cash equivalents total $19.24 billion, with long-term debt approximately $99.98 billion, positioning the company well to execute its financing plan and grow its cloud infrastructure business [5][6]

市场风险偏好有所下降！ 北京时间2月4日凌晨，美股三大指数集体下跌，纳指跌幅超过1%。科技股全线下挫，美光科技跌超4%，英伟达、微 软跌近3%。 投机属性更强的加密货币市场也再度跳水。比特币盘中一度暴跌7%并跌破7.3万美元。截至发稿，比特币、以太坊跌 近4%，Solana跌超5%。coinglass数据显示，刚刚过去的24小时内，加密货币全网合约爆仓超7亿美元，爆仓人数高 达16.98万人。 周二，美股三大指数集体跳水，纳指盘中跌幅一度超过2%，标普500指数一度跌超1.6%，道指跌幅也一度超过1%。 截至收盘，纳指跌1.43%，标普500指数跌0.83%，道指跌0.34%。 美国大型科技股多数下跌，万得美国科技七巨头指数跌幅达1.62%。个股方面，英伟达、微软跌近3%，脸书跌超 2%，亚马逊跌近2%，谷歌跌超1%，苹果跌0.2%，特斯拉微涨0.04%。其他个股方面，美光科技跌超4%，甲骨文、高 通跌超3%。此外，软件股延续跌势，ServiceNow跌7%，Salesforce跌6.85%。 英伟达CEO黄仁勋周二否认了与OpenAI交易生变的传闻。他在接受媒体采访时明确表示，公司投资OpenAI的计划仍 ...

【宏观消息】 特朗普签署拨款法案 结束政府部分"停摆"。当地时间2月3日，美国总统特朗普在白宫椭圆形办公室签 署政府拨款法案，结束政府部分"停摆"。当天稍早前，美国国会众议院投票通过联邦政府多个部门本财 年剩余时间拨款法案，从1月31日开始的联邦政府部分"停摆"僵局得以化解。该法案将为联邦政府多个 部门提供资金至9月30日、即本财年结束之时，并为近期因移民执法行动引发争议和抗议的国土安全部 提供两周的资金，以便各方继续就改进该部门运作进行谈判。 【个股消息】 智通财经APP获悉，周二，三大指数收跌，纳指几乎完全回吐今年以来的涨幅。比特币一度跌破7.3万 美元关口，以太坊一度跌至2100美元附近。美政府部分停摆将使1月就业报告将无法如期在本周五公 布。 【美股】截至收盘，道指跌166.67点，跌幅为0.34%，报49240.99点；纳指跌336.92点，跌幅为1.43%， 报23255.19点；标普500指数跌58.63点，跌幅为0.84%，报6917.81点。英伟达(NVDA.US)跌2.8%， Paypal(PYPL.US)跌20.3%，甲骨文(ORCL.US)跌超3%，微软(MSFT.US)跌近3%。纳斯 ...

周二美股成交额第1名英伟达收跌2.84%，成交363.81亿美元。至此英伟达已连续第三个交易日下跌。 昨日有报道称英伟达计划向OpenAI投入1000亿美元的计划已陷入停滞，因公司内部对OpenAI的商业模 式和长期竞争态势产生严重疑虑。 不过英伟达CEO黄仁勋周二表示，公司对OpenAI的投资计划仍"按部就班推进"。 "此事完全不存在争议，相关说法纯属无稽之谈，" 黄仁勋称，"我们十分乐意与OpenAI合作。"黄仁勋 同时表示，英伟达将参与OpenAI的下一轮融资。他称这轮融资将成为"历史上规模最大的私人融资"。 他还补充道，英伟达会考虑参与OpenAI未来的所有融资轮次，并希望参与OpenAI最终的首次公开募 股。 第2名微软收跌2.87%，成交247.46亿美元。至此该股已经连续四个交易日下跌，今年迄今已下跌约 15%。该公司近日公布了第四季度财报，这家科技巨头在营收和盈利两方面均超出市场预期，然而财报 发布后其股价大幅下跌。 第3名特斯拉收高0.04%，成交236.97亿美元。据央视新闻消息，当地时间2月3日，法国巴黎检察院表 示，当天已对美国企业家马斯克旗下社交媒体平台X位于法国的办公场所展开搜查。 ...

“Every morning the opening screen on my Bloomberg is what’s going on with CDS spreads on Oracle debt,” Morgan Stanley Wealth Management CIO Lisa Shalett told Fortune in October, seeming to speak for a market that was increasingly worried about the bursting of a bubble in artificial intelligence. CDS, as students of the 2008 financial crisis know, stands for “credit default swaps,” a financial instrument to hedge against giant debt loads elsewhere in the market. And the reason Shalett highlighted Oracle’s C ...