过去几年，市场对 AI 的看法其实挺一致：AI 来了，效率上去，成本下来，利润变多，股价自然就涨。 这个逻辑几乎没什么争议。 但到了 2026 年，情绪变了。头部 SaaS 公司增速放缓，软件板块集体承压。市场开始意识到：AI 越 强，可能意味着现有的商业壁垒会越快崩塌。 Citrini 这份报告《2028全球智能危机》（THE 2028 GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS）正是为了回应 这种焦虑。报告联合作者 Alap Shah 在采访中强调，他们不是在预测未来，而是基于长期模型做了一次 压力测试：如果 AI 真的像大家期待的那样持续变强，哪些商业逻辑会最先行不通？哪些行业会最先被 波及？ 这份报告，就是拆解市场到底在怕什么。 第一节｜白领收入下滑，消费在萎缩 危机从哪里开始？市场最怕的是什么？Shah 在采访中谈得最多的，不是模型参数或技术突破，而是白 领的工资在下滑和岗位在减少，而且幅度惊人。 美国 IT 行业的就业人数，从 2022 年高点到 2026 年初，累计下降了 8%。这是过去十年都没出现过的 跌幅。这个行业，正是 AI 渗透最快的地方。 Shah 直接指出：一个行业越容易把 ...

ServiceNow and UiPath could become agentic AI leaders.Artificial intelligence (AI) is changing the world we live in, and the next big change is coming in the form of AI agents. Many agentic AI stocks have been thrown out with the bathwater during the software-as-a-service (SaaS) stock sell-off, and this has opened up some nice opportunities in the space.Two of the stocks with the best agentic AI prospects come from companies that are looking to be agentic AI orchestration platforms. In a world becoming a sp ...

2026.02.25 本文字数：1588，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 |第一财经 胡弋杰 美国股市周二收高，科技股领涨。市场对人工智能前景的热情重新升温，暂时盖过了此前关于该技术可 能对多个行业造成颠覆的担忧。 道琼斯工业指数上涨370.44点，涨幅0.76%，收于49174.50点；标普500指数上涨52.32点，涨幅0.77%， 收于6890.07点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨236.41点，涨幅1.05%，收于22863.68点。 科技巨头多数上涨，苹果上涨2.24%，苹果公司周二宣布，将大幅扩建其在休斯敦的工厂运营，首次将 Mac mini带到美国本土进行生产。英伟达上涨0.68%，特斯拉上涨2.39%，微软上涨1.18%，亚马逊上涨 1.60%，Meta上涨0.32%。谷歌A类股下跌0.19%，谷歌C类股下跌0.25%，博通下跌1.47%。 台积电收高4.25%，市值首度突破2万亿美元，年内累计涨幅已达26.94%。 超威半导体大涨8.77%，超威半导体宣布未来五年将向Meta出售价值高达600亿美元的人工智能芯片。 根据协议，Meta将获得超威半导体最多10%的股权。 | 苹果(APPLE) | 272. ...

美国股市周二收高，科技股领涨。市场对人工智能前景的热情重新升温，暂时盖过了此前关于该技术可能对多个行业造成颠覆的担忧。 道琼斯工业指数上涨370.44点，涨幅0.76%，收于49174.50点；标普500指数上涨52.32点，涨幅0.77%，收于6890.07点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨236.41点，涨 幅1.05%，收于22863.68点。 【热门股表现】 苹果上涨2.24%，苹果公司周二宣布，将大幅扩建其在休斯顿的工厂运营，首次将Mac mini带到美国本土进行生产。 *Anthropic新产品提振软件股 *AMD与Meta达成芯片协议 *中概股多数走高 周一因冬季风暴重挫的航空和旅游板块强劲反弹，涨幅约2.9%。道指成分股家得宝上涨2.0%，此前公司第四季度业绩超预期并维持全年财测。 热门中概股多数上涨，纳斯达克中国金龙指数上涨1.37%。阿里巴巴上涨0.23%，拼多多上涨1.06%，网易上涨0.73%，京东上涨1.07%，携程上涨1.59%，腾 讯音乐上涨1.77%，理想汽车上涨1.30%，贝壳上涨1.18%，小鹏汽车大涨6.78%。百度下跌0.23%，中通下跌0.14%，富途控股下跌1.89%，蔚来持 ...

2028 年全球情报危机 --- THE 2028 GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS substack.com/home/post/p-188821754 Substack Preface 序言 What if our AI bullishness continues to be right...and what if that's actually bearish? 倘若我们对人工智能的乐观情绪持续正确 …… 而这种 " 正确 " 本身反而预示着悲观前景，又当如 何？ What follows is a scenario, not a prediction. This isn't bear porn or AI doomer fan-fiction. The sole intent of this piece is modeling a scenario that's been relatively underexplored. Our friend Alap Shah posed the question, and together we brainstormed the answer ...

ServiceNow's CEO is one of the first software execs buying shares in their own companies in the wake of the SaaS sell-off.Given that technology stocks have been fueling the stock market's gains for the past several years, you might find it surprising that one of the most beaten-up groups of stocks lately is part of the tech sector. The artificial intelligence (AI) tide has not lifted all boats, and the software-as-a-service (SaaS) space has been battered over the past year due to rising concerns that AI sys ...

Key Takeaways SNOW is set to report Q4 fiscal 2026 results on Feb. 25 with revenue seen up 26.85%. Snowflake's AI push drove 50% of Q3 bookings and a $100M AI revenue run rate. SNOW trades at 10.19X forward sales, reflecting a premium valuation amid competition. Snowflake (SNOW) is set to release fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results on Feb. 25.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings has remained steady at 27 cents per share over the past 30 days, indicating a year-over-year declin ...

Core Insights - Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) and ServiceNow have formed a multi-year, multi-million-dollar partnership to enhance AI adoption across enterprise functions [1] Group 1: Partnership Details - The partnership will focus on developing industry-specific AI solutions on the ServiceNow platform, targeting back-office functions such as human resources, finance, supply chain, procurement, and employee services [2] - TCS will utilize its AI-led autonomous global business solutions portfolio, guided by a five-stage AI Autonomy Framework, to deliver these solutions [2] Group 2: Transformation Goals - The collaboration aims to transition enterprises from fragmented AI pilots to comprehensive organizational transformation, replacing manual processes with AI-driven workflows that can learn and self-improve [3] - Practical applications include a unified hire-to-retire HR lifecycle and an accelerated order-to-cash process to enhance revenue predictability [3] Group 3: Leadership Insights - TCS's COO emphasized the integration of trusted AI, modern workflows, and industry expertise to help clients embed intelligence across IT and business operations [4] - ServiceNow's President highlighted the focus on delivering scalable innovation and governance rather than isolated AI experiments [4] Group 4: Joint Initiatives - The companies plan to invest in co-innovation labs, solution showcases, and integrated go-to-market programs [5] - TCS is recognized as ServiceNow's largest user of IT Asset Management, having deployed the solution across thousands of devices in under three months [5] Group 5: Market Performance - TCS shares traded at ₹2,679.30, reflecting a decrease of 0.26% from the previous close, with a session low of ₹2,660.20 and a high of ₹2,704.00 [6] - TCS reported consolidated revenues exceeding $30 billion for the fiscal year ending March 2025 [6]

Core Insights - Insurity has enhanced its Billing-as-a-Service platform, making it more cost-effective than in-house billing for property and casualty (P&C) carriers and managing general agents (MGAs) [1] - The platform centralizes payments, collections, and reconciliation, reducing hidden operational costs and staffing requirements associated with internal billing operations [1] - Insurity's cloud-native architecture supports scalability and performance, allowing insurers to manage complex billing structures without the need for bespoke systems [1] Cost Efficiency - Insurity's Billing-as-a-Service is now positioned as a lower-cost alternative to internal billing operations, challenging the traditional belief that in-house management is more economical [1] - The service reduces operational costs by taking full ownership of billing operations, providing transparency and flexibility that align with real-world insurance workflows [1] Customer Growth and Onboarding - The platform enables faster onboarding, allowing customers to quickly launch new lines of business and start issuing and collecting premiums without establishing internal billing teams [1] - Insurity's approach is designed to support customers in growth mode, focusing on policy issuance rather than managing billing infrastructure [1] Partnerships and Ecosystem - Insurity has formed partnerships with a tier-one global banking institution and leading providers for payment processing, enhancing its integrated ecosystem for complex transaction flows [1] - The company collaborates with over 200 partners, including system integrators and technology providers, to deepen collaboration and drive scalable growth [1]

Core Insights - The article discusses the impact of rising capital expenditures and narratives of AI disruption on well-known AI-linked tech stocks, questioning whether they represent buying opportunities or value traps [1] ServiceNow - ServiceNow's share price has dropped 45%, leading investors to speculate that AI is negatively affecting its business, but financial results indicate otherwise [2] - In 4Q2025, ServiceNow's subscription revenue grew 21% YoY to US$3.5 billion, with net income increasing 4.4% to US$401 million, attributed to AI adoption [2] - The Annual Contract Value (ACV) of ServiceNow's generative AI suite, "Now Assist," more than doubled YoY, exceeding US$600 million, indicating strong growth rather than disruption [3] - ServiceNow's monthly active users increased by 25% YoY in 4Q2025, suggesting deeper integration within enterprises [3] - The company maintains a high renewal rate of 98%, reflecting customer loyalty and satisfaction with its platform [4] Microsoft - Microsoft experienced a share price decline due to concerns over cloud growth amid rising capital expenditures, with revenue increasing 17% YoY to US$81.3 billion in 2QFY2026 [5] - Net income surged nearly 60% to US$38.5 billion, while capital expenditures rose 66% to US$37.5 billion, outpacing Azure revenue growth of 39% [5] - Microsoft employs a Lifetime Value (LTV) portfolio strategy, focusing on core businesses with higher LTV rather than solely on Azure's rapid growth [6] - The company's long-term operating margin consistently outperforms its cloud provider peers, which is a positive indicator for investors [8] Amazon - Amazon's net sales reached US$213.4 billion in 4Q2025, a 14% YoY increase, with net income rising 6% to US$21.2 billion, driven by growth in AWS, advertising, and retail [9] - Free cash flow fell 71% to US$11.2 billion due to increased capital expenditures for AI investments, but the company is still monetizing its business effectively [10] - Amazon's AWS generated a quarterly growth of 24% YoY to US$35.6 billion, achieving an annualized run rate of US$142 billion, marking its fastest growth in 13 quarters [15] - The customer spending on Amazon Bedrock, its AI model suite, surged 60% quarter on quarter, indicating strong demand for its offerings [15]