证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 07 06 年 月 日 纺织服饰 周专题：服饰重点公司 2025Q2 业绩前瞻 【本周专题】 H 股运动鞋服：2025Q2 流水增速较 Q1 放缓，整体运营情况稳健。2025 年以来 运动鞋服公司终端保持较为稳健的流水趋势，进入 Q2 以来我们判断由于消费环境 的波动 Q2 板块公司整体的流水增速或弱于 Q1。从营运层面看，截至 2025Q2 末 我们预计各运动品牌库销比基本仍在 5 左右的位置，整体保持稳健水平。结合上 半年经营情况，我们预计安踏体育 2025H1 收入增长 10%+，公司经营利润率或 有下降；我们预计李宁 2025H1 收入持平左右，归母净利润预计同比下降 20%； 我们预计特步国际 2025H1 可持续业务收入增长 5%左右，归母净利润同比增长 10%左右；我们预计 361 度 2025H1 收入增长 10%~15%，归母净利润同比增长 10%~15%。 A 股品牌服饰：终端零售平稳，个股业绩分化。我们根据行业情况判断：收入规模 难以增长的公司业绩表现压力较大，而终端表现健康、积极管控费用的部分公司 业绩同比或有增长。我们根 ...

每日金句 消费赛道未来只有两端有好机会：一个是最高端，最高端在未来永远有商机； 另一端是高性价比，给广大老百姓提供价廉物美的产品和服务，有市场。处在 腰部部的品牌面临的挑战会非常大。 朱啸虎 | 金沙江创投董事总经理 报名 黑马 「消费重构精选课」 国内首场，汇聚中日消费领域顶尖实战派导师 ，用 3天时间沉浸式拆解中日消费巨头方法论。 我们邀请到了 三浦展本人、 萨莉亚前社长、明治食品"爆款教父" ，现场面授 日本30年周期 经验到中国本土化路径 ， 教你效率革命、需求重构、资本破局。 费用： 原价 12800元/人，早鸟价9800元 /人 （仅限7月15日前） 活动详情如下 ↓↓↓ 黑马营 23 期 6 课 这里认真推荐你： 地点： 上海 时间： 8月7日-8月9日 ...

2025.07. 01 本文字数：1520，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财 经 齐琦 沪上一位交易人士告诉记者，今年来，受金价大涨、消费升级、港股回暖等多重因素共振，老铺黄金 股价持续冲高。但当前该股市盈率（PE）已达到109倍，远超周大福（22倍）、老凤祥（8倍）等 同行业个股，溢价显著，后期估值或面临修正。 高位加仓，多只基金"顶格"持有 截至2025年一季度末，老铺黄金的公募持仓呈现明显分化态势。 富国基金以158.86万股(持股市值10.69亿元)居持仓榜首，较2024年末大幅增持113.75万股。该公 司名下富国消费精选30A在上涨中加仓，一季度增持6.31万股，持股数增至至51.07万股。 老铺黄金（06181.HK）股价持续冲高，公募基金持仓两极分化。 7月1日，老铺黄金股价再刷新高，收报1008港元/股，涨幅14.9%，盘中最高触及1035港元/股。 年初至今，老铺黄金累计涨幅已经高达321.5%。 老铺黄金上市以来，吸引了不少基金进场建仓。但随着股价一路上扬，既有基金重仓押注甚至触及持 仓上限，也有基金趁高落袋，或直接清仓离场。 第一财经据Wind统计，截至一季度末，17家公募基金的4 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Laopu Gold (06181.HK) has been rising significantly, leading to a divergence in public fund holdings, with some funds aggressively increasing their positions while others are cashing out or reducing their stakes [1][3][12]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On July 1, Laopu Gold's stock price reached a new high of 1008 HKD per share, with a 14.9% increase, and has seen a year-to-date rise of 321.5% [2][3]. - The stock's dynamic PE ratio has reached 68 times, significantly higher than competitors such as Chow Tai Fook (22 times) and Lao Feng Xiang (8 times), indicating a notable premium and potential for valuation correction [3][12]. Group 2: Fund Holdings - As of the end of Q1 2025, 17 public funds held a total of 46 funds heavily invested in Laopu Gold, with 2 funds increasing their holdings, 10 reducing, and 34 entering as new heavy investors [3][11]. - The top holder, Fortune Fund, increased its holdings by 113.75 thousand shares to 158.86 thousand shares, with a market value of 1.069 billion HKD [4][5]. - In contrast, GF Fund reduced its holdings by 19.61 thousand shares, maintaining a position of 73.13 thousand shares, with a market value of 491 million HKD [6][11]. Group 3: Fund Performance - Funds heavily invested in Laopu Gold have shown strong performance, with some, like Xin Ao You Xiang Life A, increasing nearly 50% year-to-date, while others like GF Value Core A and Southern Hong Kong Growth have risen by 37.86% and 36.91%, respectively [8][12]. - A significant number of funds have begun to reduce their positions, with 10 funds heavily invested in Laopu Gold in Q1 significantly cutting back in Q2, indicating a shift in sentiment [10][11]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The divergence in fund holdings reflects differing views on Laopu Gold's valuation, with some funds adopting a "step-by-step profit-taking" strategy amid concerns over high valuations and potential market corrections [9][12]. - The market's future direction will depend on Laopu Gold's ability to sustain high growth rates to justify its elevated valuation, especially in light of potential fluctuations in gold prices and consumer recovery [12].

Group 1 - The event "Yue Jin Zhong Yuan, Yu Jian Mei Li" was held in Zhengzhou on June 28, facilitating the sales connection between Guangdong lychee and the Central Plains market [4][6][7] - The event aims to create an efficient platform for production and sales matching, enhancing agricultural cooperation between Guangdong and Henan provinces, and promoting regional economic development [6][7] - The event attracted significant participation, with a total of 102,000 visitors and a sales intention contract amount exceeding 5 million yuan [13][29] Group 2 - The "2025 Guangdong-Qian Cooperation to Assist Farmers and Promote Consumption" event took place in Guizhou, showcasing high-quality lychee from Huizhou, which gained popularity among local consumers [12][24][26] - The event resulted in a total visitor count of 102,000 and a sales intention contract amount exceeding 5 million yuan, indicating strong market interest [13][29] - The collaboration between Guangdong and Guizhou aims to benefit farmers and enhance local agricultural products' market presence [27][28]

三是头部酒企正通过模式创新来应对周期压力，通过场景转型、客群转型、拓展白酒文化体验等寻找新的增长点。 今天上午，白酒板块迎来反弹，皇台酒业等个股涨幅居前。 最近市场对于白酒股的讨论较多，综合机构观点，白酒行业当前具有以下特征： 一是价格端压力大于量的压力。 二是大部分企业短期业绩表现愈发依赖于核心市场的市占率提升，且愈发依赖于腰部及以下单品驱动。 四是白酒商品属性正在加速重塑，其快消品属性强化，能够提前适应快消品运作逻辑的企业竞争优势愈发凸显。 中信建投表示，当前，白酒板块估值已经回落到历史低位，安全边际明显提升，而酒企通过提高分红率、回购注销股本等措施加大股东回报，或通过大股东 增持、回购用于员工持股或股权激励等方式提升内部动力，实现公司治理的有效提升。白酒行业高盈利能力、高自由现金流、高品牌价值的属性并未出现明 显改变。 机构建议投资者聚焦三类优质标的，静待需求回暖。一是品牌突出的酒企：品牌强、估值低、需求稳、竞争格局清晰。二是区域优质运营企业：市场根基 深，运营精细化，净利率有提升空间。三是具备较大成长潜力的蓄力型公司。 与白酒股表现形成鲜明对比的是，今年以来新消费赛道成为市场的主线之一，美妆、IP经济 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the rapid growth and challenges faced by the card game company, 卡游, which is attempting a second listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with projected revenue exceeding 10 billion yuan in 2024 [1] - 卡游's revenue structure is heavily reliant on licensed products, and the company has been experiencing continuous losses during the reporting period, raising concerns about its sustainability [1] - The company’s main products include collectible trading cards, figurines, and stationery, with collectible cards being the most recognized, particularly those featuring popular IPs like Ultraman [1] Group 2 - Reports indicate that students have spent exorbitant amounts on cards, with one student reportedly spending nearly 100,000 yuan in six months, and some parents spending up to 2 million yuan without completing their collections [2] - The trading card market has seen speculative behavior, with rare cards being sold on the black market for as much as 210,000 yuan, indicating a troubling trend of irrational consumption among minors [2] - The card drawing mechanism has been criticized for resembling gambling, potentially fostering a gambling mentality among minors [2]

| | 研究院副副 | 福岡市 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 15:0 | CENSE CORPI | | | | | | | | | EMIS 9制的 | 000558880 | | | 智能在线网址：彩金利用网登录登录 彩票网址官网 | | | GIOULE GAMERS O | | A | 1805 | 0351 1950 374,2500 | | | | | | | | 2017 | 品番組 | CEO TRUD | | | | | | | | 25-32 | TERE | CBS33355 | | CATALOW | | | | | | | 加 | SED. JA229 | | | | | | | | | 品是本站 | 503 1000 | | | | | | | | | 113 | 289 920.00 | | 05 00 11 | | | | | | પાટ ગુ | 118248 | 22500 | | | | | | | | | 800 | SERVE | | GENERA ...

轻工制造 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 造 TMT 系列之三十一暨空间智能系列之 一》 2025/03/21 《从乐舒适招股书看非洲个护市场星辰大 海——个护行业深度》 2025/03/12 《供需格局延续改善，中长期盈利向上- 2025 年春季造纸行业投资策略》 2025/03/10 证券分析师 庞盈盈 A0230522060003 pangyy@swsresearch.com 屠亦婷 A0230512080003 tuyt@swsresearch.com 黄莎 A0230522010002 huangsha@swsresearch.com 张海涛 A0230524080003 zhanght@swsresearch.com 张文静 A0230524120005 zhangwj@swsresearch.com 魏雨辰 A0230525010001 weiyc@swsresearch.com 联系人 魏雨辰 (8621)23297818× weiyc@swsresearch.com 2025 年 06 月 03 日 持续关注电子烟、宠物用品、AI 眼 镜等新消费赛道及高股息品种 看好 ——造纸轻工周报 2025 ...

本资料所引用的观点、分析及预测仅为个人观点，是其在目前特定市场情况下并基于一定的假设条件下 的分析和判断，并不意味着适合今后所有的市场状况，相关指数、行业等的过往表现不代表未来表现， 也不代表本公司旗下基金的业绩表现，不构成对阅读者的投资建议。基金过往业绩不代表未来表现，基 金管理人管理的其他基金的过往投资业绩不预示基金的未来表现。过去持仓不代表现在持仓，也不代表 未来持仓预测，不作为投资建议。投资有风险，投资需谨慎。您在做出投资决策之前，请仔细阅读基金 合同、基金招募说明书和基金产品资料概要等产品法律文件和本风险揭示书，充分认识基金的风险收益 特征和产品特性，认真考虑基金存在的各项风险因素，并根据自身的投资目的、投资期限、投资经验、 资产状况等因素充分考虑自身的风险承受能力，在了解产品情况及销售适当性意见的基础上，理性判断 并谨慎做出投资决策。本资料不构成本公司任何业务的投资建议或保证，不作为任何法律文件。本公司 或本公司相关机构、雇员或代理人不对任何人使用此全部或部分内容的行为或由此而引致的任何损失承 担任何责任。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 3）红利资产：政策强化分红、利率处于较低水平仍是未 ...