处于"技术驱动+需求回暖"的双重拐点，碳酸锂价格的企稳回升为产业链提供了盈利修复的基础，而固 态电池等前沿技术的产业化加速则打开了长期的估值空间。预计在未来1-2年内，具备成本优势的盐湖 提锂企业以及固态电池产业链的核心设备与材料商，将持续受益于行业的结构性繁荣。（文馨） 机构普遍看好锂电板块后市表现。申银万国期货指出，在库存结构和看多逻辑下，即便短期波动，价格 仍易涨难跌。中泰证券预计，2026年全球储能电池出货量将达874GWh，同比增长46%，动力与储能需 求共同推动总出货量增长，这将进一步强化磷酸铁锂电池的主流地位，预计其市场份额将提升至82%。 广发证券与甬兴证券同样看好动力和储能需求带动的周期反转，建议关注各环节龙头及固态电池方向。 光大证券特别强调，固态电池在新一轮周期中兼具主体容量大、催化密度高、产业处于关键拐点等特 征，有望成为中长期主线。预计2026至2027年，固态电池将迎来车规级装车试验、小规模量产及GWh 级产线招标等多重催化，直接带动材料和设备环节业绩释放；长期来看，随着全固态电池在高端动力、 低空经济、人形机器人等场景的渗透，具备核心专利的龙头企业将拥有巨大的扩张空间。 针对当前 ...

作者丨彭鑫 从全国汽车标准化技术委员会获悉，12月30日，固态电池首个国家标准——《电动汽车用固态电池 第1 部分：术语和分类》公开征求意见（以下简称"征求意见稿"）。 征求意见稿明确了固态电池的相关术语、分类、编码等基础内容，标志着固态电池技术开始由实验室走 向产业化。（证券时报） 编辑丨安安 ...

Core Viewpoint - The first national standard for solid-state batteries has been publicly solicited for opinions, marking a significant step towards the industrialization of solid-state battery technology [1] Industry Summary - The national standard titled "Solid State Batteries for Electric Vehicles Part 1: Terminology and Classification" was released for public consultation on December 30 [1] - This standard clarifies the terminology, classification, and coding related to solid-state batteries, indicating a transition from laboratory research to industrial application [1] - A total of 54 listed companies in the A-share market are involved in the solid-state battery industry chain, reflecting growing interest and investment in this sector [1] Company Summary - In the fourth quarter, 22 concept stocks related to solid-state batteries have been investigated by institutions, with 16 of these stocks receiving attention from 10 or more research institutions [1] - Companies such as Rongbai Technology, Dandefluorine, and Dangseng Technology have attracted the most institutional research, with 267, 183, and 157 institutions respectively conducting investigations [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Guoxuan High-Tech [4][3]. Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in revenue and net profit, with Q3 revenue reaching 101.14 billion yuan, up 21% year-on-year, and net profit increasing by 1434% to 21.67 billion yuan [1][2]. - The partnership with Volkswagen is progressing positively, with the first model featuring the company's battery expected to launch soon, which is anticipated to contribute to revenue growth starting next year [2][3]. - The company is expected to continue its high growth trajectory due to product upgrades and capacity expansion, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 33.82 billion, 25.39 billion, and 32.98 billion yuan respectively [3][8]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 295.08 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17%, and a net profit of 25.33 billion yuan, up 514% [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 was reported at 17.6%, showing a sequential increase of 2.8 percentage points [2]. - The company’s market share in domestic power battery installations reached 5.3%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, while overseas market share was 2.0%, up 0.5 percentage points [2]. Product and Market Development - The introduction of the third-generation battery cells has led to a significant increase in high-energy-density products, which are expected to account for 30% of total production by the end of the year [2]. - The company is in the process of upgrading its production lines, which is expected to enhance capacity utilization and reduce manufacturing costs in the future [2]. - The collaboration with Volkswagen marks a significant milestone, as the company's LFP products will be installed in Volkswagen models, indicating a strong entry into the high-end market segment [2][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Guoxuan High-Tech [3][7]. Core Views - Guoxuan High-Tech has shown solid growth in installed capacity and is making significant progress in solid-state battery technology, positioning itself as a leader in the industry [2][3]. - The company achieved a revenue of 19.394 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.5%, and a net profit of 367 million yuan, up 35.2% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company is expanding its product offerings and customer base, particularly in the high-end market segment, which is expected to drive further revenue growth [3][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, Guoxuan High-Tech's total shipments reached approximately 40 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 48% [1]. - The revenue from power batteries was 14.034 billion yuan, up 19.9% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 14.2%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points [1]. - The company’s domestic and global market shares reached 5.2% and 3.2%, respectively, both up by 1.6 percentage points and 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Product Development - The solid-state battery segment is progressing rapidly, with the "Jinshi" battery's pilot production line achieving a yield rate of 90% [2]. - The company has initiated the design work for a 2 GWh production line for the first generation of solid-state batteries, accelerating its industrialization [2]. - The "Guan" quasi-solid-state battery has an energy density of 300 Wh/kg and a range of 1,000 kilometers, showcasing the company's technological advancements [2]. Global Expansion - Guoxuan High-Tech is enhancing its global supply capabilities with production bases in North America, Europe, and Southeast Asia now operational [3]. - The company has increased its production capacity for standard battery cells from 20 GWh to 28 GWh in anticipation of optimistic sales to Volkswagen [3]. - The establishment of local production capabilities is expected to improve the company's competitive advantage in overseas markets [3]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 45.886 billion yuan, 59.501 billion yuan, and 70.454 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 29.7% [7][8]. - The net profit is expected to reach 1.654 billion yuan, 2.409 billion yuan, and 3.125 billion yuan for the same years, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - Major battery companies are accelerating their competition in the all-solid-state battery sector, marking a shift from laboratory research to large-scale production [2][3]. Group 1: Company Developments - EVE Energy announced the successful rollout of its "Longquan No. 2" all-solid-state battery at its Chengdu production base, which covers an area of approximately 11,000 square meters and aims for an annual production capacity of nearly 500,000 cells [4][7]. - The first phase of EVE's production facility is expected to be completed by December 2025, with a manufacturing capability of 60Ah batteries, while the second phase aims for a 100MWh annual production capacity by December 2026 [7]. - The "Longquan No. 2" battery has an energy density of 300Wh/kg and a volumetric energy density of 700Wh/L, targeting high-end applications such as humanoid robots and low-altitude aircraft [7]. Group 2: Strategic Goals - EVE Energy's chairman, Dr. Liu Jincheng, stated that the company will invest heavily in funding, equipment, and R&D resources to achieve key targets of 400Wh/kg and 1000Wh/L energy densities for solid-state batteries by 2025 [8]. Group 3: National High-Tech Developments - Guoxuan High-Tech announced that its first all-solid-state battery pilot line has officially been completed, with the "Jinshi" all-solid-state battery currently in the pilot production stage and achieving a yield rate of 90% [9]. - The company has initiated the design work for its first-generation all-solid-state battery production line with a capacity of 2GWh, and its samples have an energy density of 350Wh/kg [9]. - Guoxuan High-Tech is also collaborating with BASF to build a cooperative system in the energy storage sector, with portable mobile energy storage devices gaining popularity overseas [10]. Group 4: Investment Plans - Guoxuan High-Tech disclosed plans to invest no more than 8 billion yuan in building new energy battery bases in Nanjing and Wuhu, aiming for a total production capacity of 40GWh [11].

Core Viewpoint - The strategic collaboration between the company and Academician Sun Xueliang's team is a key initiative for integrating resources in production, academia, and research, aimed at accelerating the industrialization of solid-state battery technology [2] Group 1: Strategic Collaboration - The partnership involves leveraging the cutting-edge research capabilities of Academician Sun's team, who are recognized as global leaders in solid-state battery technology [2] - The collaboration focuses on optimizing the interface of cathode materials and solid electrolytes, assessing the performance of mass-produced materials such as high-nickel and lithium-rich manganese-based compounds [2] - The initiative aims to create a closed-loop system of "technology research and development - industrialization verification - iterative upgrading" [2] Group 2: Leadership and Development - Academician Sun will serve as the Chief Scientist for the company, guiding the development system, high-end talent cultivation, and the application for national-level research projects [2] - The collaboration is expected to enhance the company's leading advantage in the industrialization of solid-state battery materials and accelerate its capture of global market opportunities [2]

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Renergy Industrial Co., Ltd. has successfully delivered core equipment for solid-state battery manufacturing to a leading domestic battery manufacturer, marking a significant breakthrough in the industrialization of solid-state battery technology [1][3]. Group 1 - The delivered equipment includes specialized formation and capacity testing lines for solid-state batteries, such as formation equipment, capacity testing equipment, OCV systems, and DCIR testing devices [1][3]. - This delivery is not the first for Renergy in the solid-state battery field; previously, the company provided a high-pressure monitoring system for research purposes, which is crucial for in-depth studies of core process parameters [3]. - Renergy's high-precision testing equipment is optimized for solid-state battery characteristics, enabling accurate and efficient measurement of key performance parameters like lifespan, capacity, and long-term charge-discharge cycle stability [3][4]. Group 2 - The specialized formation and capacity testing equipment addresses critical challenges in the formation process, such as interface contact resistance control, uniform pressure application, precise temperature management, and accurate positioning of battery cells [3][4]. - The continuous successful delivery of equipment from laboratory research to pilot testing and mass production demonstrates Renergy's comprehensive technical route and service capabilities in the solid-state battery manufacturing and testing sector [4]. - This advancement not only meets urgent industry demands but also contributes to China's competitive edge in next-generation battery technology, supporting national goals for carbon neutrality and the development of new productive forces [4].

Core Insights - The solid-state battery index decreased by 0.8% from June 30 to July 4, with a cumulative increase of 18.2% expected by 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index which is projected to increase by 17.0% [1][4] - Among the solid-state battery-related stocks, the average decline was 1.3%, with only the current collectors segment showing an increase of 7.0% [1][4] Stock Performance - Top five gainers: Zhongyi Technology (+21.1%), Defu Technology (+21.0%), Honggong Technology (+21.0%), Yuanhang Precision (+12.2%), and Jiayuan Technology (+6.7%) [1][4] - Top five losers: Yinglian Co. (-17.7%), Nuode Co. (-12.9%), Tianji Co. (-11.3%), Jinlongyu (-9.2%), and Zhonglun New Materials (-8.5%) [1][4] Industry Developments - Shanghai Xiba plans to participate in the auction for Yuyuan Rare Earth's lithium sulfide business assets [2] - Several companies have secured orders for solid-state battery copper foil products, including Defu Technology with a significant order from a leading power battery customer [2] - Anwa Technology has successfully launched the first GWh-level solid-state battery production line, marking a significant advancement in solid-state battery development [2] - The industry is transitioning from laboratory stages to mass production validation, with expectations for small batch vehicle testing by the end of 2025 and widespread testing in 2026-2027 [2]

Group 1 - The solid-state battery index surged by 2.16% on June 9, with five constituent stocks rising over 5% [3] - Since June 3, the index has accumulated a gain of over 5%, leading to increased investor inquiries about solid-state battery business progress from numerous A-share companies [3] - Ganfeng Lithium has established a comprehensive layout for solid-state batteries, with capabilities in key areas such as sulfide electrolytes, oxide electrolytes, and battery systems [3] Group 2 - At the European Battery Show in Stuttgart, companies like Winbond Technology and Xingyuan Material showcased solid-state battery equipment and solutions, highlighting significant operational cost and energy consumption reductions [4] - SAIC Group announced that its all-solid-state battery will achieve mass production by 2026, while Changan Automobile expects to validate solid-state battery installation by 2026 and gradually mass-produce by 2027 [4] - Industry experts recognize solid-state batteries as the core direction for next-generation power batteries, with a projected global shipment of 642.6 GWh by 2030 [4][5] Group 3 - Ten stocks within the solid-state battery index received net purchases from institutions, with Guoxuan High-Tech leading with over 30 million yuan in net buying [6] - Guoxuan High-Tech's first-generation all-solid-state "Jinshi" battery boasts an energy density of 350 Wh/kg and over 3000 cycles, showcasing its long-range and high safety features [6] - The company is expanding its product matrix and accelerating the industrialization of solid-state battery technology, which is expected to enhance its competitive advantage [6] Group 4 - Recent market performance shows that the stock price of Guoxuan High-Tech has increased significantly, with a year-to-date gain of 21.82% [8]