Search documents
华天科技:24H1预计归母净利润同增超200%,持续深化先进封装技术升级
Huajin Securities· 2024-07-29 14:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy-A" [1][2]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a projected growth of over 200% year-on-year for the first half of 2024. This is driven by a recovery in demand for electronic products and an increase in orders, leading to improved capacity utilization and revenue growth [1][2]. - The advanced packaging market is anticipated to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.81% from 2021 to 2027, reaching a market size of $59.1 billion by 2027. The 2.5D/3D packaging technology is expected to see a CAGR of 13.73%, with a projected market size of $18 billion by 2027 [1][2]. - The company is actively developing advanced packaging technologies, particularly focusing on the eSinC 2.5D packaging technology platform to meet the high-end testing needs of the AI era [1][2]. Financial Performance and Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 13.02 billion, 15.39 billion, and 17.28 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with growth rates of 15.2%, 18.2%, and 12.3% [2][3]. - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for the same years is 592 million, 910 million, and 1.28 billion yuan, with growth rates of 161.6%, 53.6%, and 41.1% [2][3]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are expected to be 44.3, 28.8, and 20.4 for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [2][3]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioning itself to capture market share in the advanced packaging sector by establishing a subsidiary focused on board-level packaging technology, aiming to enhance its competitive edge in the market [2][3]. - The company is leveraging its 3D Matrix platform to integrate various advanced packaging technologies, which is expected to drive growth in its market share within the advanced packaging field [2][3].
传媒:游戏产业稳健增长,关注下半年新增量
Huajin Securities· 2024-07-29 09:30
游戏产业稳健增长,关注下半年新增量 投资要点 事件: 7 月 25 日,中国国际数字娱乐产业大会(CDEC)在沪举行,现场发布 《2024 年 1-6 月中国游戏产业报告》,数据显示上半年中国游戏产业稳健增长, 出海渐趋多元化。ChinaJoy 临近尾声,展会规模和参展热度持续创新高,新旧 变量有望为游戏产业带来新活力,助力下半年游戏产业发展。 轻量小游戏或成新变量。本届 ChinaJoy 重要组成部分之一的 CGDC 大会(中 国游戏开发者大会)于 7 月 27 日在沪举办,微信小游戏首次亮相。据大会内容, 目前,小游戏用户达到 10 亿,月活用户 5 亿,过去一年累计服务超过 40 万开 发者,经营环境高效、长线、稳定。据企鹅有调调研显示,90.6%的受访者认为 小游戏行业发展有助于拉动就业,尤其是游戏行业从业者认为有帮助的占比高达 98.6%。小游戏玩家量级大、"即玩即走"的特点,让"小而美"的小游戏产品 拥有更多机会,即使非头部亦有机会通过多布局、少投放的方式实现生存发展。 头部公司发力维护基本盘,情怀凸显 IP 价值。暴雪旗下经典游戏和 IP 回归国服 进程稳步推进。7 月 28 日 11 时,《炉 ...
电力设备及新能源行业周报:电力设备及新能源宁德时代发布2024年半年度财报,多地海风项目推动提速【第29期】
Huajin Securities· 2024-07-29 08:01
电力设备及新能源 行业周报 宁德时代发布 2024 年半年度财报,多地海风项 目推动提速【第 29 期】 投资要点 新能源汽车:本周,特斯拉宣布 4680 电池已开始装配 Cybertruck 进行验证, 并首次提出 Q4 实现干法正极量产的目标。宁德时代洛阳基地一期 30GWh 项目 电池工厂宣布投产,首个麒麟电池完成封装。鹏辉能源拟投资约 18 亿元建设年 产 10GWh 储能电芯及系统集成项目,和投资约 5 亿元建设年产 1GWh 的半固 态电池项目。亿纬锂能与英飞凌科技有限公司签署合作备忘录,在新一代的电池 管理系统中,英飞凌将提供整套芯片解决方案,覆盖微控制器单元、模拟前端等 多个关键组件。LG 新能源发布 2024 年第二季度财报,2024Q2 实现营收 6.16 万亿韩元(约 322.17 亿元),环比+0.5%,同比-29.8%;营业利润 1953 亿韩 元(约 10.21 亿元),环比+24.2%,同比-57.6%。宁德时代发布 2024 年半年 度财报,2024H1 实现营收 1667.67 亿元,同比-11.88%;归母净利润 228.65 亿元,同比-10.37%;毛利率 26.53% ...
今世缘:十年上市发展稳,百亿收官再启航
Huajin Securities· 2024-07-29 07:01
十年上市发展稳,百亿收官再启航 投资要点 十年耕耘发展稳,百亿收官再启航。今世缘前身是江苏省淮安市高沟酒厂,是江苏 省传统名酒"三沟一河"的构成之一。2024 年是今世缘上市 10 周年、"国缘"品 牌成立 20 周年,也是实现营收过百亿、继续攀登下一个百亿高峰的里程碑。公司 营业收入自 2014 年上市时的 24 亿元增加至 2023 年的 101 亿元,CAGR 为 17.3%, 归母净利润自 2014 年的 6.41 亿增加至 2023 年的 31.36 亿元,CAGR 为 19.2%。 百亿之后公司继续坚定发展,向 2025 年营收 150 亿的新征程继续迈进。 产品上:三大品牌定位明确,产品矩阵覆盖多档价格带。公司始终瞄准消费者心理, 以"缘"文化为核心打造品牌,为产品赋予缘文化的独到内涵,以酒结缘,以缘兴 酒。基于缘文化这一立足点,公司打造形成"国缘"、"今世缘"、"高沟"三大 品牌,产品进行差异化定位,覆盖价格带范围宽,适应不同大环境,打法灵活。公 司上市前后正处于白酒调整期,高端白酒消费尤其是政商消费需求下滑,公司重点 推广中档品牌"今世缘",瞄准日常喜宴场景;2017 年后江苏省内次高端价格 ...
电气设备:国网电网投资规划创新高,关注特高压与配网智能化
Huajin Securities· 2024-07-29 03:31
电气设备 行业快报 国网电网投资规划创新高,关注特高压与配网 智能化 事件点评 国家电网公司 26 日披露,为加快构建新型电力系统,促进新能源高质量发展, 推动大规模设备更新改造,国家电网公司今年全年电网投资将首次超过 6000 亿 元,今年比去年新增 711 亿元。 电网投资创新高,特高压持续景气。电网投资覆盖产业链长、见效快,成为逆 周期投资、拉动增长的重要选项,7 月 26 日,国网表示 24 年全年电网投资将 首次超过 6000 亿(同比新增 711 亿元),同比增加将超 10%,投资增速创 2015 年来新高。新增投资主要用于特高压交直流工程建设、加强县域电网与大电网联 系、电网数字化智能化升级等。此外,7 月 17 日,南网表示正全面推进电网设 备大规模更新,预计 2024 年至 2027 年,大规模设备更新投资规模将达到 1953 亿元。其中,2024 年年中将增加投资 40 亿元,全年投资规模达到 404 亿元, 力争到 2027 年实现电网设备更新投资规模较 2023 年增长 52%。1-6 月份,全 国主要发电企业电源工程完成投资 3441 亿元,同比增长 2.5%;电网工程完成 投资 2 ...
英联股份:深度报告:传统主业稳建,复合箔材打造新增长极
Huajin Securities· 2024-07-29 03:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock [36] Core Views - The company is implementing a "dual main business" strategy, focusing on both metal packaging and composite current collectors, with the latter expected to become a second growth curve [37][42] - The composite current collector business is projected to generate over 3.6 billion yuan in annual revenue upon full production [37] - The company's traditional metal packaging business is expected to stabilize, while the composite current collector business is set to expand rapidly [52] Financial Performance and Projections - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 1.747 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.253 billion yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of 23.9% [53] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to increase from 14 million yuan in 2023 to 48 million yuan in 2026 [53] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 11.9% in 2023 to 16.5% in 2026 [53] Industry and Market Analysis - The metal packaging industry in China achieved a cumulative revenue of 150.562 billion yuan in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 0.34% [151] - The beer canning rate in China increased from 16.2% in 2009 to 32.5% in 2022, indicating significant growth potential for metal packaging in the beverage industry [160] - The composite current collector market is expected to benefit from its advantages in energy density, cost reduction, and safety, with potential applications in lithium-ion batteries [148][171][178] Company Operations and Strategy - The company plans to invest 3.089 billion yuan in the composite current collector project, aiming to build 134 composite copper foil production lines and 10 composite aluminum foil production lines [37] - The company's traditional business, particularly beverage can lids, has seen significant capacity expansion, with production capacity increasing from 1.381 billion pieces in 2017 to 10.344 billion pieces in 2022 [105] - The company has a diversified customer base, with the top five customers accounting for only 18.28% of total sales in 2022, reducing dependency on any single client [128] Risks and Challenges - The commercialization of composite current collectors may face challenges due to the need for coordinated development across the industry chain [6] - The company's profitability has been impacted by fluctuations in raw material prices, particularly aluminum and tinplate, which account for a significant portion of production costs [79][117][119]
新股专题:高低切升温背景下资金更为强调性价比,但板块结构性活跃特征未改
Huajin Securities· 2024-07-28 12:22
http://www.huajinsc.cn/ 1 / 14 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 (2)本周暂无新股将开启申购。 (3)以中期投资来看,我们建议关注鼎泰高科、致尚科技、纳睿雷达等个股的可 能投资机会。 http://www.huajinsc.cn/ 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | 2024 年 07 月 28 日 \n高低切升温背景下资金更为强调性价比,但板块结构性活跃特征未改 | 策略类●证券研究报告 \n新股专题 | | 投资要点 | 分析师 李蕙 | | 新股周观点:上周整体市场风险偏好出现剧烈波动,此前交易周活跃的科创及北证 | SAC 执业证书编号: S0910519100001 | | 新股次新出现 ...
震荡筑底后八月可能有反弹机会
Huajin Securities· 2024-07-28 11:30
震荡筑底后八月可能有反弹机会 定期报告 当前来看,A 股震荡筑底后短期可能有反弹机会。(1)经济和盈利短期延续弱修 复趋势。一是短期经济预期偏弱但可能边际改善:首先地产销售和消费低迷、外需 可能走弱,经济修复预期偏弱;其次近期 3000 亿大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换 新政策落地,消费和制造业投资增速可能有所回升。二是中报业绩显示 A 股盈利回 升趋势延续。(2)短期政策和外部冲击偏正面。一是三中全会后保增长相关政策 可能加速出台和落地:首先,近三届三中全会召开后,短期内政策均密集落地;其 次,今年三中全会重点强调的发展新质生产力、扩大内需等相关的政策短期可能加 速落地。二是海外降息预期上升,短期中美摩擦风险有限:首先,美联储 9 月大概 率降息;其次,美国大选竞争白热化,短期内中美摩擦风险上升的概率较低。 红利和科技占优会发生变化吗? 2024.7.20 深化改革,关注科技和扩内需 2024.7.19 特 朗 普 若 胜 选 , 对 市 场 有 何 影 响 ? 2024.7.15 风险提示:历史经验未来不一定适用,政策超预期变化,经济修复不及预期。 分析师 邓利军 SAC 执业证书编号:S091052308 ...
食品饮料行业周报:茅台市场工作会召开,巴黎奥运会盛大开幕
Huajin Securities· 2024-07-28 11:30
食品饮料 行业周报 茅台市场工作会召开,巴黎奥运会盛大开幕 投资要点 行情回顾:上周食品饮料(申万)行业整体下跌 6.34%,在 31 个子行业中排名 第 30 位,跑输上证综指 3.27pct,跑输创业板指 2.51pct。二级(申万)子板块 对比,上周子板块中白酒表现较差,跌幅分别为 7.19%,三级子行业软饮料表 现相对较好,下跌 2.15%,白酒为三级子行业中表现最差,下跌 7.19%。 上周大事: 茅台召开 24 年半年市场工作会议:"道术"并用,穿越行业周期。7 月 23 日, 贵州茅台召开 2024 年半年度市场工作会议,会议全面总结茅台酒上半年市场营 销工作,并进一步分析发展面临的"时"与"势",明确市场工作的"道"与"术", 为成功穿越本轮行业周期凝聚共识。看清"时"与"势",要正确认识"三期叠 加"复杂市场形势下蕴含的本质规律。从外部看,宏观经济周期调整导致的白酒 消费场景转换是"必然的",行业调整周期是"去库存"的良性循环。从内部看, 茅台酒兼具的社交、收藏等属性,及在此基础上形成的溢价空间,是来源于产品 价值、品牌价值的持续提升,也造就了茅台酒自身的"发展周期"。在"三期叠 加"复杂市 ...
绝味食品:品牌焕新,蓄势待发
Huajin Securities· 2024-07-28 11:30
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-B" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for the next 6 months with expected investment returns leading the CSI 300 Index by more than 15% [22][53] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from brand renewal and marketing activities, including the appointment of a new global brand ambassador and Olympic-related promotions, which are likely to boost sales in the short term [9][47] - The company's strategy for 2024 focuses on optimizing store operations and improving single-store performance, shifting from rapid expansion to a more refined approach [21] - Long-term growth is supported by the company's efforts to build a "food ecosystem" through new projects and investments in the food and beverage sector [21] Financial Data and Valuation - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 7.236 billion yuan in 2024 to 8.902 billion yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of 10.4% and 11.4% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [22][52] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 649 million yuan in 2024 to 910 million yuan in 2026, with growth rates of 19% and 18% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [22][52] - The company's PE ratio is forecasted to decline from 14x in 2024 to 10x in 2026, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to historical levels [14][22] Business Breakdown - The company's main business, leisure braised food sales, is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.1% and 10% in 2025 and 2026, respectively, driven by store optimization and improved single-store performance [48] - Franchise management revenue is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.9% and 5.8% in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a slight decline in 2024 due to store adjustments [11] - Other main businesses, including modern agriculture and supply chain services, are expected to grow at a CAGR of 20% in both 2025 and 2026 [36] Comparable Company Valuation - The company's valuation is relatively low compared to peers, with a 2024 PE ratio of 14x, lower than the average of 18x for comparable companies [14][28] - The company's PE ratio is at the 5th percentile of its historical range since 2017, indicating a historically low valuation [14] Profitability and Growth - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 24.8% in 2023 to 29% in 2026, driven by cost control and scale effects [48][52] - Net profit margin is projected to increase from 4.7% in 2023 to 10.2% in 2026, reflecting improved operational efficiency [52] - ROE is expected to rise from 4.6% in 2023 to 10.9% in 2026, indicating stronger profitability and capital utilization [52]