2026 年 01 月 25 日 策略类●证券研究报告 板块震荡活跃走势未改，但性价比的重要性或略有提升 新股专题 投资要点 新股周观点：上周，新股次新板块延续震荡活跃走势，但活跃方向可能略有变化， 市场对于性价比的关注可能有所升温。短期来看，考虑到本轮新股活跃周期开启时 间尚短，且资金交投活跃度依然较高，预计本轮震荡活跃行情有望继续演绎；但考 虑到元旦之后情绪回暖颇为急促，部分方向拉升或也较为迅猛，不排除活跃资金接 下来将在追逐人气主题和追逐相对性价比之间反复横跳，轮动或将是常态。我们维 持之前观点，建议继续积极择机的同时，局部要重视节奏和取舍。 （1）上周沪深新股次新板块延续活跃走势；假设以 2025 年以来上市的沪深新股 次新板块比较来看，期间板块平均涨幅 2.3%，实现正收益占比约 70.7%。 （2）随着元旦之后新股活跃周期正式拉开，新股交投热情相对较高，赚钱效应也 相对凸显；但同时需要注意的，近一周多，在短线情绪过热扰动之下，新股细分板 块间热度切换更为凸显，业绩预期稳健且股价相对平抑的性价比方向、和资金长期 关注的人气主题方向似乎形成轮动迹象。短期来看，考虑到本轮新股活跃周期开启 时间尚不足 1 ...

（1）上周沪深新股次新板块延续活跃走势；假设以 2025 年以来上市的沪深新股 次新板块比较来看，期间板块平均涨幅 2.3%，实现正收益占比约 70.7%。 （2）随着元旦之后新股活跃周期正式拉开，新股交投热情相对较高，赚钱效应也 相对凸显；但同时需要注意的，近一周多，在短线情绪过热扰动之下，新股细分板 块间热度切换更为凸显，业绩预期稳健且股价相对平抑的性价比方向、和资金长期 关注的人气主题方向似乎形成轮动迹象。短期来看，考虑到本轮新股活跃周期开启 时间尚不足 1 个月，资金交投活跃预期也暂未改变，叠加监管呵护慢牛及优质新股 陆续上市，我们倾向于认为当前新股次新板块总体或将继续维持震荡向上活跃走 势；只是结构性上，由于经历了元旦之后情绪过热带来的急剧拉升、新股板块整体 难言估值洼地，活跃资金或将在追逐人气主题和追逐相对性价比之间反复横跳，跟 随热点事件预期变化、轮动反复或将是常态；依然建议积极灵活择机，同时继续强 调把握好主题轮动节奏或高低切轮动节奏。。 板块震荡活跃走势未改，但性价比的重要性或略有提升 新股专题 投资要点 新股周观点：上周，新股次新板块延续震荡活跃走势，但活跃方向可能略有变化， 市场对于性价 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1]. Core Insights - The development of AI is driving upgrades in PCB technology, leading to increased demand for upstream materials. The global PCB market is expected to reach USD 96.8 billion by 2025 [3]. - The three main materials—copper foil, electronic cloth, and resin—are undergoing expansion and upgrades. High-end copper foil is becoming mainstream, with foreign companies dominating the high-end market while domestic firms gradually enter the supply chain [3]. - The market for silicon micro-powder is expected to grow, with high-performance spherical silicon micro-powder projected to reach a market size of RMB 850 million by 2024, accounting for 49.22% of the total market [3]. - Investment opportunities are highlighted in various segments, including copper foil (e.g., Tongguan Copper Foil, Defu Technology), electronic cloth (e.g., Feilihua, Ping An Electric), resin (e.g., Dongcai Technology), silicon micro-powder (e.g., Lianrui New Materials), and PCB chemicals (e.g., Guangxin Materials) [3]. Summary by Sections AI-Driven PCB Upgrades - The PCB industry is experiencing significant growth due to AI technology and the rise of electric vehicles, with a notable increase in demand for AI servers and automotive electronics [3]. - The trend towards high-density, small aperture, large capacity, and lightweight PCBs is evident, necessitating higher performance from upstream materials [3]. Expansion of Three Main Materials - High-end copper foil demand is on the rise, with HVLP-type copper foil expected to become the mainstream product. Foreign companies currently dominate this segment [3]. - Electronic cloth is becoming thinner and lighter, with domestic companies increasing their investments in high-end electronic cloth [3]. - The performance of copper-clad laminates is largely determined by the resin formulation, with a shift from epoxy resin to more advanced materials [3]. High-End Silicon Micro-Powder and Specialty Chemicals - The upgrade of PCBs is driving the iteration of silicon micro-powder products, with a focus on spherical silicon micro-powder to meet high-end demands [3]. - The market for PCB specialty chemicals is expanding, with foreign companies currently leading while domestic firms accelerate their development [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in copper foil, electronic cloth, resin, silicon micro-powder, and PCB chemicals, highlighting specific firms in each category [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1]. Core Insights - The development of AI is driving upgrades in PCB technology, leading to increased demand for upstream materials. The global PCB market is expected to reach USD 96.8 billion by 2025 [3]. - The three main materials—copper foil, electronic cloth, and resin—are undergoing expansion and upgrades, with high-end copper foil becoming mainstream [3]. - The market for silicon micro-powder is expected to grow, with high-performance spherical silicon micro-powder projected to reach a market size of RMB 850 million by 2024, accounting for 49.22% of the total demand [3]. - Investment opportunities are highlighted in various sectors, including copper foil, electronic cloth, resin, silicon micro-powder, and PCB chemicals [3]. Summary by Sections AI-Driven PCB Upgrades - PCB is essential in modern electronic products, with significant demand growth driven by AI technology and electric vehicles. The industry is expected to expand further [3][30]. - The trend towards high-density, small aperture, large capacity, and lightweight PCBs is evident, necessitating higher quality upstream materials [3]. Main Materials Expansion - High-end copper foil demand is increasing, with foreign companies dominating the high-end market while domestic firms are gradually entering the supply chain [3]. - Electronic cloth is becoming thinner and lighter, with domestic companies increasing their investments [3]. - The resin market is evolving from epoxy resin to more advanced materials, enhancing the performance of copper-clad laminates [3]. Silicon Micro-Powder and Specialty Chemicals - The upgrade of PCBs is driving the iteration of silicon micro-powder products, with a notable market for high-performance spherical silicon micro-powder [3]. - The market for PCB specialty chemicals is expanding, with foreign companies currently leading but domestic firms accelerating their development [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in various segments: - Copper Foil: Copper Crown, Defu Technology, Nord Shares, Zhongyi Technology, Longyang Electronics - Electronic Cloth: Feili Hua, Ping An Electric, Lite Optoelectronics, Quartz Shares, Honghe Technology, China National Materials, International Composites, China Jushi, Changhai Shares, Shandong Fiberglass, Bofei Electric - Resin: Dongcai Technology, Shengquan Group, Tongyu New Materials, Shiming Technology, Hongchang Electronics - Silicon Micro-Powder: Lianrui New Materials, Yake Technology, Guoci Materials, Lingwei Technology - PCB Chemicals: Guangxin Materials, Guanghua Technology, Sanfu New Materials, Jiuri New Materials, Yangfan New Materials [3].

春季行情期间业绩对行业表现的影响 定期报告 线情绪或有过热迹象-华金证券新股周报 2026.1.11 http://www.huajinsc.cn/ 1 / 24 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 投资要点 风险提示：历史经验未来不一定适用，政策超预期变化，经济修复不及预期。 2026 年 01 月 24 日 策略类●证券研究报告 分析师 邓利军 SAC 执业证书编号：S0910523080001 denglijun@huajinsc.cn 分析师 张欣诺 SAC 执业证书编号：S0910525110001 zhangxinnuo@huajinsc.cn 相关报告 活跃周期在途，但短线情绪过热或暗含局部 波动风险-华金证券新股周报 2026.1.18 春季行情未完，继续聚焦成长 2026.1.17 商业航天行情后续会如何演绎？ 2026.1.17 融 资 保 证 金 调 整 不 改 短 期 慢 牛 走 势 2026.1.14 新一轮活跃周期预计节后已经开启，但极短 复盘历史，绩优行业超额收益与春季行情节奏相关性较强，主线行业调整时绩优行 业可能短暂占优。（1）绩优行业的超额收益与春季行情的节奏相关性较强。一是 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [4][40]. Core Insights - Intel's Q4 2025 revenue was $13.7 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3%. The revenue from the Client Computing Group (CCG) was $8.19 billion, down 6.6% year-on-year, while the Data Center and AI (DCAI) segment saw revenue of $4.74 billion, up 8.9% year-on-year. The Foundry business generated $4.51 billion, an increase of 3.8% year-on-year. Despite a recovery in core DCAI business, Intel's Q1 2026 guidance was significantly below market expectations, forecasting revenue between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion [4][7][8]. - TE Connectivity reported Q1 2026 net sales of $4.7 billion, a 22% year-on-year increase, driven by growth in industrial and transportation sectors. Earnings per share rose to $2.53, up 45% year-on-year, with adjusted EPS at $2.72, a 33% increase. The company expects Q2 2026 sales of approximately $4.7 billion, a 13% year-on-year increase [4][7][8]. - Resonac, a major semiconductor materials manufacturer, announced a 30% price increase for all series of copper-clad laminates and adhesive films starting March 1, 2026, due to tight supply and rising costs of raw materials [4][8]. - The semiconductor industry is expected to benefit from AI advancements, with a projected 10,000-fold increase in total computing power by 2035. Key investment targets include companies across the semiconductor supply chain, such as SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and others [4][36]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Intel's Q4 2025 revenue was $13.7 billion, with a decline in CCG but growth in DCAI. Q1 2026 revenue guidance is significantly lower than expected [4][7]. - TE Connectivity's Q1 2026 net sales were $4.7 billion, with strong performance in industrial and transportation sectors [4][8]. - Price increases announced by Resonac and other companies in the semiconductor materials sector due to rising costs [4][8]. Market Review - The electronic industry saw a weekly increase of 1.39% from January 19 to January 23, 2026, with the construction materials sector leading the gains [9][10]. Industry High-Frequency Data Tracking - TV panel prices are expected to see mild increases in January 2026, while monitor panel prices are predicted to remain stable [16][18]. - Memory prices for various DRAM types have shown an upward trend from January 19 to January 23, 2026 [21].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve revenue exceeding 4.00 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of over 100%. The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders is between 210 million and 250 million yuan, indicating a year-on-year increase of 122% to 164% [5] - The significant growth in revenue and net profit is attributed to the sustained demand in the electric vehicle industry, increasing customer demand for products, and steady capacity release [5] - The company has deepened its partnerships with leading new energy vehicle manufacturers, benefiting from the sales of popular models, which has driven its market share to 13.4%, ranking second in the industry [5] - The global electric vehicle market continues to grow rapidly, with domestic sales expected to reach 16.49 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28.2%, and European sales projected at approximately 2.94 million units, a growth of 33% [5] - The company has successfully expanded its production capacity and established strong collaborations with both domestic and international mainstream manufacturers, enhancing its competitive position in the supply chain [5] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company’s projected total revenue for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 4.08 billion, 5.40 billion, and 6.59 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 110.8%, 32.4%, and 22.2% [6] - The forecasted net profit for the same years is 242 million, 365 million, and 517 million yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 155.6%, 51.0%, and 41.5% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.56, 2.35, and 3.32 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve revenue exceeding 4.00 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of over 100%. The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders is between 210 million and 250 million yuan, indicating a year-on-year increase of 122% to 164% [5] - The significant growth in revenue and net profit is attributed to the sustained prosperity of the new energy vehicle industry, increasing customer demand for products, and steady capacity release [5] - The company has deepened its partnerships with leading new energy vehicle manufacturers, benefiting from the sales of popular models, which has driven its development [5] - The global new energy vehicle market continues to grow rapidly, characterized by a dual drive of "domestic expansion + overseas explosion," with the overall industry still in an upward cycle [5] - The company has successfully expanded its production capacity, which aligns well with market demand, providing strong support for continued growth in its vehicle-mounted business [5] Financial Data Summary - For the fiscal year 2025, the company is projected to have total revenue of 4.08 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 110.8%, and a net profit of 242 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 155.6% [6] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 1.56 yuan, with further increases expected in subsequent years [6] - The company's gross margin is expected to stabilize around 20.9% in 2025, with a gradual increase in net profit margin to 5.9% [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy," indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months compared to the relevant market index [34]. Core Insights - The company, Nongda Technology, specializes in the research, production, and sales of new fertilizers and their intermediates, leveraging proprietary technologies such as humic acid activation and controlled-release technology [7][16]. - The company has shown significant revenue growth in recent years, with projected revenues of 2.676 billion CNY in 2022, 2.637 billion CNY in 2023, and 2.363 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 50.56%, -1.43%, and -10.40% respectively [8][4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 101 million CNY in 2022 to 145 million CNY in 2024, with a year-over-year growth of -20.75%, 0.06%, and 43.53% respectively [8][4]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for new fertilizers, which are essential for sustainable agricultural practices, as the composite fertilizer usage rate in China is only 47.81%, significantly lower than the 80% in developed agricultural countries [25][27]. Summary by Sections Basic Financial Status - The company achieved revenues of 2.676 billion CNY in 2022, 2.637 billion CNY in 2023, and 2.363 billion CNY in 2024, with corresponding year-over-year growth rates of 50.56%, -1.43%, and -10.40% [8][4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 101 million CNY in 2022, remaining the same in 2023, and increasing to 145 million CNY in 2024, with year-over-year growth rates of -20.75%, 0.06%, and 43.53% [8][4]. Industry Situation - The new fertilizer industry is crucial for agricultural production, with the market size in China expected to grow from 3,072.32 billion CNY in 2023 to 3,191 billion CNY by 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 1.8% [17][19]. - The demand for new fertilizers is projected to increase due to the rising population and the need for sustainable agricultural practices, with the consumption of new fertilizers expected to grow at an annual rate of 9% over the next five years [20][24]. Company Highlights - The company has developed a strong market position in humic acid-based fertilizers and controlled-release urea, with production volumes ranking first in the industry for the years 2020-2022 [28]. - The company benefits from its strategic location in the Huanghuaihai region, which is vital for national food security and has a large user base due to its proximity to major agricultural provinces [28]. - The company plans to invest in three projects through its IPO, including a 300,000-ton intelligent high-tower compound fertilizer project, a 150,000-ton bio-fertilizer production line, and an environmental low-carbon biological research center [29][30].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy," indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months compared to the relevant market index [34]. Core Insights - The company, Nongda Technology, specializes in the research, production, and sales of new fertilizers and their intermediates, leveraging proprietary technologies such as humic acid activation and controlled-release technology [7][16]. - The market for new fertilizers in China is projected to grow significantly, with the demand for high-quality, environmentally friendly fertilizers increasing due to government policies promoting sustainable agriculture [25][20]. - The company has established itself as a core supplier of new fertilizers in China, with its products ranking highly in terms of production and sales within the industry [28]. Summary by Sections Basic Financial Status - The company achieved revenues of 2.676 billion CNY, 2.637 billion CNY, and 2.363 billion CNY for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 50.56%, -1.43%, and -10.40% [8][4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 101.2 million CNY, 101.2 million CNY, and 145.3 million CNY for the same years, with year-over-year growth rates of -20.75%, 0.06%, and 43.53% [8][4]. Industry Situation - The new fertilizer industry in China is experiencing steady growth, with the market size expected to reach approximately 3.191 trillion CNY by 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 1.8% from 2021 to 2025 [17][19]. - The demand for new fertilizers is anticipated to rise due to increasing agricultural production needs and government initiatives aimed at enhancing fertilizer efficiency and environmental sustainability [20][19]. Company Highlights - The company benefits from a strong position in the market due to the increasing composite rate of fertilizers and nutrient content requirements, indicating significant growth potential for new fertilizers [25][27]. - The company has developed a diverse product line that includes humic acid-enhanced fertilizers and controlled-release fertilizers, which are essential for improving soil quality and nutrient utilization [28][7]. Fundraising Project Investment - The company plans to invest in three projects through its IPO, including a 300,000-ton annual production project for humic acid smart high-tower compound fertilizers, which is expected to generate an average annual revenue of 894 million CNY [29][30]. Comparison with Peers - Compared to peer companies, Nongda Technology's revenue scale is below the average, but its sales gross margin is positioned in the mid-to-high range within the industry [31][32].