11月16日，人们在日本东京的一家二手服饰店选购。日本内阁府17日发布的初步统计结果显示，日本三 季度实际国内生产总值(GDP)按年率计算下降1.8%。 ...

新华社北京11月17日电 日本内阁府17日发布的初步统计结果显示，日本三季度实际国内生产总值 （GDP）按年率计算下降1.8%。（完） ...

Group 1 - The U.S. federal government shutdown has ended, but many federal employees are still facing disruptions in their work and pay [1][2] - Approximately 1.4 million federal workers were either furloughed or working without pay during the shutdown, and the timeline for receiving back pay varies by agency [1][3] - The temporary funding bill signed by President Trump only provides enough support for most government departments until January, raising concerns about potential future shutdowns [1][2] Group 2 - The shutdown has severely impacted the U.S. safety net programs, particularly affecting around 42 million Americans relying on food stamps [3] - The release of economic data was paused during the shutdown, including the monthly employment reports for September and October, and the initial GDP estimate for Q3 [3] - The U.S. airport system experienced significant disruptions due to a shortage of over 3,000 air traffic controllers, which may continue even after the government reopens [2]

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown is significantly impacting various sectors, particularly aviation, with warnings of potential disasters during the upcoming Thanksgiving travel season [2][3][4]. Impact on Aviation - The shutdown has led to severe shortages of air traffic controllers, resulting in over 6,000 flight delays and more than 1,000 cancellations on October 30 alone [2][4]. - Vice President Kamala Harris and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg have expressed concerns that if the shutdown continues into late November, air traffic could face catastrophic disruptions [3][4]. - Major airlines, including Delta and United, are urging Congress to pass a clean continuing resolution to restore government operations and alleviate pressure on the aviation system [4]. Economic Consequences - The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that the shutdown is costing the U.S. economy approximately $7 billion per month, with losses that cannot be recovered once the government reopens [2][5]. - In the first four weeks of the shutdown, businesses contracted with the federal government have incurred losses of about $12 billion, with small businesses losing around $3 billion weekly [5]. - The CBO has projected that if the shutdown lasts four weeks, the U.S. GDP could decline by $7 billion, with potential losses escalating to $14 billion if it extends to eight weeks [6]. Data Release Delays - The shutdown has caused delays in the release of key economic data, including GDP, employment, trade, and retail sales figures, hindering decision-making for policymakers and businesses [5]. - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the lack of data could necessitate a more cautious approach in upcoming monetary policy meetings [5]. State-Level Responses - Maryland's governor declared a state of emergency to address the economic impacts of the shutdown and to support residents affected by the disruptions [6].

Core Points - Germany's GDP showed zero growth in the third quarter of this year, indicating a sluggish economic performance [1] - Fixed capital investment increased, but a decline in foreign trade exports negatively impacted the overall economic performance [1] Economic Performance - The German economy experienced a stagnant growth rate in Q3, with GDP remaining unchanged compared to the previous quarter [1] - The increase in fixed capital investment suggests some level of domestic economic activity, but it was not sufficient to offset the downturn in exports [1]

Core Points - The U.S. Congressional Budget Office (CBO) warns that the government shutdown has caused at least $18 billion in economic losses, with potential for further increases in the coming weeks [1] - The CBO estimates that 70 to 140 million dollars of the GDP impact will be permanent, depending on the duration of the shutdown [2] Economic Impact - The CBO reports that the GDP for the fourth quarter has already decreased by at least 1% due to the shutdown [2] - If the shutdown lasts six weeks, the GDP growth could be reduced by 1.5%, equating to a loss of $28 billion [2] - An eight-week shutdown could lead to a 2% decrease in actual GDP, resulting in a loss of $39 billion [2] Employment Effects - Approximately 650,000 federal employees have been furloughed due to the shutdown, which could increase the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points in October, marking the largest monthly increase since the pandemic began [3]

Core Viewpoint - Brunei's GDP for Q2 2025 shows a slight decline of 0.3% year-on-year, primarily due to a contraction in the non-oil and gas sector despite a growth of 1.5% in the oil and gas industry [1] Economic Performance - Brunei's GDP at constant prices for Q2 2025 is 4.63 billion Brunei dollars, down from 4.65 billion Brunei dollars in the same quarter last year [1] - The oil and gas sector accounts for 49.5% of GDP, while the non-oil sector makes up 50.5% [1] Sector Analysis - The oil and gas industry experienced a growth of 1.5% due to increased production from new and existing oil wells [1] - The non-oil sector contracted by 1.8%, with significant declines in various industries: - Financial services decreased by 15.3% due to lower bank revenues from global interest rate declines [1] - Other manufacturing fell by 24.9%, attributed to the completion of major oil and gas maintenance projects [1] - Wholesale and retail trade declined by 3.7% due to weak consumer demand [1] - Business services, particularly IT programming, also saw a downturn [1] Contribution by Sector - The industrial sector remains dominant, contributing 62.9% to the economy, while the services sector accounts for 35.8% and agriculture, forestry, and fisheries make up 1.4% [1] Expenditure Perspective - Government spending increased by 12%, but net exports, household consumption, and investments all experienced declines [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article provides an overview of China's GDP calculations for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting growth rates across various sectors and the overall economic performance compared to previous periods [2][4]. GDP Overview - China's GDP for Q3 2025 is estimated at 35,450 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.8% and a growth of 5.2% for the first three quarters [2]. - The primary industry shows a growth of 4.0%, while the secondary industry grows at 4.2%, and the tertiary industry leads with a growth of 5.4% [2]. Sector Performance - The agricultural sector (including agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery) has a GDP of 28,401 billion yuan, growing by 4.1% year-on-year [2]. - The manufacturing sector shows a robust growth of 6.3%, with a GDP of 84,866 billion yuan [2]. - The construction industry, however, faces a decline with a growth rate of -2.3% [2]. - The financial sector grows by 5.2%, contributing 26,789 billion yuan to the GDP [2]. - The information transmission, software, and IT services sector exhibits significant growth at 11.7% [2]. Historical Context - The article compares the current GDP growth rates with historical data, indicating a recovery trend from the pandemic lows in 2020, where Q1 saw a decline of -6.8% [4][6]. - The GDP growth rates for 2023 are projected to be 4.7% in Q1, 6.5% in Q2, and 5.0% in Q3, indicating a stable economic recovery [4]. Calculation Methodology - The GDP is calculated using the production method, which reflects the value added by various sectors after deducting intermediate consumption [8][9]. - The article outlines the three methods of GDP calculation: production, income, and expenditure, emphasizing the production method as the basis for the quarterly GDP data [8][9]. Data Quality and Release - The article discusses the importance of data quality in GDP calculations, ensuring that the statistics accurately reflect economic conditions [35][36]. - Quarterly GDP data is released approximately 15 days after the end of the quarter, with final revisions published in January of the following year [39][41].

Core Points - The preliminary GDP results for the third quarter of 2025 indicate a GDP of 354,500 billion with a year-on-year growth of 4.8% and a growth of 5.2% for the first three quarters [8][5][4] - The primary industry grew by 4.0%, the secondary industry by 4.2%, and the tertiary industry by 5.4% in the third quarter [8][5] - The manufacturing sector showed a robust growth of 6.3%, while the construction industry faced a decline of 2.3% [8][5] GDP Growth Rates - Year-on-year growth rates for GDP from 2020 to 2025 show fluctuations, with 2025 projected to have a growth of 5.4% in Q1, 5.2% in Q2, and 4.8% in Q3 [5][4] - The quarterly growth rates indicate a consistent recovery post-pandemic, with 2023 showing a growth of 4.7% in Q1 and 6.5% in Q2 [5][4] Industry Performance - The agricultural sector (including forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery) reported a growth of 4.1% in Q3 2025 [8] - The industrial sector, particularly manufacturing, continues to be a strong contributor to GDP, with a growth rate of 6.3% [8] - The financial sector also showed positive growth at 5.2%, while the real estate sector faced challenges with a slight decline of 0.2% [8] Data Sources and Methodology - The GDP data is calculated using the production method, which reflects the value added by various industries [12][11] - The classification of industries follows the national standards set by the National Bureau of Statistics, ensuring consistency in reporting [22][23] - The GDP figures are subject to revisions as more comprehensive data becomes available, ensuring accuracy in reflecting economic conditions [33][34]

Core Insights - Azerbaijan's GDP for the first nine months of 2025 reached 95.23 billion manats (56.02 billion USD), reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.3% [1] - The oil and gas sector experienced a decline of 1.9%, while the non-oil sector grew by 2.9% [1] - Per capita GDP for the same period was 9,300.3 manats (5,470.8 USD) [1] Sector Contributions - Industry accounted for 34.2% of GDP [1] - Trade and automotive repair contributed 10.5% [1] - Transportation and storage made up 7% [1] - Agriculture, forestry, and fishing represented 6.8% [1] - Construction sector contributed 6.6% [1] - Tourism, accommodation, and catering accounted for 2.8% [1] - Information and communication sector comprised 1.8% [1] - Other industries collectively made up 20.7% [1]