阿通社10月6日消息，截至2025年第一季度末，海湾阿拉伯国家合作委员会（海合会）成员国以当前价 格计算的国内生产总值（GDP）达5881亿美元，较2024年同期的5709亿美元增长3%。截至2025年第一 季度末，非石油部门在海合会成员国名义国内生产总值中的占比达到73.2%，而石油部门的占比为 26.8%。以固定价格计算，2025年第一季度海合会成员国GDP增长0.1%，总额达5878亿美元。 （原标题：海合会成员国第一季度末国内生产总值达5881亿美元） ...

据介绍，因两党在医保相关福利等方面的分歧，美国会参议院未能在政府资金耗尽前通过新的临时拨款 法案。美东时间10月1日零时起，美国联邦政府时隔近七年再次"停摆"。美国副总统万斯10月1日警告， 如果联邦政府"停摆"持续时间较长，可能会引发裁员。白宫发言人莱维特说，联邦政府裁员"很可能"发 生，且"很快"会发生。 环球网消息，美国"政治新闻网"10月1日援引其获得的一份白宫备忘录报道称，美国总统特朗普的经济 顾问警告称，若美国政府"停摆"时间延长，将引发严重经济后果。 据报道，白宫经济顾问委员会在一份备忘录中警告称，美国政府每"停摆"一周，美国国内生产总值 （GDP）就可能损失150亿美元。若"停摆"一个月，将导致额外4.3万人失业。该估算尚未计入190万名 被强制休假或无薪工作的联邦文职雇员的损失，其中80%的人员居住在华盛顿地区。 "政治新闻网"称，这份四页备忘录还估算，若政府"停摆"持续一个月，消费者支出将减少300亿美元， 其中一半源自对联邦雇员的直接影响，其余则来自对其他行业的溢出效应。该备忘录援引美国高盛集 团、费哲金融服务公司（Fiserv）以及美联储的分析得出了相关结论。 原标题：美媒：白宫经济顾 ...

The U.S. economy accelerated in the second quarter as the Commerce Department released its second revision of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the latest quarter. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on Thursday released its third and final estimate of second-quarter GDP, which showed the economy grew at an annualized rate of 3.8% in the April through June period. That figure was hotter than the 3.3% estimate of economists polled by LSEG, and came in higher than the Commerce Department's initia ...

责编：张荣耀、卢思宇 日本内阁府9月8日公布的修正数据显示，剔除物价变动影响后，今年第二季度（4月至6月）实际国内生 产总值（GDP）环比增长0.5%，按年率计算增幅为2.2%。（总台记者 何欣蕾 总台报道员 杨红霞） ...

Economic Overview - Brazil's GDP grew by 0.4% in Q2 2025, marking the 16th consecutive quarter of positive growth and the highest level since the series began in 1996, with a total economic output of 3.2 trillion reais [1] - The growth rate in Q2 was lower than the 1.3% recorded in Q1, indicating a moderate slowdown, but still exceeded market expectations of 0.3%. Year-on-year, the economy grew by 2.2% [1] Sector Performance - The services sector grew by 0.6%, reaching a historical high and serving as the main driver of overall economic growth, particularly in financial services, information and communication, and transportation and storage [1] - The industrial sector saw a 0.5% increase, primarily driven by mining, especially in oil and gas extraction, although manufacturing, electricity, and construction experienced slight declines [1] - Agriculture experienced a minor decline of 0.1% quarter-on-quarter but showed a significant year-on-year growth of 10.1%, benefiting from strong soybean and corn harvests earlier in the year [1] Demand Side Analysis - Government consumption decreased by 0.6%, while household consumption increased by 0.5%. Investment fell by 2.2%, mainly due to weaknesses in construction and capital goods production [1] - On the external front, exports grew by 0.7%, while imports declined by 2.9% [1] Industry Insights - The manufacturing and construction sectors, closely tied to credit, are under significant pressure, while the resilience of the services sector and household consumption plays a crucial supporting role [2]

Core Viewpoint - Australia's GDP for Q2 2025 increased by 0.6% quarter-on-quarter and 1.8% year-on-year, indicating a rebound from Q1's growth slowdown due to extreme weather [1][1][1] Economic Growth - The Q2 GDP growth of 0.6% is an improvement from Q1's 0.3% and exceeds market expectations [1][1] - Household and government spending were the main drivers of economic growth in Q2, with increases of 0.9% and 1.0% respectively [1][1] - Public investment saw a decline of 3.9% quarter-on-quarter [1] Consumer Behavior - Following interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia in February and May, household spending on non-essential items increased [1][1] - The household savings rate decreased from 5.2% in Q1 to 4.2% in Q2, suggesting a recovery in consumer spending after a period of weakness [1][1] Government Perspective - The Australian Treasurer highlighted the positive economic momentum in the face of global economic uncertainties, as indicated by the latest data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics [1][1]

Core Insights - Australia's GDP grew by 0.6% quarter-on-quarter and 1.8% year-on-year in Q2 2025, marking the 15th consecutive quarter of growth, surpassing market expectations and previous quarters' performance [1] - The main drivers of economic growth were domestic final demand, primarily fueled by increases in household and government spending, while public investment was a significant drag on growth [1] - The economic growth forecast for the fiscal year 2024-25 is set at 1.3% [1] Economic Performance - Government spending increased by 1% and household consumption rose by 0.9% in Q2 2025 [1] - Private sector investment saw minimal growth of 0.1% due to a decline in residential investment and new construction projects, while public sector investment decreased by 3.9% [1] Trade and Exports - Overall goods exports increased due to a rebound in iron ore and liquefied natural gas exports, alongside growth in service exports driven by an increase in short-term visitors to Australia [2] - However, the increase in Australians traveling abroad and higher spending per traveler negatively impacted net trade, while a reduction in imports of consumer goods like automobiles and clothing also affected overall goods imports [2] Household Financials - The household savings rate fell from 5.2% in Q1 to 4.2% in Q2 2025, with disposable income rising by 0.6%, which was lower than the 1.5% increase in nominal household spending [2]

Core Viewpoint - The GBP/USD is facing downward pressure, hovering around the 1.3470 area, amid a mild recovery in dollar buying interest, with the July PCE inflation data aligning with market expectations, opening the door for a potential Fed rate cut in September [1][5]. Technical Analysis - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart is slightly below 50, indicating a weakening bullish momentum as GBP/USD falls below the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently at 1.3490 [3]. - Key support levels are identified at 1.3460-1.3440 (50% Fibonacci retracement, 100-day and 200-day moving averages) and 1.3400-1.3390 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) [3]. - Resistance levels are seen at 1.3490-1.3500 (100-day moving average, static level), 1.3540 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement), and 1.3600 (static level, round number) [3]. Economic Overview - The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the Q2 GDP annualized growth rate to 3.3%, lower than the initial estimate of 3% and market expectations of 3.1% [5]. - Initial jobless claims decreased from 234,000 to 229,000, slightly better than the market expectation of 230,000 [5]. - The upcoming PCE price index data for July is anticipated to show an overall annual inflation rate stabilizing at 2.6%, with core PCE expected to rise by 0.3% month-over-month [5].

Group 1 - The yield on U.S. Treasury bonds showed a divergence on August 28, with long-term yields declining and short-term yields rising, resulting in a narrowing of the yield curve. The 10-year Treasury yield fell over 2 basis points to 4.21%, while the 2-year yield rose nearly 3 basis points to 3.64%, leading to a 5 basis point reduction in the spread between the two to 57 basis points [1] - The U.S. Department of Commerce revised the annual growth rate of real GDP for Q2 2025 to 3.3%, an upward adjustment of 0.3 percentage points from initial estimates. In Q1, the real GDP decreased by 0.5% [1] - The growth in Q2 real GDP was primarily driven by a reduction in imports and an increase in consumer spending, although declines in investment and exports partially offset these gains [1] Group 2 - The actual final sales to domestic purchasers, which includes consumer spending and private fixed investment, increased by 1.9% in Q2, revised up by 0.7 percentage points from initial estimates [1] - The domestic purchasing power parity index rose by 1.8%, revised down by 0.1 percentage points from initial estimates, while the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index increased by 2.0%, also revised down by 0.1 percentage points [1] - Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index rose by 2.5%, consistent with previous expectations [1]

Economic Growth - The U.S. economy expanded at a faster pace than initially estimated in the second quarter, with a real GDP growth rate of 3.3% annualized, up from the preliminary estimate of 3% [1] - Net exports contributed nearly 5 percentage points to GDP, marking a historical high, contrasting with the previous quarter when net exports had a negative impact on GDP [1] Corporate Investment and GDI - The Gross Domestic Income (GDI) surged by 4.8% in the second quarter after a 0.2% increase in the first quarter, indicating a strong rebound in economic activity [1] - Corporate profits, which are included in GDI data, increased by 1.7% in the second quarter following the largest decline since 2020 in the first quarter [2] Labor Market - Initial claims for unemployment benefits decreased by 5,000 to 229,000, indicating that employers are retaining existing employees despite economic uncertainties [2] - The labor market remains resilient, with a focus on upcoming employment data from the ISM Purchasing Managers Index, ADP private employment data, and the U.S. non-farm payroll report [2] Federal Reserve Outlook - Signs of a cooling labor market have become a focal point for Federal Reserve officials, with expectations that the Fed may lower interest rates in the upcoming policy meeting [3]