Group 1: Market Overview - The total trading volume of the A-shares last week was 4.08 trillion yuan, a decrease from the previous week[9] - The turnover rate was 4.08%, also down from the previous week[9] - The net outflow of market funds amounted to 184.42 billion yuan, indicating weakened liquidity[9] Group 2: Fund Flows and Financing - The issuance scale of equity funds was 12.728 billion yuan, a decline from the previous week[21] - Margin trading saw a net outflow of 161.45 billion yuan, with its trading volume dropping to 8.38% of the A-share total[25] - There were no IPOs last week, and the refinancing scale was 2 cases totaling 23.75 million yuan[29] Group 3: Bond Market and Interest Rates - The net injection of funds in the open market was 735.8 billion yuan last week[12] - The yield on 10-year government bonds decreased by 3 basis points, while the yield on 1-year bonds increased by 1 basis point, narrowing the yield spread[12] - The probability of the Federal Reserve not lowering interest rates in May rose to 97%[17] Group 4: Investor Behavior - Institutional investors reduced their holdings in the top five sectors: electric power equipment, non-bank financials, computers, electronics, and machinery[5] - The total amount of shares released from lock-up was 38.099 billion yuan, with the top three sectors being pharmaceuticals, basic chemicals, and machinery[34]

金 金融工程点评 [Table_Title] 金工 ETF 点评：跨境 ETF 单日净流出 23.08 亿元；银行拥挤度大幅收窄 电话：13401163428 E-MAIL：liuxf@tpyzq.com 执业资格证书编码：S1190522090001 研究助理：孙弋轩 电话：18910596766 一、资金流向 二、行业拥挤度监测 ◼ 通过构建行业拥挤度监测模型，对申万一级行业指数的拥挤度进行每日监测， 前一交易日纺织服饰、轻工制造、美容护理拥挤度靠前，相比较而言，煤炭 的拥挤度水平较低，建议关注。此外，有色金属、通信、银行单日拥挤度变 动较大。从主力资金流动来看，前一交易日主力资金流入计算机、电子、机 械设备，流出国防军工、轻工制造、农林牧渔。近三个交易日主力资金增配 计算机、机械设备、电子，减配公用事业、国防军工、基础化工。 三、ETF 产品关注信号 ◼ 根据溢价率 Z-score 模型搭建相关 ETF 产品筛选信号模型，通过滚动测算提 供存在潜在套利机会的标的，此外需警惕标的回调风险。 风险提示：本报告结论完全基于公开历史数据，建议关注的行业指数与 ETF 产品基于 构建的量化模型，仅供大家参考阅读， ...

2025 年 05 月 06 日 公司点评 增持/下调 今世缘(603369) 目标价: 53.64 昨收盘:47.40 今世缘：2024 年稳健收官，2025 年顺利实现开门红 ◼ 走势比较 (40%) (28%) (16%) (4%) 8% 20% 24/5/6 24/7/16 24/9/25 24/12/5 25/2/14 25/4/26 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 12.47/12.47 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 590.98/590.98 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 59.38/35.35 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<今世缘：三季度业绩符合预期，产 品结构势能延续>>--2024-11-01 <<今世缘：业绩符合预期，后百亿时 代稳中有进>>--2024-08-19 <<今世缘：一季度开门红顺利收官， 开启后百亿征程>>--2024-05-05 多产品稳健增长，省内持续深耕省外快速渗透。分产品，2024 年公 司特 A+/特 A/A/B/C&D 分别实现营收 74.91/33.47/4.19/1.42/0.74 亿 元，同比 ...

良信股份(002706) 目标价: 昨收盘:8.36 良信股份点评：优质低压电器龙头，新的成长期有望到来 ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (16%) (2%) 12% 26% 40% 24/5/6 24/7/16 24/9/25 24/12/5 25/2/14 25/4/26 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 11.23/9.15 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 93.89/76.47 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 10.38/5.49 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 2025 年 05 月 04 日 公司点评 买入/维持 <<良信电器 2017 年报点评：业绩稳 健，拟进军工业自动化及智能配 电>>--2018-03-25 证券分析师：刘强 电话： E-MAIL：liuqiang@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522080001 证券分析师：梁必果 电话： E-MAIL：liangbg@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190524010001 证券分析师：钟欣材 电话： E-MAIL：zhongxc@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号： ...

2025 年 05 月 01 日 公司点评 买入/维持 科大讯飞(002230) 目标价: 昨收盘:46.93 收入快速增长，持续迭代 AI 模型 ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (18%) (6%) 6% 18% 30% 24/5/6 24/7/16 24/9/25 24/12/5 25/2/14 25/4/26 投资建议：公司来自于 AI 的收入实现快速增长。预计 2025-2027 年公司的 EPS 分别为 0.39/0.61/0.83 元，维持买入评级。 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 23.12/21.89 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 1,084.88/1,02 | | | 7.37 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 59.37/32.66 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<收入快速增长，AI 落地加速>>-- 2024-08-23 <<坚定 AI 战略，期待应用表现>>-- 2023-10-24 <>--2023-08-18 证券分析师：曹佩 整体收入保持高速增长。2024 年，公司收入 233.43 亿元，同比 增长 18.79%：智慧教育业务 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [5][15]. Core Insights - The company, Haopeng Technology, is positioned as a leading battery provider with significant flexibility in AI applications, showing a strong upward trend in performance [4][5]. - Recent financial results indicate a recovery, with 2024 revenue reaching 5.108 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.50%, and a net profit of 91 million yuan, up 81.43% [3][4]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 1.225 billion yuan, reflecting a 23.27% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 32 million yuan, a remarkable increase of 903.92% [3][4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Haopeng Technology focuses on AI application battery services and has adopted an "All in AI" strategy to expand its market presence [4]. - The company has established a global operational structure with a headquarters and multiple production bases, enhancing its global service capabilities [5]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts net profits of 247 million yuan, 362 million yuan, and 479 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a strong recovery and growth potential [5][7]. - The projected revenue growth rates for the next few years are 17.08% in 2025, 20.72% in 2026, and 19.03% in 2027 [7][11]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the rising demand in both consumer electronics and AI applications, particularly in high-energy density batteries for AI hardware [4][5]. - Haopeng Technology is targeting high-value markets and has focused its R&D on addressing the technical challenges of AI devices, such as high energy consumption and heat dissipation [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Poly Developments [1][10] Core Views - The company's revenue performance is under short-term pressure, but its leading position in the industry remains solid [1][10] - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 311.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.00 billion yuan, down 58.56% year-on-year [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 54.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.09%, with a net profit of 1.95 billion yuan, down 12.27% year-on-year, indicating a narrowing decline compared to the full year of 2024 [4][5] Revenue and Profitability - The company's sales amount for 2024 was 323.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.5%, with a sales area of 17.97 million square meters, down 24.7% [6] - The gross profit margin for 2024 decreased by 2 percentage points to 14% [5][10] - The company has maintained its sales amount as the industry leader for two consecutive years [6] Market Position and Strategy - The company focuses on core cities, with a sales market share in 38 core cities increasing by 2 percentage points to 90% in 2024 [6][7] - The company expanded its land acquisition in 2024 with a total land price of 68.3 billion yuan, ranking second in the industry, with 99% of the investment located in 38 core cities [7] Debt and Financing - As of the end of 2024, the company's interest-bearing debt was reduced by 5.4 billion yuan to 348.8 billion yuan, with a debt-to-asset ratio decreasing by 2.2 percentage points to 74.3% [9] - The financing cost continued to decline, with the comprehensive cost of newly added interest-bearing debt down 22 basis points to 2.92% [9][10] Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 5.21 billion yuan, 5.40 billion yuan, and 6.07 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [10] - Corresponding PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 19.25X, 18.54X, and 16.51X [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][4] Core Views - The company is exploring the implementation of AI models across various sectors, including smart governance, smart travel, smart finance, and more [4] - The company has launched several AI models, including the "Congrong Intelligent Review Model" and a self-developed financial model, and has partnered with Huawei to release integrated AI training and inference machines [4] - The company aims to promote the prosperity of the Hongmeng ecosystem and has secured projects with Guangzhou Bank and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank [4] - The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be -0.45, -0.38, and -0.19 yuan respectively [4] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company's revenue is expected to be 398 million yuan, a decrease of 36.69% year-on-year, with a net profit of -696 million yuan, a decrease of 8.12% year-on-year [6][8] - Revenue is projected to grow to 440 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 10.64%, and further to 560 million yuan in 2026, with a growth rate of 27.27% [6][8] - The company’s net profit is expected to improve from -468 million yuan in 2025 to -192 million yuan in 2027 [6][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][6]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing rapid growth in its automotive business, with a significant focus on both HarmonyOS and AI technologies [1][5]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.321 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.22%, with a net profit of 131 million yuan, up 15.90% [4][5]. - The automotive business alone saw a remarkable growth of 101.23%, reaching 390 million yuan [5]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.9 billion yuan, 5.7 billion yuan, and 6.7 billion yuan, with respective growth rates of 13.41%, 16.33%, and 17.54% [8]. - The diluted earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.34 yuan in 2025, 0.40 yuan in 2026, and 0.52 yuan in 2027 [8][6]. - The company has established a team of over 1,000 certified HarmonyOS developers and over 200 sales personnel, achieving significant breakthroughs in various industries [5][6]. Business Segment Performance - Internet revenue reached 1.499 billion yuan, growing by 4.61%, while financial revenue was 1.238 billion yuan, up 7.91% [5]. - The energy business generated 335 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 47.42%, and the software business saw a 65.90% increase, reaching 112 million yuan [5]. - The company is actively participating in the domestic programming language ecosystem and has developed several AI applications through its FarAI platform [5].

2025 年 04 月 29 日 公司点评 买入/维持 海泰新光(688677) 昨收盘:34.70 海泰新光点评报告：海外布局稳步推进，客户订单有望恢复 ◼ 走势比较 (50%) (36%) (22%) (8%) 6% 20% 24/4/29 24/7/11 24/9/22 24/12/4 25/2/15 25/4/29 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 1.21/1.21 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 41.85/41.85 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 49.3/25.48 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<海泰新光点评报告：短期受客户订 单周期影响，业绩恢复可期>>-- 2024-10-31 <<海泰新光点评报告：史赛克产品迭 代影响公司 23 年收入，24 年有望迎 来反转>>--2023-10-29 <<海泰新光点评报告：第二季度订单 波动，未来增长依然可期>>--2023- 09-03 证券分析师：谭紫媚 电话：0755-83688830 E-MAIL：tanzm@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190520090001 研究助理 ...