情绪遇冷， 关注需求走向 碳酸锂周报 2025/11/22 0755-23375139 zengyuke@wkqh.cn 从业资格号：F03121027 交易咨询号：Z0023147 曾宇轲（有色金属组） CONTENTS 目录 周度要点小结 ◆ 期现市场：11月21日，五矿钢联碳酸锂现货指数（MMLC）早盘报93311元，周涨7.57%，其中MMLC电池级碳酸锂均价为93550元。同日广期所 LC2601收盘价91020元，本周涨4.19%。 ◆ 供给：11月20日，SMM国内碳酸锂周度产量报22130吨，环比增2.7%。2025年10月中国进口碳酸锂23881吨，环比+21.9%，同比增加3%。1-10 月中国碳酸锂进口总量约为19.7万吨，同比增加4.9%。2025年10月智利出口碳酸锂2.5万吨，环比增长56%；其中出口至中国的量为1.62万吨， 同比减4.5%，环比增46.0%。 ◆ 需求：据乘联会，11月1-16日，全国乘用车新能源市场零售55.4万辆，同比去年11月同期增长2%，较上月同期增长7%，今年以来累计零售 1070.3万辆，同比增长21%；11月1-16日，全国乘用车厂商新能源批发61 ...

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据东风本田消息，11月13日，东风本田汽车有限公司与腾讯智慧出行正式签署战略合作协议。双方将在 数智化营销、大数据与AI应用等领域展开深度合作。 特斯拉上海超级工厂创2年来单月最高出口纪录 11月13日，最新数据显示，2025年10月，特斯拉上海超级工厂出口超3.5万辆，创2年来单月最高出口纪 录，特斯拉Model Y车型出口量同比大幅增长214%。特斯拉中国有关人士介绍，每个季度初，上海超级 工厂大量新车发往欧洲、亚太等其他地区。 东风日产首款插混轿车N6开启预售 工信部：促进动力电池在相关领域扩大应用，支持换电模式创新和车网互动试点 11月12日至13日，2025世界动力电池大会在四川省宜宾市举办。工业和信息化部党组成员、副部长辛国 斌出席并致辞。辛国斌表示，工业和信息化部将完善支持政策，加强各方协同，持续推动动力电池产业 高质量发展。一是强化战略引领，编制"十五五"智能网联新能源汽车、新型电池产业发展规划。二是扩 大应用场景，促进动力电池在相关领域扩大应用，支持换电模式创新和车网互动试点。三是健全治理体 系，完善动力电池综合利用暂行办法。四是拓宽合作空间，打造市场化、法治化、国际化一流营商环 境。 东风 ...

New Stock Offerings - Hai'an Group is offering shares with a subscription code of 001233 at a price of 48.00 CNY per share, with a subscription limit of 14,500 shares [1] Economic and Regulatory Updates - The Ministry of Commerce held a press conference discussing ongoing negotiations with the Netherlands regarding semiconductor supply chain stability, emphasizing the need for constructive solutions [4] - The People's Bank of China reported that the total social financing increased by 30.9 trillion CNY in the first ten months of 2025, which is 3.83 trillion CNY more than the same period last year, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.5% [5] - The State Council will hold a press conference on November 14, 2025, to discuss the national economic performance for October 2025 [5] - The Financial Regulatory Bureau plans to release a revised "Commercial Bank Mergers and Acquisitions Loan Management Measures" to support mergers and restructuring, particularly for technology enterprises [5] Industry Developments - China has completed the first phase of 6G technology trials, accumulating over 300 key technology reserves [6] - The "Petroleum and Natural Gas Infrastructure Planning, Construction, and Operation Management Measures" will take effect on January 1, 2026, aiming to streamline investment mechanisms in oil and gas infrastructure [6] - The World Power Battery Conference highlighted the expanding applications of electric technology across various sectors, with a focus on high-quality development in the power battery industry [7] Company Performance - Tencent Holdings reported third-quarter revenue of 192.87 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 15% [9] - JD Group's third-quarter revenue reached 299.1 billion CNY, reflecting a growth of 14.9% [10] - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) posted a net profit of 1.517 billion CNY in the third quarter, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 43.1% [11] Market Insights - Huatai Securities noted that the current A-share profit cycle is improving, with signs of recovery in asset balance sheets and orders, suggesting a positive outlook for sectors like advanced manufacturing and TMT [22] - Zhongyuan Securities reported a sustained upward trend in the lithium battery industry, advising investors to monitor raw material prices and policy developments closely [23]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China reported an increase of 14.97 trillion yuan in RMB loans in the first ten months of the year, with a cumulative social financing scale of 30.9 trillion yuan, which is 3.83 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced that China has conducted 6G technology trials for four consecutive years, completing the first phase and forming over 300 key technology reserves [2] - The Ministry of Water Resources reported that from January to October, national water conservancy construction investment reached 1,009.47 billion yuan, with 46,000 various water conservancy projects implemented [2] Group 2 - The total import and export volume through the Western Land-Sea New Corridor reached 1.35 trillion yuan from January to October, marking a year-on-year increase of 17.9% [3] - The Ministry of Commerce is accelerating the domestic approval process for the upgraded version 3.0 of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area agreement [3] - China Aviation Engine Group announced the successful first flight test of a 3D-printed simplified turbojet engine, marking a significant breakthrough in the engineering application of 3D-printed engines [3] Group 3 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) chairman recently visited France and Brazil to discuss securities market regulation dynamics and deepen bilateral cooperation in capital markets [3] - Data from the Asset Management Association of China indicated that in September, 2,305 private asset management products were registered, a year-on-year increase of 230.23%, with a total establishment scale of 83.147 billion yuan, up 69.2% year-on-year [3] - The CSRC approved the initial public offering and registration application of Muxi Integrated Circuit (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. for listing on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [3] Group 4 - Several large insurance companies have begun launching "New Year" products, transitioning more towards floating design dividend insurance products, which test the investment level and operational capabilities of insurance companies [4] - On November 13, international copper prices rose, with the main contract closing at 78,070.00 yuan per ton, an increase of 840.00 yuan, or 1.09% [4] Group 5 - Semiconductor manufacturer SMIC reported third-quarter revenue of 171.62 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.9%, with net profit of 15.1 billion yuan, up 43.1% [5] - Tencent Holdings achieved third-quarter revenue of 1,928.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15%, with operating profit of 725.7 billion yuan, up 18% [5] - JD Group reported third-quarter total revenue of 2,990.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.9%, but adjusted net profit decreased by 56% to 5.8 billion yuan [5] - Bilibili reported a third-quarter net revenue of 7.69 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5%, with adjusted net profit of 786 million yuan, up 233% [5] Group 6 - The U.S. stock market saw all three major indices decline, with the Dow Jones falling 1.65% to 47,457.22 points, the S&P 500 down 1.66% to 6,737.49 points, and the Nasdaq dropping 2.29% to 22,870.36 points [5] - Chinese concept stocks mostly fell, with Hesai Technology down over 8% and Pony.ai down nearly 8% [5]

牛市来了还没上车？上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限 量发放！先到先得！ 锂电池飞了！ 11月13日早盘，最靓的仔无疑就是锂电池，华盛锂电、泰和科技、新宙邦、海科新源、孚日股份等全线 飙涨。 值得一提的是，涨停及涨幅超过10%的个股一度达到30只。 过去3年VC价格持续低位行业几乎无新增产能，2026年行业新增产能主要包括亘元、华盛、永太等部分 产能。行业内存在众多小产能因技术及认证问题，实际产量有限。据测算，2026年VC行业总有效产能 10-11万吨，全行业平均产能利用率或达90%。此外，溶剂需求亦值得重视，目前产能下，2026年有望 见到供需紧平衡。 另外，海博思创与宁德时代签订战略合作协议，2026年至2028年公司采购电量累计不低于200GWh。摩 根士丹利称这证实了全球对储能的强劲需求以及高端产品的短缺，并表明宁德时代在储能价值链中的冠军 地位。重申对宁德时代A股的超配评级，对宁德时代A股目标价为490元人民币。今天早盘，宁德时代亦表 现强劲。 利好持续催化 行业层面利好不断。先是有报道指，据鑫椤三方报价，电解液添加剂VC（碳酸亚乙烯酯）昨日均价11万 元/吨 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a collective rise, with the New Energy Vehicle ETF (515030) leading the gains, reflecting positive sentiment in the sector driven by advancements in battery technology and infrastructure [1] Industry Summary - As of November 13, the New Energy Vehicle ETF (515030) surged by 3.14%, with a trading volume of 57.43 million yuan, indicating strong investor interest [1] - Key stocks within the ETF, such as Xinzhou Bang, Tianhua New Energy, and others, saw significant increases, with Xinzhou Bang rising over 16% [1] - The 2025 World Power Battery Conference held on November 12 highlighted advancements in solid-state battery technology, with CATL's chairman stating that the company is at the forefront of research and industrialization globally [1] - CATL's battery swapping system is designed to be compatible with solid-state batteries, enhancing its market position [1] - The Chocolate Battery Swapping Alliance has established a presence in over 40 cities across China, with plans to build 1,000 battery swapping stations by the end of the year [1] - Long-term growth prospects for Chinese lithium battery companies are optimistic, supported by their leading production capacity and advanced technology in the global market [1] Company Summary - The New Energy Vehicle ETF (515030) is currently the largest themed ETF in the market, tracking the CSI New Energy Vehicle Index (399976) [1] - The ETF includes stocks from companies involved in lithium batteries, charging stations, and new energy vehicles, with battery-related stocks accounting for 51.9% of its composition [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes its commitment to research and development, particularly in the fields of energy storage liquid cooling components and power battery liquid cooling components, achieving significant technological advancements [1] Group 1: R&D Focus - The company has made notable progress in technology related to energy storage and power battery liquid cooling components, with some applications already integrated into relevant products [1] - Future plans include strengthening technological innovation and increasing R&D intensity to better meet market demands [1] Group 2: Market and Profitability - The company aims to enhance product gross margins through improved R&D efforts and innovation [1]

Core Insights - The article highlights the rapid development and deployment of large cylindrical battery projects in China, indicating a significant shift towards mass production in the industry [4][5][6][8][9]. Group 1: Industry Developments - Zhaoke Energy has launched a lithium battery project with an investment of 250 million yuan, aiming for a production capacity of 2 GWh, focusing on two-wheeled vehicles and energy storage [4]. - Dalian Zhongbi is set to begin trial production of a 1 billion yuan project for 40-type large cylindrical batteries by the end of the year, with plans for additional production lines in the next two years [4]. - Duofluor has established a full series of large cylindrical battery products targeting automotive, energy storage, and light vehicles, experiencing a surge in orders from energy storage clients [5]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - Duofluor's new generation of all-tab fluorine core large cylindrical batteries features advanced safety and consistency through innovative manufacturing processes [5]. - EVE Energy has partnered with BMW since 2022 to explore the large cylindrical battery sector, focusing on technology, R&D, and manufacturing processes [5]. - Chuangming New Energy has introduced a new all-tab 32140 large cylindrical battery designed for small power applications, achieving high performance and safety standards [6]. Group 3: Market Trends - The large cylindrical battery market is becoming increasingly competitive, with Tesla and Panasonic as initial players, while Chinese and Korean manufacturers are expected to drive mass production [8][9]. - The demand for large cylindrical batteries is projected to reach 100 GWh this year, with potential growth to four to five times that by 2030, making it a hot product series in the power battery market [9][10]. - The article notes that the large cylindrical battery's application will primarily focus on automotive use before expanding into energy storage, with significant interest from various automotive brands [10]. Group 4: Supply Chain Dynamics - The article mentions a shortage of specific battery types, such as the 100Ah cells, indicating that leading companies have already filled their production schedules for months ahead, which may benefit second and third-tier companies [12].

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) indicates a strong upward trend, driven by significant inflows and positive market sentiment towards the sector, particularly in light of ongoing central bank policies and global demand for gold and battery materials [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 10, 2025, the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) rose by 2.19%, marking its fourth consecutive increase, with a trading volume of 240 million yuan [1]. - The CSI Shenwan Non-Ferrous Metal Index surged by 2.14%, with notable gains from constituent stocks such as Guocheng Mining (+9.99%), Hunan Gold (+6.21%), and Shengxin Lithium Energy (+5.90%) [1]. - Over the past 21 trading days, the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) has seen a net inflow of 884 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Central Bank and Gold Demand - The central bank's latest report shows that as of the end of October, its gold reserves increased to 7.409 million ounces, up by 30,000 ounces from September, marking the 12th consecutive month of accumulation [1]. - Long-term forecasts suggest that interest rate cuts and policies from former President Trump may drive gold prices higher, with central bank purchases providing a supportive floor for prices [1]. Group 3: Battery and Storage Demand - According to CITIC Securities, the energy storage policy in 2025 is expected to drive an unexpected increase in demand for energy storage batteries, with improvements in battery capacity and trade-in policies boosting demand for power batteries [1]. - The global demand for lithium salt is anticipated to continue exceeding expectations, supported by the ongoing growth in energy storage and power battery sectors [1]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Recent market trends indicate a bullish sentiment towards cyclical sectors, particularly in coal, non-ferrous metals, certain chemicals, new energy, photovoltaic industry chains, and memory storage [2]. - Non-ferrous metals, steel, and building materials are highlighted as potential cyclical investment opportunities based on supply-side changes and free cash flow levels [2]. Group 5: Index Composition - The CSI Shenwan Non-Ferrous Metal Index comprises 50 listed companies selected from the non-ferrous metals and non-metallic materials sectors to reflect the overall performance of the industry in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [2]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include Zijin Mining, Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, Huayou Cobalt, China Aluminum, Shandong Gold, Zhongjin Gold, Tianqi Lithium, Ganfeng Lithium, and China Rare Earth [2].