Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating for Hisense Home Appliances (000921.SZ) with a strong performance outlook [1][12]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 49.34 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 1.44%, and a net profit of 2.077 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.01% [2]. - The overseas market is driving performance, with foreign revenue growing by 12.34% year-on-year, while domestic revenue slightly declined by 0.31% [3]. - The company is expected to see steady growth in revenue and net profit from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 98.54 billion yuan, 104.01 billion yuan, and 112.27 billion yuan, and net profits of 3.691 billion yuan, 4.171 billion yuan, and 4.587 billion yuan respectively [12]. Regional Performance Summary - Domestic revenue was 25.25 billion yuan, down 0.31% year-on-year, while overseas revenue reached 20.45 billion yuan, up 12.34% year-on-year [3]. - In Europe, revenue increased by 22.7%, with air conditioning and washing machine sales growing by 34.5% and 38.9% respectively [3]. - The Americas saw a revenue increase of 26.2%, with significant growth in washing machines (71%) and central air conditioning (59%) [3]. - The Middle East reported a 22.8% revenue increase, while the Asia-Pacific region grew by 14.5% [3]. - ASEAN region sales for refrigerators and washing machines surged by 46% and 55% respectively, with air conditioning brand revenue exceeding 80% [3]. Product Category Performance Summary - The HVAC segment generated 23.69 billion yuan, up 4.07% year-on-year, although Hisense Hitachi's revenue declined by 6.0% [4]. - The washing machine and refrigerator segment reported revenues of 15.39 billion yuan, up 4.76%, with an improvement in gross margin to 18.74% [5]. - Other main business revenues reached 6.61 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.89% increase, with significant contributions from the three electrical companies [5]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 21.48%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 6.06%, down 0.17 percentage points [5]. - The financial expenses increased by 0.3 percentage points, impacting profitability [5]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.67 yuan, 3.01 yuan, and 3.31 yuan respectively, indicating a low valuation with strong performance certainty [12].

Group 1: Solar Industry Insights - In June 2025, the domestic solar power installation decreased by 38.4% year-on-year, with a total of 14.4 GW added, and a significant 84.5% decrease month-on-month due to the end of a rush to install [7] - Cumulative solar installations from January to June 2025 reached 212.21 GW, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 107.1% [7] - The export value of solar modules in June was 15.81 billion yuan, down 23.3% year-on-year and 8.7% month-on-month, with a total export value of 95.37 billion yuan from January to June, also down 23.9% year-on-year [7] - In contrast, inverter exports showed growth, with June exports valued at 6.59 billion yuan, up 1.2% year-on-year and 10.3% month-on-month, totaling 30.6 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a 7.6% increase year-on-year [7] - Solar power generation in June increased by 18.3% year-on-year, reaching 50.06 billion kWh, accounting for 6.29% of the total industrial power generation in China [7] Group 2: Non-Banking Financial Sector - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has clarified key reform tasks for the capital market, focusing on stabilizing market mechanisms and enhancing long-term capital inflow [8] - The CSRC is working on improving the asset-side policy framework, including governance standards for listed companies and mechanisms for executive compensation linked to performance [8] - Major indices in the domestic market showed varying degrees of increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.67% and the ChiNext Index increasing by 2.76% [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market-A" for the solar industry [2]. Core Viewpoints - In June, the domestic photovoltaic new installed capacity decreased by 38.4% year-on-year, influenced by the end of the rush for installation. The new installed capacity in June was 14.4GW, with a cumulative new installed capacity of 212.21GW from January to June, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 107.1% [2][13]. - The export value of photovoltaic components in June was 15.81 billion yuan, down 23.3% year-on-year and 8.7% month-on-month. The cumulative export value from January to June was 95.37 billion yuan, a decrease of 23.9% year-on-year [2][17]. - The export value of inverters in June was 6.59 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.2% and a month-on-month increase of 10.3%. The cumulative export value from January to June was 30.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.6% [3][30]. - Solar power generation in June increased by 18.3% year-on-year, with a total generation of 50.06 billion kWh, accounting for 6.29% of the total industrial power generation in the country [2][44]. Summary by Sections Installed Capacity - In June, the domestic photovoltaic new installed capacity was 14.4GW, down 38.4% year-on-year and 84.5% month-on-month. The cumulative new installed capacity from January to June was 212.21GW, up 107.1% year-on-year [13][2]. Exports - The export value of photovoltaic components in June was 15.81 billion yuan, down 23.3% year-on-year and 8.7% month-on-month. The cumulative export value from January to June was 95.37 billion yuan, down 23.9% year-on-year [17][2]. - The export value of inverters in June was 6.59 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 1.2% and a month-on-month increase of 10.3%. The cumulative export value from January to June was 30.6 billion yuan, up 7.6% year-on-year [30][3]. Power Generation - In June, solar power generation was 50.06 billion kWh, reflecting an 18.3% year-on-year increase and accounting for 6.29% of the total industrial power generation in the country [44][2]. Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include: - New technology direction: Aisuo Co., Longi Green Energy - Supply-side improvement direction: Daqian Energy, Fulete - Overseas layout direction: Hengdian East Magnet, Sunshine Power, Canadian Solar, Deye Co. - Power marketization direction: Langxin Group - Domestic substitution direction: Quartz Co. - Additional companies to actively monitor include: Xinyi Solar, GCL-Poly Energy, Tongwei Co., TCL Zhonghuan, New Special Energy, Dier Laser, Foster, Haiyou New Materials, JA Solar, Trina Solar, Jinko Solar, CITIC Bo, Maiwei Co., Jingcheng Machinery, Shanghai Ailuo, and Guangxin Materials [48][2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market-A" for the non-bank financial industry [1]. Core Insights - The non-bank financial industry has shown positive performance in the first half of the year, with expectations for continued growth driven by capital market reforms and improved regulatory frameworks [4][11]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has outlined key reform tasks for the second half of the year, focusing on stabilizing market expectations, promoting the implementation of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board reforms, and enhancing the management of major asset restructuring [5][11]. - The report highlights a significant increase in market activity, with a 19.56% week-on-week growth in average daily trading volume, reaching 1.85 trillion yuan [13]. Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions - The report emphasizes the importance of capital market reforms, which are expected to enhance market vitality and investor confidence. Key initiatives include promoting long-term capital inflows and improving the governance of listed companies [11][12]. Market Review - Major indices experienced gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.67%, the CSI 300 by 1.69%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.76%. The non-bank financial index increased by 3.52%, ranking 10th among 31 sectors [13][14]. - Notable stock performances included Dongwu Securities, which surged by 15.22%, and Guosen Securities, which rose by 13.92% [14]. Industry Key Data Tracking 1) Market Performance and Scale: The report notes a total trading volume of 9.24 trillion yuan for the week, with a significant increase in trading activity [13]. 2) Credit Business: As of July 25, the market had 3,061.97 billion shares pledged, accounting for 3.74% of total equity, with a margin balance of 1.95 trillion yuan [18][23]. 3) Fund Issuance: In June 2025, new fund issuance reached 122.12 billion units, with a notable increase in the number of funds issued [18][24]. 4) Investment Banking: The report indicates that equity underwriting in June 2025 totaled 553.02 billion yuan, with IPOs contributing 9.15 billion yuan [18]. 5) Bond Market: The 10-year government bond yield was reported at 1.73%, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 12.47 basis points [18][27]. Regulatory Policies and Industry Dynamics - The CSRC is actively seeking public feedback on the revised Corporate Governance Code, aiming to enhance the accountability of directors and senior management [12][25]. - The report outlines the CSRC's commitment to maintaining market stability and enhancing regulatory effectiveness while promoting high-level institutional openness [25]. Key Announcements from Listed Companies - The report mentions that Shouhua Securities plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to strengthen its capital base [26]. - Zhejiang Securities reported a 46.54% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, despite a decline in revenue [28].

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - The July 2025 Central Political Bureau meeting emphasized the integration of high-quality development with short-term economic growth, highlighting the need for flexible and anticipatory macro policies to enhance the attractiveness and inclusivity of the domestic capital market [6][7] - The meeting set a GDP growth target of 5.3% for the first half of 2025, indicating a solid foundation for achieving annual economic goals [6] - The focus on effective demand release and consumption growth was reiterated, with specific actions proposed to stimulate service consumption and expand commodity consumption [6][7] Group 2: Agricultural Sector Analysis - The agricultural sector showed a 3.62% increase in the week of July 21-27, 2025, with significant performance in sub-industries such as other planting, pig farming, and poultry feed [9] - Pig prices experienced a slight decline, with average prices in key provinces reported at 13.60, 15.54, and 14.13 CNY/kg, reflecting a decrease of 0.37%, 0.32%, and 1.74% respectively [9] - The feed industry is expected to see a recovery due to declining upstream raw material prices and improving conditions in the breeding sector, with companies like Haida Group positioned for growth [9] Group 3: Technology and Investment Trends - Meta and Microsoft have significantly increased their capital expenditure (CAPEX) forecasts for 2025, with Meta's CAPEX projected to be between 66-72 billion USD, up from a previous estimate of 64-72 billion USD [11] - The establishment of large-scale AI data centers by Meta is expected to enhance the penetration of HVDC technology in China, with recommendations for companies like Zhongheng Electric as key players in this sector [10][11] - The overall performance of major tech companies has exceeded expectations, providing a strong foundation for future CAPEX growth [11]

建议关注饲料的回升周期和养殖的边际改善 农林牧渔 农业行业周报 同步大市-A(维持) 农林牧渔行业近一年市场表现 本周（7 月 21 日-7 月 27 日）沪深 300 指数涨跌幅为+1.69%，农林牧渔 板块涨跌幅为+3.62%，板块排名第 9，子行业中其他种植业、生猪养殖、肉 鸡养殖、畜禽饲料、种子表现位居前五。 本周（7 月 21 日-7 月 27 日）猪价环比下跌。根据跟踪的重点省市猪价 来 看 ， 截 至 7 月 25 日 ， 四 川 / 广 东 / 河 南 外 三 元 生 猪 均 价 分 别 为 13.60/15.54/14.13 元/公斤，环比上周分别-0.37%/-0.32%/-1.74%；平均猪肉 价格为 20.87 元/公斤，环比上周上涨 1.02%；仔猪平均批发价格 26.00 元/公 斤，环比上周持平；二元母猪平均价格为 32.52 元/公斤，环比上周持平；自 繁自养利润为 62.16 元/头，外购仔猪养殖利润为-71.39 元/头。截至 7 月 25 日，白羽肉鸡周度价格为 6.70 元/公斤，环比上涨 4.69%；肉鸡苗价格为 1.93 元/羽，环比上周上涨 40.88%；养殖利润 ...

宏观 高质量发展与短期经济增长有机融合 ——2025 年 7 月中共中央政治局会议解读 "立破并举"推动供给体系和效率明显提升。从"立"的方面看，科技 创新是摆脱同质化竞争的最优解，也是构建新发展格局、推动高质量发展的 有力支撑。会议提出，加快培育具有国际竞争力的新兴支柱产业，推动科技 创新和产业创新深度融合发展。另一方面，由于当前"内卷"导致的过剩与 传统意义上的产能过剩在形成原因、表现形式上有较大区别，因此在解决举 措上不能再依赖行政手段，搞"一刀切"。从会议内容看，更侧重市场化法 制化手段进行调控。会议提出，纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，推动市场竞 争秩序持续优化。规范地方招商引资行为。依法依规治理企业无序竞争。推 进重点行业产能治理。坚持"两个毫不动摇"，激发各类经营主体活力。 宏观政策持续发力、适时加力，增强灵活性预见性。目前看，全年完成 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声明 1 2025 年 7 月 31 日 宏观研究/事件点评 相关报告： 投资要点： 2025 年 7 月中共中央政治局会议是在我国外贸环境不确定、国内有效需 求不足、"内卷式"竞争等复杂局面下召开的一次十分重要的会议。会议客 观分析 ...

研究早观点 2025 年 7 月 31 日 星期四 市场走势 资料来源：最闻 国内市场主要指数 | 指数 | | 收盘 | 涨跌幅% | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | | 3,615.72 | 0.17 | 持续上涨 | | 深证成指 | | 11,203.03 | -0.77 | | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,151.24 | -0.02 | | | 中小板指 | | 6,961.64 | -0.47 | | | 创业板指 | | 2,367.68 | -1.62 | | | 科创 | 50 | 1,058.57 | -1.11 | | 资料来源：最闻 分析师： 李明阳 【今日要点】 2019 年 2 月 21 日 星期四 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声明 1 【宏观策略】海外市场周观察（20250721~20250727） 【行业评论】化学原料：新材料周报（250721-0725）-世界人工智能大 会正式开幕，人形机器人领域材料有望实现高速发展 【山证农业】海大集团 2025 年半年报点评-饲料业务基本面显著回升 【山证专精特新】安培龙（30 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock performance in the next 6-12 months [3][7]. Core Insights - The company's feed business fundamentals have significantly improved, with a notable increase in sales volume and market share [4][5]. - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 588.31 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.50%, and a net profit of 26.39 billion yuan, up 24.16% year-on-year [4]. - The company has successfully expanded its overseas feed business, with a 40% year-on-year increase in external sales [6]. Financial Performance - The company reported an EPS of 1.59 yuan for the first half of 2025, with a weighted average ROE of 10.70%, an increase of 0.14 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The total feed sales volume reached approximately 14.7 million tons in the first half of 2025, a 25% increase year-on-year, contributing to a sales revenue of 471.39 billion yuan from feed products, up 14.02% [4][5]. - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 53.37 billion yuan, 62.40 billion yuan, and 70.89 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.21 yuan, 3.75 yuan, and 4.26 yuan [7][8]. Market Dynamics - The overall industrial feed production in China reached 15.85 million tons in the first half of 2025, growing by 7.7% year-on-year, indicating a robust market environment [4]. - The company has seen substantial growth in its poultry, pig, and aquaculture feed segments, with pig feed sales increasing by 43% year-on-year [5][6]. Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 17 times for 2025, suggesting a favorable valuation compared to historical performance [7][8]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is 130.804 billion yuan, with a net profit margin expected to improve to 4.1% [8][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "B" for the new materials sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [2]. Core Insights - The new materials sector has shown strong performance, with the new materials index rising by 4.15%, outperforming the ChiNext index by 1.39% in the recent week [2]. - The global humanoid robot market is projected to grow from USD 2.16 billion in 2023 to USD 20.6 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 57% [4]. - The domestic PEEK material market is expected to reach CNY 2.1 billion by 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.53% [4]. Market Performance - The new materials sector has seen various sub-sectors perform well, including: - Semiconductor materials up by 4.04% - Electronic chemicals up by 3.67% - Degradable plastics up by 3.12% - Industrial gases up by 2.22% [2][17]. - The overall market performance for the week (July 21-25, 2025) shows the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.67% and the ChiNext Index by 2.76% [13]. Price Tracking - Amino acids prices show slight decreases, with valine at CNY 14,350 per ton (-0.35%) and arginine at CNY 24,400 per ton (-0.41%) [3]. - Prices for biodegradable materials remain stable, with PLA (injection grade) at CNY 17,800 per ton [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in humanoid robot materials, particularly those producing PEEK materials and functional protective casings [4][5]. - Recommended companies include DFBP (PEEK synthesis monomer), Zhongxin Fluorine Materials, and manufacturers of PEEK components like Kent Shares [5].