证券研究报告 | 策略点评 2025 年 11 月 17 日 投资要点 分析师：储杨阳 执业编号：S0300525060002 电话： 邮箱：chuyangyang@ykzq.com 投资策略研究 风险提示 股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 请务必阅读最后特别声明与免责条款 www.ykzq.com 1 / 6 粤开市场日报-20251117 今日关注 指数涨跌情况：今日 A 股主要指数多数收跌。截止收盘，沪指跌 0.46%，收报 3972.03 点；深证成指跌 0.11%，收报 13202.00 点；科创 50 跌 0.53%，收报 1354.04 点；创业板指跌 0.20%，收报 3105.20 点。总体上，全天个股涨跌家 数基本持平，Wind 数据显示，全市场 2582 只个股上涨，2724 只个股下跌， 138 只个股收平。沪深两市今日成交额合计 19108 亿元，较上个交易日缩量 473 亿元。 行业涨跌情况：今日申万一级行业涨少跌多，计算机、国防军工、煤炭、通 信、房地产等行业涨幅靠前，涨幅分别为 1.67%、1.59%、1.32%、1.10%、1.00%， 医药生物、银行、非银金融、建筑材料、家用电器等 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective pullback on November 17, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3973.31 points, down 0.43%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.35% and 0.8% respectively [1][2]. Trading Volume and Stock Performance - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.27 trillion yuan, an increase of 329 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. A total of 2337 stocks rose, with 79 hitting the daily limit, while 2960 stocks declined [2]. Lithium Mining Sector - The lithium mining sector showed significant strength, with stocks such as Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240), Rongjie Co. (002192), and Dazhong Mining (001203) all hitting the daily limit of 10%. Shengxin Lithium Energy's year-to-date increase is 160.74% [3][4]. - The National Energy Administration's recent guidance on the development of 100% renewable energy bases and the projected demand for lithium carbonate to grow by 30% by 2026, reaching 1.9 million tons, supports long-term demand for lithium [5]. Cross-Strait Integration Sector - The Fujian Free Trade Zone sector saw a surge, with stocks like Pingtan Development (000592) achieving a remarkable 14 consecutive trading limits. The stock has increased by 255.19% since its rise began on October 17 [6][7]. Aerospace and Defense Sector - The aerospace and defense sector continued to perform well, with companies like Changcheng Aerospace (601606) and Aerospace Development (000547) hitting the daily limit. The sector's strong performance is reflected in the significant year-to-date increases for these stocks [9][10]. AI Application Sector - The AI application sector was notably active, with stocks such as Xuanya International (300612) and Dahua Intelligent (002512) hitting the daily limit. The sector is buoyed by upcoming technological breakthroughs from Huawei in AI [11][13]. Precious Metals and Innovative Pharmaceuticals - The precious metals sector faced declines, with companies like Shengda Resources (000603) and Zhaojin Gold (000506) leading the downturn. The innovative pharmaceuticals sector also saw declines, with stocks like Kexing Pharmaceutical and Kanglong Chemical (300759) dropping over 6% [14][16].

Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 4000 points, and market volume slightly decreased. The banking, home decoration, and leisure sectors led the gains, while electronics, telecommunications, and media internet sectors saw corrections [2][5][9] - The Shanghai Composite Index dropped by 0.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.93%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 2.82%. The total market turnover was approximately 1.98 trillion yuan [9][15] Market Performance - In terms of sector performance, the banking sector increased by 0.26%, home decoration and leisure by 0.18%, and construction products by 0.13%. Conversely, the electronics sector decreased by 2.93%, telecommunications by 2.40%, and media internet by 2.01% [9][15] - Conceptually, the "Cross-Strait Integration" concept rose by 4.19%, while sectors like storage, HBM, advanced packaging, and optical modules saw significant declines [9] Market Drivers - The market's risk appetite has decreased due to heightened geopolitical uncertainties and hawkish comments from some Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rate cuts. This has led to profit-taking in previously high-performing sectors, particularly in technology [9][15] - The report maintains a bullish outlook on the Chinese stock market, emphasizing that macroeconomic liquidity remains ample and that the market is expected to experience a "slow bull" trend, drawing parallels to previous bull markets in 1999, 2014, and 2019 [9][15] Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on technology growth and value sectors that are gradually recovering. Key areas of interest include AI and robotics, lithium batteries, photovoltaics, military industry, and Hong Kong internet stocks [9][15] - For long-term strategies, attention should be given to sectors with improving profitability, such as fiberglass, cement, paper, and fine chemicals, as well as non-bank sectors in a slow bull market [9][15]

【导读】国防军工高开高走，水产、锂矿等概念股活跃，孚日股份8连板 大家好！新一周的交易日开启，来一起关注最新的市场行情和资讯～ 来看详情—— 军工股高开高走 11月17日，A股三大指数早间小幅低开，盘初震荡后整体下探。截至发稿，三大指数均飘绿。 虽然指数整体表现欠佳，但细分板块有机会。上午，国防军工、计算机、林木等板块走高，水产、锂矿、两岸融合、航母等概念股强势；医药、贵金属、 保险等板块不振。 港股三大指数早间低开，上午同步震荡走低。携程集团跌超4%，领跌恒指概念股。 | 6392.25 | 9335.47 5783.02 | | --- | --- | | 生指数 -0.68% | 国企指数 -0.66% 恒生科技指数 -0.51% | | | 序号代码 名称 现价 涨跌 涨跌幅 * | | - | 552.50-23.500 -4.08% 9961 携程集团-S | | 2 | 2269 药明生物 32.380 -0.940 -2.82% | | က | 10.220 -0.280 -2.67% 0992 联想集团 | | 4 | 2359 药明康德 102.50 -2.700 -2.57% | | | ...

- The market experienced a broad decline today, with the CSI 2000 index performing relatively well among scale indices, and the SSE Composite Index performing better among sector indices[2][6] - The banking, real estate, textile and apparel, pharmaceutical, and comprehensive industries performed relatively well, while the electronics, communications, computer, media, and new energy industries performed poorly[2][7] - Market sentiment was relatively high today, with 90 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 9 stocks hitting the daily limit down at the close[2][12] - The financing balance as of November 13, 2025, was 24,882 billion yuan, and the securities lending balance was 184 billion yuan, with the total margin balance accounting for 2.5% of the market's circulating market value[2][17][20] - The ETF with the highest premium on November 13, 2025, was the Internet ETF Shanghai-Hong Kong-Shenzhen, with a premium of 0.59%, while the ETF with the highest discount was the Zhejiang Merchants Zhijiang Phoenix ETF, with a discount of 0.73%[3][21] - The median annualized discount rates for the main contracts of the SSE 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 index futures over the past year were 0.39%, 3.23%, 10.86%, and 13.33%, respectively[3][26] - The stock with the most institutional research over the past week was Boying Special Welding, which was researched by 79 institutions[4][28] - The top ten stocks with net inflows from institutional seats on the Dragon and Tiger List on November 14, 2025, included Time-Space Technology, Hailu Heavy Industry, Zhongyi Technology, Lianhua Technology, Kangzhi Pharmaceutical, Kangpeng Technology, Worth Buying, Chengda Pharmaceutical, Zhaoyi Innovation, and Minsheng Health[4][33]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a decline today, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.97% to close at 3990.49 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 1.93% to 13216.03 points, the Sci-Tech 50 Index decreasing by 2.72% to 1361.23 points, and the ChiNext Index dropping by 2.82% to 3111.51 points [1][10] - Overall, there were 1959 stocks that rose while 3320 stocks fell, with 164 stocks remaining unchanged. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 195.81 billion yuan, a decrease of 83.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][10] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, real estate, banking, and pharmaceutical sectors showed positive performance with increases of 0.39%, 0.26%, and 0.17% respectively. Conversely, the electronics, communication, media, non-ferrous metals, and computer sectors faced declines, with decreases of 3.09%, 2.46%, 2.16%, 1.99%, and 1.83% respectively [1][10] Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included Cross-Strait Integration, SPD, Hainan Free Trade Port, Aquaculture, Antibiotics, Vaccines, BC Batteries, Photovoltaic Glass, Minimum Market Value, New Urbanization, Oil and Gas Exploration, Primary Real Estate Developers, Selected Traditional Chinese Medicine, Natural Gas, and Influenza [2][12]

Group 1 - The Fujian sector demonstrated resilience and outperformed the market with an average increase of 1.83%, despite a general decline in major A-share indices [1] - A total of 14 stocks in the Fujian sector hit the daily limit up, including notable performers such as Sanmu Group with six consecutive limit ups and *ST Lvkang with seven consecutive limit ups, indicating strong market sentiment towards local stocks [1][2] - The Fujian provincial government has introduced multiple policies since November 2025 to support artificial intelligence, computing infrastructure, new energy, cross-strait integration, and cultural tourism consumption, which has attracted capital attention to the Fujian sector [1][3] Group 2 - Fujian's lithium battery exports reached a record high of 108.38 billion yuan from January to October, accounting for 11.3% of the province's total exports, driven by the global demand for green low-carbon products [3] - The ongoing cross-strait integration policies and Fujian's strategic position as a core area of the "21st Century Maritime Silk Road" are expected to benefit infrastructure, port logistics, and real estate sectors in the long term [2][3] - The development of the marine economy and the focus on high-end marine equipment and engineering are anticipated to further enhance Fujian's economic growth, with companies like Zhongmin Energy leveraging local wind energy resources for stable development [3]

Core Points - The A-share market experienced a decline in major indices, with the banking sector showing strength and reaching new highs for certain stocks [1][2][3][5][6] Banking Sector - The banking sector saw a broad increase, with notable gains in stocks such as Industrial and Agricultural Bank, which reached new highs at 8.34 CNY and 8.61 CNY per share, respectively [7][8] - The market capitalization for Industrial Bank is approximately 27,726 billion CNY, while Agricultural Bank stands at about 29,233 billion CNY [7][8] - Other banks like China Bank and Industrial Bank also reported gains exceeding 2% [7] Regional Performance - The Hainan and Fujian sectors showed strong performance, with the cross-strait integration index leading the market [9] - Specific stocks in Fujian, such as Sanmu Group, recorded a six-day consecutive rise, while Pingtan Development achieved a two-day consecutive rise [9][10] Gas Sector - The gas sector experienced a rise, with stocks like Guo Xin Energy and Changchun Gas hitting the daily limit [12][13] - The demand for gas is expected to increase due to a cold wave forecasted to impact most regions of China [13] Technology Sector - The technology sector faced a collective downturn, with significant declines in stocks related to computing, storage chips, and semiconductors [16][17] - Notable declines included Zhaoyi Innovation dropping nearly 8% and Jiangbolong falling close to 9% [17][18] Market Activity - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.23 trillion CNY, marking the 116th consecutive day of exceeding 1 trillion CNY in trading volume [3]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.39% closing at 4002.76 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 1.03% at 13289.01 points, and the ChiNext Index down by 1.40% at 3134.32 points. Overall, 2784 stocks rose while 2500 fell, with a total trading volume of 19936 billion yuan, a decrease of 1809 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1][2]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, sectors such as retail, real estate, steel, basic chemicals, and agriculture showed positive growth, with increases of 1.43%, 0.81%, 0.62%, 0.61%, and 0.60% respectively. Conversely, industries like telecommunications, electronics, computers, coal, and defense showed declines, with decreases of 2.20%, 1.74%, 1.41%, 1.34%, and 1.18% respectively [1][2]. Concept Sector Performance - The leading concept sectors today included cultivated diamonds, superhard materials, lithium battery electrolytes, germanium-gallium-antimony inks, calcium titanate batteries, HJT batteries, BC batteries, SPD, Pinduoduo partners, TOPcon batteries, dairy industry, cross-strait integration, high turnover, energy exports, and PEEK materials [2].

Group 1 - The "2025 Securities Industry High-Quality Development Conference and Jin Yuan Group Cup Securities Industry Golden Bull Award Ceremony" was held in Xiamen, focusing on the role of the securities industry in supporting new productive forces amid domestic industrial transformation and the push for companies to expand internationally [1] - The event saw participation from leaders of Xiamen's municipal government, the China Securities Association, and executives from various securities and fund companies, discussing new opportunities in the capital market for 2026 [1] - The Jin Yuan Group has been a strategic partner for the Golden Bull Award for two consecutive years, emphasizing the integration of financial support with technological and industrial innovation [2] Group 2 - The award list for the 2025 Securities Company Golden Bull Award and the 2025 Securities Company Collective Asset Management Plan Golden Bull Award was announced, recognizing 38 securities companies, 20 asset managers, and 105 collective asset management plans [1] - The "China Securities Reference: Overseas Information" product was launched, aiming to provide investors with valuable investment references through AI-enabled global market insights [2] - Jin Yuan Group has established itself as a state-owned financial enterprise in Xiamen, focusing on financial services, industrial investment, and urban development, with a mission to support the real economy and enhance cross-strait services [3] Group 3 - Jin Yuan Group manages investments in 49 Hong Kong-listed companies, with 10 new listings this year, reflecting Xiamen's commitment to technological innovation and the development of a modern industrial system [4] - The group has maintained an "AAA" credit rating for 10 consecutive years and aims to become a leading comprehensive financial service provider, facilitating industrial transformation and investment cooperation [3]