Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports [6] Core Views - Anta Sports' Q3 performance showed slight growth in revenue for Anta and Fila brands, while other brands experienced a significant increase of 45% to 50% [1][2][3] - The overall performance aligns with expectations, despite a challenging domestic consumption environment [1] - The company is focusing on optimizing its offline store structure and adjusting its e-commerce strategy, which may impact short-term sales [1][2] - The report forecasts a 10% revenue growth for the company in 2025, with a projected revenue of 78.181 billion yuan and a net profit of 13 billion yuan, reflecting a 9% increase from 2024 [3][5] Summary by Sections Anta Brand - Q3 revenue growth for the Anta brand was in the low single digits, indicating a healthy operational quality [1] - The company is adjusting its offline store strategy and enhancing its e-commerce framework, which may temporarily affect sales [1] Fila Brand - Fila's Q3 revenue also grew in the low single digits, impacted by high temperatures and fluctuating consumer demand [2] - The brand is expected to leverage the Q4 sales peak to drive growth, with a projected revenue increase in the mid-single digits for 2025 [2] Other Brands - Other brands under Anta experienced a robust revenue growth of 45% to 50%, with notable performance from Descente and Kolon [3] - Maia Active is also expected to show strong growth in Q3 [3] Financial Projections - The report estimates a 10% revenue growth for 2025, reaching 78.181 billion yuan, and a net profit of 13 billion yuan, reflecting a 9% increase from 2024 [3][5] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 4.64 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17 times [5][3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Anta Sports is "Outperform the Market" [2][5][10] Core Views - In Q3 2025, Anta's main brand and FILA achieved low single-digit growth, while other brands experienced a significant growth of 45-50%. The overall growth of the Anta Group remains stable, but the growth rate has slowed compared to Q2 [3][4][6] - The management has lowered the annual revenue guidance for the Anta brand but maintained the operating profit margin guidance and revenue growth guidance for FILA and other brands [4][5][10] - The consumer market continues to face pressure, and the management has adjusted the annual guidance to low single-digit growth due to uncertainties in the fourth quarter [5][10] Summary by Sections Q3 Performance - Anta's main brand recorded low single-digit revenue growth, while FILA also achieved low single-digit growth. Other brands continued their high growth trajectory [3][4] - The inventory turnover ratio is healthy, influenced by promotional stock preparations, with the end-of-quarter inventory turnover ratio approaching six months [4][6] Brand Performance - Anta brand's Q3 revenue growth was low single-digit, with online discounts slightly increasing and stable offline discounts. The performance of running shoes and technological new products was notable [6][7] - FILA's Q3 revenue growth was also low single-digit, with a healthy inventory turnover ratio and stable discount rates [8] - Other brands, including Descente and KOLON, saw revenue growth of 45-50%, with Descente growing approximately 30% and KOLON growing 70% [9][10] Financial Forecasts - The forecast for net profit for Anta from 2025 to 2027 is adjusted to 13.24 billion, 15.22 billion, and 17.16 billion yuan respectively, with comparable profit growth rates of 11.0%, 15.0%, and 12.7% [5][12] - The reasonable valuation range is adjusted to 116-121 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of 23-24X for 2025 [5][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a full-year guidance for Topsports International Holdings, targeting a net profit amount roughly flat year-on-year alongside an improvement in net profit margin [4][10]. Core Insights - In 1H FY2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of RMB 12.30 billion, a decrease of 5.8% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to owners at RMB 790 million, down 9.7% YoY [2][8]. - The gross profit margin for 1H FY2025 was 41.0%, slightly contracting by 0.1 percentage point YoY but expanding by 2.5 percentage points compared to 2H FY2024, exceeding market expectations due to brand partner subsidies [2][8]. - The company reported a significant decline in operating cash flow, down 48.2% YoY to RMB 1.35 billion, attributed to increased cash payments to suppliers and slower customer collections [3][9]. - Management indicated stable operational performance early in Q3 FY2025, with sales trends consistent with Q2, and maintained the FY2025 guidance focusing on profit-oriented strategies [4][10]. Financial Performance Summary - Total operating revenue for 1H FY2025 was RMB 12.30 billion, with retail business revenue down 3% and wholesale business revenue down 10.3% YoY [2][8]. - The effective tax rate for 1H FY2025 was 20.0%, up from 17.6% in the same period last year [2][8]. - The company declared an interim dividend of RMB 0.13 per share, with a payout ratio of 102%, slightly higher than the previous year [3][9]. Operational Trends - The total number of directly operated stores decreased by 19.4% YoY to 4,688, but the sales area per store increased by 6.5% [5][11]. - The company has built a digital matrix with over 800 Douyin accounts and over 3,600 mini-program stores, driving double-digit growth in online retail sales [5][11]. - Membership base grew to 89 million, with member sales accounting for 92.9% of total sales, indicating strong user loyalty [5][11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5][15] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 103 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a decrease of 6.0% year-on-year, and an operating profit of 13.15 billion yuan, down 27.7% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue was 19.78 billion yuan, down 12.7%, with an operating profit of 1.03 billion yuan, down 51.6% [3][11] - The company maintained a strong position in the industry, ranking second in sales with a total sales amount of 170.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 14% year-on-year. The company secured 27 land parcels with a total land price of 82.7 billion yuan, an increase of 40.7% year-on-year, focusing on core urban areas [3][13][14] - The company is expected to see a gradual improvement in performance, with projected net profits of 16.11 billion yuan, 17.02 billion yuan, and 18.45 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.0%, 5.6%, and 8.4% [3][15] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 103 billion yuan, down 6.0% year-on-year, and an operating profit of 13.15 billion yuan, down 27.7% year-on-year. Q3 revenue was 19.78 billion yuan, down 12.7%, with an operating profit of 1.03 billion yuan, down 51.6% [3][11][12] Market Position - The company remains a strong player in the market, with a sales amount of 170.5 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, ranking second in the industry. The northern region is a key market, contributing 59.1 billion yuan in sales, a 52% increase year-on-year, with Beijing alone accounting for 33.1 billion yuan, maintaining the top sales position [3][13] Strategic Actions - The company actively acquired land in core urban areas, securing 27 parcels at a total price of 82.7 billion yuan, a 40.7% increase year-on-year. In Q3, it acquired 9 parcels for a total price of 60.5 billion yuan, including two projects in Shanghai through equity transactions [3][14] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 192.5 billion yuan, 197.4 billion yuan, and 206.6 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.0%, 2.5%, and 4.7% respectively. Net profits are expected to be 16.11 billion yuan, 17.02 billion yuan, and 18.45 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 3.0%, 5.6%, and 8.4% [3][15][17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a Neutral rating for Li Ning (2331 HK) with a target price of HKD 16.28, indicating a potential downside of 7.7% from the current closing price of HKD 17.63 [2][3]. Core Insights - The sales performance in Q3 has weakened, and the recovery pace remains sluggish. The company is expected to experience a slow sales recovery in the second half of the year, with a forecast of low single-digit revenue decline [8]. - The report highlights that the online sales channels outperformed offline channels in Q3, with e-commerce showing high single-digit growth, while offline channels saw a high single-digit decline [8]. - The competitive landscape remains challenging, with increased discount pressures anticipated in Q4 due to key promotional events like Double 11 and Double 12 [8]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for Li Ning are as follows: - 2023: RMB 27,598 million - 2024: RMB 28,676 million (growth of 3.9%) - 2025E: RMB 29,007 million (growth of 1.2%) - 2026E: RMB 30,103 million (growth of 3.8%) - 2027E: RMB 30,945 million (growth of 2.8%) [7][17]. - Net profit estimates are projected to decline from RMB 3,187 million in 2023 to RMB 2,678 million in 2025E, reflecting a decrease of 20.7% and 5.1% in subsequent years [7][17]. - The report indicates a projected PE ratio of 14 times for 2026, suggesting that the current stock price adequately reflects the sales recovery outlook [8]. Market Position - As of Q3, Li Ning had 6,132 sales points, with a net increase of 33 points from the previous quarter. The company aims to maintain its store opening targets despite the competitive pressures [8]. - The report notes that the inventory turnover ratio is relatively healthy, with a stock-to-sales ratio of 5-6 months as of Q3 [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company experienced a revenue decline of 15.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 832 million yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 4.3% to 122 million yuan [1] - The CRO business showed a recovery with a revenue increase of 9.6% year-on-year, driven by strong domestic market performance and advancements in AI and new molecular modalities [2] - The CDMO business faced short-term challenges with a revenue drop of 31.4% year-on-year, but significant commercial projects are expected to drive growth starting in 2026 [3] - The investment incubation (EFS) business is entering a harvest phase, contributing cash returns of approximately 76.5 million yuan [4] - The overall gross margin improved significantly to 40.8%, reflecting operational efficiency and revenue structure optimization [5] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.886 billion, 2.237 billion, and 2.688 billion yuan, with corresponding net profit estimates of 244 million, 323 million, and 422 million yuan [6] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 832 million yuan, a decrease of 15.3% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 122 million yuan, an increase of 4.3% [1] CRO Business - The CRO segment generated revenue of 423 million yuan, up 9.6% year-on-year, with domestic market revenue increasing by 46.6% [2] CDMO Business - The CDMO segment reported revenue of 409 million yuan, down 31.4% year-on-year, primarily due to facility upgrades and geopolitical supply chain disruptions [3] Investment Incubation (EFS) Business - The EFS business generated cash returns of nearly 76.5 million yuan through exits from incubated companies, with a total of 93 startups in the portfolio [4] Profitability - The overall gross margin reached 40.8%, a significant increase of 6.3 percentage points year-on-year, with the CRO business achieving a gross margin of 46% [5] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.886 billion, 2.237 billion, and 2.688 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of 244 million, 323 million, and 422 million yuan [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on Prada Group, indicating a potential for steady profit growth and resilience in its brand portfolio [5][12]. Core Insights - Prada Group reported a revenue of €4.07 billion for the first nine months of FY25, reflecting a 9% year-on-year increase at constant exchange rates, marking the 19th consecutive quarter of positive growth [1][8]. - The acquisition of Versace for an enterprise value of €1.25 billion is expected to open new growth avenues for the group [1][4]. Revenue Performance - For the first nine months of FY25, Prada brand revenue declined by 2% year-on-year, with a 1% decline in 3Q25, showing significant improvement driven by the recovery in core leather goods and ready-to-wear categories [2][9]. - Miu Miu brand revenue surged by 41% year-on-year in 9M25 and 29% in 3Q25, maintaining strong growth despite a high comparison base from the previous year [2][9]. Regional Performance - Asia-Pacific revenue increased by 10% year-on-year, with notable recovery in mainland China, while the Americas saw a 15% increase, accelerating to 20% in 3Q25 [3][10]. - Europe experienced a 6% growth, supported by stable local demand, while the Middle East recorded a 21% increase [3][10]. Strategic Initiatives - The group is focused on optimizing its retail network, enhancing customer experience, and maintaining a strong product lineup, including high-end offerings [4][11]. - The acquisition of Versace is part of a broader multi-brand strategy aimed at expanding scale and profitability over the long term [4][11]. Future Outlook - Management expresses a cautious yet optimistic view, anticipating steady profit growth supported by a premium product mix and retail efficiency gains [5][12]. - The dual-brand strategy of Prada and Miu Miu, along with the integration potential of Versace, is expected to drive growth exceeding industry averages [5][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of 62.9 Hong Kong Dollars, reflecting a -24% potential downside from the current price [8][9]. Core Insights - The company is expected to see net profit attributable to shareholders grow from 0.89 billion Euros in 2025 to 1.05 billion Euros in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.5%, 8.7%, and 7.6% respectively [8][9]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.33 billion Euros, a 9% increase year-on-year, with Miu Miu showing a 29% growth despite a high base from the previous year [9][10]. - The North American market is leading growth with a 20% increase, driven primarily by Prada, while the Greater China market showed slightly better-than-expected holiday performance [9][10]. Financial Summary - Projected total revenue for the company is expected to increase from 5.43 billion Euros in 2024 to 6.72 billion Euros in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.8% [2][5]. - Gross profit is forecasted to rise from 4.34 billion Euros in 2024 to 5.39 billion Euros in 2027, maintaining a gross margin of around 80% [2][5]. - The company's net profit is projected to grow from 0.84 billion Euros in 2025 to 1.05 billion Euros in 2027, with a net profit margin of approximately 15.5% [2][5]. Brand Performance - Miu Miu's revenue growth is attributed to high-quality growth and significant same-store sales contributions, with plans for further store expansion [10]. - Prada's leather goods are showing improved performance, and the brand is focusing on enhancing creativity and marketing for iconic products [10]. Regional Performance - Revenue growth by region in Q3 2025 was as follows: Asia Pacific +10%, Europe +2%, North America +20%, Japan -1%, and Middle East +10% [9][10]. - The North American market's growth is notable given the high base from the previous year, indicating strong brand performance despite challenging conditions [9][10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - The company reported a 10% year-on-year growth in retail sales for its main brand and children's clothing in Q3 2025, with e-commerce sales increasing by approximately 20% [2][6]. - The company has accelerated the expansion of its super stores, with 93 super stores established by September 30, 2025, nearly doubling from Q2, which is expected to positively impact retail growth [9]. - The company anticipates strong performance in the 2026 ordering session, with a high certainty of revenue growth for 2025 and 2026. The product matrix is improving, and the exploration of new business formats like super stores is expected to contribute to a second growth driver [9]. Summary by Sections Retail Performance - The company achieved a robust 10% year-on-year growth in offline retail for Q3 2025, with expectations of stable discounts and inventory levels [9]. Store Expansion - The rapid expansion of super stores is a key focus, with the number of stores significantly increasing, which is expected to enhance customer spending and complement traditional store formats [9]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.26 billion, 1.37 billion, and 1.50 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9, 8, and 8 times [9][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company, indicating a strong expectation for stock price appreciation exceeding the benchmark index by over 20% [2][3]. Core Insights - The demand for MPO (Multi-fiber Push On) products is experiencing high growth driven by AI computing infrastructure, with a trend towards higher fiber counts and density in products. The company is actively developing products with fiber counts exceeding 1000 cores for high-end applications [1]. - The company is positioned well within the Lixun system, with significant growth potential in data communication, AI servers, and automotive cable sectors, particularly following the successful acquisition of Leoni cable business [2]. - The company has a robust global production capacity, with facilities in key regions including the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, and overseas locations in Vietnam and Mexico, supporting future expansion and customer acquisition [7]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenue of HKD 10.172 billion, HKD 12.937 billion, and HKD 16.604 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of HKD 714 million, HKD 1.208 billion, and HKD 1.701 billion [8][20]. - The report projects a significant increase in profitability, with net profit growth rates of 58%, 69%, and 41% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [21]. - The company’s PE ratios are expected to decrease from 43.3 in 2025 to 18.2 by 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics as earnings grow [21].