"生命表"是保险产品定价的重要基础工具。国家金融监督管理总局日前发文明确，中国人身保险业经验 生命表（2025）（即"第四套生命表"）将自明年1月1日起实施。业界普遍认为，在生命表切换后，更能 真实反映中国人口死亡率下降而预期寿命总体延长的数据变化趋势，有利于提升产品定价精准度，但年 金保险仍面临日益增长的长寿（管理）风险管理压力。 "金融监管总局发布的（中国人身保险）的第四套生命表实施在即。用好生命表，未来无论定期寿险还 是终身寿险的定价风险都不大。但需要关注的是，以养老年金保险为代表的生存风险保障类险种在'长 寿（管理）风险'面前，定价难题可能不降反增。" 原银保监会副主席、全国社保基金理事会原副理事长陈文辉近日在"第二届长寿风险与资本市场解决方 案大会"上表达了上述观点。 "比如，现在一款年金产品按照参保人预期寿命80岁来定价，但再过十年、二十年，随着医疗科技进 步，参保人可能活到了100岁。"陈文辉表示，前述人口实际寿命超过预期寿命所带来的财务风险，也即 所谓的"长寿风险"。随着中国人口预期寿命的延长和人口老龄化程度的快速加深，如何有效识别与管 理"长寿风险"，事关养老保险第三支柱的长期发展。 年金保 ...

中国商业年金保费收入占整个人身险市场份额的比重长期低于6%。 "金融监管总局发布的（中国人身保险）的第四套生命表实施在即。用好生命表，未来无论定期寿险还 是终身寿险的定价风险都不大。但需要关注的是，以养老年金保险为代表的生存风险保障类险种在'长 寿（管理）风险'面前，定价难题可能不降反增。" 原银保监会副主席、全国社保基金理事会原副理事长陈文辉近日在"第二届长寿风险与资本市场解决方 案大会"上表达了上述观点。 "生命表"是保险产品定价的重要基础工具。国家金融监督管理总局日前发文明确，中国人身保险业经验 生命表（2025）（即"第四套生命表"）将自明年1月1日起实施。业界普遍认为，在生命表切换后，更能 真实反映中国人口死亡率下降而预期寿命总体延长的数据变化趋势，有利于提升产品定价精准度，但年 金保险仍面临日益增长的长寿（管理）风险管理压力。 "比如，现在一款年金产品按照参保人预期寿命80岁来定价，但再过十年、二十年，随着医疗科技进 步，参保人可能活到了100岁。"陈文辉表示，前述人口实际寿命超过预期寿命所带来的财务风险，也即 所谓的"长寿风险"。随着中国人口预期寿命的延长和人口老龄化程度的快速加深，如何有效识别 ...

Core Insights - The release of the "China Life Insurance Industry Experience Life Table (2025)" marks a significant shift in the life insurance sector, reflecting profound changes in population structure and longevity trends, which directly impact industry development logic [1][2][3] Group 1: Life Table Updates - The new life table will be implemented starting January 1, 2026, and represents a comprehensive coverage of industry data, significantly improving data processing efficiency [1] - The introduction of artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies allows for a more scientific and precise depiction of mortality rates and life expectancy [1] - The updated life table indicates a transition to a longevity era in China, with a general decline in mortality rates and an increase in life expectancy, highlighting improvements in healthcare and living standards [1] Group 2: Industry Transformation - The update of the life table is a crucial milestone for the transformation of the life insurance industry, as it shifts focus from sales-driven competition to actuarial capabilities, risk management, and product quality [2] - The new life table will influence product pricing structures, with declining mortality rates allowing for potential price reductions in death benefit products, while increased longevity may raise costs for annuities and pension products [2] - The life table's release necessitates a rethinking of product development logic, emphasizing the growing demand for chronic disease management, rehabilitation care, and long-term care solutions [2] Group 3: Regulatory and Governance Implications - Accompanying regulatory notifications outline the requirements for using the life table in rate determination, reserve assessments, and dividend distribution, establishing a strict retrospective mechanism [3] - These institutional arrangements aim to enhance industry governance, mitigate long-term risks, and improve the sustainability of product guarantees [3] - The life table's update encourages the industry to redefine its responsibilities, focusing on comprehensive risk management throughout the life cycle and supporting national efforts to address aging populations [3]

Core Insights - The release of the "2025 Experience Life Table" marks a significant milestone for the life insurance industry in China, transitioning from price competition to a focus on data accumulation, risk identification, and actuarial capabilities [1][2][3] Industry Overview - The new life table is based on nearly a decade of comprehensive policy data, making it the largest sample size in the global insurance market, and aims to reflect the current and future survival and mortality probabilities of the insured population [2][3] - The life table indicates a continuous increase in life expectancy, with an approximate rise of 10 years compared to the first life table, and shows significant improvements in child mortality rates and reductions in mortality rates in economically underdeveloped regions [3][4] Regulatory Framework - The Financial Regulatory Bureau has issued guidelines for the application of the new life table, emphasizing the need for insurance companies to scientifically and accurately set insurance liabilities and offer diverse, high-quality insurance products [4][5] Pricing Impact - The new life table introduces a dual-track pricing model that combines industry benchmarks with company-specific experience, allowing for differentiated and scientific management of insurance products [7][8] - The expected decrease in mortality rates for term life insurance products may lead to lower premiums, while products like annuities and pensions may see an increase in rates due to longer life expectancies [7][8] Risk Management Enhancements - The introduction of a "mortality deviation assessment mechanism" requires insurance companies to evaluate the potential deviations in mortality rates and implement a retrospective mechanism to optimize actuarial models [8][9] - This dynamic risk management process will necessitate increased investment in actuarial models, data systems, and professional talent to enhance decision-making capabilities [8][9]

Core Insights - The release of the "2025 Experience Life Table" marks a significant milestone for the life insurance industry in China, transitioning from price competition to a focus on data accumulation, risk identification, and actuarial capabilities [1][3][4] Industry Developments - The new life table will be implemented starting January 1, 2026, and is expected to enhance risk management and operational stability within the industry, leading to a more mature and sustainable market ecosystem [1][3] - The fourth life table reflects changes in mortality rates and life expectancy, with a notable increase of approximately 10 years in life expectancy compared to the first life table [4][5] Data and Methodology - The fourth life table is based on nearly a decade's worth of comprehensive policy data, making it the largest sample size in the global insurance market [3] - It includes four categories of tables: pension-related, non-pension type one, non-pension type two, and a single life table, which is a first in using individual identification numbers for mortality research [7][8] Pricing and Risk Management - The introduction of the new life table is expected to lead to more precise pricing and risk management, reducing the risk of "death loss" and improving the financial foundation of insurance companies [4][9] - The notification mandates that insurance companies must consider both the new life table and their own experience data when determining product rates, leading to differentiated pricing strategies [9][11] Regulatory Framework - The notification introduces a "mortality deviation assessment mechanism," requiring companies to evaluate potential deviations in mortality rates and establish a retrievable mechanism for regular assessments [11][12] - The regulatory body emphasizes the importance of enhancing data governance and protecting consumer rights while ensuring the effective application of the new life table [12]

Core Insights - The fourth set of life tables, released by the China Actuarial Association, indicates an increase in life expectancy, a decrease in child mortality rates, and a reduction in mortality rates in underdeveloped regions, which will directly impact insurance product pricing [2][5]. Group 1: Life Table Overview - The fourth set of life tables is a significant update since the third set was published in 2016, reflecting nearly a decade of data collection from the insurance industry [2][5]. - The new life tables will be officially implemented starting January 1, 2026, and are based on comprehensive historical policy data, making them a crucial tool for pricing, reserve assessment, and risk management in the insurance sector [4][5]. Group 2: Key Characteristics of the New Life Table - The fourth life table shows three notable trends: an increase in life expectancy by approximately 10 years compared to the first life table, significant improvement in child mortality rates across all age groups, and a marked decrease in mortality rates in economically underdeveloped areas [5]. - The changes in the life table reflect the advancements in China's economic and social development, as well as improvements in healthcare [5]. Group 3: Impact on Insurance Pricing - The updated life tables will enable insurance companies to set more precise insurance product pricing and risk management strategies, thereby reducing the "death difference loss" risk and better managing longevity risk [8][10]. - Different types of insurance products will be affected variably by the new life tables; for instance, term life and whole life insurance products may see a decrease in pricing due to lower mortality rates, while annuity products may face price increases due to longer expected payout periods [10]. Group 4: Product Innovation and Market Dynamics - The release of the new life tables is expected to drive product innovation in the insurance industry, particularly in response to the aging population and the need for diverse retirement financial solutions [8][10]. - The transition period before the implementation of the new life tables may lead to a surge in sales of certain insurance products, such as whole life and annuity products, as companies adjust to the new pricing structures [10].

Core Insights - The release of the "2025 Life Table" by the China Actuarial Association marks a significant update in nearly a decade, reflecting improvements in life expectancy and mortality rates among different demographics [1][2][3] Group 1: Life Table Overview - The new life table is based on nearly ten years of comprehensive insurance policy data, making it the largest sample size in the global insurance market [2] - The fourth life table shows a notable increase in life expectancy, with an approximate rise of 10 years compared to the first life table [2][3] - Child mortality rates have significantly improved, particularly among younger age groups, and mortality rates in economically underdeveloped regions have decreased [2][3] Group 2: Impact on Insurance Pricing - The updated life table will influence insurance product pricing, allowing companies to set more accurate premiums based on refined mortality data [4][5] - Different types of insurance products will utilize specific life tables, leading to varied pricing outcomes; for instance, term life and whole life insurance may see lower costs due to decreased mortality rates, while annuity products may face price increases due to longer expected payout periods [5][6] - The life table update is expected to drive product innovation, particularly in the areas of retirement and long-term care insurance, to better meet the needs of an aging population [4][6]

Core Viewpoint - The release of the fourth mortality table for the life insurance industry in China reflects a significant update in mortality rates and life expectancy, impacting premium pricing for various insurance products [3][6][9]. Group 1: Release of the Fourth Mortality Table - The China Actuarial Society officially released the "China Life Insurance Experience Mortality Table (2025)" on October 29, marking the fourth version since the last update in 2016 [3][4]. - The new mortality table is based on nearly ten years of comprehensive policy data, making it the largest sample size in the global insurance market [5][6]. Group 2: Changes in Mortality Rates and Life Expectancy - Compared to the previous table, the fourth mortality table shows a decrease in mortality rates by approximately 20% to 30% and an increase in life expectancy by about 2 years [8][9]. - The average life expectancy in China is projected to reach 79 years by 2024, up from 76.34 years in 2015, reflecting improvements in healthcare and living standards [6]. Group 3: Impact on Insurance Premiums - The decline in mortality rates is expected to lower premiums for term life insurance products, while premiums for annuity products may rise due to increased life expectancy [9][10]. - The actual impact on premiums will vary by company, as pricing strategies will also consider market conditions, interest rates, and other factors beyond the mortality table [10]. Group 4: Regulatory Guidelines - The notification accompanying the new mortality table outlines specific requirements for its application, including the need for insurance companies to use the table in determining minimum statutory reserves for various insurance products [8][12]. - Insurance companies are required to establish a review mechanism to ensure the accuracy of their actuarial models and to report any significant deviations in mortality rates [12].

Core Viewpoint - The release of the "2025 Experience Life Table" by the China Actuarial Association marks a significant update in the life insurance industry, reflecting changes in population life expectancy and mortality rates, which will lead to profound transformations in insurance product design and pricing [1][3][5]. Group 1: Life Table Overview - The 2025 version of the life table includes various tables for pension and non-pension businesses, serving as a crucial tool for pricing, reserve assessment, and risk management in the insurance sector [3][5]. - The life table indicates a 10-year increase in average life expectancy since the first version, alongside a significant reduction in child mortality rates, showcasing improvements in healthcare and social governance [3][5][6]. Group 2: Impact on Insurance Products - The updated life table will provide essential data for designing more scientifically sound insurance products, particularly in the areas of pension and death risk coverage [6][7]. - The life table's insights will allow insurance companies to better meet the evolving needs of consumers, especially in terms of retirement and death risk products [6][7]. Group 3: Pricing Implications - The decrease in mortality rates and increase in life expectancy suggest potential reductions in premiums for life insurance products, while pension products may see price increases due to extended payout periods [7][8]. - The actual adjustments in premiums will depend on various factors, including company strategies and market conditions, leading to a structural differentiation in pricing across different insurance products [7][8]. Group 4: Regulatory Framework - The Financial Regulatory Authority has issued guidelines to ensure the proper use of the life table, aiming to protect consumer rights and promote healthy industry development [9][10]. - The guidelines will enforce standards for premium determination, reserve assessments, and dividend distributions, ensuring fairness and transparency in the insurance market [10]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The industry is looking towards the future with advancements in artificial intelligence, which may allow for real-time adjustments in insurance premiums based on individual risk profiles [11]. - This shift towards more personalized and fair pricing models reflects the ongoing evolution of the insurance landscape, driven by technological advancements and data analytics [11].

Core Viewpoint - The release of the "2025 Experience Life Table" by the China Actuarial Society marks a significant update in the life insurance industry, reflecting changes in population life expectancy and mortality rates, which will influence product design and pricing in the insurance sector [1][4][10]. Group 1: Life Table Overview - The 2025 version of the life table includes various tables for pension and non-pension businesses, serving as a crucial tool for pricing, reserve assessment, and risk management in insurance [4][6]. - The life table indicates a continuous increase in life expectancy, with the fourth version showing an approximate 10-year increase compared to the first version [4][6]. - Improvements in child mortality rates and reduced mortality in economically underdeveloped regions highlight the success of national strategies like poverty alleviation and rural revitalization [4][6]. Group 2: Impact on Insurance Products - The updated life table will provide essential data for designing more scientifically sound insurance products, particularly in pension and death risk coverage [6][10]. - The introduction of the single life table allows for more personalized product pricing and risk assessment, enabling insurance companies to better meet consumer needs [6][10]. - The anticipated changes in mortality rates suggest potential decreases in premiums for life insurance products, while pension products may see an increase due to extended payout periods [8][9]. Group 3: Regulatory Framework - The Financial Regulatory Authority has issued a notification to guide the use of the new life table, emphasizing the need for prudent assessment of mortality rates and fair distribution of dividends [11][12]. - The notification aims to enhance the actuarial responsibilities of insurance companies, ensuring that they effectively utilize the life table for risk management and consumer protection [12]. - Future developments may include real-time adjustments to individual risk rates based on advanced AI models, promoting fairness in insurance pricing [12][13].