2025 年 05 月 22 日 行业研究●证券研究报告 5 月游戏版号发放再创纪录，关注优质内容带 来投资机会 电魂网络：在途新品储备丰富，潜在精品或改 善业绩-华金证券-传媒-电魂网络-公司点评 2025.5.2 姚记科技：主业基本盘稳固，"AI+"开辟多元 发展路线-华金证券-传媒-姚记科技-公司点评 2025.4.29 南方传媒：深耕湾区教材建设，AI+政策助力高 质量发展-华金证券-传媒-南方传媒-公司点评 2025.4.29 投资要点 传媒 行业快报 投资评级 领先大市(维持) 首选股票 评级 一年行业表现 资料来源：聚源 | 升幅% | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 相对收益 | -0.46 | -8.31 | 15.93 | | 绝对收益 | 2.95 | -9.93 | 22.4 | | 分析师 | | | 倪爽 | | SAC | 执业证书编号：S0910523020003 | | | | | nishuang@huajinsc.cn | | | | 报告联系人 | | | 闫誉怀 | | | yanyuhuai@huajinsc. ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate (Maintain)" [4] Core Views - The company is gradually enriching its AI product matrix, which is expected to efficiently enhance user scale [1] - The launch of the Skywork Super Agents product, which utilizes AI agent architecture and deep research technology, positions the company as a leader in generating multimodal content [6] - The company has established a comprehensive AI business layout, achieving significant results in various AI sectors, including music and short dramas, which are anticipated to drive revenue growth [6] - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are expected to be 0.03 billion, 0.28 billion, and 0.51 billion respectively, with EPS of 0.00, 0.02, and 0.04 per share [6] Financial Data and Valuation - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 4,915 million in 2023 to 7,514 million in 2027, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.8% in 2023 and 7.0% in 2027 [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to recover from a loss of 1,595 million in 2024 to a profit of 51 million in 2027, with a significant year-on-year growth of 774.3% in 2026 [3] - The gross margin is projected to decline from 78.8% in 2023 to 68.8% in 2027, indicating a shift in cost structure [3] - The company's total market capitalization is approximately 46,094.86 million, with a share price of 37.43 yuan as of May 22, 2025 [4]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the new stock market is showing signs of recovery, with a slight increase in trading sentiment, but a complete transformation from quantity to quality is still pending [1][12][24] - The average increase of new stocks listed since 2024 is approximately 1.9%, with about 63.1% of new stocks achieving positive returns [1][27][28] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the consensus rebuilding process in the market, suggesting that a new active cycle for new stocks is anticipated [2][12][40] Group 2 - The report notes that the issuance of new stocks is gradually returning to normal, with the average issuance price-earnings ratio for new stocks remaining low [13][18] - Recent new stocks have shown a significant disparity in performance, with some sectors like new consumption and robotics performing well, while others like military and semiconductor-related stocks have faced declines [6][28][40] - Upcoming new stocks include Weigao Blood Purification and Taili Technology, with their performance metrics indicating potential investment opportunities [3][39][40] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the need to focus on high-quality new stocks that have undergone sufficient consolidation and offer good value, particularly those benefiting from policy expectations [2][12][40] - The report suggests that the new productivity themes, such as robotics and AI, should continue to be monitored for potential investment opportunities [2][12][40] - The average issuance price-earnings ratio for new stocks set to be listed this week is 21.1X, indicating a slight decrease from previous levels [7][34]

2025 年 05 月 17 日 策略类●证券研究报告 短期继续震荡偏强，科技仍是主线 定期报告 投资要点 http://www.huajinsc.cn/ 1 / 11 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 分析师 邓利军 SAC 执业证书编号：S0910523080001 denglijun@huajinsc.cn 报告联系人 张欣诺 zhangxinnuo@huajinsc.cn 相关报告 政策强化股市震荡偏强的趋势 2025.5.7 节后开启震荡反弹，五月震荡偏强 2025.5.5 新股板块震荡难掩局部积极信号，临近休整 尾端关注逐步变盘可能-华金证券新股周报 2025.5.5 加仓汽车、化工、地产，减仓军工、交运 2025.4.30 部 分 周 期 和 消 费 行 业 一 季 报 可 能 偏 好 2025.4.29 定期报告 市场对分子端的担忧可能过于悲观。（1）大幅降低关税可能改善短期经济增长预 期。一是复盘 2018 至 2019 年 4 次中美贸易摩擦阶段性缓和，可以看到贸易摩擦 缓和有利于改善出口，但 A 股表现更多受国内经济基本面和政策、外部事件等影响。 二是本次超预期的降低关税将大幅改善经济基 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy," indicating that the expected return over the next 6-12 months is greater than 15% compared to the relevant market index [30]. Core Viewpoints - The company, Zhongce Rubber (603049.SH), is a leading global tire manufacturer with a strong market presence and brand recognition, including well-known brands such as "Chaoyang" and "Goodride" [21][22]. - The company has shown consistent revenue growth, with projected revenues of CNY 318.89 billion, CNY 352.52 billion, and CNY 392.55 billion for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of 4.21%, 10.55%, and 11.35% [7][25]. - The company is expanding its overseas production bases, which is expected to stabilize and enhance its future operations, with foreign sales accounting for 48.32% of revenue in 2024 [22]. Summary by Sections Basic Financial Status - The company achieved operating revenues of CNY 318.89 billion, CNY 352.52 billion, and CNY 392.55 billion for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, with corresponding net profits of CNY 12.25 billion, CNY 26.38 billion, and CNY 37.87 billion [7][21]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenues of CNY 106.41 billion, a 17.06% increase year-over-year, while net profit decreased by 19.14% [7]. Industry Situation - The global tire market has maintained a scale of over USD 150 billion, with 2023 sales reaching USD 192 billion, driven by the essential nature of tires in automotive consumption [14][20]. - The Chinese tire market is expected to continue growing due to increasing vehicle ownership, with a projected vehicle count of 453 million by the end of 2024 [16][17]. Company Highlights - Zhongce Rubber has been in the tire manufacturing industry for over 60 years and ranks among the top ten global tire manufacturers, leading in sales within China [21][22]. - The company is expanding its overseas production capabilities, with new facilities in Thailand, Indonesia, and Mexico, which will help mitigate trade protectionism impacts and enhance profit margins [22]. Fundraising Project Investments - The company plans to invest in five projects through its IPO, including a green 5G digital factory for high-performance tires, which is expected to generate significant revenue and profit upon completion [23][24]. Peer Comparison - In 2024, Zhongce Rubber's revenue of CNY 392.55 billion and net profit of CNY 37.87 billion positioned it in the mid-high range compared to peers, although its sales gross margin was below the industry average of 21.29% [25][26].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy," indicating that the expected return over the next 6-12 months is greater than 15% compared to the relevant market index [28]. Core Viewpoints - The company, Youyou Green Energy (301590.SZ), specializes in the research, production, and sales of core components for direct current (DC) charging equipment for electric vehicles, with significant growth in revenue and profit over the past few years [7][21]. - The company has established itself as a major supplier in the domestic electric vehicle charging module sector, with a focus on high power density and high power output technologies [21][22]. - The company is actively expanding its product offerings to include small power DC charging products, V2G products, and energy storage charging products, which are currently in small-scale application stages [22]. Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of 988 million yuan, 1.376 billion yuan, and 1.497 billion yuan for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 129.44%, 39.24%, and 8.86% [8][4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 196 million yuan, 268 million yuan, and 256 million yuan for the same years, with year-over-year growth rates of 325.30%, 36.84%, and -4.60% [8][4]. - For the first quarter of 2025, the company reported revenues of 361 million yuan, a 6.47% increase year-over-year, while net profit decreased by 14.66% to 61 million yuan [8]. Industry Overview - The charging module industry is a critical component of the electric vehicle DC charging equipment sector, benefiting from the growth of the electric vehicle and charging infrastructure markets [16][17]. - The market for charging modules is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing demand for high-power DC charging solutions as electric vehicle adoption rises [16][19]. - The company is positioned to capitalize on this growth, with a projected market share of 10.58% in the Chinese mainland charging module market for 2023 [21]. Company Highlights - The company has developed a range of charging modules, including 15KW, 20KW, 30KW, and 40KW, and is one of the first in the industry to introduce these power levels [21]. - The company has established long-term partnerships with leading firms in the industry, including ABB and Wanbang Digital, which hold equity stakes in the company [21]. - The company is recognized as a "specialized and innovative" small giant enterprise by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, highlighting its technical capabilities and market influence [7]. Investment Projects - The company plans to invest in two main projects through its IPO proceeds: the construction of a charging module production base and the establishment of a headquarters and R&D center [23][24]. - The production base project is expected to generate annual revenues of 4.675 billion yuan upon full production, while the R&D center will enhance the company's ability to keep pace with industry trends [23]. Peer Comparison - Compared to similar companies in the industry, Youyou Green Energy's revenue for 2024 is projected at 1.497 billion yuan, which is below the average revenue of 4.968 billion yuan for comparable companies [25][26]. - However, the company's sales gross margin is positioned in the mid-to-high range compared to its peers, indicating strong operational efficiency [25].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in performance for Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 505 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 97.54%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 56 million yuan, up 91.17% year-on-year [5] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of the wind power market, with a projected revenue of 1.967 billion yuan in 2024, a slight increase of 1.11% year-on-year, and a net profit of 173 million yuan, a decrease of 58.03% year-on-year [5] - The company is focusing on expanding its large casting and forging capacity to capture the growing offshore wind power market, with a projected increase in sales of wind power casting products by 71% year-on-year [5] - The company has the capability to produce core casting components for wind turbines ranging from 5MW to 25MW, with a monthly production rate reaching new highs [5] Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s projected revenue for 2025 is 2.737 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 39.1%, and a net profit of 402 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 132.5% [6] - The expected EPS for 2025 is 1.26 yuan per share, with a P/E ratio of 16 times [6] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 27.4% in 2025, with a net margin of 14.7% [6] - The company’s total assets are expected to reach 8.575 billion yuan by 2025, with total liabilities of 2.145 billion yuan [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (first coverage) [1] Core Views - The company has reached an inflection point in performance, with significant revenue and profit growth driven by its micro-prism and optical isolator products, indicating a strong potential for future expansion [1][6] - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 597 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 69.20%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 55.82 million yuan, up 271.02% year-on-year [1][3] - The first quarter of 2025 continued this growth trend, with total revenue of 156 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.88%, and a net profit of 20.10 million yuan, up 155.43% year-on-year [1][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 597 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 69.20%, and a net profit of 55.82 million yuan, marking a significant turnaround from losses in previous years [1][3] - The first quarter of 2025 showed continued growth with revenue of 156 million yuan, a 26.88% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 20.10 million yuan, reflecting a 155.43% increase [1][6] Product Development and Market Position - The company specializes in precision optical components, with a strong position in the smartphone camera filter market, leading in infrared cutoff filter shipments in China [3][6] - The company has successfully expanded its product lines to include optical isolators and Z-block components, transitioning from the telecom market to the data communication market, which is expected to drive further revenue growth [4][6] Revenue Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 978 million yuan, 1.45 billion yuan, and 1.97 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 63.8%, 48.3%, and 36.1% [5][7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 110 million yuan, 152 million yuan, and 206 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 96.8%, 38.2%, and 35.5% [5][7]

Group 1 - The report highlights a significant reduction in tariffs between China and the US, with tariffs on Chinese goods dropping from 145% to 30%, which is much lower than the market's expectation of 50-60% [2] - The reduction in tariffs is expected to improve economic fundamentals, particularly by alleviating concerns over export declines and enhancing growth expectations [2][3] - The report anticipates that the A-share market may experience a strong upward trend due to improved market sentiment and economic conditions, driven by the tariff reductions and supportive domestic policies [3] Group 2 - The technology sector is identified as a primary investment focus, with companies in the Apple, Nvidia, and Tesla supply chains expected to benefit from the tariff reductions [4][5] - Core assets are also seen as having potential for increased allocation, as the improved economic outlook may lead to higher foreign and domestic institutional investments [5] - The report suggests a focus on sectors such as consumer electronics, AI, and military products, which are expected to benefit from both policy support and industry trends [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次) [2][7] Core Views - The company has reached an inflection point in its performance, with significant revenue and profit growth driven by its micro-prism and optical isolator products [1][4] - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 597 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 69.20%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 55.82 million yuan, up 271.02% year-on-year [1][4] - The first quarter of 2025 continued this growth trend, with total revenue of 156 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.88%, and a net profit of 20.10 million yuan, up 155.43% year-on-year [1][4] Financial Performance - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of precision optical components, with a focus on imaging optical components for camera modules and communication optical components for laser radar and optical communication devices [4][7] - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 is 978 million yuan, 1.45 billion yuan, and 1.974 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 63.8%, 48.3%, and 36.1% respectively [6][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 110 million yuan, 152 million yuan, and 206 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 96.8%, 38.2%, and 35.5% [6][8] Market Position and Product Development - The company is a leading player in the domestic Android smartphone filter market, with its infrared cutoff filter component shipment volume ranking first in China [4][7] - The company has successfully expanded its product lines into the data communication market, with significant growth in sales of optical isolators and other components [5][7] - The company has invested in R&D, with a focus on laser radar optical components, Z-Block wavelength division multiplexing components, optical isolators, and mobile micro-prisms, increasing R&D expenses by 16.20% in 2024 [4][6]