Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings [1][7] Core Views - Tencent's gaming and advertising revenues exceeded expectations, with a focus on future AI investments and developments [1][3] - The gaming business showed accelerated growth, particularly in domestic game revenue, which increased by 24% year-on-year to 42.9 billion yuan [2] - The advertising business also outperformed market expectations, achieving a revenue of 31.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20% [3] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 609.02 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.82% [1] - Adjusted net profit for 2023 is expected to be 115.22 billion yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 38.79% year-on-year [1] - The report forecasts revenue growth to 660.26 billion yuan in 2024 and 724.25 billion yuan in 2025, with adjusted net profit expected to rise to 194.07 billion yuan and 225.46 billion yuan respectively [1][7] AI Investment and Future Outlook - Tencent's capital expenditure (CAPEX) for Q1 2025 was 27.48 billion yuan, primarily focused on AI-related business development, representing 15.3% of revenue [4] - The company is actively enhancing its AI applications within its ecosystem, including AI tools for content creation and user interaction [4][7] - The report anticipates that Tencent's gaming, advertising, and cloud businesses will benefit from AI technology advancements, positioning WeChat as a potential "AI operating system" [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba Group [4] Core Views - Alibaba's e-commerce business remains robust, with AI driving accelerated growth in cloud revenue [1] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, having repurchased $11.9 billion in shares and approved a total dividend of $4.6 billion for FY2025 [1] - The report forecasts revenue growth for FY2025 to FY2027, estimating revenues of CNY 1.10 trillion, CNY 1.19 trillion, and CNY 1.28 trillion respectively, with adjusted net profits of CNY 160.1 billion, CNY 183.2 billion, and CNY 200.9 billion [3] Financial Performance Summary - For FY2024A, Alibaba's revenue is projected at CNY 941.17 billion, with a year-over-year growth rate of 8.34% [8] - The adjusted net profit for FY2024A is expected to be CNY 79.74 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 9.97% [8] - The report indicates a steady increase in EPS, projected to reach CNY 9.93 by FY2028E [8] - The company's P/E ratio is expected to decrease from 26.72 in FY2024A to 11.29 in FY2028E, indicating improved valuation over time [8] E-commerce Business Insights - The e-commerce segment, specifically Taotian Group, achieved revenue of CNY 710.77 billion in FY25Q4, a 12% increase year-over-year, exceeding market expectations [2] - The growth is attributed to increased software service fees and enhanced marketing efficiency for small and medium-sized businesses [2] - The report anticipates continued growth in the Take Rate due to improved advertising tool penetration and AI applications enhancing user experience [2] Cloud Business Insights - Cloud revenue for FY25Q4 grew by 18% year-over-year to CNY 301.27 billion, with AI-related product revenue maintaining triple-digit growth for seven consecutive quarters [3] - The report highlights a shift in the customer base from large enterprises to small and medium-sized businesses, with significant investments in AI continuing [3] - Despite increased investments leading to a slight decline in adjusted EBITA margin, the outlook for cloud revenue growth remains positive [3]

证券研究报告 阿里健康 (241 HK) 港股通 自营业务转向高质量发展 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 5 月 | 21 日│中国香港 | 互联网 | 阿里健康 2HFY25 总收入 163 亿元，同比+16.0%，增速好于 Visible Alpha (VA，口径下同)一致预期的+12.6%，经调整净利润 9.7 亿元，同比增长 22.2%，逊于一致预期的 11.0 亿元。在广告业务注入带来的基数效应逐渐 消失后，我们预计阿里健康未来的盈利增速将主要依赖内生业务增速驱动。 后续建议关注：1）医药电商各品类需求修复情况及竞争格局演变；2）淘宝 即时零售战略进展及医药品类近场电商发展情况；3）阿里健康医疗 AI 技术 进展及商业化节奏。"买入"。 广告业务并入贡献坚实增量，淘宝闪购业务发展或带来近场电商领域机会 盈利预测与估值 我们调整 FY26-27 经调整归母净利润预测-8.8/-8.4%至 23/26 亿元，并引入 FY28 预测新值 29 亿元。我们给予公司 35x 目标非 IFRS PE，较可比公司 2026 年均值 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, setting a target price of HKD 16.98 per share based on an 8x PS valuation for 2025 [3]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading SaaS provider in the domestic enterprise service sector, with a significant shift towards cloud services, which are expected to account for 81.6% of revenue by 2024 [8][10]. - The transition to cloud services has enhanced revenue growth resilience, with consistent positive growth from 2016 to 2024, and improved operational efficiency reflected in a 10% CAGR in revenue per employee from 2020 to 2024 [8][29][31]. - The company has developed three core product solutions targeting different customer segments: Xinghan & Cangqiong for large enterprises, Xingkong for medium enterprises, and Xingchen for small businesses, with high renewal rates indicating strong customer retention [8][10][25]. Summary by Sections Investment Logic - The company is expected to achieve revenues of RMB 70.1 billion, RMB 80.5 billion, and RMB 93.8 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits turning positive by 2025 [3]. Financial Forecasts, Valuation, and Rating - The projected revenue growth rates are 16.71% for 2023, 10.15% for 2024, and 11.99% for 2025, with net profit growth rates expected to be 46.07% in 2024 and 156.06% in 2025 [7][3]. Company Overview - The company has transitioned from traditional ERP software to a cloud-native EBC model, enhancing its service offerings and operational capabilities [14][19]. - The cloud transformation has led to a significant increase in contract liabilities and a decrease in accounts receivable, indicating improved cash flow management [41][42]. Growth Drivers - The demand for digital transformation among small and medium enterprises is driving the adoption of the company's SaaS solutions, with a potential market space of approximately RMB 70 billion for the Xingkong product line [10][25]. - The company has established a strong foothold in the domestic market, with over 2,110 clients for its cloud-native EBC solutions, reflecting its competitive advantage in the industry [8][10]. AI and SaaS Integration - The company has been integrating AI capabilities into its SaaS offerings, enhancing operational efficiency and creating new revenue-sharing opportunities through its Agent model [8][10][42].

港股公司报告 | 首次覆盖报告 药师帮（09885） 证券研究报告 平台+自营+首推，数字化解决方案赋能全产业链 平台+自营+首推，院外数字化龙头首次扭亏为盈 药师帮成立于 2015 年，是中国院外医药产业最大的数字化综合服务平台。 公司持续聚焦与深耕院外医药市场，近年来已完成"平台+自营+首推"业 务模式的拓展，全面覆盖院外医药产业链布局。2019-2024 年，公司收入 规模持续增长，由 32.52 亿元增长至 179.04 亿元，cagr 为 40.66%。同时 2024 年公司实现净利润超 3001 万元，首次全面转正，经调净利润达 1.57 亿 元，同比增长 20.1%，标志着公司已经全面迈入持续正向的盈利新阶段。 平台业务：向上丰富药品供给，向下拓展终端，经营效率持续优化 公司的平台业务的卖家为上游药品经销商，买家主要为下游药店与基层医 疗机构。1）向上：公司持续巩固供应链能力，丰富药品 SKU 供给，截止 至 2024 年，公司平台月均 SKU 数已持续增长至超过 390 万个。2）向下： 加速下游买家拓展，连锁药店及基层医疗机构快速增长。截至 2024 年，公 司累计注册下游买家数超 82.7 ...

港股公司报告 | 首次覆盖报告 药师帮（09885） 证券研究报告 平台+自营+首推，数字化解决方案赋能全产业链 平台+自营+首推，院外数字化龙头首次扭亏为盈 药师帮成立于 2015 年，是中国院外医药产业最大的数字化综合服务平台。 公司持续聚焦与深耕院外医药市场，近年来已完成"平台+自营+首推"业 务模式的拓展，全面覆盖院外医药产业链布局。2019-2024 年，公司收入 规模持续增长，由 32.52 亿元增长至 179.04 亿元，cagr 为 40.66%。同时 2024 年公司实现净利润超 3001 万元，首次全面转正，经调净利润达 1.57 亿 元，同比增长 20.1%，标志着公司已经全面迈入持续正向的盈利新阶段。 平台业务：向上丰富药品供给，向下拓展终端，经营效率持续优化 公司的平台业务的卖家为上游药品经销商，买家主要为下游药店与基层医 疗机构。1）向上：公司持续巩固供应链能力，丰富药品 SKU 供给，截止 至 2024 年，公司平台月均 SKU 数已持续增长至超过 390 万个。2）向下： 加速下游买家拓展，连锁药店及基层医疗机构快速增长。截至 2024 年，公 司累计注册下游买家数超 82.7 ...

上 市 公 司 交通运输 2025 年 05 月 21 日 中通快递-W (02057) ——行业竞争加剧，静待格局优化 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 投资要点： 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 38,419 | 44,281 | 48,669 | 55,122 | 62,067 | | 同比增长率（%） | 9% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 13% | | 调整后净利润（百万元） | 9006 | 10150 | 9540 | 10531 | 12045 | | 同比增长率（%） | 32% | 13% | -6% | 10% | 14% | | 净资产收益率（%） | 14.52 | 13.33 | 13.87 | 14.27 | 15.27 | | 市盈率（倍） | 11.2x | 10.0x | 10.6x | 9.6x | 8.4x | | 市净率（倍） | 1.7x | 1.6x | 1.3x | 1.1x | ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a strong market recognition of the company's value, as evidenced by its IPO performance and significant oversubscription rates [1][9]. Core Insights - The company has transitioned from a single battery supplier to a zero-carbon ecosystem builder, connecting transportation, energy, and industrial markets [1][33]. - The global energy transition investment scale is expected to double from $1 trillion in 2020 to $2 trillion by 2025, positioning the company favorably within this trend [9][20]. - The company has maintained a leading position in the global battery market, with a market share of 37.9% in 2023 and a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.3% for battery shipments from 2024 to 2030 [10][5]. Summary by Sections Section 1: IPO Performance - The company’s H-share was priced at 263 HKD, achieving a total market capitalization of 1.53 trillion HKD, with a 28.3% increase in stock price over two days [1]. - The IPO saw international placements oversubscribed by over 30 times and a 151 times oversubscription in the Hong Kong public offering, marking a record in recent years [1]. Section 2: Zero-Carbon Technology Investment - The report highlights a global shift towards zero-carbon technologies, with significant growth in electric vehicles and battery storage systems [2][5]. - The global penetration rate of new energy vehicles is expected to reach 55.7% by 2030, with a fivefold increase in sales from 2020 to 2024 [5]. Section 3: Battery and Energy Storage - The company’s revenue from power batteries reached 253 billion CNY in 2023, with a projected CAGR of nearly 60% from 2020 to 2024 [10]. - The company leads the global energy storage market with a 36.5% market share and a revenue of 57.3 billion CNY, reflecting a 133% CAGR over the past five years [18]. Section 4: Research and Development - The company has invested over 71.8 billion CNY in R&D over the past decade, with a record R&D expenditure of 18.6 billion CNY in 2024 [23]. - It holds over 43,000 patents, ranking as the second-highest in overseas patent applications among Chinese companies [23]. Section 5: Dividends and ESG Performance - The company has distributed nearly 60 billion CNY in cash dividends since its listing, with a dividend payout ratio exceeding 50% for two consecutive years [30]. - It achieved an AA rating in the MSCI ESG assessment for 2024, placing it in the top 5% globally, with a closed-loop recycling system for used batteries [31].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, setting a target price of HKD 16.98 per share based on an 8x PS valuation for 2025 [3]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading SaaS provider in the domestic enterprise service sector, with a significant shift towards cloud services, which are expected to account for 81.6% of revenue by 2024 [8][10]. - The transition to cloud services has enhanced revenue growth resilience, operational efficiency, and cash flow health, with the operating profit margin (OPM) for cloud services turning positive in 2023 and projected to reach 6% in 2024 [42]. - The company has developed three core product solutions targeting large, medium, and small enterprises, which are expected to drive substantial revenue growth in the coming years [8][10]. Summary by Sections Investment Logic - The company is forecasted to achieve revenues of RMB 70.1 billion, RMB 80.5 billion, and RMB 93.8 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits turning positive by 2025 [3]. Financial Forecasts, Valuation, and Rating - The projected revenue growth rates for the company from 2023 to 2027 are 16.71%, 10.15%, 11.99%, 14.96%, and 16.42% respectively, with net profit growth rates showing significant improvement, particularly in 2025 with a forecasted growth of 156.06% [7]. - The company’s diluted earnings per share are expected to improve from -0.06 in 2023 to 0.30 in 2027 [7]. Company Overview - The company has transitioned from traditional ERP software to a cloud-native EBC model, enhancing its service offerings and operational capabilities [14][19]. - The company’s cloud transformation has been marked by a significant increase in annual recurring revenue (ARR), which is projected to grow by 20% to RMB 34.3 billion in 2024 [31]. Growth Drivers - The company’s core products, including the "Cangyun" and "Xinghan" solutions, have achieved high net dollar retention rates of 108% and 94% respectively, indicating strong customer loyalty and demand [8][10]. - The demand for digital transformation among small and medium enterprises is expected to create a market space of approximately RMB 70 billion for the company’s services [10]. AI and SaaS Integration - The company has integrated AI capabilities into its SaaS offerings, enhancing service delivery and operational efficiency, with the launch of the "Jindie Cloud Cangyun GPT" platform [8][10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Alibaba-W (09988) is "Buy" with a target price set for the next six months [5][13]. Core Insights - Alibaba's revenue for FY25Q4 reached 236.5 billion yuan, with adjusted EBITDA of 41.8 billion yuan and a net profit of 30 billion yuan, indicating strong performance across its business segments [1]. - The Taobao Tmall Group generated 101.4 billion yuan in revenue, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus by 3.6%, driven by a 12% year-on-year increase in customer management revenue due to improved take rates [2]. - The cloud business reported 30.1 billion yuan in revenue, with an 18% year-on-year growth, primarily due to the rapid adoption of AI-related products, which have maintained triple-digit year-on-year growth for seven consecutive quarters [2]. - The AIDC segment achieved 33.6 billion yuan in revenue, with a 22% year-on-year increase, supported by strong cross-border business performance [3]. - Shareholder returns included a buyback of 6 billion USD for 51 million shares in FY25, and a total of 11.97 billion shares repurchased for 11.9 billion USD, resulting in a net reduction of 995 million shares [4]. Summary by Sections Taobao Tmall Group - Revenue for FY25Q4 was 101.4 billion yuan, with adjusted EBITDA of 41.7 billion yuan. Customer management revenue increased by 12% year-on-year, benefiting from improved take rates and ongoing investments in user growth and service optimization [2]. Cloud Business - Revenue for FY25Q4 was 30.1 billion yuan, with adjusted EBITDA of 2.4 billion yuan. The cloud segment's revenue grew by 18% year-on-year, driven by the increasing adoption of AI products across various industries [2]. AIDC - Revenue for FY25Q4 was 33.6 billion yuan, with adjusted EBITDA of -3.6 billion yuan. The segment's revenue grew by 22% year-on-year, focusing on operational efficiency and strategic market expansion [3]. Other Businesses - Cainiao generated 21.6 billion yuan in revenue with adjusted EBITDA of -610 million yuan. Local life services reported 16.1 billion yuan in revenue with adjusted EBITDA of -2.3 billion yuan [3]. Shareholder Returns - In FY25, Alibaba repurchased shares worth 11.9 billion USD, leading to a net reduction in shares outstanding. The board approved a total dividend of 0.25 USD per share, amounting to approximately 4.6 billion USD [4]. Investment Outlook - The report anticipates revenue growth for FY 2026-2028 to be 1,035.3 billion, 1,105.7 billion, and 1,179.8 billion yuan respectively, with net profit projections of 180.7 billion, 185.9 billion, and 195.7 billion yuan [5].