Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Meituan-W (3690 HK) [1] Core Views - Meituan's Q3 2024 revenue is expected to reach 921 billion yuan, a YoY increase of 20 5% and a QoQ increase of 12% [1] - Core local commerce revenue is projected at 687 billion yuan, with a YoY growth of 19% and QoQ growth of 13% [1] - The food delivery business is expected to generate 459 billion yuan in revenue, with a YoY increase of 15% and QoQ increase of 13%, and an operating profit margin of 17 8% [1] - Flash delivery revenue is forecasted at 67 billion yuan, with a YoY growth of 42% and an operating profit margin of 0 3% [1] - The in-store, hotel, and travel business is expected to achieve 154 billion yuan in revenue, with a YoY increase of 25% and QoQ increase of 11%, and an operating profit margin of 35% [1] - New business revenue is projected at 235 billion yuan, with a YoY growth of 25% and QoQ growth of 9%, and an operating profit margin of -8% [1] Core Local Commerce - Food Delivery Business - The food delivery business is expected to see a 14 6% YoY revenue increase to 459 billion yuan, with GTV growing 11% YoY and operating profit margin improving by 2 9 percentage points to 17 8% [1] - Order volume is expected to grow 12% YoY to 6 12 billion orders, driven by new supply models and marketing campaigns [1] - The "Autumn's First Milk Tea" campaign achieved a daily peak of 90 million orders in August 2024 [1] - Long-term growth is supported by adapting to consumer behavior changes and deepening the supply chain [1] Core Local Commerce - Flash Delivery Business - Flash delivery revenue is expected to grow 42% YoY to 67 billion yuan, with order volume increasing 37% YoY to 960 million orders [1] - The lightning warehouse model is a key driver, with over 30,000 warehouses currently and a projected 100,000 by 2027 [1] - Operating profit margin is expected to decline by 4 8 percentage points due to increased marketing and seasonal delivery costs [1] Core Local Commerce - In-Store, Hotel, and Travel Business - Revenue for this segment is expected to grow 25% YoY to 154 billion yuan, with an operating profit margin of 35% [1] - The "Shen Membership" integration is driving synergies, with GTV expected to grow 35% YoY [1] - The National Day Golden Week saw a 41 2% YoY increase in in-store consumption and a 69 6% YoY increase in tourist spending [1] - The segment is expected to achieve a 21% CAGR from 2023 to 2026 [1] New Business - New business revenue is expected to grow 25% YoY to 235 billion yuan, driven by Xiaoxiang Supermarket [1] - The segment's loss is expected to increase slightly to 1 8 billion yuan, mainly due to seasonal cold chain investments [1] Financial Forecasts - Revenue for 2024-2026 is projected at 3,328 billion yuan, 3,863 billion yuan, and 4,389 billion yuan, respectively [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted at 33 2 billion yuan, 44 1 billion yuan, and 55 1 billion yuan for 2024-2026 [5] - Non-GAAP net profit is expected to be 41 5 billion yuan, 57 3 billion yuan, and 68 3 billion yuan for the same period [5] - The target price is set at 230 yuan (250 HKD) based on SOTP valuation [5] Market Performance - Meituan-W has outperformed the Hang Seng Index with a 46 8% increase over the past month, 65% over three months, and 80 8% over twelve months [1] - The current stock price is 194 90 HKD, with a market capitalization of 1,185,913 94 million HKD [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Ning with a target price of HK$19.30, representing a potential upside of 26% from the current price of HK$15.28 [1][4]. Core Insights - The report indicates that Li Ning's 3Q24 operational performance met expectations, with projected revenue and net profit for 2024 expected to grow by 2.2% and decline by 3.3% respectively, reaching RMB 28.22 billion and RMB 3.08 billion [4][5]. - The report maintains earnings forecasts and the "Buy" rating, with a target price of HK$19.30, corresponding to a 14x P/E ratio for 2025 [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 3Q24 results showed a slight decline in overall revenue (excluding Li Ning Young), with online sales growing while offline sales faced a decline [4]. - The report forecasts a 0.2% increase in total revenue for 2024, driven by a strong performance in professional channels and a low base effect for the upcoming quarter [5]. - The projected revenue figures for 2024-2026 are RMB 28.22 billion, RMB 29.33 billion, and RMB 30.38 billion respectively, with net profits expected to be RMB 3.08 billion, RMB 3.28 billion, and RMB 3.47 billion [6][7]. Earnings Forecast - The report anticipates a slight decrease in gross margin for 2024, with an expected increase in sales and management expense ratios due to higher marketing expenditures and depreciation costs [5]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024-2026 are RMB 1.19, RMB 1.27, and RMB 1.34 respectively [6][7]. Market Position - Li Ning's market strategy includes increasing retail discounts to attract customers, while online discounts have shown improvement [5]. - The report highlights the importance of maintaining a healthy inventory structure, with over 80% of products having a shelf life of less than six months [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huahong Semiconductor with a target price of HK$29.00, representing a potential upside of 22% from the current price of HK$23.70 [1][4]. Core Views - The report indicates that Huahong Semiconductor is on a path to recovery in profitability, with expectations of revenue growth driven by a gradual recovery in demand and price increases [1][2]. - The forecast for 3Q24 includes a revenue increase of 9% quarter-on-quarter to US$522 million, with a gross margin of 11.8% [1][2]. - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a slow recovery, particularly in consumer electronics, which is expected to be a key driver for Huahong's performance [1][2]. Summary by Sections Investment Rating - The investment rating is "Buy" with a target price of HK$29.00, reflecting a 1.0x P/B for 2024 [1][4]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue for 2024 is projected at US$2,036 million, with a year-on-year decline of 11% [2]. - Gross profit is expected to be US$220 million, with a gross margin of 11% [2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted at US$122 million, reflecting a 57% decline year-on-year [2]. Quarterly Projections - For 3Q24, revenue is expected to reach US$522 million, with a gross margin of 12% [3]. - The report anticipates a gradual improvement in operating profit, projecting a loss of US$40 million for 3Q24, improving to a loss of US$29 million in 4Q24 [3]. Valuation - The report adjusts the target P/B from 0.8x to 1.0x for 2024, indicating a potential revaluation based on expected recovery in demand and profitability [4][5]. - The estimated book value per share for 2024 is adjusted to US$3.69, supporting the target price of HK$29.00 [5]. Industry Context - The semiconductor industry is facing challenges, including competition in traditional processes and high capital expenditures, which may impact long-term ROE [4][6]. - The report highlights that Huahong's stock has increased by 28% year-to-date, outperforming the Hang Seng Index, yet remains below its book value [1][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for China General Nuclear Power (1816) [3] Core Views - The company's performance in Q3 2024 met expectations, with revenue of 62.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.98 billion yuan, up 2.9% year-on-year [3] - The company has a robust pipeline of projects under construction and reserves, indicating significant growth potential in the long term [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 22.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.3%, and a net profit of 2.87 billion yuan, up 4.9% year-on-year [3] - The total controllable power generation in Q3 2024 was 48.3 billion kWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.2%, primarily due to the commissioning of the Fangchenggang Unit 4 and the restart of the Taishan Nuclear Power Plant [3] Project Development - As of the end of Q3 2024, the company manages 16 approved nuclear power units under construction or awaiting final construction decision (FCD), with 7 units already under construction (total capacity of 8.4 GW) and 9 units in the FCD preparation stage (total capacity of 11.0 GW) [3] - The approval of 6 new nuclear power units in August 2024 marks the highest number of approvals in recent years, indicating strong governmental support for nuclear energy development [3] Market Position - The current stock price is 2.92 HKD, with a market capitalization of 147.456 billion HKD [4] - The company is positioned favorably compared to peers, with a projected EPS of 0.23/0.25/0.26 HKD for 2024-2026 and a target price of 3.90 HKD [3][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Resources Power (836 HK) with a target price adjusted to HKD 25.02, reflecting a potential upside of 20.6% from the current price of HKD 20.75 [1][2]. Core Insights - The company has successfully raised HKD 7.2 billion through a share issuance, with 46% of the new shares subscribed by its parent company, China Resources Group, indicating strong support and confidence in the company [1]. - The new share issuance is expected to cover a significant portion of the capital expenditures for 2024 and 2025, with anticipated new installations of 8 GW and 9 GW of wind and solar capacity, respectively [1]. - The net debt-to-equity ratio is projected to decrease by 15 percentage points to 138% in 2024, further reducing to 130% in 2025, which will enhance the company's financial stability [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the years 2024 to 2026 are as follows: HKD 104,166 million (2024E), HKD 112,798 million (2025E), and HKD 121,494 million (2026E), with a modest growth rate of 0.8% in 2024 and 8.3% in 2025 [2][13]. - Net profit is expected to rise significantly from HKD 11,333 million in 2023 to HKD 14,782 million in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.4% [2][13]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2024 is adjusted to HKD 2.50, down from a previous estimate of HKD 2.68, due to share dilution effects from the new issuance [2][13]. Capacity and Sales Forecast - The total installed capacity is projected to increase from 68,507 MW in 2024 to 78,507 MW in 2025, with renewable energy sources accounting for 48% of the total capacity in 2024 and increasing to 53% in 2025 [3]. - The total electricity sales are expected to grow from 207,618 GWh in 2024 to 227,041 GWh in 2025, driven by increased generation from both wind and solar power [3]. Valuation - The report employs a sum-of-the-parts valuation method, estimating the value of the thermal power segment at HKD 18,014 million and the renewable energy segment at HKD 111,497 million, leading to a total valuation of HKD 129,511 million [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral rating for Li Ning (2331 HK) with a target price of HKD 14.89, indicating a potential downside of 2.5% from the current closing price of HKD 15.28 [1][2][3]. Core Insights - The third quarter sales were pressured by foot traffic issues, with a low single-digit year-on-year decline in overall retail sales. Offline retail channels experienced a mid-single-digit decline, while online channels showed a middle single-digit growth [1][2]. - The fourth quarter is expected to perform better than the previous three quarters, driven by improved sales metrics and a favorable comparison to last year's low base. The company anticipates a recovery in sales during the National Day holiday, with offline sales achieving low single-digit growth and e-commerce channels experiencing a 30-40% increase [2][3]. - Discount rates are expected to remain under pressure due to poor foot traffic, leading to increased terminal discounting to maintain inventory levels. The management expects this trend to continue into the fourth quarter, although professional categories like badminton and running have shown strong performance [2][3]. Financial Overview - Revenue for Li Ning is projected to grow from RMB 25,803 million in 2022 to RMB 28,196 million in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.2% in 2024 [3][6]. - Net profit is expected to decline from RMB 4,064 million in 2022 to RMB 2,952 million in 2024, with a significant drop of 20.7% in 2023 [3][6]. - The company maintains a gross margin improvement expectation of approximately 1 percentage point for the year, despite the anticipated challenges [2][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its performance relative to the market [3][10]. Core Insights - The company's performance in Q3 2024 showed a year-on-year increase of 7%, driven by improved liquidity and supportive policies, leading to record trading volumes in the Hong Kong stock market [3][4]. - Total revenue for the first nine months of 2024 reached HKD 159.9 billion, a 2% increase year-on-year, with net profit remaining stable at HKD 92.7 billion [3][4]. - The report highlights a significant increase in IPO fundraising, with Q3 2024 seeing a 391% quarter-on-quarter growth, attributed to major listings such as Midea Group [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2024, the company achieved total revenue of HKD 159.9 billion, up 2% year-on-year, and a net profit of HKD 92.7 billion, unchanged from the previous year [3][4]. - Q3 2024 net profit was HKD 31.5 billion, reflecting a 7% increase year-on-year [3]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue contribution from trading and settlement fees increased to 56% in 9M24, up from 53% in 9M23, driven by a recovery in Average Daily Turnover (ADT) [3]. - Revenue from various segments for 9M24 included: - Spot trading: HKD 6.35 billion (+2%) - Equity securities and derivatives: HKD 4.52 billion (-10%) - Commodities: HKD 2.1 billion (+31%) - Data and connectivity: HKD 1.56 billion (+1%) - Company projects: HKD 1.47 billion (+18%) [3][4]. Market Trends - The report notes that the Hong Kong stock market's ADT reached historical highs, with significant contributions from both southbound and northbound trading [3]. - The report anticipates continued positive sentiment in the Hong Kong IPO market due to recent regulatory changes aimed at expediting the listing process [3][4]. Profitability Forecast - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts upward, expecting net profits of HKD 128 billion, HKD 139 billion, and HKD 151 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 8%, 9%, and 8% [3][4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][3]. Core Insights - The main brand's Q3 revenue met expectations, with healthy operational metrics, and the performance of Saucony was particularly strong, leading to optimistic expectations for Q4 [3]. - The company maintains its net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 at 1.26 billion, 1.43 billion, and 1.60 billion RMB, corresponding to PE ratios of 10, 9, and 8 times respectively [3]. - The main brand's Q3 revenue showed a single-digit year-on-year growth, with offline sales slightly increasing and e-commerce sales growing at a high double-digit rate [3]. - Saucony's Q3 revenue grew by over 50% year-on-year, continuing its rapid growth trajectory [3]. - The overall consumption environment remains under pressure, with a slight decline in foot traffic and single-store performance for the main brand's offline stores compared to H1 [3]. - The company plans to maintain its store count for 2024, with upgrades to store image and size expected to enhance average store efficiency [3]. - There is an expectation for double-digit revenue growth for the main brand in October, driven by strong performance during the National Day holiday and the upcoming Double Eleven sales [3]. - The company anticipates a high probability of 50% year-on-year revenue growth for Saucony in 2024 [3]. Financial Summary - The company reported revenues of 14.35 billion RMB for 2023, with a projected growth of 4% for 2024 [5]. - The net profit for 2023 was 1.03 billion RMB, with an expected growth of over 20% for 2024 [5]. - The PE ratio for 2024 is projected at 10.0, decreasing to 8.6 by 2026 [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for TCL Electronics, indicating a positive outlook for the stock [2][7]. Core Views - The Q3 television shipment data exceeded expectations, with a significant increase in global shipments and a strong focus on high-end products [2]. - The company is benefiting from the domestic appliance replacement program, showing robust domestic sales and improved global competitiveness [2]. - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) for 2024-2026 to be HKD 0.56, 0.68, and 0.76 respectively, representing year-on-year growth of +90%, +21%, and +13% [2]. Summary by Sections - **Q3 Shipment Performance**: In Q3, TCL Electronics shipped 7.49 million televisions globally, a 19.7% increase year-on-year. Domestic shipments were 1.49 million (up 5%), while overseas shipments reached 5.99 million (up 24%) [2]. - **Market Performance**: North American shipments increased by 28%, driven by targeted marketing strategies, while European markets saw a 35.5% increase in shipments for the first three quarters [2]. - **Product Strategy**: The company is leading the trend towards larger and higher-end televisions, with shipments of 65 inches and above increasing by 16.8% and those of 75 inches and above by 35.3% [2]. - **Panel Pricing and Cost Management**: Panel prices have stabilized, alleviating cost pressures for televisions. The average prices for various panel sizes remained unchanged in early October [2]. - **Financial Projections**: The report projects revenue growth from HKD 78.986 billion in 2023 to HKD 94.213 billion in 2024, with net profit expected to rise significantly [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for Li Ning (2331.HK) with a target price of HKD 15.94, reflecting a potential upside of 3.9% from the current price of HKD 15.3 [2][11]. Core Views - Li Ning's 3Q24 operational data slightly exceeded market expectations, but the company still significantly lags behind major domestic competitors. The management indicated increased short-term channel inventory pressure and highlighted substantial uncertainty regarding 4Q24 revenue performance [1]. - Despite improved earnings certainty for 2024, the lack of significant recovery in brand strength, fundamentals, and terminal sales trends suggests that investors should remain cautious about Li Ning's stock performance [1]. - The establishment of a joint venture with founder Li Ning and HongShan Venture aims to accelerate the brand's overseas expansion, although the current overseas business only accounts for about 2% of total revenue [1]. Summary by Sections 3Q24 Performance - Li Ning's overall channel revenue in 3Q24 declined in the mid-single digits year-on-year, which was slightly better than market expectations. Offline channel revenue fell in the high single digits, also better than expected [1]. - E-commerce revenue grew in the mid-single digits year-on-year, aligning with market expectations. The average selling price decreased in the mid-single digits, while sales volume remained stable [1]. 4Q24 Outlook - Management remains cautious about the outlook for 4Q24, citing that industry terminal demand has not shown significant improvement and that short-term inventory and discount pressures persist [1]. - The company aims to reduce the inventory turnover ratio to 4-5 months by year-end, with current inventory turnover at around 5 months [1]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for Li Ning are as follows: - 2024E: RMB 28,199 million (up 2.2% YoY) - 2025E: RMB 29,422 million (up 4.3% YoY) - 2026E: RMB 30,967 million (up 5.3% YoY) [3][4]. - Net profit forecasts are: - 2024E: RMB 3,005 million (down 5.7% YoY) - 2025E: RMB 3,297 million (up 9.7% YoY) - 2026E: RMB 3,570 million (up 8.3% YoY) [3][4]. Margins and Ratios - The gross margin is expected to expand by approximately 1 percentage point in 2024, despite a slight decline in the second half of 2024 due to increased discounts [1]. - The report indicates a projected PE ratio of 12.2x for 2024E, with a return on equity (ROE) of 12.0% [3][6]. Inventory and Discounts - Management has increased retail discounts in 3Q24 to manage inventory levels, with offline discounts deepening in the low single digits [1]. - The overall inventory turnover ratio remains manageable, with expectations to improve by year-end [1].