Core Insights - Pathward Financial, Inc. has announced a partnership with Upstart to provide personal loans through Upstart's AI-driven lending marketplace, aiming to enhance financial inclusion for more borrowers [1][3]. Company Overview - Pathward, N.A., a subsidiary of Pathward Financial, Inc. (Nasdaq: CASH), focuses on increasing financial access and availability through its Partner Solutions and Commercial Finance business lines [4]. Partnership Details - The collaboration with Upstart is designed to leverage Upstart's AI models and cloud applications, allowing lenders to approve more borrowers at lower rates while providing a superior digital experience [2][3]. - Upstart connects consumers to over 100 banks and credit unions, facilitating personal loans for various purposes, including debt consolidation and covering expenses like weddings and medical needs [2]. Leadership Statements - Pathward President Anthony Sharett expressed enthusiasm about the partnership, highlighting a shared mission to improve access to credit [3]. - Michael Lock, Senior Vice President of Lending Partnerships at Upstart, noted that the combination of Upstart's technology and Pathward's regulatory expertise will enable the delivery of industry-leading credit products [3].

Core Points - U.S. stock futures are lower, with Dow futures falling over 50 points [1] - Super Micro Computer Inc reported disappointing first-quarter results, with earnings of 35 cents per share, missing the consensus estimate of 40 cents, and revenue of $5.01 billion, below the expected $5.99 billion [2] - Super Micro's revenue decreased from $5.93 billion in the same period last year [2] - The company's shares fell 9.2% to $43.12 in pre-market trading [2] Company-Specific Movements - Biohaven Ltd experienced a significant drop of 46.2% to $7.51 after receiving an FDA Complete Response Letter for VYGLXIA [4] - Trex Company Inc declined 31.9% to $32.02 following worse-than-expected third-quarter results and lowered FY25 sales guidance [4] - Soleno Therapeutics Inc fell 22.2% to $49.65 after reporting third-quarter results [4] - Axon Enterprise Inc's shares dropped 19.6% to $567.50 after mixed third-quarter results and an acquisition announcement [4] - Pinterest Inc dipped 18.8% to $26.69 after posting disappointing third-quarter earnings [4] - SSR Mining Inc fell 17.5% to $17.90 after its third-quarter results [4] - Uniqure NV's shares decreased by 15.8% to $25.61 after a prior gain [4] - Clover Health Investments Corp fell 15.5% to $2.97 after mixed third-quarter results [4] - Upstart Holdings Inc declined 15.3% to $39.15 after mixed results and lowered FY25 guidance [4] - Corsair Gaming Inc fell 12.4% to $6.59 following worse-than-expected third-quarter results [4] - Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. declined 5% to $237.80 despite reporting better-than-expected third-quarter results and projecting fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $9.6 billion [4]

Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding company or industry insights [1]

Core Insights - Premarket trading is showing notable activity with significant price movements indicating potential trading opportunities before the market opens [1] Premarket Gainers - SMX (Security Matters) Public Limited Company (SMX) increased by 52% to $2.24 [3] - Entravision Communications Corporation (EVC) rose by 33% to $2.66 [3] - Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. (BW) saw a 28% increase to $4.79 [3] - NeuroPace, Inc. (NPCE) gained 24% reaching $11.71 [3] - Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. (KW) also increased by 24% to $9.30 [3] - Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RIGL) rose by 22% to $34.72 [3] - Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS) increased by 21% to $7.20 [3] - Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) saw a 15% increase to $218.06 [3] - AsiaStrategy (SORA) rose by 14% to $3.63 [3] - Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS) increased by 7% to $5.05 [3] Premarket Losers - Biohaven Ltd. (BHVN) decreased by 42% to $7.96 [4] - Trex Company, Inc. (TREX) fell by 34% to $30.65 [4] - Soleno Therapeutics, Inc. (SLNO) saw a 23% decline to $49.00 [4] - Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) decreased by 19% to $572.00 [4] - Clover Health Investments, Corp. (CLOV) fell by 19% to $2.82 [4] - Pinterest, Inc. (PINS) decreased by 18% to $26.91 [4] - SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM) saw a 17% decline to $17.91 [4] - Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) decreased by 16% to $38.81 [4] - WF International Limited (WXM) fell by 12% to $2.25 [4] - Corsair Gaming, Inc. (CRSR) decreased by 11% to $6.66 [4]

Core Insights - Upstart, an AI lending marketplace, reported significant growth in consumer demand and credit strength in Q3, with a notable increase in loan originations [1][2][3] Company Performance - Loan originations increased by 80% year-over-year in Q3, reaching $2.9 billion [2] - Personal loan originations rose by 73% to $2.7 billion, auto loan originations increased fivefold to $128 million, and home loan originations grew fourfold to $72 million [3] - Over 2 million applications were submitted in Q3, marking a 30% increase from Q2 and the highest level in over three years [3] Consumer Credit Strength - Upstart's macro indicator showed a modest uptick in July and August, leading to a temporary reduction in approvals and an increase in interest rates, but overall consumer credit strength remains stable with signs of improvement [4][5] - The company perceives the broader economic backdrop for credit as favorable, with decelerating personal consumption growth indicating improving credit health [6] Automation and Process Improvements - 91% of loans enabled by Upstart in Q3 were fully automated, requiring no human intervention [6] - The company successfully automated the home equity line of credit (HELOC) approval process, increasing the automated approval rate from less than 1% in June to 20% by October [7][8]

Core Insights - Upstart Holdings, Inc. reported a revenue of $277.11 million for the quarter ended September 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 70.9% and an EPS of $0.52 compared to -$0.06 a year ago [1] - The revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $281.02 million by 1.39%, while the EPS exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.42 by 23.81% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Transaction Volume was reported at $2.85 million, below the average estimate of $3.2 million based on three analysts [4] - Revenue from fees, net was $258.54 million, compared to the average estimate of $275.62 million based on four analysts, reflecting a year-over-year change of +76.2% [4] - Revenue from servicing and other fees, net was $41.66 million, versus the estimated $46.11 million, showing a +24.8% change year-over-year [4] - Revenue from platform and referral fees, net was $216.88 million, compared to the estimated $230.22 million, representing a +61.6% change year-over-year [4] Stock Performance - Upstart's shares have returned -9.6% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.1% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a downturn, with major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq showing negative futures [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5% to 47,085.24, the S&P 500 dropped 1.2% to 6,771.55, and the Nasdaq decreased 2.04% to 23,348.63 [2] Company Performance Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) - AMD reported third-quarter revenue of $9.25 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $8.74 billion [3] - Adjusted earnings per share were $1.20, surpassing estimates of $1.16, driven by growth in the AI data center business [3] - AMD shares fell 3.70% to close at $250.05, with after-hours trading showing a further decline of 4.7% to $238.20 [2] Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) - Super Micro Computer reported earnings of 35 cents per share, missing the expected 40 cents, leading to a stock decline [4] - Quarterly revenue was $5.01 billion, below analyst estimates of $5.99 billion and down from $5.93 billion a year earlier [4] - The stock dropped 6.40% to $47.50, with after-hours trading showing a decline of 9.5% to $42.99 [3] Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) - Upstart reported earnings of 52 cents per share, beating the estimate of 42 cents, but revenue fell short of expectations [6] - The company projected fourth-quarter revenue of $288 million, below the $303.61 million analyst estimate, and cut its fiscal 2025 revenue outlook to $1.03 billion from $1.05 billion [6] - Shares slid 2.73% to $46.24, plummeting 15.3% to $39.15 in extended trading [5] Pinterest Inc. (PINS) - Pinterest reported third-quarter revenue of $1.05 billion, aligning with analyst estimates, but adjusted earnings of 38 cents per share missed the expected 42 cents [8] - The company forecasted fourth-quarter revenue between $1.31 billion and $1.34 billion, slightly below estimates of $1.34 billion [8] - Shares decreased by 2.39% to $32.91, dropping sharply by 20.09% to $26.30 in after-hours trading [7] Rivian Automotive (RIVN) - Rivian reported third-quarter revenue of $1.56 billion, up 78% year-over-year and above the $1.50 billion estimate [11] - Automotive revenue rose 47% to $1.14 billion, while software and services revenue surged 324% to $416 million [11] - The stock fell 5.23% to $12.50, but gained 3.2% to $12.90 in extended trading [10]

Core Insights - Upstart Holdings, Inc. reported quarterly earnings of $0.52 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.42 per share, and showing a significant improvement from a loss of $0.06 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +23.81% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $277.11 million for the quarter ended September 2025, which was slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.39%, but represented a year-over-year increase from $162.14 million [2] - Upstart has surpassed consensus EPS estimates in all four of the last quarters and has topped consensus revenue estimates three times during the same period [2] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of Upstart's stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the trends in earnings estimate revisions [3][4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.54, with expected revenues of $302.78 million, and for the current fiscal year, the consensus EPS estimate is $1.66 on revenues of $963.44 million [7] Industry Context - The Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, to which Upstart belongs, is currently ranked in the top 32% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - The performance of Upstart's stock may also be influenced by the overall industry outlook, as empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions [5][8]

Core Insights - Upstart's revenue for the December quarter is anticipated to decelerate more than Wall Street's previous expectations [1] Group 1 - The company is facing a slowdown in revenue growth for the upcoming quarter [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Upstart reported a total revenue of approximately $277 million for Q3 2025, representing a 71% year-on-year increase and an 8% sequential increase [23] - GAAP net income for Q3 was approximately $32 million, significantly ahead of expectations, reflecting strong performance on net interest income and reduced fixed costs [26] - The average loan size decreased by 12% from the prior quarter to approximately $6,670, influenced by borrowers requesting lower amounts and a shift towards smaller loan products [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Transaction volume across Upstart's platform reached approximately 428,000, up 128% year-on-year and 15% sequentially, with around 300,000 new borrowers [24] - New products, including small-dollar loans, auto, and home loans, accounted for nearly 12% of originations and 22% of new borrowers in Q3, with transaction volume for these products growing approximately 300% year-on-year [8][9] - The auto retail business saw transaction volume grow more than 70% sequentially, with significant improvements in software and expansion into four new states [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer demand for Upstart's services continued to grow, with over two million applications submitted in Q3, a 30% increase from Q2, marking the highest level in over three years [6] - The Upstart Macro Index (UMI) showed a modest increase in July and August, which led to a temporary reduction in approval rates and an increase in interest rates [6][8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Upstart aims to leverage AI technology to lead the trillion-dollar credit industry, focusing on rapid growth, profitability, and AI leadership [5] - The company is transitioning several new products from R&D to scale-up phases, with expectations for significant growth in 2026 [27] - Upstart is committed to maintaining credit performance while achieving transaction volume targets, emphasizing the importance of precise risk pricing [8][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strength of consumer credit, noting no material deterioration and signs of improvement [8] - The company anticipates a favorable economic backdrop for credit, with expectations of improved consumer financial health and lower investor return requirements due to potential rate cuts [30] - Upstart plans to moderate take rates to increase origination volumes and repeat transactions, aiming for a strong finish to 2025 and a promising 2026 [30][31] Other Important Information - Upstart's contribution margin for Q3 was 57%, slightly down from the previous quarter due to lower conversion rates impacting acquisition costs [25] - The company ended Q3 with approximately $1.2 billion in loans held directly on its balance sheet, up from just over $1 billion in Q2 [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Application demand and guidance - Dan Dolev inquired about the strong application demand and how it aligns with the guidance provided, which was below expectations. Management noted that while applications grew significantly, the model's conservatism impacted transaction volume [34][35] Question: Impact of recent auto industry events - Kyle Peterson asked if recent negative credit events in the auto sector affected Upstart's expansion plans. Management confirmed no direct impact but acknowledged increased diligence in underwriting [39][40] Question: Quality of leads from marketing improvements - Peter Christiansen questioned the quality of leads following marketing enhancements. Management indicated that while application volume increased, the model's conservatism affected conversion rates [45][46] Question: Repayment speeds and credit implications - Mihir Bhatia asked about the increase in repayment speeds and its implications. Management suggested that faster repayments could indicate improving consumer health but may lead to reduced interest income in the short term [72][74] Question: Conversion rate drivers - Reggie Smith inquired about the factors affecting the conversion rate. Management clarified that the primary driver was the model's conservatism, which influenced approval rates and loan sizes [63][79]