2025 年 03 月 31 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 王宁 S0350522010001 wangn02@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 张婉姝 S0350522010003 zhangws@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 氦气价格波动压制利润，长期竞争优势凸显 事件: 3 月 28 日，广钢气体发布年报：2024 年，公司实现营业总收入 21.03 亿元，同比增长 14.60%；归母净利润 2.48 亿元，同比下降 22.42%。 投资要点: 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/03/28 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 广钢气体 | 7.8% | 7.8% | 14.1% | | 沪深 300 | 0.6% | -1.7% | 11.2% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/03/28 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 11.37 | | 周价格区间（元） 52 | | | 7.00-11.89 | | 总市值（百万） | | | 15,0 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][11] Core Views - The report highlights a diversified business growth outlook, particularly optimistic about the oil transportation market's upward trend in 2025 [5][10] - The company achieved a revenue of 25.799 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.3% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 5.6% to 5.11 billion yuan [5][10] - The report emphasizes the company's strong performance in the dry bulk shipping sector, with a significant net profit increase of 72.2% year-on-year [6][10] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 6.5 billion yuan, down 5.2% year-on-year, but net profit surged by 61.1% to 1.74 billion yuan [5][6] Oil Transportation - The average Time Charter Equivalent (TCE) for Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCC) was $39,239 per day in 2024, a decline of 20.5% year-on-year, yet the company's VLCC fleet outperformed the industry average [6][7] - Revenue from oil transportation was 9.21 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.64 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 4.8% and 14.5% respectively [6] Dry Bulk Transportation - Supported by increased imports and longer shipping distances, the Cape-sized bulk carrier earnings rose by 58%, with the company achieving a revenue of 7.94 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.55 billion yuan, marking increases of 11.7% and 72.2% respectively [6][10] Container Transportation - The container shipping market saw demand growth and tight supply, leading to a significant rise in freight rates, although the company's revenue from this segment slightly decreased by 1.9% to 5.43 billion yuan, while net profit increased by 50.5% to 1.31 billion yuan [6][10] Future Outlook - The oil transportation market is expected to remain strong due to OPEC+ exiting voluntary production cuts and ongoing sanctions against Iran and Venezuela [7][10] - The dry bulk market is anticipated to balance upward, with freight rates expected to gradually increase [8][10] Financial Projections - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 27.73 billion yuan, 29.33 billion yuan, and 30.32 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 6.36 billion yuan, 7.36 billion yuan, and 7.89 billion yuan [9][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][8] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 30.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.33 billion yuan, up 52.9% year-on-year [2] - The gross margin improved to 22.5%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin rose to 4.6%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company is focusing on strategic emerging business sectors to cultivate new growth drivers for high-quality development [4] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The company's stock outperformed the CSI 300 index with a 12-month performance of 47.4% compared to the index's 10.4% [1] - The current stock price is 12.05 yuan, with a 52-week price range of 8.35 to 13.71 yuan [1] Business Segments - The earthmoving segment saw revenue of 17.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, accounting for 59.7% of total revenue [4] - The company achieved a 15% year-on-year increase in global revenue from earthmoving products, with nearly 60% of revenue coming from overseas [4] - The sales of key products, including loaders and excavators, remained robust, contributing nearly 7 billion yuan in revenue [4] Overseas Market Expansion - The company's overseas revenue reached 13.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.1%, with overseas revenue accounting for 45.8% of total revenue [4] - The overseas gross margin was 28.6%, which is 11.2 percentage points higher than domestic margins [4] - The company has nearly 400 dealers and over 1,300 outlets, achieving a channel coverage rate of nearly 70% [4] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 35.38 billion yuan, 42.08 billion yuan, and 48.68 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.1 billion yuan, 2.63 billion yuan, and 3.27 billion yuan [6][7] - The company is expected to maintain a strong return on equity (ROE) of 11% in 2025, increasing to 15% by 2027 [8]

2025 年 03 月 31 日 公司研究 评级：增持(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 戴畅 S0350523120004 daic@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 高端化成效显著，硬核技术驱动科技平权 最近一年走势 国海证券研究所 请务必阅读正文后免责条款部分 ——长城汽车（601633）2024 年年报点评 事件: 《长城汽车（601633）公司点评：11 月总销量同 环比双升，持续深耕海外市场（增持）*乘用车*戴 畅》——2024-12-04 《长城汽车（601633）2024 年三季报点评：2024Q3 海外持续兑现，国内加速推进智能化（增持）*乘 用车*戴畅》——2024-10-30 提升，出海势头持续强劲（增持）*乘用车*戴畅》 ——2024-10-11 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/03/31 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 长城汽车 | 4.8% | -0.9% | 15.7% | | 沪深 300 | -0.1% | -1.2% | 9.9% | | 市场数据 | | | 202 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5][8] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 27.947 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.099 billion yuan, up 6.1% year-on-year [5][7] - The refrigeration business generated revenue of 16.6 billion yuan, growing 13.09% year-on-year, while the automotive parts business reached 11.4 billion yuan, increasing by 14.86% year-on-year [5] - The robotics actuator business is entering a rapid growth phase, expected to become the company's third growth curve, with ongoing product development and overseas production expansion [5][7] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected total revenue for 2025-2027 is 31.2 billion, 34.5 billion, and 38.1 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 12%, 11%, and 10% respectively [5][7] - Expected net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period is 3.539 billion, 3.913 billion, and 4.305 billion yuan, with growth rates of 14%, 11%, and 10% respectively [5][7] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.95, 1.05, and 1.15 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 31, 28, and 26 times [5][7][8]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an investment rating of "Buy" for Huaneng International (600011) [1][8] Core Views - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 20% year-on-year in 2024, primarily due to significant improvement in coal power performance and a reduction in asset impairment losses [4][5] - The report highlights that the coal price decline has positively impacted coal power performance, with a total profit of 7.14 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting an increase of 1.8 fen/kWh year-on-year [5] - The company plans to invest 69.4 billion yuan in capital expenditures in 2025, with a focus on renewable energy, indicating a strategic shift towards sustainable energy sources [5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 245.55 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.14 billion yuan, an increase of 20% [4][5] - For Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 61.16 billion yuan, down 3.0% year-on-year, and a net loss of 0.28 billion yuan, an improvement from a loss of 4.12 billion yuan in the same period last year [4] - The company plans to increase its renewable energy capacity by 9.4 GW in 2024, with 2.6 GW from wind power and 6.8 GW from solar power [5] Earnings Forecast - The report forecasts the company's revenue for 2025-2027 to be 236.5 billion yuan, 239.2 billion yuan, and 243.2 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 11.3 billion yuan, 11.8 billion yuan, and 12.1 billion yuan [5][7] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025-2027 are all estimated at 9 times [5][7]

[Table_Title] 近期北证 50 指数有所回调，本周开发科技上市 2025 年 03 月 31 日 北交所行业研究 | 研究所： | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | | 罗琨 S0350522110003 | | | | luok@ghzq.com.cn | | 联系人 | ： | 禹露 S0350124070012 | | | | yul06@ghzq.com.cn | ——北交所行业周报 最近一年走势 | 行业相对表现 | | | 2025/03/28 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 北证 | 50 | -4.36% | 19.40% | 57.01% | | 沪深 | 300 | -1.33% | -1.65% | 11.77% | 相关报告 《商业航天行业报告：商业航天方兴未艾，低轨卫 星星座建设加速（推荐）*中小盘*罗琨》—— 2025-03-26 《北交所行业周报：本周北证 50 指数有所回调， 下周交大铁发上会（推荐）*中小盘*罗琨》—— 2025-03- ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights strong performance in revenue growth and substantial shareholder returns, recommending active investment in the company [2] - The company achieved a revenue of 284.42 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.17 billion yuan, up 23.5% year-on-year [4][10] - The report emphasizes the dual drivers of express logistics and supply chain/international operations, leading to double-digit revenue growth in 2024 [6] Performance Summary - In 2024, the company completed 13.26 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 15.5%, with an average price per parcel of 15.5 yuan, down 6.2% [5] - The company’s revenue from express logistics was 205.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7% [6] - The net profit margin improved from 3.2% to 3.6% year-on-year, driven by cost reduction and efficiency improvements [7][10] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 319.06 billion yuan, 354.32 billion yuan, and 390.61 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 12%, 11%, and 10% [10][12] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 11.62 billion yuan, 13.23 billion yuan, and 15.14 billion yuan for the same years, with a consistent growth rate of 14% [10][12] Shareholder Returns - The company’s capital expenditure decreased by 27% to 9.9 billion yuan in 2024, with free cash flow increasing by 70% to 22.3 billion yuan, supporting dividends and share buybacks [10] - The total cash dividend as a percentage of net profit has increased from 20% in 2022 to 40% in 2024, indicating a strong commitment to shareholder returns [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the company has achieved significant revenue growth and profit improvement, driven by its strong brand and market position in the local delivery sector [7][8]. - The company reported a revenue of 15.746 billion RMB for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 27%, and a net profit of 132 million RMB, which is a 161.8% increase year-on-year [4][10]. - The report anticipates continued growth in revenue and profit for the years 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 19.613 billion RMB, 23.502 billion RMB, and 27.502 billion RMB, reflecting growth rates of 25%, 20%, and 17% respectively [10]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In the second half of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 8.868 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 33.6%, and a net profit of 70 million RMB, up 233.3% year-on-year [4][5]. Business Segments - The company's To B (business-to-business) segment saw a revenue increase of 36% in H2 2024, driven by new key account orders and a 39% increase in active merchants [5]. - The To C (business-to-consumer) segment experienced a slower growth rate of 6% in H2 2024 compared to 20% in H1 2024 [5]. Profitability and Cost Management - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 6.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to improved scale network effects [6]. - The adjusted net profit margin for the year was 0.9%, reflecting a 0.5 percentage point increase year-on-year [6]. Future Projections - The report projects a significant increase in net profit for the years 2025 to 2027, with expected figures of 208 million RMB, 320 million RMB, and 449 million RMB, corresponding to growth rates of 57%, 54%, and 40% respectively [10]. - The report emphasizes the potential for continued growth driven by the company's strong market position and operational efficiencies [8].

2025 年 03 月 31 日 行业研究 评级：推荐(维持) 证券分析师： 李永磊 S0350521080004 [Table_Title] 六氟丙烯、尿素涨价，重视芭田股份磷矿 产能扩张 ——基础化工行业周报 最近一年走势 | 25-03-28 | | --- | | 24-12-27 | | 24-09-27 | | 24-06-28 | | 24-03-29 | | 行业相对表现 | | | 2025/03/28 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 基础化工 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 8.4% | | 沪深 300 | 0.6% | -1.7% | 11.2% | 相关报告 《农药行业报告：终端去库叠加需求旺季，原药价 格见底回暖（推荐）*基础化工*李永磊，杨丽蓉， 董伯骏》——2025-03-13 《基础化工行业周报：铬盐迎来重大机遇，春耕需 求带动化肥价格上涨（推荐）*基础化工*李永磊， 董伯骏，杨丽蓉》——2025-03-03 重视芭田股份磷矿产能扩张。据芭田股份 2023 年年报，公司磷矿石产能 90 万吨/年，202 ...