Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential of bispecific antibodies to replace CAR-T therapies in the treatment of multiple myeloma, highlighting insights from Dr. Syed Abbas Ali of Johns Hopkins University [3][4][6]. Group 1: Bispecific Antibodies vs. CAR-T Therapies - Dr. Ali emphasizes that bispecific antibodies, particularly those targeting BCMA and CD3, may surpass CAR-T therapies in efficacy and safety, especially as physicians learn to manage toxicity better [6][7]. - The total response rate for Gilead-Arcellx's Anito-cel is reported at 100%, with lower toxicity compared to Johnson & Johnson's Carvykti, which is primarily used for high-risk patients [4][5]. - The safety profile of Anito-cel shows significant advantages, with a median onset of cytokine release syndrome (CRS) at 2 days and a duration of 3 days, compared to Carvykti's 7 days onset and 4 days duration [5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The article notes that Blenrep from GlaxoSmithKline faces challenges in regaining market trust after its previous withdrawal, with analysts expressing concerns over its sales growth potential [8]. - Sanofi's Sarclisa is seen as a competitor to Johnson & Johnson's Darzalex, but the latter's ease of use as a monthly subcutaneous injection poses a significant challenge for Sarclisa [9]. - The article highlights the increasing accessibility of blood component apheresis for CAR-T therapy, which has improved patient treatment options [4].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an OUTPERFORM rating for BeiGene [2]. Core Insights - BeiGene is positioned as a leading biopharma company in China, focusing on innovative drug development and global commercialization, with a strong pipeline and significant growth potential [3][11]. - The company is expected to achieve profitability by 2025, driven by the strong performance of its core products, particularly the BTK inhibitor, Zanubrutinib, and the PD-1 inhibitor, Tislelizumab [4][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Innovative Product Globalization - BeiGene has established a robust global presence with over 60 clinical projects and 17 commercialized products, including Zanubrutinib and Tislelizumab, which have been launched in multiple regions [3][11]. - The company aims to become the first biopharma in China to achieve recurring profitability by 2025, supported by its innovative product pipeline and global commercialization capabilities [11][20]. 2. Leadership in Hematology - The combination of BTK inhibitors, BCL-2 inhibitors, and BTK CDAC is expected to solidify BeiGene's leadership in hematological malignancies [5][27]. - Zanubrutinib is projected to double its revenue to $2.6 billion in 2024, further strengthening its market position in the U.S. hematology market [4][20]. 3. Pipeline Development - BeiGene's pipeline focuses on hematological and solid tumors, with several molecules showing best-in-class potential, including Sonrotoclax and BGB-16673 [27]. - The company has a rich pipeline with over 10 early-stage projects expected to report proof-of-concept data in 2025, enhancing its growth prospects [6][27]. 4. Financial Projections and Valuation - Revenue projections for FY25-27 are $5 billion, $6 billion, and $6.7 billion, respectively, with a CAGR of 21% [7]. - The target price is set at HK$182.35, based on a discounted cash flow model with a WACC of 9% and a perpetual growth rate of 4% [7].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an OUTPERFORM rating for BeiGene [2]. Core Views - BeiGene is positioned as a leading innovator in China's biopharmaceutical sector, with a strong focus on oncology treatments and a robust pipeline of over 60 clinical projects globally [3][11]. - The company is expected to achieve profitability by 2025, driven by significant revenue growth from its core products, particularly the BTK inhibitor, Zanubrutinib, which is projected to double its revenue in 2024 [4][20]. - BeiGene's global commercialization capabilities and a well-established management team are key competitive advantages that will support its growth trajectory [12][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Innovative Product Globalization - BeiGene has a diverse product pipeline and aims to become the first biopharma company to achieve consistent profitability [11]. - The company has 17 commercialized products, including Zanubrutinib and Tislelizumab, with strong sales performance in the US and Europe [20]. - Revenue for 2024 is projected at $3.81 billion, a 55% increase year-over-year, with significant contributions from the US market [20]. 2. Leadership in Hematology - The combination of BTK inhibitors and BCL-2 inhibitors is expected to solidify BeiGene's leadership in hematological malignancies [5]. - Zanubrutinib has shown superior efficacy compared to Ibrutinib, establishing its best-in-class status [5][24]. - The company is also developing Sonratoclax, a BCL-2 inhibitor, which is anticipated to enhance its market position [5]. 3. Expansion in Solid Tumors - BeiGene is actively expanding its presence in solid tumors, with Tislelizumab gaining traction in various indications [11]. - The company is developing next-generation CDK inhibitors targeting a market exceeding $10 billion [11]. - Focus areas include lung cancer and breast cancer, with ongoing clinical trials for multiple candidates [11]. 4. Financial Projections and Valuation - Revenue forecasts for FY25-27 are $5 billion, $6 billion, and $6.7 billion, respectively, with a CAGR of 21% [7]. - The net profit is expected to turn positive by FY25, reaching $390 million by FY26 [7]. - The target price is set at HK$182.35, based on a DCF model with a WACC of 9% and a perpetual growth rate of 4% [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for "patient capital" to support early-stage, small, and innovative investments in the capital market, highlighting that the essence of patient capital lies in a higher risk appetite rather than merely long-term investment horizons [1][4][10]. Summary by Sections Patient Capital and Risk Preference - Patient capital is fundamentally characterized by a high risk preference, which is essential for supporting investments that are uncertain and have higher failure rates [4][10]. - The article argues that static and dynamic wealth effects are crucial sources of patient capital, with static wealth effects indicating that wealthier individuals typically have a higher risk appetite due to lower necessity for immediate consumption [4][20]. Static Wealth Effect - The static wealth effect suggests that as wealth accumulates, the marginal utility of wealth decreases, allowing wealthier individuals to take on more risk [20][24]. - Empirical studies indicate a positive correlation between income levels and risk preference, with higher income leading to lower risk aversion [25][26]. Dynamic Wealth Effect - The dynamic wealth effect highlights that the growth of patient capital is contingent upon the sustained prosperity of capital markets rather than the reverse [5][8]. - Historical data from the U.S. shows that longer investment horizons correlate with higher probabilities of positive returns, reinforcing the importance of a thriving stock market for attracting patient capital [5][6]. Role of Wealthy Individuals - Wealthy individuals are identified as a significant source of patient capital, as they can afford to invest in high-risk ventures without jeopardizing their financial stability [20][22]. - The article discusses the historical context of wealthy individuals funding early-stage ventures, illustrating their critical role in the development of the venture capital ecosystem [21][23]. Policy Recommendations - The article advocates for an expansionary redistribution policy, which includes central bank actions to support fiscal deficits and enhance the purchasing power of lower-income groups, thereby stimulating demand and economic growth [7][50]. - It suggests that combining estate taxes with donation incentives can effectively channel funds from wealthy individuals into patient capital, avoiding capital outflows [8][51]. Challenges and Considerations - The article notes that the current negative GDP deflator indicates a confluence of short, medium, and long-term demand deficiencies, necessitating policy interventions to address these issues [7][39]. - It emphasizes the importance of maintaining a favorable economic environment to support the growth of patient capital and mitigate risks associated with inflation and supply constraints [50][52].

一个价值创造样本。 作者 I 周佳丽 报道 I 投资界PEdaily 2 0 2 2年夏末，云顶新耀上海办公室气氛凝固，这天公司正在进行创立以来最沉重的一次 全员大会。 大约半个月前，云顶新耀将几乎撑起市值半壁江山的戈沙妥珠单抗（拓达维®）卖回给了 吉利德。市场情绪激烈，云顶新耀股价一路下挫，一度跌破6港元/股。 "今天，肿瘤团队将全部遣散。"会议大屏的另一端，远在新加坡出差的董事局主席傅唯 郑重表示。这是一个艰难的决定。虽然肿瘤团队表现卓越，成功推动了云顶新耀历史上第 一个1 .1类创新药的高效审批，但为了确保整个平台的长期发展，傅唯不得不作出"牺牲肿 瘤业务"的抉择。 作为云顶新耀的孵化者和控股股东，傅唯率队的康桥资本在这样的关键时刻向所有人宣布 了这一决定。之后，云顶新耀将全面聚焦肾病、重症抗感染、自体免疫、mRNA癌症治 疗疫苗等蓝海领域，追求商业化的极致效率。随着明星CEO罗永庆的加入，云顶新耀开 始新的征程。 彼时，国内生物药企刚刚感到一丝凉意，大家都认为是暂时的调整而已，大多数人并不能 完全理解云顶新耀这一突然转变，质疑声此起彼伏。两年过去，这一决策已经决定了一大 部分云顶的命运走向。这注定是一 ...