股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國旺旺控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年2月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00151 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 30,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.02 | USD | | 600,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | USD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 30,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.02 | USD | | 600,000,000 | 本月底法定/ ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國旺旺控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年1月5日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00151 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 30,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.02 | USD | | 600,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | USD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 30,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.02 | USD | | 600,000,000 | 本月底法定 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant decline in Hong Kong food stocks, with several companies experiencing notable drops in their share prices [1] Group 2 - China Wangwang (00151.HK) saw a decline of over 6% [1] - Zhou Hei Ya (01458.HK) experienced a drop of over 4% [1] - Other companies such as Master Kong Holdings (00322.HK), Ausnutria Dairy Corporation (01717.HK), China Feihe (06186.HK), China Shengmu Organic Milk (01432.HK), and Mengniu Dairy (02319.HK) all fell by more than 1% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that China Wangwang has established itself as a leading food and beverage company in China, with a diverse business portfolio including rice snacks, dairy beverages, and leisure foods [1] Group 2 - The projected revenue for China Wangwang for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 is estimated to be 24.05 billion, 24.65 billion, and 25.27 billion yuan, reflecting annual growth rates of 2.3%, 2.5%, and 2.5% respectively [1] - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period is forecasted to be 4.17 billion, 4.41 billion, and 4.61 billion yuan, with a decline of 3.8% in 2025, followed by growth rates of 5.7% and 4.6% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [1] - The earnings per share are projected to be 0.35 yuan, 0.37 yuan, and 0.39 yuan for the fiscal years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [1] Group 3 - The report initiates coverage on China Wangwang with an "outperform" rating, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to the market [1] - A target price of 5.76 Hong Kong dollars is set for the company, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 15 times for the fiscal year 2025, referencing comparable company valuations [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that the stock price of Want Want China Holdings (0151.HK) has increased by approximately 36.6% over the past 12 months, but expects this strong momentum to reverse in the fiscal year 2023, predicting a decline in sales and profits by 1% and 5% respectively, leading to a downgrade of the rating from "Neutral" to "Underweight" and a target price reduction from HKD 6.7 to HKD 6.2 [1] Group 1 - The operating profit margin of Wangzai Milk decreased by 8 percentage points year-on-year in the second half of fiscal year 2022, attributed to rising costs of milk powder and tin cans, with increasing channel inventory requiring further discounts [1] - The management confirmed that price increases were fully implemented in April 2022, and additional rebates may continue in the second quarter of this year due to ongoing cost inflation [1] - The overall gross margin is expected to decline further by 50 basis points to 44.3% in fiscal year 2023 due to sustained pressure on gross margins for the next 6 to 9 months [1] Group 2 - The report suggests that with the macroeconomic situation in mainland China improving since April and the recent reduction of quarantine days to "7+3", investors should shift focus from defensive consumer goods to reopening themes, including beer, dining, sports products, and liquor [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company has established itself as a leading player in the food and beverage industry in China, with a diversified portfolio and strong brand recognition through comprehensive marketing strategies [1]. Group 1: Business Overview - The company has a concentrated shareholding structure and stable internal governance, with most executives possessing extensive industry experience [1]. - The company operates across multiple segments, including rice snacks, dairy beverages, and leisure foods, enhancing its market presence [1]. Group 2: Revenue Growth and Market Dynamics - The dairy beverage segment, which contributes over half of the revenue, is expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 3.7% from FY18 to FY24, driven by increasing consumer demand for flavors [2]. - The rice snack business is projected to recover growth, with new products accounting for a double-digit percentage of revenue in FY25H1, and expected revenue growth of 3.5%/2%/2% from FY25 to FY27 [2]. - The leisure food segment, particularly candy, is anticipated to see revenue growth of 5%/4%/4% from FY25 to FY27 [2]. - Emerging channels and markets are expected to continue supporting revenue growth, with non-traditional channel revenue share increasing from less than 10% to approximately 35% from 21H1 to 25H1 [2]. Group 3: Cost Management and Profitability - The company is managing raw material costs effectively, with improvements in gross margin expected due to cost reductions and operational efficiency optimization [3]. - The company plans to mitigate rising import milk powder prices through domestic alternatives, while other major raw material costs remain controllable [3]. - Despite short-term pressure on operating profit margins due to organizational restructuring, overall EBIT margin is projected to recover, reaching 23.8%/23.9%/24.1% from FY25 to FY27 [3]. Group 4: Financial Projections and Investment Recommendation - Revenue forecasts for FY2025-2027 are estimated at 240.5 billion, 246.5 billion, and 252.7 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.3%/2.5%/2.5% [3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 41.7 billion, 44.1 billion, and 46.1 billion yuan for FY2025-2027, with changes of -3.8%/+5.7%/+4.6% [3]. - The company is assigned a target price of 5.76 HKD based on a 15x PE for FY2025, indicating a 15% upside potential [3].

Core Viewpoint - Haitong International projects that China Wangwang (00151) will achieve revenues of 24.05 billion, 24.65 billion, and 25.27 billion yuan for FY2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.3%, 2.5%, and 2.5% respectively. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 4.17 billion, 4.41 billion, and 4.61 billion yuan, with changes of -3.8%, +5.7%, and +4.6% respectively, corresponding to EPS of 0.35, 0.37, and 0.39 yuan. The company is given a target price of 5.76 HKD based on a 15x PE for FY2025, indicating a 15% upside potential [1][2]. Group 1 - The food and beverage industry has a multi-track layout, with comprehensive marketing enhancing brand strength. China Wangwang has developed into a well-known leader in the food and beverage sector over more than sixty years, covering various segments such as rice snacks, dairy beverages, and leisure foods. The company has a concentrated shareholding structure and stable internal governance, with most executives possessing rich industry experience. Wangwang actively engages in multi-faceted marketing, significantly enhancing brand awareness and becoming a household name [2]. Group 2 - The core business of dairy beverages is steadily expanding, while new products and channels drive the recovery of rice snacks. The dairy beverage category contributes over half of the revenue, with a projected CAGR of approximately 3.7% from FY18-24. The company expects revenue growth for dairy beverages of 0.5%, 2%, and 2% for FY25-27. The rice snack business has seen new products account for a double-digit percentage of revenue in FY25H1, and is expected to recover growth with projected revenue increases of 3.5%, 2%, and 2% for FY25-27. The leisure food segment, particularly candy, is expected to grow at rates of 5%, 4%, and 4% for FY25-27. The company is actively seeking breakthroughs through organizational changes, expanding emerging channels, and focusing on overseas markets, with non-traditional channel revenue increasing from less than 10% to about 35% from 21H1 to 25H1 [3]. Group 3 - Raw material costs are controllable, and operational efficiency is continuously optimized, with profitability expected to rebound after short-term pressure. The company's gross margin is improving due to declining costs, and it plans to address rising imported milk powder prices through domestic alternatives. The company has strengthened control over channel expenses and optimized warehousing and logistics investments. Although the expense ratio may be temporarily pressured due to organizational restructuring in FY24H2, overall EBIT margin is projected to be 23.8%, 23.9%, and 24.1% for FY25-27 [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that China Wangwang (00151) is expected to see revenue growth from FY2025 to FY2027, with projected revenues of 24.05 billion, 24.65 billion, and 25.27 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 2.3%, 2.5%, and 2.5% respectively, while net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 4.17 billion, 4.41 billion, and 4.61 billion yuan, with changes of -3.8%, +5.7%, and +4.6% respectively [1][2] Group 2 - The food and beverage industry is characterized by multi-track layout and comprehensive marketing strategies that enhance brand strength. China Wangwang has developed into a well-known leader in the food and beverage sector over more than sixty years, with a business scope covering rice snacks, dairy beverages, and leisure foods. The company has a concentrated shareholding structure and stable internal governance, with most executives possessing rich industry experience [2] - The dairy beverage segment, which contributes over half of the revenue, is expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 3.7% from FY2018 to FY2024. The segment benefits from increasing consumer demand for taste, and the outlook for the neutral milk beverage category, represented by the flagship product Wangzai Milk, is positive with relatively mild competition. Revenue growth for dairy beverages is projected at 0.5%, 2%, and 2% for FY2025 to FY2027 [2] - The rice snack business is expected to recover growth driven by new products and channels, with revenue growth projected at 3.5%, 2%, and 2% for FY2025 to FY2027. The leisure food segment, particularly candy, is also expected to maintain good growth, with revenue growth forecasted at 5%, 4%, and 4% for FY2025 to FY2027 [2] - The company is actively seeking breakthroughs through organizational changes, expanding emerging channels, and focusing on overseas markets. Despite pressure on traditional channels, new retail formats such as bulk snacks, platforms, content e-commerce, and instant retail are developing well. Additionally, the Asian market is benefiting from rapid growth in candy and pastries, with the share of revenue from non-traditional channels increasing from less than 10% in H1 2021 to approximately 35% in H1 2025 [2] Group 3 - The company has managed to control raw material costs and continuously optimize operational efficiency. The gross margin is expected to improve in FY2023-2024 due to declining costs. The company plans to adopt domestic substitutes to address rising prices of imported milk powder, while other major raw material costs remain manageable. Although the expense ratio may be temporarily pressured due to organizational restructuring in FY2024H2, the operating profit margin for each category is expected to recover after a short-term decline, with overall EBIT margin projected at 23.8%, 23.9%, and 24.1% for FY2025 to FY2027 [3]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an OUTPERFORM rating, indicating a positive outlook for the company compared to the market [2]. Core Insights - The company's profitability is continuously improving, driven by new channels and scenarios contributing to growth [1]. - The company has a well-established brand in the food and beverage industry, with a diversified product range including rice snacks, dairy beverages, and leisure foods [3]. - The company is actively expanding its marketing efforts and enhancing brand recognition through innovative advertising and product development [48]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for FY2025-2027 are estimated at RMB 240.5 billion, RMB 246.5 billion, and RMB 252.7 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 2.3%, 2.5%, and 2.5% respectively [49]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are RMB 41.7 billion, RMB 44.1 billion, and RMB 46.1 billion, with changes of -3.8%, +5.7%, and +4.6% respectively [49]. - The diluted EPS is expected to be RMB 0.35, RMB 0.37, and RMB 0.39 for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 respectively [49]. Business Segments - The dairy beverage segment is expected to grow steadily, contributing over 50% of total revenue, with a projected CAGR of approximately 3.7% from FY2018 to FY2024 [4]. - The rice snack business is anticipated to recover growth driven by new products and channels, with expected revenue growth rates of 3.5%, 2%, and 2% for FY2025-2027 [4]. - The leisure food segment, particularly candy, is projected to grow at rates of 5%, 4%, and 4% for FY2025-2027, benefiting from strong demand [4]. Market Dynamics - The food and beverage industry is experiencing a shift towards health-conscious products, with the dairy beverage market expected to reach RMB 1,697 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 4.65% [25]. - The candy market is entering a low-growth phase, with expected growth rates stabilizing between 2% and 3% in the coming years [19]. - The overall market for leisure foods is projected to reach RMB 605.8 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of 4.4% [13]. Operational Efficiency - The company has implemented measures to control raw material costs and optimize operational efficiency, leading to an expected EBIT margin of 23.8%, 23.9%, and 24.1% for FY2025-2027 [5]. - The gross profit margin is projected to improve due to cost reductions in raw materials, particularly full-fat milk powder, which has seen a significant price decline [37][39]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on expanding new channels and enhancing marketing strategies to drive brand growth, including leveraging e-commerce and innovative product placements [41][47]. - The company has established overseas operations, with a factory in Vietnam contributing to growth in the Southeast Asian market [47].

本文源自：金融界AI电报 港股奶制品股震荡走高，现代牧业(01117.HK)、中国旺旺(00151.HK)双双涨超2%，中国圣牧 (01432.HK)、中国飞鹤(06186.HK)等个股跟涨。中信证券表示，欧盟反补贴裁定落地，利好乳制品国产 替代。 ...