2 国泰君安期货·能源化工 胶版印刷纸周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·高琳琳 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002332 日期：2025年6月15日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint CONTENTS 综述 01 行情走势 02 供需数据 03 行情研判 04 行情研判 行业资讯 现货价格 成本利润 季节性特征 供给 需求 库存 进出口 行情研判 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2.【国内双胶纸周度企业开工负荷分析】据卓创资讯数据统计，本周双胶纸开工负荷率在46.36%，较上周下滑1.35个百分点，本周降幅较上 周扩大0.58个百分点。周内湖南地区停机产线陆续复产，但山东地区新增个别停机检修产线，拖累双胶纸开工继续下滑。 综述 1 行情研判 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 4 资料来源：Qinrex ➢ 行情回顾：本周双胶纸市场价格主流维稳，华北部分市场规格下跌。据卓创资讯数据显示，本周70g木浆高白双胶纸市场均价为5163元/ 吨， ...

证券代码：000488 200488 证券简称： ST 晨鸣 ST 晨鸣 B 公告编号：2025-045 根据《上市公司独立董事管理办法》、《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》等相关规 定，独立董事在上市公司连续任职时间不得超过六年。公司现任独立董事孙剑非先生、 尹美群女士、杨彪先生将于 2025 年 6 月 15 日任期届满且连任时间满六年。鉴于孙剑非 先生、尹美群女士、杨彪先生任期届满离任将导致公司独立董事人数少于公司董事会成 员的三分之一且缺少会计专业人士，根据《上市公司独立董事管理办法》、《公司章程》 等相关规定，在董事会换届工作完成之前，孙剑非先生、尹美群女士、杨彪先生将继续 履行其独立董事及董事会专门委员会委员的职责。 公司董事会、监事会延期换届不会影响公司的正常运营。公司将积极推进相关制度 的修订及换届选举工作，并按照相关规定及时履行信息披露义务。 特此公告。 山东晨鸣纸业集团股份有限公司董事会 二〇二五年六月十三日 山东晨鸣纸业集团股份有限公司 关于董事会、监事会延期换届选举的提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 山东晨鸣纸业集 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Shandong Securities Regulatory Bureau has disclosed 12 violations by Lide Capital Management Co., Ltd., covering key risk points in private fund operations, leading to administrative corrective measures against the company and its chairman, Li Xingchun [1][4][5]. Group 1: Violations and Regulatory Actions - Lide Capital has been found to have 12 violations related to promotional activities, fundraising, investor protection, fund management, and information disclosure, indicating risks across the entire private fund operation chain [4]. - The Shandong Securities Regulatory Bureau has mandated Lide Capital to implement effective corrective measures and submit a written report within 30 days of receiving the decision [5]. - Li Xingchun, as the legal representative and chairman, has been held primarily responsible for the violations and has received a warning letter as an administrative regulatory measure [8]. Group 2: Company Background and Structure - Lide Capital was established in November 2009, with a registered and paid-in capital of 240 million yuan, and currently manages a scale ranging from 0 to 500 million yuan [10]. - The company operates 8 products, with 15 in delayed liquidation, 51 in early liquidation, and 43 in normal liquidation [10]. - Lide Technology, the parent company of Lide Capital, manages a total of 160 billion yuan across various funds, including public and private securities investment funds [10]. Group 3: Financial Challenges and Related Entities - Morning Paper Group, a shareholder of Lide Technology, has reported overdue debts totaling 1.82 billion yuan, which constitutes 10.91% of its latest audited assets [15]. - The company faced significant financial difficulties, with a net loss of 7.41 billion yuan in 2024, compared to a net loss of 1.28 billion yuan in 2023 [16]. - Morning Paper Group's total liabilities reached approximately 50.67 billion yuan, with current liabilities amounting to 43.84 billion yuan [17].

Industry Overview - Coated paper, also known as printing coated paper, is produced by applying a layer of white coating on the surface of base paper and processing it through super calendering. It is characterized by a smooth surface, high whiteness, and excellent ink absorption, making it suitable for high-end publications, advertisements, and packaging [1][2][5]. Supply Side - In recent years, the demand growth for coated paper in China has slowed due to the influence of short videos and electronic media. Consequently, the new production capacity in the domestic coated paper industry has been limited, maintaining a relatively stable capacity scale of approximately 7.04 million tons by the end of 2024 [7][9]. Production Trends - The production of coated paper in China has shown a steady increase, with total annual production rising from 6.2 million tons in 2022 to 6.8 million tons in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 7.94% [9]. Consumption Trends - Coated paper is primarily used in high-quality printing products, with the market share for catalogs and single-page products accounting for 30%, and educational materials making up 24%. Despite a decline in overall consumption due to digital media, the market is expected to recover, with a projected annual consumption of 5.12 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.02% [11]. Import and Export Dynamics - China's coated paper industry has a strong supply capacity, leading to a consistent export market that exceeds imports. The import volume has decreased to 170,000 tons in 2023 but is expected to recover to 220,000 tons in 2024. Exports have significantly increased from 560,000 tons in 2021 to 1.9 million tons in 2024 due to enhanced supply capabilities and market demand recovery [13]. Competitive Landscape - The coated paper market in China is highly concentrated, with major players like Gold East Paper, Chenming Paper, Sun Paper, and Huatai Paper dominating the market. These companies leverage scale advantages, integrated supply chains, and technological innovations to maintain significant market shares, with the top four companies accounting for 87.1% of the market [15][16]. Key Enterprises - Major companies in the coated paper industry include: - Huatai Paper: Leading in newsprint production with the largest single factory globally [16]. - Sun Paper: A significant supplier of various paper products, including coated paper, with a revenue of 40.73 billion yuan in 2024, up 2.99% year-on-year [18]. - Chenming Paper: A large enterprise group with a diverse product range, including high-end coated paper [16]. Development Trends - The industry is moving towards green production, driven by stricter environmental regulations. Companies are adopting low-energy, low-pollution production processes and focusing on recycling technologies to enhance efficiency [20]. - Digital printing technology is reshaping the competitive landscape, offering advantages in short-run printing and customization, while traditional coated paper remains essential for high-end applications [21][22]. - Market segmentation and differentiation are intensifying, with a growing demand for high-quality and functional coated paper products. Companies are expected to enhance brand building and provide customized solutions to meet diverse consumer needs [23].

2025 年 06 月 11 日 胶版印刷纸：震荡运行 高琳琳 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002332 gaolinlin@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 表 1：基本面数据(元/吨) | 市 场 | 区 域 | 纸 种 | 2025/6/10 | 2025/6/9 | 环 比 0 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 现货市场 | 山东市场 | 70g天 阳 | 4950 | 4950 | | | | | 70g晨鸣云镜 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 70g华夏太阳 | 5200 | 5200 | 0 | | | 广东市场 | 70g天 阳 | 4950 | 4950 | 0 | | | | 70g晨鸣云豹 | 5100 | 5100 | 0 | | | | 70g华夏太阳 | 5150 | 5150 | 0 | | | 税 前 | 含税收入 | 5163 | 5163 | 0 | | | | 含税成本 | 5094 | 5073 | 21 | | 成本利润 | | 税前毛利 | 68 | 90 | -21 | | | 税 后 | 不含税收入 | 45 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is preparing for its 2024 Annual General Meeting, where key proposals including financial reports and board reports will be discussed and voted on by shareholders [1][2][3] Group 1: Meeting Arrangements - The meeting will take place on June 17, 2025, at the Huabin International Hotel in Beijing, with both on-site and online voting options for shareholders [1] - Shareholders can choose either on-site or online voting, but not both, to ensure the integrity of the voting process [1] Group 2: Board and Supervisory Reports - The company has prepared its 2024 Board Report and Supervisory Report in compliance with the requirements of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and Shanghai Stock Exchange, which will be presented for shareholder approval [1][2] - The Supervisory Board has conducted thorough oversight of the company's operations and financial reporting, ensuring compliance with relevant laws and regulations [2][3] Group 3: Financial Performance and Profit Distribution - The company reported a net profit of 5,669.855 million RMB for 2024, with a proposed dividend distribution of 0.21 RMB per share, totaling 2,147.788 million RMB [9][10] - The proposed dividend distribution represents 45.72% of the distributable net profit attributable to shareholders [9] Group 4: Related Party Transactions - Significant related party transactions include agreements with China Huadian Group, involving a total estimated amount of 811 million RMB for various services and financial arrangements [3][4][5] - The company has renewed financial service agreements with its financial subsidiary, setting a maximum annual credit limit of 45 billion RMB [4][5] Group 5: Independent Directors' Reports - The independent directors have actively participated in governance, ensuring compliance with laws and protecting the interests of minority shareholders [12][14] - They have reviewed and approved various proposals, including the appointment of directors and financial management plans, maintaining a focus on transparency and accountability [12][14][21]

Core Insights - The article highlights the top and bottom AH share premium rates as of June 10, with Northeast Electric (00042) leading at a premium rate of 958.82% and Ningde Times (03750) at the bottom with -1.75% [1][2]. Group 1: Top AH Share Premium Rates - Northeast Electric (00042) has a premium rate of 958.82% with H-share priced at 0.255 HKD and A-share at 2.25 CNY [2]. - Hongye Futures (03678) follows with a premium rate of 271.39%, H-share at 3.390 HKD and A-share at 10.51 CNY [2]. - Andeli Juice (02218) ranks third with a premium rate of 268.02%, H-share at 15.980 HKD and A-share at 49.1 CNY [2]. Group 2: Bottom AH Share Premium Rates - Ningde Times (03750) has a premium rate of -1.75%, with H-share at 299.600 HKD and A-share at 245.75 CNY [2]. - WuXi AppTec (02359) has a premium rate of 5.05%, H-share at 74.000 HKD and A-share at 64.9 CNY [2]. - China Merchants Bank (03968) has a premium rate of 5.13%, H-share at 50.900 HKD and A-share at 44.67 CNY [2]. Group 3: Top Share Deviation Values - BYD Company (01211) leads with a deviation value of 202.33%, H-share at 135.600 HKD and A-share at 353.13 CNY [2]. - Longpan Technology (02465) follows with a deviation value of 30.49%, H-share at 6.910 HKD and A-share at 15.33 CNY [2]. - Yanzhou Coal Mining (01171) has a deviation value of 11.04%, H-share at 8.250 HKD and A-share at 12.79 CNY [2]. Group 4: Bottom Share Deviation Values - China Shipbuilding Defense (00317) has the lowest deviation value at -46.55%, H-share at 13.360 HKD and A-share at 24.9 CNY [3]. - Zhejiang Shibao (01057) follows with -37.20%, H-share at 4.650 HKD and A-share at 11.93 CNY [3]. - Junshi Biosciences (01877) has a deviation value of -35.39%, H-share at 24.600 HKD and A-share at 37 CNY [3].

Core Viewpoint - Residents in Huanggang, Hubei, have reported persistent unpleasant odors at night, attributed to Huanggang Chenming Pulp and Paper Co., Ltd. due to aging equipment and inadequate maintenance, leading to uncollected waste gas emissions [1][2] Group 1: Company Operations - Huanggang Chenming Pulp and Paper Co., Ltd. is located in the Huangzhou District's South Lake Industrial Park and primarily engages in pulp production [2] - The company has legally fulfilled environmental protection procedures and established corresponding facilities, commencing production in November 2018 [2] - The company has faced operational issues, resulting in three production stoppages since December 2024, leading to unstable production conditions [2] Group 2: Environmental Issues - The aging facilities and insufficient operational maintenance have resulted in ineffective collection and treatment of waste gases, causing odor problems [2] - The company has been urged by the Huanggang Ecological Environment Bureau to develop a feasible remediation plan for the odor issue, with a proposed investment of 130 million yuan for pollution control [2] Group 3: Remediation Efforts - The company has halted the purchase of fresh raw wood chips and implemented cooling measures for existing wood chips [2] - Key areas prone to leakage, such as the black liquor storage area and multiple-effect evaporation section, have undergone anti-seepage treatment [2] - The company is preparing to implement upgrades to the lime kiln electrostatic dust removal system and wastewater treatment station [2] Group 4: Regulatory Oversight - The Huanggang Ecological Environment Bureau has established a special team to investigate the odor complaints and will enhance environmental supervision of the company [2] - The bureau has committed to strictly enforcing laws against any environmental violations by the company to protect the rights of the local community [2]

Core Insights - Shandong is the only province in China that encompasses all 41 industrial categories defined by the United Nations, showcasing a comprehensive manufacturing ecosystem [5][8][19] - The province has a robust supply chain ecosystem, with leading companies like Weichai Power and Haier Group exemplifying its industrial capabilities [9][10][20] - Shandong's manufacturing strength lies in its resource endowment, historical industrial base, and a culture of technical patience, allowing for a unique industrial development path [12][15][18] Industrial Composition - Shandong covers 41 industrial categories, 197 industrial subcategories, and 526 industrial sub-subcategories, making it a unique industrial hub [8] - The province ranks first in the number of "Manufacturing Single Champion Products," with 76 out of 390 products recognized nationally [9] - Shandong's industrial landscape includes sectors such as metallurgy, chemicals, equipment manufacturing, and consumer goods, forming a complete industrial chain from raw materials to finished products [12][20] Competitive Advantages - Geographically, Shandong serves as a central hub in China's industrial landscape, benefiting from its proximity to energy sources and transportation networks [15] - The province's historical focus on foundational industries has established a solid industrial base, enabling it to transition into more advanced manufacturing capabilities [15][20] - Shandong's approach to industrial development emphasizes stability and gradual transformation, focusing on upgrading traditional industries through digitalization and smart manufacturing [16][20] Future Directions - Shandong is at a turning point, facing pressures to transition from traditional heavy industries to greener, smarter, and more flexible manufacturing systems [20][23] - The province is actively promoting industrial internet and smart manufacturing initiatives, aiming to enhance collaboration among different sectors and improve overall efficiency [20][23] - The transformation strategy focuses on leveraging existing industrial strengths to create a more resilient and self-sufficient manufacturing structure, which is crucial in the context of global supply chain disruptions [23]

Core Insights - The article highlights the top and bottom AH share premium rates, indicating significant disparities among various companies in the market [1][2][3] Group 1: Top AH Share Premium Rates - Northeast Electric (00042) leads with a premium rate of 1020.33%, followed by Andeli Juice (02218) at 341.81% and Chenming Paper (01812) at 263.08% [1][2] - The top three companies with the highest deviation values are Andeli Juice (44.30%), Northeast Electric (39.74%), and Qingdao Bank (11.69%) [1][2] Group 2: Bottom AH Share Premium Rates - The companies with the lowest AH share premium rates include Ningde Times (03750) at -1.48%, China Merchants Bank (03968) at 6.19%, and BYD Company (01211) at 6.45% [1][2] - The bottom three companies with the lowest deviation values are Zhejiang Shibao (-77.86%), China Shipbuilding Defense (-38.64%), and Junshi Biosciences (-32.19%) [1][3] Group 3: Additional Insights on Premium and Deviation - The top ten AH stocks by premium rate also include Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033) at 261.90% and Fudan Zhangjiang (01349) at 239.41% [2] - The bottom ten AH stocks by premium rate feature WuXi AppTec (02359) at 9.53% and Chifeng Gold (06693) at 12.81% [2][3]