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23年年报点评:23年收获颇丰,关注C端新项目
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-03-10 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [4]. Core Insights - The company has successfully completed significant national projects, enhancing its visibility and competitiveness. The current stock price reflects this achievement, and there is a strong focus on new consumer-end projects [1][6]. - The company has a robust order backlog, but uncertainties regarding the timelines and progress of large projects have led to a downward adjustment in profit forecasts [1][6]. - The company is expected to achieve substantial year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, with a projected net profit of 134 million yuan in 2023, increasing to 254 million yuan in 2024 [1][8]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is forecasted to grow from 677 million yuan in 2023 to 1,011 million yuan by 2026, with a year-on-year growth rate of 111% in 2023 [1][8]. - Net profit is expected to rise from 134 million yuan in 2023 to 298 million yuan in 2026, reflecting a significant growth rate of 814% in 2023 [1][8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 0.98 yuan in 2023 to 2.17 yuan in 2026 [1][8]. Cash Flow Analysis - The operating cash flow is expected to be negative in 2023 at -42 million yuan, but it is projected to turn positive in subsequent years, reaching 604 million yuan by 2026 [3]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in cash earnings from 154 million yuan in 2023 to 597 million yuan in 2026 [3]. Key Financial Ratios - The gross profit margin is projected to improve from 37.37% in 2023 to 42.29% in 2026, indicating enhanced profitability [8]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to stabilize around 7% from 2024 onwards, reflecting efficient use of equity capital [8].
通信行业周报:国内400G骨干网商用,工信部支持5G-A发展
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-03-10 16:00
、 国内400G骨干网商用,工信部支持5G-A发展 -中泰通信行业周报(0304-0310) 通信 证券研究报告/行业周报 2024年3月10日 评级:增持(维持) [重Ta点ble公_F司in基anc本e]状 况 分析师:陈宁玉 股价 EPS PE 简称 PEG 评级 执业证书编号:S0740517020004 (元) 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E 中际旭创 174.99 1.52 2.52 5.01 6.89 115.13 69.44 34.93 25.40 1.41 买入 电话:021-20315728 天孚通信 142.88 1.02 1.78 3.07 4.11 140.08 80.27 46.54 34.76 1.91 买入 Email:chenny@zts.com.cn 菲菱科思 98.16 2.82 2.48 4.62 5.80 34.81 39.58 21.25 16.92 1.24 买入 研究助理:杨雷 源杰科技 154 1.18 0.26 1.25 1.81 130.51 592.31 123.20 85.08 44.64 买 ...
23年业绩符合预期,三大业务毛利率持续提升

ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-03-10 16:00
23 年业绩符合预期,三大业务毛利率持续提升 中兴通讯(000063.SZ)/通信 证券研究报告/公司点评 2024年3月10 日 [Table_Industry] [评Ta级ble:_T买itle入] (维持) [公Ta司ble盈_F利ina预nc测e1]及 估值 市场价格:30.18元 指标 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E 营业收入(百万元) 122,954 124,251 139,761 155,707 172,307 分析师:陈宁玉 增长率yoy% 7% 1% 12% 11% 11% 执业证书编号:S0740517020004 净利润(百万元) 8,080 9,326 10,645 12,292 14,423 电话:021-20315728 增长率yoy% 19% 15% 14% 15% 17% 每股收益(元) 1.69 1.95 2.23 2.57 3.02 Email:chenny@zts.com.cn 每股现金流量 1.58 3.64 4.64 3.20 3.34 研究助理:杨雷 净资产收益率 14% 14% 13% 13% 14% Email:yanglei01@z ...
2月通胀数据点评:CPI回正,能持续吗?
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-03-10 16:00
证券研究报告/固定收益点评 2024 年 3 月 9 日 [Table_Industry] [Table_Title] 分析师:肖雨 投资要点 Email:xiaoyu@zts.com.cn 联系人:张可迎 [Table_Report] 相关报告 ◼ 事件:统计局公布,2024 年 2 月 CPI 同比上涨 0.7%,环比上涨 1.0%;PPI 同比下降 2.7%,环比下降 0.2%。我们点评如下: ◼ CPI:2 月 CPI 同比 0.7%(前值-0.8%),高于预期值 0.4%,自 2023 年 9 月份以来首 度回正。CPI 环比上涨 1.0%;核心 CPI 同比增速为 1.2%(2023 年 12 月和 2024 年 1 月分别为 0.6%、0.4%)。CPI 同比增速回正,可能一方面受到春节错位因素影响,去年 2 月份春节后物价回落,而今年 2 月份春节物价上涨;另一方面,猪肉、旅游价格 1-2 月同比增速较快,是本次居民价格指数超预期上行的主要拉动项,二者分别对应三分法 中的食品项和服务项。三分法来看,食品项同比由-5.9%回升至-0.9%,拉动 CPI 回落 约 0.2 个百分点,对 CPI 的 ...
电力设备与新能源行业周报:山东3GW海风重点项目公示,硅料价格持续平稳
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-03-10 16:00
、 山东3GW海风重点项目公示,硅料价格持续平稳 电力设备与新能源 证券研究报告/行业周报 2024年3月10日 评级:增持( 维持 ) [重Ta点ble公_F司in基anc本e]状况 分析师:曾彪 股价 EPS PE 评级 简称 PEG (元) 执业证书编号:S0740522020001 2022A 2023E 2024E 2025E 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E 天赐材料 19.34 2.97 1.74 2.29 2.76 6.52 11.11 8.45 7.01 -0.27 买入 Email:zengbiao@zts.com.cn 当升科技 32.96 4.46 4.60 5.49 6.44 7.39 7.17 6.00 5.12 2.3 买入 天合光能 26.31 1.69 2.55 3.60 4.50 15.54 10.32 7.31 5.85 0.2 - 分析师:吴鹏 阳光电源 99.40 2.42 4.70 6.40 8.16 41.08 21.15 15.53 12.18 0.2 买入 固德威 110.88 5.27 8.97 11.69 14.99 21.04 12.36 9 ...
食品饮料行业周思考(第11周) :白酒关注淡季价盘,大众品受益餐饮修复
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-03-10 16:00
、 白酒关注淡季价盘,大众品受益餐饮修复 -周思考(第11周) 食品饮料 证券研究报告/行业周报 2024年3月10日 评级:增持(维持) [重Ta点bl公e_司Fi基na本nc状e]况 分析师:范劲松 股价(元) EPS PE 简称 PEG 评级 执业证书编号:S0740517030001 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E 贵州茅台 1671.43 49.9 58.2 68.28 78.37 33.4 28.71 24.48 21.33 1.77 买入 电话:021-20315138 五粮液 138.42 6.38 8 7.17 5 8.89 10.07 208. 1 17.86 15.57 13.75 1.32 买入 Email:fanjs@zts.com.cn 燕京啤酒 8.38 0.12 0.21 0.34 0.44 692. 8 39.90 24.65 19.05 0.74 买入 分析师:晏诗雨 山西汾酒 237.00 2.55 8.42 10.35 12.31 92 3. 9 28.15 22.90 19.25 0.41 买入 安井食品 8 ...
中泰证券【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】金工李倩云:流动性宽松,增量资金进场
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-03-10 16:00
Group 1: Trade Data Analysis - In the first two months of 2024, China's exports reached USD 528.01 billion, and imports totaled USD 402.85 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.1% and 3.5% respectively, exceeding expectations [20][21][22] - The significant increase in exports is attributed to the late timing of the Spring Festival, which resulted in a low base effect from the previous year [20][21] - Exports to the US and ASEAN showed recovery, while exports to the EU declined, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.6%, -2.3%, and 0.1% respectively [20][21] Group 2: Sector Performance - The textile and electronics sectors experienced a rebound in export growth, while the automotive sector saw a decline, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.4%, 1.9%, and 13.1% for textiles, electronics, and automotive respectively [20][21] - The electronics sector's export growth was driven by improvements in computer exports, while mobile phone exports faced a decline of 18.3% [20][21] - Import growth was primarily supported by electronic products and resource commodities, with significant contributions from semiconductors and integrated circuits, which saw year-on-year growth rates of 15.3% and 5.0% respectively [20][21] Group 3: Inflation and Economic Indicators - In February 2024, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.7% year-on-year, marking the first positive growth since September 2023, driven by seasonal factors and rising prices in pork and tourism [20][21] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.7% year-on-year, indicating ongoing deflationary pressures in the manufacturing sector [20][21] - The overall economic recovery remains uncertain, with the need for further verification from financial and economic data in the coming months [20][21] Group 4: Medical Device Sector Performance - The medical device company reported a revenue of USD 11.836 billion in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 11.54%, driven by increased sales and price hikes [12][21] - The orthopedic segment also showed strong performance, with revenue of USD 8.662 billion, reflecting a growth of 10.5% [12][21] - The company expects continued growth in 2024, with projected internal growth rates of 7.5% to 9% [12][21] Group 5: AI and Technology Developments - The release of the Claude 3 model by Anthropic demonstrated significant advancements over previous models, with improved performance in various benchmarks and a competitive pricing structure [13][21] - The model's capabilities in multi-modal data analysis and its emphasis on safety and alignment with human values position it as a strong contender in the AI market [13][21] - The focus on safety and regulatory compliance in AI development is becoming increasingly important for companies in the sector [13][21]
业绩符合预期、充满韧性,CDMO保持快速增长
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-03-10 16:00
[Table_Title] 评级:买入(维持) 市场价格:13.27 分析师:祝嘉琦 执业证书编号:S0740519040001 电话:021-20315150 Email:zhujq@zts.com.cn [Table_Finance] 公司盈利预测及估值 指标 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E 营业收入(百万元) 10544.91 11474.16 12140.10 12996.45 14107.15 增长率 yoy% 17.92% 8.81% 5.80% 7.05% 8.55% 净利润 989.17 1055.34 1167.74 1366.82 1610.28 增长率 yoy% 3.52% 6.69% 10.65% 17.05% 17.81% 每股收益(元) 0.84 0.90 0.99 1.16 1.37 每股现金流量 1.13 0.88 0.75 1.14 1.32 净资产收益率 17.95% 16.96% 16.18% 16.72% 17.30% P/E 15.68 14.70 13.28 11.35 9.63 PEG 4.46 2.20 1.25 0.67 0.54 ...
有色金属行业周报:锂期限基差收窄,产业链博弈加剧
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-03-10 16:00
[Table_Industry] 证券研究报告/行业周报 2024年3月10日 有色金属 锂期限基差收窄,产业链博弈加剧 [T[评aTab 级blele_ :_MT增aitilne持]] (维持) [投Ta资bl要e_点Su mmary] 1. 【关键词】2024年 2月智利对中国出口锂盐 16059吨,同比+67%, 分析师:安永超 环比+64%,出口均价为15040美元/吨 执业证书编号:S0740522090002 2. 投资策略:维持行业“增持”评级,中长线继续推荐稀土永磁、锑和 Email:anyc@zts.com.cn 锡板块: 分析师:郭中伟 ➢ 1)稀土:国常会强调稀土是关键战略矿产资源,推动稀土产业未 执业证书编号:S0740521110004 来端化、智能化、绿色化发展,中长期机器人、新能源汽车等多 个消费场景有望爆发,板块长期趋势未改; Email:guozw@zts.com.cn ➢ 2)锑:作为缺乏供给的小金属品种,光伏领域消费维持高景气, 分析师:谢鸿鹤 一旦宏观经济底部向上,锑价弹性可期; 执业证书编号:S0740517080003 ➢ 3)锡:短期“高库存+需求低迷”的弱现实压 ...
轻工制造及纺织服装行业周报:华利Q4订单正增,Amer披露2023业绩、24年展望积极
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-03-10 16:00
、 华利Q4 订单正增,Amer披露2023 业绩、24 年展望积极 -轻工制造及纺织服装行业周报 轻工纺服 证券研究报告/行业周报 2024年3月10日 评级:增持(维持) [重Ta点ble公_F司in基anc本e]状况 分析师:张潇 股价 EPS PE 简称 PEG 评级 执业证书编号:S0740523030001 (元) 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E 百亚股份 15.20 0.44 0.59 0.72 0.89 34.55 25.76 21.11 17.08 1.11 买入 Email:zhangxiao06@zts.com.cn 欧派家居 65.80 4.41 5.08 5.87 6.73 14.92 12.95 11.21 9.78 0.82 买入 分析师:郭美鑫 顾家家居 38.05 2.20 2.52 2.93 3.41 17.30 15.10 12.99 11.16 0.98 买入 执业证书编号:S0740520090002 索菲亚 15.82 1.17 1.47 1.72 2.00 13.52 10.76 9.20 7.91 0. ...