[证券分析师： Table_Authors] 周啸宇 S0630519030001 zhouxiaoy@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 联系人： 赵敏敏 zmmin@longone.com.cn 联系人： [Table_Reportdate] 2025年05月22日 李嘉豪 lijiah@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20250522 [table_summary] 重点推荐 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 ➢ 1.保险板块或已走出下降趋势，上涨空间大回落空间小——技术分析行业板块简评 ➢ 2.邮储银行（601658）：非息收入表现较好，存贷同步降息缓解息差压力——公司简评报 告 ➢ 1.上海市人民政府办公厅印发《上海市提振消费专项行动方案》 ➢ 2.金融监管总局等八部门联合印发《支持小微企业融资的若干措施》 ➢ 3.中国与东盟十国全面完成中国—东盟自贸区3.0版谈判 | 1 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年05月21日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 周啸宇 S0630519030001 zhouxiaoy@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn 联系人： 赵敏敏 zmmin@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20250521 [table_summary] 重点推荐 财经要闻 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 晨 会 ➢ 1.邮储银行（601658）：非息收入表现较好，存贷同步降息缓解息差压力——公司简评报 告 ➢ 2.保险板块或已走出下降趋势，上涨空间大回落空间小——技术分析行业板块简评 ➢ 3.美出台措施加强半导体出口管制，国产AI芯片2025年国内市占率有望升至40%——电子 行业周报2025/5/12-2025/5/19 ➢ 1.国家发展改革委举行5月份 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in Q1 revenue and net profit, with operating income at CNY 89.36 billion (-0.07% YoY) and net profit attributable to shareholders at CNY 25.25 billion (-2.62% YoY) [4] - Total assets reached CNY 17.69 trillion, reflecting an 8.31% increase YoY, while the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio stood at 0.91% [4] - The company has seen a decrease in net interest margin (NIM) to 1.71%, down 21 basis points YoY, influenced by recent LPR cuts [4] - The report highlights strong growth in corporate credit and a slight slowdown in financial investment growth, with a notable increase in corporate loans [4] - Fee and commission income grew by 8.76% YoY, outperforming peers, driven by strong performance in corporate services [4] - The company is expected to benefit from a recent capital increase plan, which will enhance its core tier 1 capital ratio significantly [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 operating income was CNY 89.36 billion, and net profit was CNY 25.25 billion, with total assets at CNY 17.69 trillion [4] - The NPL ratio increased slightly to 0.91%, while the NPL coverage ratio decreased to 266.13% [4] Interest Margin and Rates - The net interest margin decreased to 1.71%, with a significant impact from the recent LPR cuts [4] - The company adjusted deposit rates downward, which is expected to alleviate pressure on interest margins [4] Loan and Deposit Growth - Corporate loan growth was strong, with new corporate loans reaching a record high, while personal loans remained weak [4] - Deposit growth slowed slightly, consistent with industry trends [4] Non-Interest Income - Fee and commission income increased by 8.76% YoY, indicating strong performance in corporate services [4] - Investment income grew by 18.81% YoY, driven by strong investment scale and strategies [4] Capital and Future Outlook - The company plans to raise CNY 130 billion through a private placement to enhance its capital base [7] - Future earnings are expected to recover as interest margin pressures ease, with revised revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 [7]

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年05月20日 策 略 研 究 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 总 量 研 究 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 投资要点 ➢ 核心观点：保险板块长时间震荡回落，调整较为充分。短线技术条件逐渐向好，或已走出 下降趋势。指数在震荡调整过程中，大单资金活跃。下方支撑较多，回落空间小，上涨空 间大。 ➢ 风险提示：技术分析是对已有的行情进行统计、归纳、分析，是从当前市场量、价、线、 形、位多个角度进行多空力量对比，是对稳定条件下的市场情绪进行的判断预估，是对之 前的行情运行规律进行的总结、应用。当市场突发较大的政治、经济、军事、自然灾害及 [相关研究 Table_Report] 1.《波浪里前行 上证指数目前或处 于黎明的曙光中》 2.《上证指数或酝酿反弹动能——技 术分析上证指数系列》 3.《上证指数短线或有反弹需求—— 技术分析上证指数简评》 4.《上证指数或有进一步震荡盘升动 能——技术分析上证指数简评》 5.《上证指数短线技术条件明显修 复，回落空间小上涨空间大——技术 分析上证指数简评》 6. 《证 ...

Group 1: Pharmaceutical and Biotech Industry - The pharmaceutical and biotech sector showed an overall increase of 1.27% from May 12 to May 16, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.15 percentage points [6] - The sector's year-to-date increase is 2.48%, ranking 11th among 31 industries, with a valuation of 27.01 times PE, which is at a historically low level [6] - Notable sub-sectors include Traditional Chinese Medicine, Medical Services, and Chemical Pharmaceuticals, with respective increases of 1.73%, 1.45%, and 1.44% [6] - The report highlights the impact of a U.S. executive order aimed at reducing prescription drug prices, which may lead to a shift in pricing strategies among global pharmaceutical companies [7] - Investment opportunities are suggested in innovative drug chains, medical devices, Traditional Chinese Medicine, and healthcare services [7][8] Group 2: Mergers and Acquisitions - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) revised the management measures for major asset restructuring, enhancing market vitality [10] - Since the introduction of the "Six Guidelines" for mergers and acquisitions, over 1,400 asset restructuring cases have been disclosed, with significant increases in both the number and value of major transactions [10][26] - The new rules include mechanisms for installment payments for shares, simplified review processes, and increased participation from private equity funds [11][12][26] Group 3: Economic Data and Observations - In April 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5.1% year-on-year, while fixed asset investment grew by 4.0% [15] - Industrial production showed resilience with a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, despite a slight decline from previous months [15][16] - The report indicates a stable investment environment in infrastructure and manufacturing, although real estate continues to be a drag on overall growth [15][18] Group 4: Food and Beverage Industry - The food and beverage sector saw a modest increase of 0.48%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.64 percentage points [20] - The report emphasizes the ongoing adjustments in the liquor industry, with companies exploring new channels and product innovations to navigate the seasonal downturn [21] - Investment recommendations include high-end liquor brands and resilient food companies, particularly in the snack and dairy segments [24] Group 5: Energy Storage Industry - The global energy storage market is experiencing significant growth, with a cumulative installed capacity of 372 GW in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.6% [30] - The report highlights the increasing share of new energy storage technologies, which accounted for 44.5% of total installations [30] - Investment opportunities are identified in leading companies with strong risk management capabilities, particularly in emerging markets [34]

Economic Overview - In April 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5.1% year-on-year, down from 5.9% in March[2] - Fixed asset investment grew by 4.0% year-on-year, slightly lower than the previous month's 4.2%[2] - The industrial added value for large enterprises rose by 6.1% year-on-year, a decrease from 7.7% in March[2] Industrial Performance - The industrial production growth rate remains above last year's average of 5.6%, despite a slight decline due to reduced "export rush" effects[2] - High-tech manufacturing saw a growth rate of 10.0%, outperforming the overall industrial growth by 3.9 percentage points[2] - Exports showed a decline, with the export delivery value dropping to 0.9% year-on-year in April[2] Consumer Behavior - Offline consumption rebounded significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 5.4% in April[2] - The "trade-in" effect contributed notably to retail growth, with categories like home appliances and office supplies seeing retail growth rates of 38.8% and 33.5%, respectively[2] - Jewelry retail sales increased by 25.3%, driven by high gold prices[2] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment growth showed a slight decline, with real estate investment remaining low at a year-on-year decrease of 10.3%[2] - Infrastructure investment growth rates were 9.6% for broad infrastructure and 5.8% for narrow infrastructure in April[2] - Real estate sales continued to weaken, with a cumulative year-on-year decline of 2.8%[2] Risks and Outlook - Potential risks include policy implementation falling short of expectations and uncertainties surrounding tariff policies[2] - The easing of U.S.-China trade tensions may provide a temporary boost to exports in the second quarter[2]

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年05月19日 -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 2024-05 2024-07 2024-09 2024-11 2025-01 2025-03 2025-05 食品饮料(申万) 沪深300 [相关研究 table_product] 1.白酒压力释放，关注高景气品类— —食品饮料行业周报（2025/5/5- 2025/5/11） 2.安井食品（603345）：经营稳健， 方向明确——公司简评报告 3.盐津铺子（002847）：核心品类持 续放量，多渠道快速发力——公司简 评报告 [Table_NewTitle 白酒底部区间，大众品关注高成长性赛 ] 道 超配 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 姚星辰 S0630523010001 yxc@longone.com.cn 联系人 吴康辉 wkh@longone.com.cn ——食品饮料行业周报（2025/5/12-2025/5/18） [table_main] 投资要点： ➢ 风险提示：宏观经济增长不及预期；竞争加剧的影响；食品安全的影响。 业 研 究 品 饮 料 证券研究报告 ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook on the energy storage industry, highlighting significant growth potential in both demand and supply aspects. Core Viewpoints - The global energy storage market is experiencing robust growth, with a cumulative installed capacity of 372GW in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.6% [4][9] - New energy storage installations are expected to continue rising, particularly in emerging markets, driven by energy transition goals and aging grid infrastructure [4][46] - The industry is currently facing a low-price environment due to oversupply, which is expected to persist in the short term [4][50] Summary by Sections Global Market Overview - The global energy storage market is projected to grow significantly, with new installations reaching 82.8GW in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 59.2% [4][9] - The share of new energy storage installations is increasing, with 165.4GW of new energy storage capacity installed by the end of 2024, up 81.2% year-on-year [4][9] Regional Insights - **China**: The domestic energy storage market reached a cumulative installed capacity of 137.9GW by the end of 2024, a 59.4% increase year-on-year, with new energy storage accounting for over half of this capacity [11][16] - **United States**: The U.S. energy storage market added 12.3GW in 2024, reflecting a 32.8% increase, driven by a release of pent-up demand and favorable policy changes [4][31] - **Europe**: The European market saw a 15.3% increase in new energy storage installations, totaling 21.9GWh in 2024, with a shift towards larger storage systems expected [36][38] Price Dynamics - The industry is currently characterized by an oversupply, leading to a continued low-price environment, with the average price of lithium iron phosphate battery cells dropping to 0.34 CNY/Wh by the end of 2024, a decrease of 22.7% from the beginning of the year [4][50] Performance Review - The energy storage sector reported total revenue of 683.31 billion CNY in 2024, a decline of 5.1% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 6.5% to 75.06 billion CNY [4][59] - Specific segments such as PCS and thermal control saw revenue growth of 6.8% and 23.6% respectively, indicating a recovery trend within the industry [4][59] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies with strong risk resilience and those that have established a competitive advantage in global markets, such as CATL and Sungrow [4][59]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the non-bank financial sector over the next six months [5][37]. Core Insights - The non-bank financial index increased by 2.5% last week, outperforming the CSI 300 by 1.4 percentage points, with both brokerage and insurance indices showing synchronized growth [6][10]. - The recent revision of merger and acquisition regulations by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) aims to enhance capital market activity and support the transformation of the real economy [6][35]. - The third batch of long-term investment trials for insurance funds has been launched, with a notable increase in equity asset allocation in Q1 2025 [6][35]. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.8%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.5%, and the CSI 300 rose by 1.1% [10]. - The average daily trading volume for stock funds was 15,160 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.4% from the previous week [19]. Industry News - The CSRC has modified the "Major Asset Restructuring Management Measures," introducing mechanisms for phased payment of restructuring shares and simplifying review processes [35]. - The Supreme Court and CSRC jointly issued guidelines to enhance judicial support for high-quality capital market development [35]. Investment Recommendations - For brokerages, the report suggests focusing on M&A activities, high asset returns, and improving return on equity (ROE) as key investment themes [6]. - For insurance companies, attention is drawn to large comprehensive insurers with competitive advantages under the new regulatory framework [6].

Group 1 - The report highlights a balanced asset allocation strategy to identify undervalued equity assets amid economic expectations and market risk preferences [5][7] - Global stock markets showed a general upward trend, with US stocks outperforming A-shares, while commodity futures displayed mixed results, with gold prices declining and oil, copper, and aluminum prices rising [5][6] - The report indicates that the domestic equity market is favored in the long term due to improving domestic consumption and a consistent focus on technology [7][8] Group 2 - The technical conditions of the securities sector have improved, with significant support levels and limited downside potential, suggesting a favorable outlook for short-term price movements [10][12] - The securities index has shown signs of recovery after a prolonged downtrend, with a notable increase in trading volume and net inflows of large orders, indicating a shift in market sentiment [11][12] - The report identifies a potential head-and-shoulders bottom pattern in the securities index, suggesting substantial upside potential if the index breaks through key resistance levels [13][14] Group 3 - Recent economic data indicates a decline in consumer confidence in the US, with the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index dropping to 50.8, the second-lowest level in history [15][16] - The report notes that Japan's first-quarter GDP growth was below expectations, indicating potential economic challenges in the region [15] - The US government's credit rating was downgraded by Moody's, reflecting concerns over rising debt levels and interest payments, which may impact market sentiment [15][16]