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塔牌集团(002233):区域市场份额稳固,高股息凸显安全边际
中泰证券· 2025-03-19 06:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock over the next 6 to 12 months [2][3]. Core Insights - The company has a stable market share in the regional market, with a high dividend yield that highlights a safety margin for investors [2][3]. - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 4,278 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 23%. However, a recovery in profitability is anticipated in subsequent years [2][3]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong position in a relatively closed market, supported by a reasonable capacity layout and resource endowment [3]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: The company reported a revenue of 4,278 million yuan for 2024, down 22.7% year-on-year, with a net profit of 538 million yuan, a decrease of 27.5% [3]. - **Sales Volume**: In 2024, the company's cement sales volume was 15.859 million tons, down 10.1% year-on-year, but the market share remained stable [3]. - **Cement Price**: The average cement price for 2024 was 238 yuan per ton, a decrease of 45.8 yuan compared to the previous year, influenced by weak demand and external competition [3]. - **Cost and Margin**: The cement cost per ton was 189.0 yuan, down 19.5% year-on-year, while the gross profit per ton was 49.2 yuan, down 26.4% [3]. - **Dividends**: The company plans to distribute a total cash dividend of 5.9 billion yuan for 2024, resulting in a dividend yield of 6.2%, which supports stock price stability [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 613 million yuan, 667 million yuan, and 701 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15.6, 14.3, and 13.6 [2][3].
中泰研究丨晨会聚焦策略徐驰:民营科技突破与特朗普2.0下资本市场或如何演绎?-2025-03-19
中泰证券· 2025-03-19 02:38
【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】策略徐驰:民营科技突破与特朗普 2.0 下 资本市场或如 何演绎? [T[分Taa析bbll师ee__:TMi戴tlea志]in锋] 执业证书编号:S0740517030004 电话: [Table_Industry] | | 证券研究报告 | 2025 年 3 月 18 日 | | --- | --- | --- | | [Table_Industry] [T[分Taa析bbll师ee__:TMi戴tlea志]in锋] | [b_Suy 今日预览 | | | 执业证书编号:S0740517030004 | | | | 电话: | | | | Email: | | | | | 今日重点>> | | | | 【策略】徐驰:民营科技突破与特朗普 | 2.0 下 资本市场或如何演绎? | 研究分享>> 【政策】杨畅:投资发力——2025 年 1-2 月经济数据点评 欢迎关注中泰研究所订阅号 晨报内容回顾: 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 今日重点 【策略】徐驰:民营科技突破与特朗普 2.0 下 资本市场或如何演绎? 两会后,市场开始关注"现实"时,特朗普关税政策、国内政策定力、经济基本面 ...
美国降息预期抬升,金属价格整体上涨
中泰证券· 2025-03-18 13:36
美国降息预期抬升,金属价格整体上涨 有色金属 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2025 年 03 月 18 日 分析师:谢鸿鹤 执业证书编号:S0740517080003 Email:xiehh@zts.com.cn 分析师:任恒 执业证书编号:S0740525010001 Email:renheng@zts.com.cn 分析师:刘耀齐 执业证书编号:S0740523080004 Email:liuyq07@zts.com.cn | 上市公司数 | 141 | | --- | --- | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 30,692.52 | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 28,838.08 | 1、《Alphamin Resources 锡矿暂停 生产,供应进一步趋紧》2025-03-17 2、《【中泰金属观察-全球制造业 PMI 跟踪】全球制造业 PMI 跟踪:2 月延 续扩张,需关注抢出口后的持续性 20250312》2025-03-15 属价格整体上涨》2025-03-10 1)贵金属:美国 2 月 CPI 和 PPI 数据均低于预期,通胀增长相对温和,美联储降息 预期抬升,利多短期黄金价格。中长期看,美国 ...
晶苑国际(02232)深度报告:多元化布局打造强客户粘性,开拓运动赛道成长性提升
中泰证券· 2025-03-18 13:20
服装家纺 多元化布局打造强客户粘性,开拓运动赛道成长性提升 ——晶苑国际深度报告 晶苑国际(02232.HK) 证券研究报告/公司深度报告 2025 年 03 月 18 日 | 评级: | 买入(首次) | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | 2022A | | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 分析师:张潇 | | 营业收入(百万元) | 17,499 | | 15,651 | 17,593 | 19,569 | 21,635 | | | | 增长率 yoy% | | 16% | -11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | | 执业证书编号:S0740523030001 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | | 1,203 | 1,158 | 1,412 | 1,682 | 1,946 | | Email:zhangxiao06@zts.com.cn | | 增长率 yoy% | | 16% | -4% | 22% | 19% ...
2025年春季策略:民营科技突破与特朗普2.0下,资本市场或如何演绎?
中泰证券· 2025-03-18 13:17
| 证 券 研 究 报 告 | 民营科技突破与特朗普2.0下 资本市场或如何演绎? ——2025年春季策略 2 0 2 5 . 0 3 . 1 8 徐驰 S0740519080003 xuchi@zts.com.cn 王永健 S0740522050001 wangyj09@zts.com.cn 张文宇 S0740520120003 zhangwy01@zts.com.cn 目 录 C O N T E N T S DeepSeek等科技密集突破 1 或带来哪些影响? 中 泰 证 券 研 究 所 专 业 | 领 先 | 深 度 | 诚 信 4 海外:特朗普2.0或带来哪些影响? 5 投资建议 2 更加重视科技: 政策维度有何新变化? 3 高质量发展路线下, 我国经济与企业盈利演绎 6 风险提示 核心结论:"预期与现实"间的反差 CONTENTS 目录 NTS 专 业 | 领 先 | 深 度 | 诚 信 1 DeepSeek等突破带来中国科技"价值重估" 图表:春节至2月27日阶段高点AH指数表现(%) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 港股指数涨跌幅(%) A股指数涨跌幅(%) A股行业指数涨跌幅(%) | ...
华润三九(000999):业绩符合预期,天士力并购在即
中泰证券· 2025-03-18 13:10
业绩符合预期,天士力并购在即 中药Ⅱ 华润三九(000999.SZ) 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 03 月 17 日 | 评级: | 买入(维持) | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师:祝嘉琦 | | 营业收入(百万元) | 24,739 | 27,617 | 30,986 | 34,549 | 38,004 | | | | 增长率 yoy% | 37% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | | 执业证书编号:S0740519040001 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 2,853 | 3,368 | 3,821 | 4,315 | 4,837 | | Email:zhujq@zts.com.cn | | 增长率 yoy% | 17% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 12% | | | | 每股收益(元) | 2.89 | 2.62 | 2.98 | ...
丽江股份(002033):Q4淡季双位数增长,维持高派息
中泰证券· 2025-03-18 12:53
旅游及景区 执业证书编号:S0740524040004 Email:zhengch@zts.com.cn 2024.03.12 执业证书编号:S0740523060001 Email:zhangji01@zts.com.cn | 基本状况 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(百万股) | 549.49 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 549.48 | | 市价(元) | 9.95 | | 市值(百万元) | 5,467.43 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 5,467.33 | 覆盖 年有望延续》丽江股份 23 年半年 报点评 3《23 年业绩符合预期,景气度 持续验证》丽江股份 23 年年报点 评 丽江股份(002033.SZ) 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 03 月 18 日 | 评级: | 增持(维持) | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师 ...
中泰研究晨会聚焦:通信陈宁玉:英伟达GTC前瞻:关注CPO、液冷与电源产业链变化-2025-03-18
中泰证券· 2025-03-18 12:50
【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】通信陈宁玉:英伟达 GTC 前瞻:关注 CPO、液冷与电源产 业链变化 证券研究报告 2025 年 3 月 17 日 [Tab[ble__SMuyain] 今日预览 今日重点>> 【通信】陈宁玉:英伟达 GTC 前瞻:关注 CPO、液冷与电源产业链变 化 研究分享>> [分[TTa析balb师e_l:eT_i戴tlIen志]d锋ustry] 执业证书编号: S0740517030004 电话: Email: 欢迎关注中泰研究所订阅号 晨报内容回顾: 【政策】杨畅:政府债券融资拉动明显——2025 年 2 月金融数据点评 【传媒】康雅雯:呼市发布育儿补贴细则,把握出版、AI+教育投资机 会 今日重点 【通信】陈宁玉:英伟达 GTC 前瞻:关注 CPO、液冷与电源产业链变化 GTC2025 召开在即,关注 GB300 四大预期变化,以及人形机器人、边缘计算/推理方向等。 预期一:英伟达有望在 GTC 2025 上公布 GB300 更具体细节方案,且 NVL288 或被提及。相较 GB200,GB300 单卡 FP4(4 位浮点数)性能有望提升 1.5 倍;内存容量提升至 288GB, 采用 ...
北交所半月报:北交所板块涨幅领先,专题培训强化沟通机制-2025-03-18
中泰证券· 2025-03-18 11:13
北交所板块涨幅领先,专题培训强化沟通机制 ——北交所半月报(3.01-3.15) 评级: 增持(维持) 分析师:冯胜 执业证书编号:S0740519050004 Email:fengsheng@zts.com.cn | 北交所基本状况 | | | --- | --- | | 上市公司数 | 264 | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 7987.41 | 最近一年北证 50 VS 沪深 300 机械设备 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2025 年 03 月 16 日 报告摘要 北交所行情概览: 1)整体行情:截至 2025 年 3 月 15 日,北证成份股 264 个,平均市值 30.26 亿元。 本区间(2025.3.01-2025.3.15,下同)北证 50 指数涨跌幅 7.86%,收盘 1409.76 点; 同期沪深 300、创业板指、科创 50 涨跌幅分别为+3%、+2.6%、+0.86%。 2)赛道行情:本区间 A 股涨幅前五的行业为有色金属、国防军工、休闲服务、传媒、 食品饮料,涨幅分别为 10.89%、9.71%、8.01%、7.04%、6.98%。 3)个股行情:本区间在北交所上市的 264 只个股中 ...
华峰测控(688200):行业复苏业绩高增,积极推进全球化战略
中泰证券· 2025-03-17 13:29
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% against the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [16]. Core Insights - The semiconductor testing equipment industry is entering a recovery phase in 2024, with significant growth anticipated in 2025, projected to exceed $8 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of over 19% [5]. - The company is actively expanding its global presence, having established sales and service companies in Japan and the U.S., and a manufacturing facility in Malaysia, which is expected to enhance its market share and international competitiveness [8][7]. - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise up to 1 billion yuan for the development of self-researched ASIC testing systems and the construction of a high-end SoC testing system manufacturing center, aiming to reduce reliance on external suppliers and meet increasing market demand [10]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 691 million yuan in 2023 to 1.828 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 27% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 252 million yuan in 2023 to 707 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of around 28% [2]. - The gross margin is forecasted to remain stable around 73%, while the net margin is expected to improve from 36.9% in 2024 to 38.7% in 2027 [3][11]. Market Opportunities - The global market for mixed-signal and digital testing machines is estimated at approximately $930 million, with significant room for growth as the company expands its product offerings [6]. - The company is enhancing its product line with the introduction of the 8600 testing machine, which offers more testing channels and higher frequencies, thereby broadening its testing capabilities and supporting long-term growth [6].