Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the building materials sector, indicating an expected relative performance increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [6][110]. Core Insights - The building materials industry is at a turning point, with both demand and valuation expected to improve. The real estate sector is anticipated to stabilize, leading to a recovery in building materials demand. The report highlights that new construction starts in 2025 are projected to decline by 70% compared to 2021, with completions down by 40% and new home sales down by 50% [9][8]. - Rising prices of upstream raw materials such as asphalt, polypropylene, and polyethylene are expected to drive up building material prices, benefiting companies with pricing power [9][8]. - The report recommends several companies, including Beixin Building Materials, Oriental Yuhong, and Sanhe Tree, while suggesting to pay attention to companies like Rabbit Baby and China Liansu [9][8]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The building materials sector is currently underweighted, with a configuration ratio of 0.72% as of Q4 2025, which is significantly lower than the historical average since 2010 [8]. - The cement and glass sectors are noted to be at low valuation levels, with the cement manufacturing PB at the 16th percentile and glass manufacturing PB also at the 16th percentile since 2010 [8]. Key Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Beixin Building Materials: EPS forecasted to increase from 2.1 in 2024 to 3.5 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 13.4 to 8.2 [6]. - Conch Cement: EPS forecasted to rise from 1.5 in 2024 to 2.2 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 17.3 to 11.6 [6]. - China Jushi: EPS expected to grow from 0.6 in 2024 to 1.2 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 36.1 to 18.6 [6]. - Other companies include Weixing New Materials, Sanhe Tree, and Huaxin Cement, all rated as "Buy" or "Increase" [6]. Industry Trends - The report notes a significant increase in market share for consumer building materials over the past few years, with profitability in segments like waterproofing and piping at a low point, suggesting potential for recovery [9][8]. - The cement sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in profitability, with a current national cement market price decrease of 1% and a notable drop in average shipment rates [36][9]. - The float glass sector is experiencing a supply-side adjustment, with production capacity at a five-year low, indicating potential for price recovery [9][8]. Emerging Opportunities - The report highlights opportunities in overseas markets, particularly in Africa, Central Asia, and Southeast Asia, where rising populations and urbanization rates are creating demand for building materials [9][8]. - The electronic fabric market is also noted for its upward price trend due to supply constraints, with significant price increases observed in recent weeks [9][8]. Conclusion - The building materials industry is positioned for a recovery phase, driven by stabilization in the real estate market and rising raw material prices. The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong pricing power and market positioning to capitalize on these trends [9][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electric power equipment industry [6] Core Insights - The report highlights significant developments in the lithium battery sector, including Elon Musk's announcement of the large-scale production of dry electrodes and CATL securing a 10GWh energy storage project [8][14][15] - The energy storage market shows strong demand, with January's procurement reaching 36.3GWh and a 42% increase in the average price of 4-hour storage systems over the past six months [25][26] - The report emphasizes the potential for performance and valuation improvements in the lithium battery and energy storage sectors, suggesting a favorable medium-term investment outlook [8] Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Sector - The battery industry index rose by 3.24%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 4.57 percentage points, with key stocks like Enjie and Wanrun New Energy showing significant gains [12] - Major events include the announcement of dry electrode mass production by Tesla and strategic partnerships in solid-state battery technology [14][16][18] Energy Storage Sector - January saw a procurement of 36.3GWh in energy storage, with a notable 42% increase in the average price of 4-hour systems [25][26] - The report notes strong demand in regions like Ningxia, which completed a procurement scale of 7.76GWh, the highest in the country [25] - The report identifies key companies in the energy storage sector, including Haibo Sichuang and Sungrow Power [8] Electric Power Equipment Sector - The report discusses the approval of significant high-voltage projects, including the "Mont Electricity into Shanghai" project, marking the start of substantial construction [29][30] - It highlights the ambitious "six AC and six DC" plan in Inner Mongolia, which aims to add 48 million kilowatts of high-voltage transmission capacity [30] Photovoltaic Sector - The report tracks the stability in silicon material prices and the decline in silicon wafer prices, indicating a cautious market outlook [33][36] - It notes the recent interest from Musk's team in Chinese photovoltaic companies, focusing on potential collaborations in solar technology [39] Wind Power Sector - The report outlines progress in offshore wind projects across various regions, with significant approvals and tenders being announced [42][44] - It emphasizes the expected growth in offshore wind capacity and the importance of supply chain developments in the sector [51][52]

多空互加筹码，债市迎来"验牌时刻" 证券研究报告/固收专题报告 2026 年 02 月 08 日 分析师：吕品 执业证书编号：S0740525060003 Email：lvpin@zts.com.cn 报告摘要 近两周以来，债市的行情不断修复。尤其是以二永、10 年内期限为代表的配置型品种 来说，债市短期已经走出了非熊的局面。随着 T、TL、30 年现券的不断修复，但 30 年国债活跃券借贷量仍然在大幅度提高，空头和多头都在互扔筹码，多空决战临近"验 牌时刻"： 分析师：严伶怡 执业证书编号：S0740525070001 Email：yanly@zts.com.cn Email：suht@zts.com.cn 铜价仍有支撑》2026-02-05 2、《如何在定位和投资上做好一只 "固收+"》2026-02-05 执业证书编号：S0740524070004 Email：youyong@zts.com.cn 好？》2026-02-04 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 债券市场多空都有自信，正在互加筹码 分析师：游勇 空方：在中期与短期的逻辑可能都具有较强的完备性。比如，科技行业带动各类资产 的涨价逻辑与债市自身 ...

中 泰 证 券 研 究 所 专 业 ｜ 领 先 ｜ 深 度 ｜ 诚 信 ｜ 证 券 研 究 报 告 ｜ 两融资金继续退潮，宽基ETF流出放缓——负债行为跟踪 2 0 2 6 . 2 . 8 林莎 执业证书编号：S0740525060004 邮 箱：linsha@zts.com.cn 张可迎 执业证书编号： S0740525080001 邮 箱：zhangky04@zts.com.cn 摘要 本周，A股市场缩量下跌，有色、TMT板块领跌。 周一以来有色板块的暴跌是前期预期高度一致、杠杆资金过于集中后必然会发生的"挤水分"的结果。TMT板块的下跌则一方面是受有色板块下跌的恐慌外溢影响， 另一方面，海外科技业绩不及预期，对前期高增预期进行修正。 大幅下跌是极端市场情绪压力的反映。开年以来的增量资金抢跑，大多数资金已积累了大量浮盈，金银暴跌以及海外事件给了这些资金顺势止盈降仓的理由。但即 便如此，周二多数板块也出现超跌反弹，虽未收复所有跌幅，但反映抄底资金已经开始入场。 本周负债行为特点： 1、两融资金继续退潮。 1）两融交易额比重回落，从上周9.71%回落至9.32%，回落至接近均值水平，与去年6-7月水平基本相当 ...

A H 股市场周度观察（2 月第 1 周） 证券研究报告/策略定期报告 2026 年 02 月 08 日 分析师：徐驰 执业证书编号：S0740519080003 Email：xuchi@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740520120003 Email：zhangwy01@zts.com.cn 1、《当前市场调整是大周期见顶还 是结构性切换？》2025-08-10 报告摘要 一、A 股： 二、港股： 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 周）》2025-08-04 何？》2025-08-03 分析师：张文宇 【市场走势】本周 A 股延续调整，宽基指数普遍收跌：上证指数周跌约 1.27%，深证 成指周跌约 2.11%，创业板指周跌约 3.28%。风格层面，大盘价值相对抗跌，而成长 与中小盘回撤更明显；行业层面，食品饮料、银行等偏防御方向领涨，而有色金属、 通信、电子等高β板块领跌。成交额方面，本周沪深两市日均成交额明显缩量。 相关报告 【深度剖析】本周 A 股市场整体呈现震荡回调走势，主要受海外与大类资产风险扰动。 一方面，黄金，白银等贵金属本周持续大幅震荡，对 A 股风险偏好造成持续扰动。另 一方面， ...

Core Insights - The report highlights three investment strategies: Davis Double Hit Strategy, Net Profit Gap Strategy, and Enhanced CSI 300 Strategy, each demonstrating distinct performance metrics and methodologies [5][11][14]. Davis Double Hit Strategy - The Davis Double Hit Strategy involves buying stocks with low price-to-earnings (PE) ratios that have strong growth potential, aiming to sell them once growth is realized and PE increases, thus achieving a multiplier effect on returns [5][8]. - Historical backtesting from 2010 to 2017 shows an annualized return of 26.45%, exceeding the benchmark by 21.08%, with consistent excess returns over 11% in each of the seven complete years [10]. - As of February 6, 2026, the strategy has achieved a cumulative absolute return of 4.47%, with an excess return of -4.65% compared to the CSI 500 Index [10]. Net Profit Gap Strategy - The Net Profit Gap Strategy combines fundamental and technical analysis, focusing on stocks that exceed earnings expectations, indicated by a significant upward price gap on the first trading day post-earnings announcement [11]. - Since 2010, this strategy has yielded an annualized return of 29.66%, with an annualized excess return of 25.92% [12]. - The strategy's performance for the current year shows a cumulative absolute return of 5.28%, with an excess return of -3.84% against the benchmark [12]. Enhanced CSI 300 Strategy - The Enhanced CSI 300 Strategy is constructed based on investor preference factors, including GARP (Growth at a Reasonable Price), growth, and value investing styles, aiming to identify undervalued stocks with strong profitability [14][18]. - Historical backtesting indicates stable excess returns, with the current year's strategy showing an excess return of 6.28% relative to the CSI 300 Index [18]. - As of February 6, 2026, the strategy has achieved a return of 6.58%, outperforming the benchmark [16].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the fast food industry, expecting a growth of over 10% relative to the benchmark index in the next 6 to 12 months [5][28]. Core Insights - The fast food market in China is experiencing a revival, driven by product innovation and extended operational hours, with a notable shift towards healthier and more diverse offerings [6][8]. - The market is characterized by a significant presence of Chinese fast food, which accounts for over 47% of the market, while Western fast food holds a smaller share of 2.1% [7][10]. - The report highlights three key trends: 1. Store distribution is increasingly penetrating lower-tier cities, with expectations that by 2025, these cities will account for 65% of the market [16]. 2. Accelerated product innovation is evident, with a focus on fusion and health-oriented products, exemplified by KFC's introduction of new items at an average rate of 7.5 per month [22]. 3. A shift towards all-day operations is being adopted to maximize store utilization, with brands like KFC and McDonald's introducing time-limited products to attract diverse consumer segments [25]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The fast food sector is witnessing a recovery with a stable growth trajectory after fluctuations in store numbers and average spending per customer [7][10]. - The market size for Western fast food is projected to reach 297.5 billion yuan in 2024, with an annual growth rate of 11% [12]. Consumer Trends - The average spending for Chinese fast food is predominantly below 30 yuan, with a K-shaped distribution emerging in 2024, while Western fast food also shows a similar trend [14]. Store Distribution - The number of Chinese fast food outlets is expected to grow from 3.24 million in 2023 to 3.49 million by 2025, while Western fast food outlets are anticipated to rise from 292,000 to 325,000 in the same period [10]. Product Innovation - There is a notable trend towards product innovation, with over 1,000 new items launched by 45 Western fast food brands from January 2024 to February 2025 [22]. Operational Strategies - Fast food brands are extending their operational hours and diversifying their product offerings to cater to various consumer needs throughout the day [25].

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods Model Name: Industry Trend Allocation Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model aims to identify industry trends and allocate investments accordingly[5][8][10] - **Model Construction Process**: - The model uses various indicators to assess industry trends, including market performance, valuation levels, and risk appetite. - It incorporates signals from different sub-models such as the Mid-term Distress Reversal Expectation Model, TWO BETA Model, and Performance Trend Model. - The Mid-term Distress Reversal Expectation Model waits for reversal signals in industries like liquor and real estate. - The TWO BETA Model recommends the technology sector and monitors opportunities in commercial aerospace. - The Performance Trend Model focuses on the computing power industry chain and oversold sectors like non-ferrous metals and chemicals. - **Model Evaluation**: The model is effective in identifying industry trends and making allocation recommendations based on various market signals[5][8][10] Model Name: Timing System - **Model Construction Idea**: This model aims to distinguish the overall market environment and provide timing signals for investment decisions[5][8][9] - **Model Construction Process**: - The model uses the distance between the long-term moving average (120 days) and the short-term moving average (20 days) of the WIND All A Index. - The latest data shows the 20-day moving average at 6787 and the 120-day moving average at 6338, with a difference of 7.08%. - The model also considers the market trend line, which is currently around 6780 points, and the profitability effect, which is -1.44%. - The model suggests that the market is in a shock pattern and monitors short-term risk appetite changes. - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides clear signals for market timing based on moving averages and other indicators[5][8][9] Model Backtesting Results - **Industry Trend Allocation Model**: - **PE Valuation Level**: 90th percentile, indicating a high level[8][10] - **PB Valuation Level**: 50th percentile, indicating a medium level[8][10] - **Position Recommendation**: 70% for absolute return products with WIND All A as the stock allocation subject[8][10] - **Timing System**: - **Moving Average Distance**: 7.08%, greater than the absolute value of 3%[5][8][9] - **Market Trend Line**: Around 6780 points[5][8][9] - **Profitability Effect**: -1.44%, indicating a temporary end to the upward trend[5][8][9] Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods Factor Name: Mid-term Distress Reversal Expectation Model - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor aims to identify potential reversal signals in distressed industries[5][8][10] - **Factor Construction Process**: - The model monitors industries like liquor and real estate for reversal signals. - It uses various market indicators to assess the likelihood of a reversal. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor is useful for identifying potential investment opportunities in distressed industries[5][8][10] Factor Name: TWO BETA Model - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor aims to recommend sectors with high growth potential, such as technology[5][8][10] - **Factor Construction Process**: - The model focuses on the technology sector and monitors opportunities in commercial aerospace. - It uses market performance and other indicators to make recommendations. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor is effective in identifying high-growth sectors and making investment recommendations[5][8][10] Factor Name: Performance Trend Model - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor aims to identify sectors with strong performance trends[5][8][10] - **Factor Construction Process**: - The model focuses on the computing power industry chain and oversold sectors like non-ferrous metals and chemicals. - It uses performance indicators to make recommendations. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor is useful for identifying sectors with strong performance trends and making investment recommendations[5][8][10] Factor Backtesting Results - **Mid-term Distress Reversal Expectation Model**: - **PE Valuation Level**: 90th percentile, indicating a high level[8][10] - **PB Valuation Level**: 50th percentile, indicating a medium level[8][10] - **TWO BETA Model**: - **PE Valuation Level**: 90th percentile, indicating a high level[8][10] - **PB Valuation Level**: 50th percentile, indicating a medium level[8][10] - **Performance Trend Model**: - **PE Valuation Level**: 90th percentile, indicating a high level[8][10] - **PB Valuation Level**: 50th percentile, indicating a medium level[8][10]

两商业不动产 REITs 申报，中核能源 REIT 表现亮眼 -公募 REITs 行业周报 评级：无评级 分析师：陈希瑞 执业证书编号：S0740524070002 Email：chenxr@zts.com.cn | 基本状况 | | | --- | --- | | 上市公司数 | 79 | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 2272.76 | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 1239.34 | 1、《公募 REITs2026 年度策略报告： 资产为王，重视节奏》2025-12-11 营 仍 在 分 化 ， 博 弈 预 期 改 善 》 2025-12-07 3、《证监会商业不动产 REITs 试点 公告解读：公募 REITs 迈向"基础设 施+商业不动产"双轮驱动新阶段》 2025-11-29 REITs 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2026 年 02 月 08 日 报告摘要 本周行情回顾： 本周 REITs 指数下跌 0.91%，沪深 300 累计下跌 1.33%，中证红利指数下跌 0.51%，中 证全债指数上涨 0.10%，中债 1 年期国债指数上涨 0.00%，中债 10 年期国债指数上涨 0.10%，中证转债 ...

前瞻 | 上市银行 2025 年年报： 业绩增速有望稳中向好，资产质量持续优化 评级： 增持（维持） 执业证书编号：S0740517030004 Email：daizf@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740519050002 Email：dengmj@zts.com.cn 分析师：杨超伦 执业证书编号：S0740524090004 Email：yangcl@zts.com.cn 3、《详解基金 4Q25 银行持仓：板块 提升 0.04pcts 至 2.08%》2026-01-25 银行 证券研究报告/行业专题报告 2026 年 02 月 07 日 风险提示：经济下滑超预期；研报信息更新不及时；政策落地不及预期。 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 | 上市公司数 | 42 | | --- | --- | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 146,116.35 | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 139,898.72 | 1、《1 月金融数据前瞻： 预计新增 贷款 5.1-5.25 万亿元，社融增速为 8.3%》2026-02-07 2026-01-31 分析师：戴志锋 报告摘要 核心观点：1、十一家银行业绩快 ...