优势显著，逆势领跑——中国海外发展 24 年中期业绩点评 事件：公司发布 2024 年中期业绩公告，公司 24H1 实现营业收入 869.4 亿元，同 比-2.49%；归母净利润 103.1 亿元，同比-23.6%；每股基本收益 0.94 元/股，同 比-23.6%；拟派发中期股息每股 30 港仙。 利润受行业波动下滑，分红比例提升 公司 24H1 实现营业收入 869.4 亿元，同比-2.49%；归母净利润 103.1 亿元，同 比-23.6%，收入维持高位，利润受行业波动有所回落。公司 24H1 毛利率 22.1%， 较 23 年同期下降 0.5pct；归母净利率 11.9%,较 23 年同期下降 3.2pct；24 年上半 年继续保持经营性现金净流入。董事局建议派发中期股息每股港币 30 仙，分红比例 28%，较 23 年同期上升 2.4pct，积极回馈股东。 销售韧性良好，拿地审慎度提升 销售端，24H1 公司合约销售额 1483.8 亿元，同比-17.7%；销售面积 544 万平， 同比-32.3%，市占率较 23 年末提升 0.49pct 达 3.15%。根据中指院数据，24H1 集团系列公司权益 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Nongfu Spring (9633 HK) with a target price of HKD 34 20 [1] Core Views - Nongfu Spring achieved revenue of RMB 22 17 billion in H1 2024, a YoY increase of 8 4%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 6 24 billion, up 8 0% YoY [2] - The packaging water segment faced pressure due to negative public opinion, with sales dropping 18 3% YoY to RMB 8 53 billion, while tea beverages surged 59 5% YoY to RMB 8 43 billion, driven by the health and low-sugar trend [2] - Gross margin declined by 1 4 percentage points to 58 8% in H1 2024, mainly due to promotional activities for new products and rising costs [2] - The company launched a green-bottled purified water product in April 2024, enhancing its competitiveness in the packaged water market [2] - Nongfu Spring is expected to achieve net profits of RMB 13 56 billion, RMB 16 28 billion, and RMB 18 95 billion in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with EPS of RMB 1 21, RMB 1 45, and RMB 1 68 [2] Business Segment Analysis Packaged Water - Sales revenue for packaged water in H1 2024 was RMB 8 53 billion, down 18 3% YoY, accounting for 38 5% of total revenue [2] - The decline was primarily due to negative public opinion and malicious attacks on the company and its founder in late February 2024 [2] - The green-bottled purified water product is expected to drive future growth in this segment [2] Tea Beverages - Tea beverage sales grew 59 5% YoY to RMB 8 43 billion, driven by the popularity of low-sugar and healthy products like Oriental Leaf and Tea π [2] - New flavors and product specifications for Oriental Leaf were introduced, further solidifying its market position [2] Functional Beverages - Functional beverage sales increased 3 8% YoY to RMB 2 55 billion, with new flavors of Scream and Vitamin Water targeting the youth market through collaborations with outdoor and street dance events [2] Juice Beverages - Juice beverage sales rose 25 4% YoY to RMB 2 11 billion, supported by product upgrades and new flavor expansions for brands like Nongfu Orchard and Water Soluble C100 [2] Other Products - Sales of other products declined 7 2% YoY to RMB 550 million, as the company focused on operational efficiency and key product categories [2] Financial Forecasts - Revenue is projected to grow to RMB 47 59 billion, RMB 55 53 billion, and RMB 62 41 billion in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with YoY growth rates of 11 5%, 16 7%, and 12 4% [2][6] - Net profit margins are expected to remain strong at 28 1% in 2024, with slight improvements in subsequent years [2] - The company's ROE is forecasted to be 19 6%, 14 47%, and 11 95% for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [2] Valuation - The report values Nongfu Spring at 26x PE for 2024, translating to a target price of HKD 34 20 based on a 0 92:1 exchange rate [2][8] - Comparable companies include Dongpeng Beverage, Xiangpiaopiao, and Uni-President China, with average PE multiples of 20x, 17x, and 14x for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [8][9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's recurring income showed steady growth, with a 9% YoY increase to RMB 20 billion, while core net profit grew by 14.4% YoY to RMB 5.5 billion [2] - The company's asset management scale reached RMB 449.1 billion, a 5.1% increase from the end of 2023 [3] - The company's contracted sales for the first half of 2024 were RMB 124.7 billion, maintaining its position as the fourth-largest in the industry [2] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of RMB 79.1 billion in the first half of 2024, an 8.4% YoY increase, with net profit attributable to shareholders and core net profit at RMB 10.3 billion and RMB 10.7 billion, respectively [2] - The company's weighted average financing cost decreased by 32 basis points to 3.24%, maintaining its position in the lowest tier of the industry [2] - The company's total interest-bearing debt ratio and net interest-bearing debt ratio decreased to 38.9% and 33.6%, respectively, both at low levels in the industry [2] Business Operations - The company's shopping centers achieved rental income of RMB 9.5 billion, a 9.7% YoY increase, with a retail sales growth of 21.9% YoY to RMB 91.6 billion [3] - The company plans to open approximately 10 new shopping centers in the second half of 2024, with the total number of operational shopping centers expected to reach 110 by the end of 2027 [3] - The company's office rental income decreased by 4.9% YoY to RMB 950 million, with an occupancy rate of 75% [3] Land Reserves and Development - The company acquired 11 new projects in the first half of 2024, adding 2.02 million square meters of land reserves, with 87% of the investment concentrated in first- and second-tier cities [2] - The company's total land reserves reached 56.99 million square meters, with 47.71 million square meters allocated for development and sales, of which over 70% are located in first- and second-tier cities [2] - The company's total salable resources for the second half of 2024 amounted to RMB 368.7 billion, with 85% located in first- and second-tier cities [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company's revenue is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6% from 2024 to 2026, with net profit attributable to shareholders growing at a CAGR of 4% [4] - The company's EPS is forecasted to be RMB 4.40, RMB 4.56, RMB 4.75, and RMB 4.95 for 2023, 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4] - The company's PE ratio is expected to be 5.87, 4.16, 4.01, and 4.11 for 2023, 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4] Market Position and Strategy - The company maintained its position as the fourth-largest in the industry by sales scale, with a top-five market share in 20 major cities [2] - The company's sales in first-tier cities accounted for an 8 percentage point increase YoY [2] - The company's investment in first- and second-tier cities accounted for 87% of its total land acquisitions [2]

[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 28 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 当前价：32.55 港元 康诺亚-B（2162.HK）医疗保健 目标价：——港元 自免双抗授权，期待 CM310 上市 基础数据 [Table_BaseData] 52 周区间(港元) 27.45-61.65 3 个月平均成交量(百万) 0.78 流通股数(亿) 2.80 市值(亿) 91.05 [Table_Summary 事件：公司发布] 2024 半年度报告，2024 上半年收入达 0.5 亿元，主要来源于 阿斯利康支付的 CMG901 项目第一笔研发里程碑付款。 CM310三项适应症处于 NDA阶段，即将迎来密集落地期。CM310治疗成人中 重度特应性皮炎的新药上市申请于 2023年 12月获 CDE 受理，治疗青少年中重 度特应性皮炎的注册行临床于 2024 Q1启动。CM310治疗慢性鼻窦炎伴鼻息肉 的药品上市许可申请于 2024年 6月获国家药监局受理，并纳入优先审评审批程 序。CM310治疗 SAR适应症的Ⅲ期临床试验达到主要终点，NDA 申请于 2024 年 4 月获 CDE 受理 ...

[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 28 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 买入 （维持） 当前价：10.86 港元 顺丰同城（9699.HK）交通运输 目标价：12.89 港元 净利同比翻倍增长，预计 9 月进入港股通 基础数据 [Table_BaseData] 52 周区间(港元) 6.37-12.6 3 个月平均成交量(百万) 0.51 流通股数(亿) 9.17 市值(亿) 99.63 [Table_Summary 事件：顺丰同城公布 ] 2024年半年报。2024年上半年公司实现营收 68.8亿元， 同比增长 19.6%。公司毛利及毛利率分别为 4.7亿及 6.9%，较去年同期毛利率 6.7%上涨 0.2pp。净利润及净利润率分别为 0.6亿元及 0.9%，较去年同期净利 润同比翻倍增长，增速达 105.1%，公司盈利能力持续提升。 业务凸显良好韧性，实现核心业务健康可持续增长。公司订单量与去年同期相 比实现强劲增长超过三成，同城配送服务的收入从 2023 年上半年 33.9 亿元增 长 19.2%至 2024 年上半年 40.4 亿元。充分发挥运力网络的弹性和成本 ...

Investment Rating - Strong Buy (Maintained) with a target price of HKD 16.6 [1] Core Views - Revenue growth in 1H24 was in line with expectations, with traditional exterior parts slightly exceeding expectations and battery box business slightly below expectations [1] - Net profit growth in 1H24 was in line with expectations, with stable gross margins and increased expenses due to rising freight costs [1] - Future growth is expected to be driven by the battery box business and other new products, with a stable growth outlook [1] - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2024-2025 to RMB 2.2 billion and RMB 2.58 billion, respectively, and introduced a 2026 forecast of RMB 3.1 billion [1] Financial Performance - 1H24 revenue: RMB 11.1 billion, +14% YoY, +2.9% QoQ [1] - 1H24 net profit: RMB 1.07 billion, +20% YoY, +5.1% QoQ [1] - Gross margin: 28.5%, +2.2PP YoY, flat QoQ [1] - Sales expense ratio: 4.8%, +0.8PP QoQ due to rising freight costs [1] - Management expense ratio: 6.7%, -1.0PP QoQ [1] - R&D expense ratio: 6.4%, -1.0PP QoQ [1] Business Segments - Traditional exterior parts revenue: RMB 7.8 billion, +10% YoY, -7% QoQ [1] - Metal and trim: RMB 2.5 billion, +1.2% YoY [1] - Plastic parts: RMB 2.8 billion, +14% YoY [1] - Aluminum parts: RMB 2.4 billion, +14% YoY [1] - Battery box and structural parts revenue: RMB 2.4 billion, +33% YoY, +24% QoQ [1] Future Outlook - Growth is expected to be driven by the battery box business and other new products [1] - The company is expanding its product categories in structural parts and traditional exterior parts to hedge against joint venture customers [1] - The company benefits from improved gross margins and expense ratios due to new business growth and the end of a high-intensity investment cycle [1] Valuation and Forecasts - 2024E revenue: RMB 24.123 billion, +17.5% YoY [2] - 2025E revenue: RMB 28.232 billion, +17.0% YoY [2] - 2026E revenue: RMB 33.091 billion, +17.2% YoY [2] - 2024E net profit: RMB 2.201 billion, +15.7% YoY [2] - 2025E net profit: RMB 2.577 billion, +17.1% YoY [2] - 2026E net profit: RMB 3.1 billion, +20.3% YoY [2] - 2024E PE: 5.9x, 2025E PE: 5.0x, 2026E PE: 4.2x [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Yadea Holdings (01585.HK) with a target price of HKD 13, while the current price is HKD 10.8 [1]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2024 (24H1) was HKD 14.41 billion, a decrease of 15.4% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 1.03 billion, down 13.0% year-on-year [1]. - The decline in sales is attributed to stricter industry regulations and weakened demand, leading to inventory destocking among distributors, resulting in a 22% year-on-year drop in sales volume to 6.38 million units [1]. - Despite the sales decline, the gross profit margin improved by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year to 18%, driven by a shift towards higher-end products [1]. - The report anticipates that as regulatory policies stabilize, leading companies like Yadea will benefit from industry consolidation and improved sales performance [1]. - The company is expected to see a gradual recovery in sales, with net profit forecasts adjusted to HKD 2.52 billion, HKD 3.02 billion, and HKD 3.60 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [1]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the expected revenue is HKD 31.16 billion, reflecting a 10% decrease, while the net profit is projected at HKD 2.52 billion, a 5% decrease [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is estimated at HKD 0.86, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.2 [2]. - The company’s total assets are projected to reach HKD 27.33 billion by 2024, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 60.7% [6].

纺织服装 证券分析师 丁一 S1350524040003 dingyi@huayuanstock.com 研究支持 股价数据： 2024 年 8 月 27 日 收盘价（港元） 71.65 年内最高/最低（港元） 94.95/60.20 总市值（亿港元） 2030 基础数据： 2024 年 6 月 30 日 总股本 (亿股) 28.33 总资产（亿人民币） 971.78 净资产（亿人民币） 616.30 每股净资产（元人民 币） 20.23 联系人 市场表现： -30.00% -25.00% -20.00% -15.00% -10.00% -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 2020.HK HSI.GI 相关研究 公司点评 2024 年 08 月 29 日 安踏体育 (2020.HK) 买入 （维持） ——主品牌稳健户外品牌高增长，高效运营利润率持续上行 投资要点： ➢ 多品牌运营下营收增长稳健，毛利率增至 64.1%维持向上趋势。业绩方面，公司 24H1 实现营收 337.4 亿元，同比+13.8%；整体毛利率同比+0.8pct 至 64.1%； 整体净利率 25.7%，同比持平 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2024 reached 10.28 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20%, with a gross margin of 27.8%, down 3 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.51 billion yuan, up 31% year-on-year [2] - The railway investment in China is rapidly increasing, benefiting the company's rail transit equipment business, which saw a revenue increase of 31% year-on-year in the first half of 2024 [3] - The emerging equipment segment continues to grow, with a revenue increase of 9% year-on-year in the first half of 2024, driven by the demand for new energy vehicles and power semiconductor devices [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2022 was 18.034 billion yuan, with a projected increase to 22.447 billion yuan in 2023, and further to 26.672 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 19.26%, 24.47%, and 18.82% respectively [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.556 billion yuan in 2022, expected to rise to 3.106 billion yuan in 2023 and 3.615 billion yuan in 2024, with growth rates of 26.67%, 21.51%, and 16.39% respectively [2] Business Segments Rail Transit Equipment - The company achieved revenue of 6.14 billion yuan from rail transit equipment in the first half of 2024, a 31% increase year-on-year, benefiting from a significant rise in national railway fixed asset investment [3] - The demand for rail transit equipment is expected to remain strong due to the recovery in passenger transport and increased railway investments [3] Emerging Equipment - Revenue from emerging equipment reached 4.09 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, a 9% year-on-year increase, with significant contributions from power semiconductor devices and new energy vehicle systems [4] - The company is expected to maintain growth in this segment as production capacity is released and new products are introduced [4] Profitability and Valuation - The report adjusts the expected net profit for 2024 and 2025 upwards to 3.62 billion yuan and 4.38 billion yuan respectively, with a projected net profit of 4.88 billion yuan for 2026 [4] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) based on the closing price on August 28, 2024, is projected to be 10.4 for 2024, 8.6 for 2025, and 7.7 for 2026 [4]

[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 29 日 证券研究报告•2024 年中报点评 买入 （维持） 当前价：27.05 港元 农夫山泉（9633.HK）食品饮料 目标价：34.20 港元 包装水短期承压，茶饮加速放量 [Table_Summary 事件：公司发布] 2024 年中报，24H1 实现营收 221.7 亿元，同比+8.4%；归母 净利润 62.4 亿元，同比+8.0%。 包装水受舆论攻击影响承压，茶饮受益于无糖风潮维持高增。分品类看，包装 水、茶饮料、功能饮料、果汁饮料、其他产品分别实现销售收入 85.3 亿元 （-18.3%）、84.3亿元（+59.5%）、25.5亿元（+3.8%）、21.1亿元（+25.4%）、 5.5 亿元(-7.2%)，分别占总营收的 38.5%/38.0%/11.5%/9.5%/2.5%。其中，包 装水下降较多主因 2 月底网络出现大量对公司和创始人的舆论攻击和恶意诋毁 影响品牌销售。茶饮料中东方树叶及茶π两大单品在健康化、低糖化趋势下快 速放量，第二曲线逐步夯实，东方树叶新口味新规格研发上市。功能饮料一方 面推出尖叫新口味注入品牌活力，另一方 ...