Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The focus is on the Taiwan ODM/Brands sector, particularly companies involved in the AI servers and PCs supply chain, including Quanta, Wiwynn, Wistron, Gigabyte, ASUS, Inventec, Pegatron, and Compal [1][2]. Key Insights Revenue Projections - **Monthly Revenue Growth**: Expected average revenue growth for the 10 companies is projected at -4% in July, +2% in August, and +8% in September 2025. Apple's supply chain is anticipated to outperform with Hon Hai at +7% and Pegatron at +9% in July due to new smartphone models [3]. - **Year-over-Year Revenue Growth**: Projected average revenue growth for July, August, and September 2025 is +41%, +30%, and +26%, respectively. Wiwynn is expected to lead with +152% YoY growth in July [4]. Company-Specific Insights - **Hon Hai**: Expected to see 3Q25 revenues grow 4% YoY and 7% QoQ to NT$1,927 billion, driven by AI server ramp-up and new smartphone launches. June revenues were 3% below estimates due to declines in consumer electronics [17]. - **Quanta**: Anticipated 3Q25 revenues to grow 29% YoY and 9% QoQ to NT$548 billion, supported by AI server ramp-up. June revenues exceeded estimates by 9% [24]. - **AVC**: Expected 3Q25 revenues to grow 69% YoY and 9% QoQ to NT$32 billion, driven by rising liquid cooling penetration in ASIC AI servers. June revenues were 25% higher than estimates [38]. - **Wiwynn**: Projected 3Q25 revenues to grow 126% YoY to NT$221 billion, supported by demand for ASIC AI servers. June revenues were 28% higher than estimates [43]. Market Dynamics - **AI Server Demand**: The ramp-up of rack-level AI servers and increasing penetration of liquid cooling technologies are key drivers for revenue growth across the sector [1][4]. - **Consumer Electronics Impact**: The consumer electronics market is facing uncertainties due to tariff issues, affecting companies like Pegatron and Compal, which are expected to post negative revenue growth YoY [4]. Additional Considerations - **Risks**: Key risks include slower-than-expected ramp-up of AI servers, weaker performance in EV solutions, and increased competition in consumer electronics [22][42]. - **Earnings Revisions**: Companies like Wiwynn and Quanta have seen upward revisions in revenue and net income forecasts due to better-than-expected demand for AI servers [49][28]. Conclusion - The Taiwan ODM/Brands sector is poised for significant growth driven by advancements in AI server technology and new product cycles, particularly in the smartphone market. However, companies must navigate challenges related to consumer electronics demand and competitive pressures.

Summary of Global Tech Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Global Server Cooling** market, particularly the adoption of **liquid cooling** technologies in AI servers and ASIC servers [1][21][28]. Key Points Market Growth and Projections - The **Total Addressable Market (TAM)** for liquid cooling in AI training servers is projected to grow to **US$3.8 billion** in 2025 and **US$7.9 billion** in 2026, representing a **171%** and **106%** year-over-year growth respectively [1][15]. - The overall **Global Server Cooling TAM** is revised to **US$7.2 billion** in 2025 and **US$12.0 billion** in 2026, reflecting a **98%** and **66%** year-over-year growth [21][29]. Liquid Cooling Adoption Rates - Liquid cooling penetration for AI training servers is expected to rise from **15%** in 2024 to **45%** in 2025 and **74%** in 2026 [1][22]. - Full rack AI training servers will have a **100%** liquid cooling penetration rate, while baseboard-based AI training servers will see penetration rates of **27%** in 2025 and **52%** in 2026 [4][22]. Segment Analysis - For **general/HPC/AI inferencing servers**, liquid cooling penetration is anticipated to increase from **1%** in 2024 to **4%** in 2025 and **6%** in 2026 [23]. - The report indicates a potential upside from **ASIC servers**, with liquid cooling adoption driven by advancements in ASIC chips and improved ROI [28]. Component Breakdown - The TAM for liquid cooling components is detailed as follows: - **Cold plates**: US$1.1 billion in 2025, growing to US$2.2 billion in 2026 - **Manifold**: US$897 million in 2025, increasing to US$1.6 billion in 2026 - **Rear Door Heat Exchanger (RDHx)**: US$214 million in 2025, rising to US$283 million in 2026 - **Sidecar**: US$1.3 billion in 2025, reaching US$2.4 billion in 2026 - **CDU/RPU**: US$779 million in 2025, escalating to US$2.2 billion in 2026 [13][29]. Competitive Landscape - Key suppliers in the liquid cooling market include: - **Hon Hai**: Buy rating, market cap of US$77.1 billion - **Quanta**: Neutral rating, market cap of US$35.6 billion - **Wiwynn**: Buy rating, market cap of US$15.9 billion - **Lenovo**: Buy rating, market cap of US$15.9 billion - **Dell**: Buy rating, market cap of US$85.3 billion [32]. Additional Insights - The report highlights the importance of **liquid cooling** in meeting the increasing power demands of AI servers, particularly as computing power continues to rise [1][10]. - The adoption of liquid cooling technologies is expected to be a significant driver for the growth of the server cooling market, with major tech companies like Amazon, Microsoft, and Google investing in these solutions [28]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding the trends, projections, and competitive landscape of the global server cooling market, particularly focusing on liquid cooling technologies.

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies including NVIDIA, AMD, and TSMC, indicating a positive outlook for these firms in the technology sector [33]. Core Insights - The resumption of NVIDIA's H20 GPU sales to China is expected to positively impact the APAC technology supply chain, particularly benefiting companies like Inventec and Wistron [2][4]. - AMD's MI308X license applications for export to China are moving forward, which could lead to a recovery in revenue after significant write-downs [3]. - The overall demand for NVIDIA's RTX GPU series may moderate due to the increased availability of H20 GPUs, suggesting a shift in market dynamics [4][6]. Summary by Sections NVIDIA and AMD Developments - NVIDIA is filing applications to resume sales of the H20 GPU, with government assurances for license approval, and has introduced a compliant RTX PRO GPU [2]. - AMD's license applications for MI308X are under review, with expectations of resuming shipments as approvals are granted, despite prior inventory write-downs of approximately US$800 million [3]. APAC Technology Supply Chain - Inventec is positioned to benefit significantly from the H20 server rack business, with 10% of shipments to China potentially generating over 20% of sales due to higher average selling prices (ASPs) [4]. - Other ODMs like Wistron and Hon Hai are also expected to gain from the H20 export relief, enhancing their revenue prospects [4]. Semiconductor and HBM Market - The relaxation of export controls on NVIDIA's AI GPUs is anticipated to benefit upstream suppliers like TSMC and KYEC, with projections of significant growth in CoWoS demand [8]. - Samsung is expected to be the main beneficiary in the HBM market due to the resumption of H20 sales, with forecasts indicating substantial quarter-over-quarter growth in HBM bit demand [10]. Price Dynamics and Market Trends - The report notes a potential moderation in RTX GPU sales due to cannibalization from H20, with expectations of price adjustments in the secondary market [6]. - The demand for HBM is projected to surge with the resumption of H20 shipments, despite ongoing localization efforts in China [9].

Core Insights - Broadcom has launched the Tomahawk Ultra Ethernet switch, designed to enhance performance for high-performance computing (HPC) and AI workloads with ultra-low latency and lossless networking capabilities [1][2][3] Product Features - Tomahawk Ultra achieves sub-400ns XPU-to-XPU communication latency, setting a new benchmark for synchronized AI compute at scale [5] - The switch reduces Ethernet header overhead from 46 bytes to 10 bytes, significantly improving network efficiency while maintaining compliance [6] - It incorporates lossless fabric technology, utilizing Link Layer Retry (LLR) and Credit-Based Flow Control (CBFC) to prevent packet loss during high-volume data transfers [7][8] - The switch supports In-Network Collectives, executing collective operations directly within the switch chip, which reduces job completion time and enhances resource utilization [8] Market Positioning - The Tomahawk Ultra is positioned as a solution for the convergence of AI and HPC workloads, meeting the demands for supercomputer-class latency and reliability [3][4] - It is designed to be endpoint-agnostic, facilitating immediate adoption across various system architectures and vendor ecosystems [9] Strategic Developments - Broadcom has introduced SUE-Lite, an optimized version of the Scale-Up Ethernet specification, tailored for power-sensitive applications while retaining low-latency and lossless characteristics [10][11] - The Tomahawk Ultra, along with the Tomahawk 6, forms a unified Ethernet architecture that supports both scale-up for AI and scale-out for HPC [12] Industry Impact - The launch of Tomahawk Ultra is seen as a significant advancement in Ethernet innovation, particularly for AI and HPC environments, with industry leaders expressing excitement about its potential to accelerate job completion times and enhance performance [19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28][29]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is In-Line [7] Core Insights - In 1Q25, global ODM direct server shipments reached 1.86 million units, reflecting a 25% quarter-over-quarter (q/q) increase and a 50% year-over-year (y/y) increase, accounting for 47.4% of global server shipments [2][3] - The aggregate ODM direct server shipment value was US$59.6 billion, showing a 45% q/q increase and a 253% y/y increase, driven by strong demand for AI servers and high-ASP rack architecture [3][6] - The report highlights a preference for specific ODMs, including Hon Hai/FII, Wistron, Quanta, and Wiwynn, due to their strong performance and market share gains [6] Summary by Sections ODM Shipment Performance - ODM shipment units grew 25% q/q and shipment values grew 45% q/q in 1Q25 [1] - MiTAC experienced the highest growth in shipment units at +46% q/q [2] Market Share Analysis - Wiwynn led the major ODMs with a 22.6% market share, followed closely by Quanta at 22.5% [3][12] - Intel regained unit share to 47.0%, while AMD's share dropped to 36.4% [4][11] Regional Performance - The USA was the best-performing region with a 67% y/y growth in shipment units, accounting for 74% of aggregate ODM direct shipments [5][10] Stock Implications - The strong demand for general servers from cloud services contributed to unit share gains for Quanta and Wiwynn, with expectations of continued revenue growth for major ODMs in the upcoming quarters [6]

Investment Rating - Buy: Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Wistron, Gigabyte, ASUS, AVC; Neutral: Quanta, Inventec [8] Core Insights - The average year-over-year revenue growth for ten companies in the AI servers and AI PCs supply chain is expected to be +37% in June 2025, +27% in July 2025, and +18% in August 2025, driven by the ramp-up of AI servers and new product launches [1] - Rack-level AI servers are transitioning models, which may impact revenue growth in the second half of 2025 [1] - Geopolitical uncertainties are causing changes in end market demand, leading to a slower month-over-month growth forecast of -6% in June, -8% in July, and +2% in August 2025 [1] Company Summaries Hon Hai - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 17% YoY to NT$1,813 billion, driven by AI server demand and tariff-related consumption pull-ins [13] - May revenues were 6% below estimates, affected by slower customer pull-in momentum and negative exchange rate impacts [13] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$242 based on a 14.9x 2026E P/E multiple [15] Quanta - Anticipated 2Q25 revenues to grow 57% YoY to NT$488 billion, supported by AI server ramp-up [20] - May revenues were 13% below estimates, with a decline in notebook shipments [20] - Maintain Neutral rating with a target price of NT$273 based on a 12.8x 2026E P/E [23] Wiwynn - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 161% YoY to NT$202 billion, driven by strong demand for ASIC AI servers [38] - May revenues were 34% higher than estimates, reflecting continued strong demand [39] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$3,838 based on a 20.5x 2026E P/E [42] Wistron - Expected June revenues to grow 123% YoY to NT$198 billion, driven by AI server demand [47] - Strong revenue in May, up 162% YoY, supported by new product cycles [44] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$152 based on a 14.8x 2026E P/E [49] Gigabyte - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 32% YoY to NT$97 billion, supported by AI servers and VGAs [50] - May revenues were 79% above estimates, reflecting tariff-related pull-ins [51] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$344 based on a 14.0x 2026E P/E [55] AVC - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 67% YoY to NT$27 billion, driven by liquid cooling business [27] - May revenues were higher than estimates, reflecting the rising trend in liquid cooling [27] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$878 based on a 20.0x 2026E P/E [37] ASUS - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 21% YoY to NT$175 billion, supported by AI and gaming PCs [57] - May revenues were up 41% YoY, exceeding estimates [62] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$849 based on a 14.6x 2026E P/E [63] Inventec - Expected June revenues to be similar to May, supported by AI server ramp-up [65] - Maintain Neutral rating with a focus on AI server revenue contribution [65]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies within the Taiwan Technology sector, including Wiwynn, Wistron, Hon Hai, Gigabyte, and various AI server components [25]. Core Insights - The Taiwan Technology sector is experiencing strong growth in ASIC AI servers and related components, with notable revenue increases reported by key players such as Wiwynn (+187% YoY) and Gigabyte (+108% YoY) [1][8]. - The report highlights a transition in server models expected in 3Q25, with a cautious outlook on rack-level AI server shipments due to macro uncertainties [9]. - The demand for components like liquid cooling, silicon photonics, rail kits, and chassis is anticipated to rise, driven by specification upgrades and the increasing adoption of AI technologies [9][10]. Summary by Sections ASIC AI Servers and Components - ASIC AI servers are showing robust growth, with Wiwynn's revenues up 187% YoY, significantly exceeding estimates [1][8]. - Baseboard-based AI servers also demonstrate strong performance, with Gigabyte achieving 108% YoY revenue growth [1][8]. - Liquid cooling solutions are gaining traction, with AVC reporting 87% YoY revenue growth [1][8]. Market Outlook - The report expresses caution regarding rack-level AI server shipments in the second half of 2025, while maintaining a positive outlook for ASIC and baseboard-based AI servers [9]. - The global market for AI servers is projected to reach 19,000 racks by 2025, indicating a significant growth opportunity [9]. Non-AI Sector Insights - The smartphone supply chain is expected to strengthen in 3Q25, with new high-end models being prepared for launch [10]. - AI PCs are anticipated to see continued penetration, with brands like ASUS and Lenovo leading the charge [10]. Investment Opportunities - Recommended investments include AI server ODMs and brands such as Wiwynn, Wistron, Hon Hai, and Gigabyte, as well as components like AVC, Fositek, and LandMark [11].

Investment Ratings - Coforge: Overweight (O/W) with a price target (PT) of Rs2,080 [3][4] - Qualcomm: Overweight (O/W) with a price target (PT) of $185 [3][4] - Apple: Overweight (O/W) with a price target (PT) of $240 [5] - BE Semiconductor: Overweight (O/W) with a price target (PT) of €121 [6] - Celestica: Overweight (O/W) with a price target (PT) of $115 [6] Core Insights - Coforge's management is optimistic about industry-leading growth and margin expansion, expecting a 14% EBIT margin in FY26 [3][4] - Qualcomm's acquisition of Alphawave for $2.4 billion is aimed at enhancing its Data Center portfolio, positioning it competitively in the custom AI ASIC market [6] - Apple's WWDC event revealed limited AI updates, indicating a focus on retaining its existing consumer base rather than attracting new switchers [5][6] - Taiwan's May exports surged by 38.6% year-over-year, driven by strong shipments to the US, indicating robust demand in the tech sector [9] Detailed Highlights - Coforge's proactive sales strategy and large deal execution are expected to drive robust growth in FY26, with a strong pipeline of large deals [3][4] - Qualcomm's strategic acquisition of Alphawave strengthens its position in the Data Center market, with competitors in Asia including Alchip and Mediatek [6] - Apple suppliers such as Murata, Sunny Optical, AAC, and Genius Optical are highlighted as key players in the supply chain [5][6] - BE Semiconductor is preparing for its Capital Markets Day, with expectations for market sizing and customer insights [6] - Celestica's competitive landscape in Switching includes major players like Inventec, Accton, and Arista, with significant growth opportunities identified [6] - OpenAI has reached $10 billion in annual recurring revenue, indicating strong demand for custom AI ASIC projects [6]

英伟达的供应商（包括富士康、Inventec、戴尔、Wistron）取得一系列突破，加速生产Blackwell AI服务 器支架。（英国金融时报） ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a Neutral rating to Inventec with a 12-month price target of NT$45, down from a previous target of NT$50 [7]. Core Insights - Inventec reported Q125 earnings with sales of NT$157.0 billion, reflecting a 21% decrease QoQ but a 20% increase YoY. The sales mix shifted to 49% notebooks and 48% servers, with AI servers constituting 50% of server sales [2][12]. - The company anticipates a 10% QoQ increase in Q225 sales to NT$173.0 billion, driven by strong demand for Blackwell HGX servers, although a stronger NT$ may dampen growth [3]. - Growth expectations for 2025 have been trimmed from 4% YoY to 2% YoY, influenced by flat demand in the second half and tariff impacts [4][19]. Financial Performance - For 2025, the expected EPS is NT$2.57, below the street estimate of NT$2.63, with a price target reduction reflecting a valuation of 16x 2026 EPS [5][27]. - The company's revenue projections show a gradual increase, with expected revenues of NT$663.8 billion in 2025 and NT$726.0 billion in 2026 [6][20]. Market Position and Valuation - Inventec is trading at a premium valuation of 17x/15x 2025-26 P/E, higher than its peers, indicating that the market has largely priced in growth expectations [10][27]. - The company has a solid market share in general servers and AI server motherboards, but may lag behind competitors like HonHai and Quanta in ramping up production [5][10]. Cash Flow and Dividends - The report indicates that Inventec's cash flows have been affected by cyclical earnings in PCs, but a return to positive free cash flow is projected in the coming years [21]. - A cash dividend of NT$1.70 has been declared, yielding approximately 4% at current levels, reflecting a high payout rate [21].