宏观热点 7月23日，海关总署制定了《中华人民共和国海关对海南自由贸易港监管办法》，现予发布。海关依照 本办法对下列对象实施监督管理：（一）海南自贸港与中华人民共和国关境外其他国家和地区（以下简 称境外）之间进出的交通运输工具、货物集装箱等运输设备、人员、货物、物品；（二）自海南自贸港 进入中华人民共和国关境内其他地区的"零关税"货物及其加工制成品、享受加工增值免关税政策的保税 货物、自境外进入海南自贸港时放宽贸易管理措施货物及其加工制成品；（三）海南自贸港内尚未办结 海关手续的货物。 科技部发布《驾驶自动化技术研发伦理指引》 7月23日，科技部官网公布《驾驶自动化技术研发伦理指引》，意在防范技术研发与产品应用过程中的 科技伦理风险，推动该领域健康发展。 这份由国家科技伦理委员会人工智能伦理分委员会组织编写的文件，遵循以人为本、增进福祉，安全优 先、尊重生命，公平公正、避免偏见，知情保障、信息公开的基本原则。其中特别强调，在面对不可避 免的交通事故或极端行车环境时，应确保驾驶自动化系统能高度尊重生命，积极寻求有效应对方法最大 限度降低对人的伤害；与驾驶自动化技术相关的算法、模型等内容应当被清晰记录、随时可查。 ...

Market News - US stock indices collectively rose, with the Dow Jones up 1.14%, Nasdaq up 0.61%, and S&P 500 up 0.78%. Notable tech stocks like AMD and Nvidia increased over 2% [1] - International precious metal futures generally declined, with COMEX gold futures down 1.34% at $3397.50 per ounce. Crude oil prices showed slight fluctuations, with WTI crude up 0.17% at $65.42 per barrel [1] - European stock indices closed higher, with Germany's DAX up 0.83%, France's CAC40 up 1.37%, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.42% [1] Industry Insights - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority is implementing regulations for stablecoins, aiming for a healthy market development while addressing anti-money laundering concerns. The final draft of the regulations is expected to be published by the end of July [2] - The stablecoin market is anticipated to grow as it bridges centralized and decentralized finance, with significant implications for global payment systems. Key stocks in this sector include Newland Digital Technology and Tianyang Technology [2] - The Shanghai Data Exchange introduced the RDA paradigm, focusing on the value of data linked to real assets. This initiative aims to enhance asset verification and value creation through blockchain technology [3] - The low-altitude economy has been recognized as a national strategic emerging industry, with the release of the "Low-altitude Economic Infrastructure Framework Guidelines (2025 Edition)" outlining development paths and indicators [4][5] - The low-altitude economy market in China is projected to reach 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025 and exceed 3.5 trillion yuan by 2035, driven by policy, technology, and market forces [5] Company Announcements - Tiancheng Control announced a plan for Yunnan Trust to reduce its stake by up to 397,100 shares, not exceeding 1% of total shares [6] - Baobian Electric reported that the Equipment Group plans to reduce its holdings by up to 1,841,530 shares, also not exceeding 1% of total shares [6] - Tianlu Technology's controlling shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 220,600 shares, representing 2% of total shares [6] - Yirui Technology announced a plan for shareholders to reduce their holdings by up to 400,440 shares, not exceeding 2% of total shares [6] - Zhongqi Co. disclosed that its shareholder Jiangsu Yueda Group intends to reduce its stake by up to 39,717,000 shares, accounting for 3% of total shares [7]

Core Viewpoint - Several companies have announced uncertainties regarding their potential involvement in the "Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project," reflecting the cautious sentiment in the market about this project and its related opportunities [3][4][5][6]. Group 1: Company Announcements on Yarlung Tsangpo Project - Kailong Co., Ltd. has noted uncertainty about its participation in the Yarlung Tsangpo hydropower project, as it primarily operates in the civil explosives industry [3]. - *ST Zhengping has also expressed uncertainty regarding its potential involvement in the Yarlung Tsangpo hydropower project, leveraging its extensive experience in high-altitude construction management [4]. - Huaxin Cement has indicated that it has the capacity to provide construction materials for the Yarlung Tsangpo hydropower project but acknowledges uncertainty about the revenue and profit it may derive from this project [5]. - Dayu Water-saving has emphasized that it currently does not have any contracts related to the Yarlung Tsangpo project, despite its experience in water conservancy projects in Tibet [6]. - ST Xifa has clarified that its main business is beer production and does not involve any projects related to hydropower station construction [7]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Market Position - Rongzhi Rixin expects a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a year-on-year growth of 2027.62% to 2.18 billion yuan, driven by the digital transformation across various industries [16]. - Weiguang Co., Ltd. reported a total revenue of 750 million yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10% [17]. Group 3: Major Contracts and Projects - Nantian Information plans to sign a procurement framework contract worth 58.27 million yuan with its controlling shareholder, which will span three years [18]. - China Communication Signal has won seven important projects in the rail transit market, with a total bid amount of approximately 1.431 billion yuan, accounting for 4.41% of its projected revenue for 2024 [19]. - Beixin Road and Bridge announced that its subsidiaries have won contracts totaling 1.629 billion yuan for highway projects, which is expected to positively impact future performance [20]. Group 4: Shareholding Changes - Tiancheng Zikong announced that Yunnan Trust plans to reduce its stake in the company by up to 1% [21]. - Baobian Electric has disclosed that the Equipment Finance Group intends to reduce its stake by up to 1% as well [22][23]. - Hongchang Technology's employee shareholding platform plans to reduce its stake by up to 2.56% [24].

7月23日晚间，沪深两市多家上市公司发布公告，以下是第一财经对一些重要公告的汇总，供投资者参 考。 【品大事】 凯龙股份：公司能否参与雅下水电工程项目尚存不确定性 凯龙股份(002783)公告，公司关注到近期市场出现"雅下水电工程"概念的相关报道。公司所属民爆行 业，主营业务为民用爆破器材、硝酸铵及复合肥、纳米碳酸钙及石材产品的生产和销售，并提供爆破服 务。未来公司能否参与该水电工程项目尚存在不确定性。请投资者注意投资风险，理性投资。 大禹节水：公司相关业务承接暂不涉及雅下水电项目 大禹节水(300021)公告，近期市场对雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程（简称"雅下水电项目"）关注度较高。公 司从2015年开始拓展西藏水利业务，在西藏当地有一定的水电站参与建设经验，并在拉萨、日喀则、那 曲等地服务于当地节水灌溉等配套项目。公司对雅下水电项目高度重视，但该项目尚处于开工建设初期 阶段，且具有投资规模大、建设周期长、技术要求高等特点。截至目前，公司相关业务承接暂不涉及该 项目，未来能否获得该项目相关订单及具体金额尚存在不确定性。 ST西发：主营啤酒业务 不涉及水电站建设相关项目 ST西发(000752)公告，公司关注到近期 ...

证券代码：600550 证券简称：保变电气 公告编号：临 2025-029 保定天威保变电气股份有限公司 关于持股 5%以上股东的一致行动人 减持股份计划公告 本公司董事会、全体董事及相关股东保证本公告内容不存在任何 虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性 和完整性承担法律责任。 1 股东名称 兵器装备集团财务有限责任公司 股东身份 控股股东、实控人及一致行动人 □是 √否 直接持股 5%以上股东 □是 √否 董事、监事和高级管理人员 □是 √否 其他：直接持股 5%以上股东的一致行动人 持股数量 36,419,333股 持股比例 1.98% 当前持股股份来源 司法划转取得：36,419,333股 一、减持主体的基本情况 预披露期间，若公司股票发生停牌情形的，实际开始减持的时间 根据停牌时间相应顺延。 (一)相关股东是否有其他安排 □是 √否 (二)大股东及董监高此前对持股比例、持股数量、持股期限、 减持方式、减持数量、减持价格等是否作出承诺 □是 √否 (三)本所要求的其他事项 重要内容提示： 股东持股的基本情况：截至本公告披露日，兵器装备集团财务 有限责任公司（以下简称"兵装财务"） ...

7月22日午后，多晶硅期货主力合约快速拉升触及涨停，涨幅为8.99%，续创新高。 受"反内卷"政策预期影响，市场看多情绪逐渐发酵，7月以来多晶硅期货主力合约持续上涨，成为期货 市场最火热的品种之一。 多晶硅期货主力合约续创新高 从行情表现来看，7月以来，随着期货价格节节攀升，多晶硅概念股7月以来股价几乎全部录得上涨，弘 元绿能（603185）、大全能源和东岳硅材（300821）的股价涨幅居前，7月以来均累计上涨超30%。拉 长时间区间来看，11只概念股年内股价涨幅居前，均上涨超10%，乐山电力（600644）年内累计上涨 141.99%，居首。恒星科技（002132）、东岳硅材、京运通（601908）和有研新材（600206）的股价涨 幅居前。 目前13只概念股发布2025年上半年业绩预告，有研新材、中晶科技（003026）、保变电气（600550）上 半年业绩预喜。今年一季度，多晶硅利润在原材料硅粉价格下跌和自身价格小幅提升的带动下有所修 复。二季度虽然多晶硅的价格持续下跌，但因原材料工业硅粉跌幅更大，多晶硅的亏损收窄。 7月以来，现货N型复投料平均价从33元/千克上涨至43元/千克，涨幅约30%。期货主力 ...

早在2022年发布《关于加快建设全国统一电力市场体系的指导意见》以来，在构建全国统一电力市场体 系的总体要求下，电力行业加速市场化转型，体制机制不断创新，电力资源正逐步实现全国范围内的高 效流动与优化配置。 本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者刘昱汝 徐芸茜 北京报道 随后，工信部印发的《电力装备行业稳增长工作方案（2023—2024年）》明确指出，要发挥电力装备行 业带动作用，力争2023—2024年电力装备行业主营业务收入年均增速达9%以上。 随着A股上市公司上半年业绩预告陆续披露，市场表现亮点纷呈。据统计，共有79家央企控股上市公司 上半年业绩报喜。其中，32家公司实现归母净利润同比增长，22家公司实现扭亏，另有25家公司减亏。 从增幅来看，业绩增长的势头尤为强劲。19家央企控股上市公司的归母净利润预增上限超过100%，展 现出强劲的盈利能力。同时，多家央企也实现了大幅扭亏，为市场带来了积极信号。 从行业分布来看，电力装备、船舶制造、稀土等行业景气度高企。这些产业链上的相关上市公司业绩不 俗，为市场的整体表现增添了亮点。 科方得智库研究负责人张新原在接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表示，央企上市公司 ...

化工行业方面，24家基础化工公司"报喜"。典型如氟制冷剂市场，受益于竞争格局优化以及下游家用空 调和汽车产量的稳定增长，产品均价上涨，带动巨化股份、永和股份、三美股份业绩向好。 新华财经上海7月17日电（记者杜康）截至17日，沪市主板共计698家预告2025年上半年业绩，其中287 家"报喜"。287家公司中，有192家公司预增，95家扭亏，主要集中在基础化工、有色金属、机械设备、 电子、电力设备等实体行业。预增公司中，共有101家预告增幅水平在100%以上，占预增公司整体比例 52.6%。 整体来看，业绩"报喜"的主板企业呈现出四方面特征。一是景气度提升对基础行业业绩推动明显。有色 金属方面，受益于产品行情上涨，22家有色金属行业公司预告业绩增长或扭亏。西部黄金、山东黄金、 中金黄金等公司上半年业绩增幅上限对应为142%、121%、65%，这些公司在业绩变动原因中均提及黄 金价格上涨带来的正面影响。北方稀土、广晟有色、盛和资源等公司均受益于上半年稀土行情上涨。 三是新兴产业快速发展，助推高技术制造业业绩增长。随着AI+走入千行百业，应用不断扩围，带动相 关高技术制造业产品销量增长。工业富联、华勤技术、瑞芯微 ...

Group 1: Overall Performance of Central Enterprises - 79 central enterprise-controlled listed companies reported positive performance forecasts for the first half of the year, with 32 companies showing year-on-year net profit growth, 22 companies turning losses into profits, and 25 companies reducing losses [1] - 19 central enterprise-controlled listed companies expect a net profit increase of over 100%, with several companies achieving significant turnaround from losses [1] Group 2: Power Sector Performance - Huayin Power, a subsidiary of China Datang Group, is expected to lead the growth with a projected net profit of 180 million to 220 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of up to 44 times due to increased power generation and reduced fuel costs [2] - Major investments in the power grid and ultra-high voltage construction by State Grid and Southern Power Grid are expected to drive growth in related companies, with Guodian Nanzi and Baobian Electric forecasting net profit increases of 171.89% to 225.66% and 229.15%, respectively [2] Group 3: Electric Equipment and Cable Industry - Baobian Electric's profit increase is attributed to enhanced market development and increased project orders, while Baoshan Co. anticipates a net profit growth of 167.98% to 301.98% due to optimized sales policies and improved internal management [3] - New Energy Taishan is expected to turn losses into profits in the first half of the year, reflecting a positive trend in the electric cable sector [3] Group 4: Shipbuilding and Rare Earth Industries - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing significant growth, with companies like China Shipbuilding, China Power, and China Heavy Industry expecting net profit increases exceeding 200% due to effective management and increased delivery of civilian ships [5] - The rare earth industry is also thriving, with companies like China Rare Earth and Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals expected to turn losses into profits, driven by rising prices of rare earth products [4] Group 5: Turnaround Companies - 22 central enterprise-controlled listed companies are expected to turn losses into profits, with quality improvement and efficiency enhancement being key factors for their performance recovery [6] - Companies like Zhongnan Co. and Taiji Co. have reported successful turnarounds due to strengthened management and cost control measures [6][7] Group 6: Management and Efficiency Improvements - Many companies achieving year-on-year growth or reduced losses attribute their success to ongoing quality improvement and efficiency enhancement initiatives [7] - Companies are focusing on optimizing resource allocation, controlling costs, and improving operational efficiency as critical drivers of performance growth [7]

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent market performance, indicating that the Shanghai Composite Index has stabilized around 3500 points, driven by policy expectations and potential government stimulus measures [1][2] - Analysts from Citigroup predict that the upcoming Politburo meeting will not revise the budget or increase government bond quotas, but will focus on implementing existing policies to support consumption and the real estate sector [1][2] - The article highlights that the real estate market has shown signs of recovery, with a potential for further gains in the coming weeks, based on historical trends of policy-driven market movements [3][5] Group 2 - The banking sector is expected to see an increase in dividend yields due to upcoming dividend distributions, which could enhance the attractiveness of bank stocks [7] - The article notes that the insurance sector is adjusting its investment strategies to favor high-dividend assets, which may impact the overall market dynamics [7] - The article mentions that the real estate index has risen by 9.69% since June 23, indicating a positive trend relative to the Shanghai Composite Index [3][5] Group 3 - The article outlines the upcoming key events in the financial calendar, including the Politburo meeting and FOMC meetings, which are expected to influence market sentiment and policy direction [2] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring economic indicators and policy announcements as they could significantly impact market performance in the second half of the year [2][10] - The article suggests that sectors such as renewable energy, construction materials, and industrial metals are likely to benefit from current market trends and policy support [15][18]