Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) with a target price of —— yuan over the next 6 months [1]. Core Insights - The company continues to experience high revenue growth, with a diversified product matrix [2]. - The revenue for 2024 is projected to be 13.2 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.6%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 3.0 billion yuan, up 32.8% year-on-year [9]. - The company has a strong focus on the baby care and mosquito repellent segments, which are expected to show good growth potential [9][10]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecast: - 2024A: Revenue of 13.18 billion yuan, net profit of 3.00 billion yuan - 2025E: Revenue of 17.72 billion yuan, net profit of 3.92 billion yuan - 2026E: Revenue of 22.99 billion yuan, net profit of 5.05 billion yuan - 2027E: Revenue of 28.79 billion yuan, net profit of 6.36 billion yuan - Growth Rates: - Revenue growth rates are projected at 27.61% for 2024, 34.39% for 2025, 29.77% for 2026, and 25.22% for 2027 - Net profit growth rates are expected to be 32.80% for 2024, 30.52% for 2025, 28.78% for 2026, and 26.05% for 2027 [4][11]. Product and Market Analysis - The company has successfully increased the average selling price of its baby care products, with significant room for further price increases compared to competitors [9]. - The product matrix has been continuously enriched, with over 90 new or upgraded products launched in 2024, including children's sunscreen and egg yolk oil series [9]. - Online sales channels have shown rapid growth, with significant contributions from platforms like Douyin, while offline channels are also expanding [9]. Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin for 2024 is projected at 58.2%, with a net profit margin of 22.8% [9]. - The company is expected to maintain a healthy return on equity (ROE), projected to be 14.43% in 2024, increasing to 19.19% by 2027 [4][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 8.04 CNY per share, corresponding to a PB of 0.7 for the years 2025-2027 [6][3]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 19.88 billion CNY in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 7.8% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 39.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -730 million CNY, indicating a significant decline compared to the previous year [1][2]. - The company is facing short-term revenue pressure, but the average selling price (ASP) per vehicle has increased. The decline in profits is attributed to decreased vehicle sales, intensified market competition, increased promotional spending, and reduced government subsidies [1][2]. - The company is focusing on smart driving technology as a core strategy and is expanding its battery swap station network in collaboration with CATL. This dual approach aims to drive the company out of its current operational downturn [3][2]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the total revenue was 19.88 billion CNY, down 7.8% year-on-year and 39.8% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -730 million CNY, with a non-recurring net profit of -890 million CNY, marking a year-on-year decline of 229.9% [1][2]. - The sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios were 6.3%, 5.6%, -1.4%, and 1.9%, respectively, showing year-on-year changes of 0.4pts, 0.9pts, -1.1pts, and 0.2pts [1]. Sales Performance - The total wholesale volume in Q1 2025 was 371,000 vehicles, a decrease of 9.4% year-on-year. The breakdown shows that GAC Honda sold 93,000 vehicles (-20.7%), GAC Toyota sold 162,000 vehicles (+3.6%), GAC Trumpchi sold 69,000 vehicles (-19.0%), and GAC Aion sold 47,000 vehicles (-3.6%) [2][3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has launched several new electric vehicle models and is enhancing its product matrix to better position itself in the new energy and intelligent vehicle sectors. This includes the introduction of various electric SUVs and sedans [2]. - The strategic partnership with CATL aims to implement battery swap standards across more models and expand the battery swap station network, which is expected to support the company's recovery [3]. Financial Forecast - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 124.69 billion CNY, 144.15 billion CNY, and 167.35 billion CNY, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 875 million CNY, 1.15 billion CNY, and 2.37 billion CNY for the same years [5][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 23.16 CNY per share, corresponding to a PE ratio of 14/12/11 for the years 2025-2027 [5][3]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 40.02 billion CNY in Q1 2025, showing a year-on-year decline of 6.6% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 33.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.75 billion CNY, down 45.7% year-on-year and 22.7% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - The decline in revenue is attributed to a product cycle fluctuation leading to decreased quarterly sales, while the increase in marketing expenses is linked to new vehicle launches and channel development [1]. - The company delivered a total of 257,000 vehicles in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 6.7% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 32.3%. Notably, new models such as the Haval Xiaolong Max and Tank 300 have shown strong pre-order performance [2]. - The overseas sales remained stable at 91,000 units in Q1 2025, with the company launching the Tank 300 in markets like Thailand and Australia, indicating a strong commitment to global expansion [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 total revenue was 40.02 billion CNY, with a year-on-year decrease of 6.6% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 33.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.75 billion CNY, down 45.7% year-on-year [1]. - The company expects revenues for 2025-2027 to be 226.78 billion CNY, 261.70 billion CNY, and 296.25 billion CNY respectively, with net profits projected at 14.09 billion CNY, 16.30 billion CNY, and 18.24 billion CNY [4][9]. Sales and Market Strategy - The company delivered 257,000 vehicles in Q1 2025, with Haval sales at 145,000 units, WEY at 13,000 units, and Tank at 42,000 units. New models are expected to drive sales growth starting Q2 2025 [2]. - The company is actively promoting its new products both domestically and internationally, with a clear strategy for high-end intelligent vehicles and an increasing share of new energy models [3]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates a recovery in sales due to the successful launch of new models and a strategic focus on overseas markets, which is expected to enhance revenue growth in the coming quarters [3][4].

➢ 2025Q1 业绩符合预期 全年指引乐观。1）营收端：2025Q1 营收 64.18 亿 元，同比-3.00%，环比-51.17%。2025Q1 公司累计销售客车 9,011 辆，同比 +16.56%，环比-42.13%。我们认为公司营收环比下降系销售结构变化及季节性 影响。2）利润端：2025Q1 公司实现归母净利润 7.55 亿元，同比+14.91%，环 比-55.18%。公司 2025Q1 毛利率为 18.89%，同环比分别-5.95pct/-7.01pct， 净利率为 12.04%，同环比分别+2.02/-0.86pct。我们认为公司 2025Q1 盈利能 力环比略有下降系应收回款减值冲回影响所致。3）费用端：2025Q1 销售/管理 /研发/财务费用率分别为 3.36%/2.78%/4.57%/0.12%，同比分别-3.50/-0.04/- 0.13/+0.65pct，环比分别-0.10/+1.36/-0.56/+0.76pct，系正常费用波动。4） 指引：根据公司年报，2025 年公司收入计划为 421.33 亿元，营业成本及费用计 划为 372.03 亿元，体现公司对经营管理的充分信心。 ➢ ...

养元饮品（603156） 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评：营收仍承 压，高比例分红延续 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 6162 | 6058 | 5122 | 5240 | 5506 | | 同比（%） | 4.03 | (1.69) | (15.44) | 2.31 | 5.08 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1467 | 1722 | 1356 | 1393 | 1505 | | 同比（%） | (0.46) | 17.35 | (21.23) | 2.71 | 8.04 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.16 | 1.37 | 1.08 | 1.11 | 1.19 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 20.49 | 17.46 | 22.17 | 21.58 | 19.98 | 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·饮料乳品 2025 年 04 月 27 日 证券分析师 苏 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Pacific Insurance (601601.SH) with a current price of 30.82 CNY [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 93.717 billion CNY in Q1 2025, a decrease of 1.8% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.627 billion CNY, down 18.1% year-on-year, primarily due to fluctuations in capital markets affecting fair value changes [3]. - The life insurance segment shows positive trends with a new business value (NBV) of 5.778 billion CNY in Q1 2025, an increase of 11.3% year-on-year, and a 39.0% increase on a comparable basis [3]. - The individual insurance channel maintains a stable workforce with a total of 188,000 agents, reflecting a 1.1% year-on-year increase, while the bancassurance channel saw a significant growth in premium income, up 107.8% year-on-year to 25.722 billion CNY [3]. - The property insurance segment experienced a slight growth in premium income, up 1.0% year-on-year to 63.108 billion CNY, with a combined ratio (COR) improving by 0.6 percentage points to 97.4% [3][4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 93.717 billion CNY, a decrease of 1.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 9.627 billion CNY, down 18.1% year-on-year due to capital market volatility [3]. Life Insurance Performance - The life insurance business remains robust, with an NBV of 5.778 billion CNY, reflecting an 11.3% year-on-year increase, and a 39.0% increase on a comparable basis. Insurance service revenue increased by 0.6% to 20.980 billion CNY [3]. Distribution Channels - The individual insurance channel's workforce is stable at 188,000 agents, with a 13-month retention rate for new agents improving by 4.8 percentage points year-on-year. The bancassurance channel's premium income surged by 107.8% year-on-year to 25.722 billion CNY [3]. Property Insurance Insights - The property insurance segment reported a slight premium income growth of 1.0% year-on-year to 63.108 billion CNY, with a COR improvement of 0.6 percentage points to 97.4% [3][4]. Investment Performance - The company reported a net investment yield of 0.8% in Q1 2025, with total investment yield at 1.0%, reflecting a slight year-on-year decline due to market fluctuations [4].

上 市 公 司 电力设备 2025 年 04 月 27 日 中国动力 (600482) ——业绩超预期，301 对船厂限制大幅减弱，利空落地船 周期有望企稳上行 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 | 投资要点： | | --- | | | 2024 | 2025Q1 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 51,697 | 12,311 | 54,611 | 63,049 | 67,397 | | 同比增长率（%） | 14.6 | 8.0 | 5.6 | 15.4 | 6.9 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,391 | 396 | 2,053 | 3,101 | 3,572 | | 同比增长率（%） | 78.4 | 349.0 | 47.6 | 51.0 | 15.2 | | 每股收益（元/股） | 0.63 | 0.18 | 0.91 | 1.38 | 1.59 | | 毛利率（%） | 14.8 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 18.3 | 18.9 | | ROE（%） | 3.5 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company is expected to hit a bottom in operations in 2024, with a potential recovery in 2025. The growth in new energy, smart distribution, and data center businesses is anticipated to contribute significantly to revenue [10][4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 4.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 310 million yuan, down 38.9% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 260 million yuan, a decline of 41.6% [2][4]. - For Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.11 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.4% year-on-year and 0.1% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1 million yuan, down 98.5% year-on-year and 98.0% quarter-on-quarter, with a slight loss in net profit excluding non-recurring items [2][4]. - The revenue breakdown by segment for 2024 shows: - Distribution electrical appliances: 2.759 billion yuan, down 1.8% - Terminal electrical appliances: 835 million yuan, down 23.9% - Control electrical appliances: 458 million yuan, up 3.9% - Electrical products: 156 million yuan, down 29.3% - Other businesses: 29 million yuan, up 67.1% [10]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 30.36%, a decrease of 2.09 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin for Q4 2024 was 27.66%, down 1.35 percentage points year-on-year and 1.98 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [10]. - The total expense ratio for 2024 was 23.28%, an increase of 3.00 percentage points year-on-year, with specific increases in sales, management, and R&D expense ratios [10]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 450 million yuan in 2025, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 20 times [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [7] Core Views - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for 2024, with total revenue of 17.09 billion yuan, up 0.2% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.12 billion yuan, an increase of 11.1% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.06 billion yuan, up 22.2% year-on-year [2][4] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 7.50 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 172.8%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4.7% year-on-year to 220 million yuan [2][4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.35 billion yuan, down 16.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 210 million yuan, down 12.5% year-on-year [2][4] Financial Performance - The company's revenue from various segments in 2024 included: - Smart distribution and transformation systems: 4.71 billion yuan, up 2.9% - Smart meters: 3.87 billion yuan, up 11.0% - Smart medium-voltage power supply equipment: 3.35 billion yuan, up 6.7% - New energy and system integration: 2.46 billion yuan, down 37.5% - DC transmission systems: 1.44 billion yuan, up 101.6% - Charging and swapping equipment and other manufacturing services: 1.25 billion yuan, up 4.2% [10] - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 20.77%, an increase of 2.78 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin for Q4 2024 was 19.28%, up 2.50 percentage points year-on-year but down 5.24 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [10] - The company’s total expenses ratio for 2024 was 12.54%, an increase of 1.68 percentage points year-on-year, with the sales expense ratio at 4.22%, up 1.34 percentage points [10] Future Outlook - The company has set a financial target for 2025 to achieve a revenue of 18.3 billion yuan. The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to reach 1.45 billion yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of approximately 15 times [10]

丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨江苏金租（600901.SH） [Table_Title] 江苏金租 2024A&2025Q1 点评：资产投放提速， 净利差显著走阔 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 江苏金租 2025 年以来资产投放明显提速，负债成本率大幅下降驱动净利差走阔，不良率控制 良好，体现出公司资产端的强盈利能力与风控能力。公司积极回报股东，2024A 分红比例达 53.15%，同比+0.58pct。看好公司在强监管周期市场份额稳定扩张，利润稳健增长的同时以高 分红比例回报股东。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 吴一凡 戴永飞 SAC：S0490519080007 SAC：S0490524070001 SFC：BUV596 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% 1 江苏金租（600901.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 江苏金租2022]4A&2025Q1点评：资产投放提速， 净利差显著走阔 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 江苏金租发布 2024 年报与 2025 年一季报，2024 年实现营业收入、归母净利润分别为 ...