2025 年 12 月 07 日 行业研究●证券研究报告 汽车 行业周报 人形机器人行业双周报(1124-1207)：Optimus、 周度行情回顾 2025 年 12 月 1 日至 12 月 5 日，人形机器人指数上涨 1.41%，沪深 300 指数 上涨 1.28%，人形机器人指数领先 0.13pct。 2025 年 11 月 24 日至 11 月 28 日，人形机器人指数上涨 4.78%，沪深 300 指 数上涨 1.64%，人形机器人指数领先 3.14pct。 周度热点回顾 12 月 3 日，特斯拉发布了 Optimus 在实验室中奔跑的视频。视频中，一台 Optimus 人形机器人在实验室环境中，双腿自然迈开，以肉眼可见的流畅姿态奔 跑。本次 Optimus 的奔跑，整个过程的动作表现稳定，未出现明显的失衡或冗 余动作。 Figure 03 跑步姿态超预期，人形机器人催生丝杠 12 月 4 日，Figure 发布 Figure 03 高速奔跑视频。Figure AI 创始人兼 CEO Brett Adcock 发布了一段简短视频，展示 Figure 03 在类似实验室环境中高速奔跑的 画面。视频中， ...

2025 年 12 月 07 日 策略类●证券研究报告 新股次新板块重回震荡拉锯，休整尾端耐心观察并适度灵活 新股专题 分析师 李蕙 SAC 执业证书编号：S0910519100001 lihui1@huajinsc.cn （4）本周可能即将上市的新股：百奥赛图等。 上周新股表现： （1）新股发行表现：上周，共有 2 只新股网上申购，2 只均为科创板新股未盈利 上市，分别为昂瑞微和沐曦股份。 （2）上周上市新股表现：假设将上周上市的沪深新股收益表现拆解为打新收益和 二级市场开板后的上涨收益，1）首先，打新收益来看，上周沪深新股上市首日平 均涨幅约 350%，较此前交易周沪深新股首日涨幅明显回升，并显著超越此前多个 交易周 200%区间平均涨幅，可能凸显上周新股首日交投情绪火热。具体到个股， 可能上周首日交投情绪突然火爆与标的稀缺性有较大关系，上周上市的中国铀业为 当前 A 股第一只天然铀标的，而摩尔线程则为本土代表性 GPU 企业之一。2）其 次，从二级市场投资收益来看，上周上市新股首日之后平均涨幅约-3.1%；可能来 说，上周上市新股资金多空博弈拉扯或较为明显，一方面由于当前首日再定价相对 投资要点 新股周 ...

Core Views - The report suggests that 2026 may witness a structural recovery in earnings, leading to a slow bull market in A-shares, driven by technology and cyclical sectors, despite high valuations [5][17] - The main theme for 2026 is expected to be a continuation of loose liquidity and a structural recovery in earnings, with potential for strong performance in technology and cyclical industries [6][37] Macroeconomic Environment - The macroeconomic outlook for 2026 indicates that the Federal Reserve may continue to lower interest rates, maintaining a loose liquidity environment domestically [19][24] - Exports are anticipated to face high base pressure but may still show resilience, particularly in high-tech products and emerging markets [26][27] - Infrastructure investment growth is expected to stabilize and recover, supported by proactive fiscal policies and increased issuance of special bonds [28] - Real estate investment growth is likely to remain weak, although policies may ease, leading to a gradual stabilization in housing prices and sales [30] - Manufacturing investment growth is projected to stabilize and recover, driven by policies promoting new productive forces and equipment upgrades [32] Industry Allocation - The report recommends focusing on technology growth and cyclical growth as the main allocation themes for 2026, with specific attention to sectors such as TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), electric new energy, machinery, pharmaceuticals, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, military industry, and non-bank financials [7] - Large-cap and small-cap stocks are expected to perform relatively well, with a tilt towards cyclical styles [7] Earnings Recovery - Earnings in the technology and cyclical sectors are expected to continue rising, contributing positively to overall A-share performance [37][39] - The report highlights that fiscal policy support may enhance corporate earnings growth, similar to past instances of fiscal stimulus [39]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [3] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that AI is driving advanced packaging demand, with significant growth in storage-related businesses [2][4] - The semiconductor packaging sector experienced a slight decline in gross margin in Q3 2025, but year-on-year comparisons show growth [11][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of advanced packaging technologies in enhancing chip performance and integration, particularly with the ongoing development of Chiplet packaging concepts [4][5] Summary by Sections Overview - In Q3 2025, the semiconductor packaging sector's gross margin slightly decreased, with a gross margin of 21.09%, which is higher than the average of 15.79% for leading packaging companies [11][12] OSAT (Outsourced Semiconductor Assembly and Test) - AI is significantly boosting demand for advanced packaging, with notable growth in the storage sector [17] - Major companies like ASE achieved revenues of 22.63 billion RMB in Q3 2025, reflecting an 8.34% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 16.90% year-on-year increase [18][19] - Advanced packaging services are expected to continue driving growth, particularly in AI-related applications [19][20] Testing - AI-related business growth is notable, with companies like Jingyuan Electronics reporting a revenue increase of 31.99% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [5][41] - Wei Ce Technology's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 10.83 billion RMB, a 46.22% year-on-year increase, driven by strong demand in computing and automotive electronics [5][41] Equipment - The report indicates that AI growth is leading to a continuous increase in orders, with companies like Besi reporting a 36.5% quarter-on-quarter increase in new orders [5][41] - ASMPT's revenue in Q3 2025 was 33.13 billion RMB, a 7.6% quarter-on-quarter increase, driven by growth in SMT business [5][41] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies benefiting from AI-driven demand, including packaging companies like ASE, Tongfu Microelectronics, and Changdian Technology, as well as testing companies like Jingyuan Electronics and Wei Ce Technology [5][41]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy," indicating that the stock is expected to outperform the market index by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [33]. Core Insights - The company has made significant breakthroughs in next-generation 25G PON technology, achieving mass production of integrated transceiver chips and is expected to enter mass production of 50G PON solutions by 2026 [1][25]. - The company is a major supplier in the global optical communication chip market, particularly in the 10Gbps and below segment, and is rapidly expanding its presence in the 25G and above market [24][27]. - The company has a comprehensive product range covering from single-channel 155Mbps to multi-channel 800Gbps optical communication chips, with a strong focus on high-speed optical communication technology [24][28]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 339.1 million yuan in 2022, 313.1 million yuan in 2023, and is projected to achieve 410.6 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of -7.65% in 2023 and 31.11% in 2024 [5][9]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 81.4 million yuan in 2022, 72.1 million yuan in 2023, and is expected to be 77.9 million yuan in 2024, with year-over-year changes of -11.44% and 8.02% respectively [5][9]. - For 2025, the company anticipates revenue growth of 15.70% to 20.57%, with net profit growth of 18.15% to 25.86% [9][30]. Industry Overview - The optical communication chip industry is positioned as a high-tech segment within the semiconductor integrated circuit field, with significant investment and longer R&D cycles compared to other components [18][19]. - The global market for optical communication chips is expected to grow significantly, driven by advancements in AI, data centers, and 5G technology, with the telecom side market projected to reach 1.85 billion USD by 2024 and the data center side market expected to reach 2.09 billion USD [22][23]. Company Highlights - The company has been recognized as a leading supplier in the optical communication chip sector, particularly in the 10Gbps and below market, and is rapidly increasing its market share in the 25G and above segment [24][27]. - The company has participated in several national-level research projects and has received multiple national qualifications, indicating its strong position in the industry [8][24]. - The company plans to invest in three key projects through its IPO, focusing on next-generation access networks, automotive chips, and high-speed optical communication chips [28][29]. Peer Comparison - In comparison to similar companies, the average revenue for peers in 2024 is projected at 701 million yuan, with an average PS-TTM of 27.70X and a gross profit margin of 35.61%. The company’s revenue is below the peer average, but its gross profit margin is in the mid-to-high range [30][31].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Outperform the Market" [3][10] Core Views - The nuclear power sector is experiencing a significant upturn, with the entire industry chain expected to benefit continuously. Recent project initiations, such as the Shandong Zhaoyuan Nuclear Power Project and the Zhejiang San'ao Nuclear Power Project, mark the commencement of major construction efforts [1] - The listing of China Uranium Corporation is anticipated to enhance the domestic uranium supply capacity and resource security, filling a gap in the capital market for the uranium industry [6] - China's nuclear power capacity continues to grow, with a total of 59 operational reactors and 53 under construction, indicating a strong recovery in the global nuclear market and vast overseas opportunities [7] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The nuclear power sector has seen a 23.3% year-on-year increase in investment completion, amounting to 990.9 billion yuan from January to September 2025 [6] - The approval of new nuclear power units has been consistent, with over 10 units approved annually since 2022, contributing to a total investment exceeding 200 billion yuan for the newly approved units in 2025 [6] Market Dynamics - The natural uranium market is tightening, with expectations of a gradual price increase. China Uranium Corporation holds significant mining rights and advanced extraction technologies, positioning it well for future growth [6][9] - The global nuclear power landscape is expanding, with China's nuclear generation capacity still below that of other major economies, indicating room for growth [7] Investment Recommendations - For equipment manufacturers in the nuclear power sector, companies like China Nuclear Technology and Dongfang Electric are recommended due to expected high growth in equipment orders [9] - In the nuclear operation and construction segment, firms such as China National Nuclear Corporation and China General Nuclear Power Group are highlighted for their long-term growth potential [9] - The fourth-generation reactors and fusion energy projects are also recommended for investment, with companies like Hezhong Intelligent and Jiadian Co. being noted for their involvement in these areas [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy," indicating an expected increase in stock price relative to the market index by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [35]. Core Insights - The company, Nabichuan, focuses on the research, production, and sales of thermal management products for new energy vehicle power batteries, fuel vehicle power systems, and energy storage batteries. It has established a strong position in the domestic market for battery liquid cooling plates [9][27]. - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 1.03 billion yuan in 2022, 1.14 billion yuan in 2023, and 1.44 billion yuan in 2024, representing year-over-year growth rates of 98.37%, 10.21%, and 26.48% respectively [10][31]. - The company is actively expanding its product offerings, including innovations in battery box integration and the development of energy storage battery thermal management systems, which are expected to drive future growth [28][29]. Summary by Sections Basic Financial Status - The company achieved operating revenues of 1.03 billion yuan in 2022, 1.14 billion yuan in 2023, and 1.44 billion yuan in 2024, with corresponding year-over-year growth rates of 98.37%, 10.21%, and 26.48% [10][31]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 113 million yuan in 2022, 98 million yuan in 2023, and 95 million yuan in 2024, with year-over-year changes of 134.65%, -13.29%, and -2.88% respectively [10][31]. Industry Situation - The automotive thermal management industry is divided into power system thermal management and comfort thermal management. The complexity and value of thermal management systems in new energy vehicles are significantly higher than in traditional fuel vehicles [18][20]. - The market for battery liquid cooling plates is expected to grow substantially, with a projected market size of 145 billion yuan globally by 2025, driven by the increasing demand for new energy vehicles [20][26]. Company Highlights - The company has a long-standing focus on the thermal management sector and is one of the earliest players in the new energy vehicle thermal management market. It has established partnerships with major manufacturers like CATL and SAIC Volkswagen [27][28]. - The company is expanding its product lines, including the development of integrated battery boxes and energy storage thermal management systems, which are expected to enhance its market position [28][29]. Fundraising Project Investment - The company plans to invest in a project to produce 3.6 million sets of water cooling plates annually, with an investment of approximately 57.94 million yuan [29][30].

Group 1 - The new stock sector experienced a rebound after a short-term emotional low, but the cycle change point may still need observation [1][14] - The average increase of new stocks listed since 2024 is approximately 3.5%, with about 91.4% of new stocks achieving positive returns [1][7] - The current market consensus may not have formed yet, and the rebound may not be sufficient to drive a change in the ongoing adjustment cycle [2][14] Group 2 - The focus remains on technology sectors, particularly in areas like AI and robotics, which have significant long-term development potential [3][14] - The report suggests monitoring sectors that have undergone sufficient adjustment, including innovative pharmaceuticals, aerospace and military, new energy, new consumption, and non-ferrous chemicals [3][14] Group 3 - Upcoming new stocks include Jingchuang Electric, China Uranium Industry, and Moer Thread, with varying industry focuses [4][33] - The average issuance price-earnings ratio for new stocks expected to be listed this week is 25.4X, indicating a relatively restrained pricing strategy [8][33] Group 4 - The report highlights specific companies such as Moer Thread, which is involved in GPU development, and Baiaosaitou, which focuses on gene editing technology [40][41] - The projected revenue growth for Baiaosaitou in 2025 is 37.75%, with a significant increase in net profit expected [41][42]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [3][39] Core Views - Alibaba's AI product revenue continues to grow significantly, with a quarterly revenue increase of 5% to 247.795 billion yuan, and a 15% increase on a same-store basis [8][9] - The adjusted EBITA for Alibaba decreased by 78% to 9.073 billion yuan, primarily due to investments in instant retail, user experience, and technology [8] - The cloud intelligence group's revenue grew by 34% to 39.824 billion yuan, driven by an increase in public cloud business and AI-related product adoption [9] - Dell Technologies reported a quarterly revenue of $27 billion, an 11% year-on-year increase, with significant growth in its infrastructure solutions group [10] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Alibaba's revenue from its international digital commerce group increased by 10% to 34.799 billion yuan, while its cloud intelligence group saw a 34% revenue increase [9] - The AI-related product revenue for Alibaba maintained strong momentum, achieving triple-digit year-on-year growth [9] - Dell's infrastructure solutions group revenue reached $14.1 billion, a 24% increase, with server and networking business revenue growing by 37% [10] Market Review - The electronic industry saw a weekly increase of 6.05% from November 24 to November 28, with the communication sector leading the gains [10][13] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose from 6,703.20 points to 7,025.15 points during the same period [16] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for the AI PCB industry chain, recommending stocks such as Shenghong Technology, Huitian Technology, and others [37] - It also highlights a favorable view on the entire storage industry chain, with key stocks including Zhaoyi Innovation and Demingli [37] - The report emphasizes the transformative potential of general artificial intelligence over the next decade, predicting a 100,000-fold increase in total computing power by 2035 [37]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (First Coverage)" [3] Core Views - The company is positioned to benefit from the AI hardware-driven innovation in battery technology, with strong growth engines initiated [1] - The integration of battery cells and packs, along with competitive advantages in wearable technology and strategic customer resources, shapes the core competitiveness of the company [2] - The company is focusing on the mainstream consumer sector, leveraging its one-stop service advantages in lithium-ion and nickel-hydride products to meet the evolving demands of global brand clients [2][4] - The company has established a differentiated competitive advantage in the AI sector, with its AI-related business expected to continue growing as AI penetration increases in various consumer electronics [4][6] Summary by Sections Financial Data and Valuation - Projected revenues for 2025 to 2027 are expected to be 60.41 billion, 70.77 billion, and 81.25 billion yuan, with growth rates of 18.2%, 17.2%, and 14.8% respectively [6][7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 2.41 billion, 3.62 billion, and 4.57 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 164.3%, 49.9%, and 26.4% respectively [6][7] - The company’s P/E ratios are projected to be 27.4, 18.3, and 14.4 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][7] Market Dynamics - The global lithium-ion battery market is expected to see significant growth, with a projected total shipment volume of 1,899.3 GWh by 2025 and 5,127.3 GWh by 2030 [14][16] - The demand for consumer electronics, particularly AI PCs and smartphones, is anticipated to drive battery demand, with AI PC shipments expected to reach 1.54 million units in Q4 2024 [17][22] - The wearable product market, including TWS earbuds and smart glasses, is also expected to grow, with AI glasses projected to see a 135% increase in sales from 2024 to 2025 [30][34] Technological Innovations - The company is focusing on technological upgrades and product innovations, particularly in solid-state batteries and high-silicon anodes, which are expected to enhance battery safety and energy density [5][6] - The integration of AI technology into battery products is reshaping the company's profitability model, with a higher willingness from clients to pay for breakthrough solutions [2][5] - The company has successfully developed semi-solid batteries with a volumetric energy density of 950 Wh/L and is advancing solid-state battery technology [5][6]