证券研究报告 | 2026年03月02日 金融工程日报 沪指震荡微涨，油气、黄金股走强 市场表现：20260302 规模指数中沪深 300 指数表现较好，板块指数中上证 综指表现较好，风格指数中中证 500 价值指数表现较好。石油石化、煤炭、 有色金属、国防军工、通信行业表现较好，传媒、消费者服务、计算机、综 合金融、综合行业表现较差。黄金精选、油气开采、高送转、页岩气、可燃 冰等概念表现较好，小程序、WEB3.0、虚拟人、医保支付改革、互联网营 销等概念表现较差。 市场情绪：20260302 收盘时有 98 只股票涨停，有 24 只股票跌停。昨日涨 停股票今日收盘收益为 2.56%，昨日跌停股票今日收盘收益为-4.94%。今日 封板率 74%，较前日下降 4%，连板率 28%，较前日提升 8%。 市场资金流向：截至 20260227 两融余额为 26692 亿元，其中融资余额 26519 亿元，融券余额 173 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.5%，两融 交易占市场成交额比重为 9.7%。 折溢价：20260227 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是中证 500ETF 中银证券，ETF 折价较多的是光伏 ETF ...

Market Performance - The A-share market opened positively in the Year of the Horse, with major indices showing significant gains, including the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.87% to close at 4117.41 points and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.36% to 14291.57 points [2][4] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.2 trillion yuan, an increase of 219.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, indicating a strong market sentiment [6] Sector Analysis - The top-performing sectors included Oil & Petrochemicals, which rose by 5.53%, and Building Materials, which increased by 3.71% [3] - Conversely, sectors such as Media and Computer experienced declines, with the Media sector dropping by 3.20% [3] - Notable concept stocks included Combustible Ice and Cultivated Diamonds, which saw significant gains, while MLOps and AI Corpus concepts faced declines [4][3] Future Outlook - The report indicates a positive outlook for the A-share market, supported by strong performance in oil and gas stocks, chemical sectors, and precious metals [4] - The market is expected to benefit from favorable macroeconomic policies and the upcoming Two Sessions, which historically lead to a high probability of index increases post-Spring Festival [6] - Analysts suggest focusing on sectors such as dividends, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), and power equipment for potential investment opportunities [6]

二、强势概念板块 根据A股概念涨跌幅与所对应的股票池综合分析，涨幅靠前的三个概念板块分别为：可燃冰、培育钻石与草甘膦。排名前10位的概念板块相关数据见下表： | 概念名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | 涨停成分股占比(%) | 上涨成分股占比(%) | 下跌成分股占比(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 可燃冰 | 7.38 | 28.57 | 100.0 | 0.0 | | 培育钻石 | 6.16 | 16.67 | 94.44 | 5.56 | | 草甘脾 | 5.56 | 11.11 | 100.0 | 0.0 | | 钛白粉概念 | 5.47 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | | 页岩气 | 5.34 | 12.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | | 磷化工 | 5.18 | 20.69 | 93.1 | 6.9 | | 金属铝 | 4.93 | 13.16 | 97.37 | 2.63 | | 俄乌冲突概念 | 4.89 | 20.55 | 97.26 | 2.74 | | 化肥 | 4.52 | 12.5 | 97.22 | 2.78 | | 金属锌 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhongyou Engineering (中油工程) experienced a limit-up closing price of 4.24 yuan on February 24, driven by geopolitical factors, ongoing overseas projects, strategic breakthroughs, and strong backing from its controlling shareholder, China National Petroleum Corporation [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock reached its limit-up at 9:34 AM and had one instance of opening the limit before closing [1] - The closing order funds amounted to 70.34 million yuan, representing 0.3% of its circulating market value [1] Group 2: Factors Influencing Stock Movement - Geopolitical catalysts include heightened tensions in the Middle East due to U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations and statements from Trump, which have boosted oil prices and improved sentiment in the oil and gas engineering sector [1] - The "Belt and Road" initiative continues to see overseas projects being signed, with contracts for oil and gas storage and transportation EPC projects in Iraq and the UAE expected before the third quarter of 2025, alongside a planned fundraising of 5.896 billion yuan for construction [1] - A strategic breakthrough was achieved with the winning bid for the Anhui compact controllable nuclear fusion experimental device assembly project, marking entry into a national strategic frontier [1] - The controlling shareholder, China National Petroleum Corporation, fully subscribed to the private placement and locked in for 36 months, demonstrating confidence in development and resource integration advantages under a state-owned enterprise background [1] Group 3: Capital Flow Analysis - On February 24, the net inflow of main funds was 87.75 million yuan, accounting for 20.88% of the total transaction amount [1] - Retail investors experienced a net outflow of 50.79 million yuan, representing 12.08% of the total transaction amount [1] - Over the past five days, the stock has been categorized as a hot stock in shale gas, oil services, and oil and gas reform concepts, with respective increases of 8.05%, 7.75%, and 6.11% in these sectors on the same day [1]

来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 2月24日，*ST新潮涨1.95%，成交额1.13亿元，换手率0.42%，总市值284.94亿元。 异动分析 天然气+俄乌冲突概念+页岩气+人民币贬值受益 2、俄乌冲突可能恶化俄罗斯油气出口前景，原油中枢或超预期。公司的主营业务为石油及天然气的勘 探、开采及销售。公司的主要产品为原油、天然气。 技术面：筹码平均交易成本为3.38元 3、2022年9月20日互动易：至2022年6月30日，公司已上线页岩油净井数达 638 口。至 2021 年度末，按 照美国 SEC 标准参数评估的已探明油气经济可采储量（P1）达 3.15亿桶油当量，其中已探明、已开 发、在生产油气储量 （PDP）占比约 52%。 4、根据2024年年报，公司海外营收占比为100.00%，受益于人民币贬值。 (免责声明：分析内容来源于互联网，不构成投资建议，请投资者根据不同行情独立判断) 资金分析 今日主力净流入-23.79万，占比0%，行业排名4/4，连续3日被主力资金减仓；所属行业主力净流入6.02 亿，当前无连续增减仓现象，主力趋势不明显。 区间今日近3日近5日近10日近20日主力净流入-23.79万-230. ...

Core Viewpoint - The article provides an objective ranking of open-end fund net values, highlighting the top-performing and underperforming funds without any subjective bias or investment advice [1]. Fund Performance Summary Top 10 Funds by Net Value Growth - The top-performing funds as of January 22, 2026, include: 1. Dongcai Economic Driver C: 1.7402, growth of 6.17% 2. Dongcai Economic Driver A: 1.7617, growth of 6.17% 3. Oriental Alpha A: 1.1234, growth of 5.96% 4. Oriental Alpha C: 1.1116, growth of 5.96% 5. GF Zhaoli Mixed C: 1.1928, growth of 5.50% 6. GF Zhaoli Mixed A: 1.2122, growth of 5.50% 7. Caitong Quality Selection C: 1.1012, growth of 5.25% 8. Caitong Quality Selection A: 1.1022, growth of 5.24% 9. Caitong Craftsmanship A: 1.6595, growth of 5.17% 10. Caitong Craftsmanship C: 1.6099, growth of 5.17% [2]. Bottom 10 Funds by Net Value Growth - The underperforming funds as of January 22, 2026, include: 1. Oriental Alpha A: 1.2083, decline of 3.22% 2. Oriental Alpha C: 1.2054, decline of 3.22% 3. Oriental Alpha A: 0.9092, decline of 3.05% 4. Oriental Alpha C: 0.9068, decline of 3.05% 5. Qianhai Kaiyuan High-end Equipment Manufacturing C: 2.3850, decline of 3.04% 6. Qianhai Kaiyuan High-end Equipment Manufacturing A: 2.3956, decline of 3.04% 7. Oriental Alpha C: 1.0837, decline of 2.96% 8. Oriental Alpha A: 1.1044, decline of 2.96% 9. Bank of China Health C: 1.6065, decline of 2.90% 10. Bank of China Health A: 1.6396, decline of 2.90% [3]. Market Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index opened high but experienced fluctuations, closing slightly up, while the ChiNext Index showed a rebound after a dip. The total trading volume reached 2.71 trillion, with a gain-loss ratio of 3577:1777 and a limit-up-limit-down ratio of 92:5. Leading sectors included aviation, building materials, and shipbuilding, each with gains exceeding 3%, while insurance, banking, and pharmaceuticals lagged behind [5]. Fund Holdings Analysis Fund with Strong Holdings - A fund with a focus on the military industry has a top ten holding concentration of 66.44%. Key stocks include China Satellite Communications, China Satellite, and Aerospace Engineering, with significant daily gains. The fund's net value has outperformed the market [6]. Fund with Weak Holdings - A fund focused on the semiconductor industry has a top ten holding concentration of 81.12%. Major holdings like Jingce Electronics and Jingzhida have seen significant declines, resulting in the fund underperforming the market [7].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a slight decline overall, with the construction materials sector standing out as a significant performer, showing a notable increase in the morning session [1][4]. Group 1: A-share Market Performance - The A-share market saw major indices decline moderately, with the construction materials sector leading the gains, rising over 3% [4]. - Key stocks in the construction materials sector included Keshun Co., which surged by 13.62%, and several others like Wanli Stone and Jiuding New Materials hitting the daily limit [4]. - Other sectors such as defense, oil and petrochemicals also saw gains exceeding 2% [5]. Group 2: ETF Market Highlights - Two Brazil-themed ETFs gained significant attention in the ETF market, both rising over 4% during the session [2][10]. - The strong performance of these ETFs is attributed to the robust performance of the Brazilian stock market, with the IBOVESPA index increasing by over 3% on January 21, 2026, and accumulating a rise of over 6% since the beginning of the year [10]. Group 3: New Stock Listing - A new stock, Guoliang New Materials, debuted in the A-share market, with its price soaring by as much as 219.14% during the morning session before retracting [14][15]. - Guoliang New Materials specializes in high-temperature industrial refractory materials and has established partnerships with several well-known steel companies [15].

Group 1 - The stock price of Yongtai Energy increased by 2.47% on January 20, reaching 1.66 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.074 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 3.02%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 36.217 billion CNY [1] - Since the beginning of the year, Yongtai Energy's stock price has risen by 5.73%, with a slight decline of 0.60% over the last five trading days, a 3.75% increase over the last 20 days, and a 0.61% increase over the last 60 days [2] - Yongtai Energy's main business segments include electricity (73.28% of revenue), coal (23.77%), and other businesses (2.95%) [2] Group 2 - As of September 30, 2025, Yongtai Energy reported a revenue of 17.728 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 20.77%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 198 million CNY, down 86.48% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 1.741 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 122 million CNY distributed over the last three years [3] - The top ten circulating shareholders of Yongtai Energy include Southern CSI 500 ETF, holding 323 million shares, a decrease of 6.6534 million shares from the previous period, and Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 258 million shares, an increase of 6.3687 million shares [3]

Group 1 - The stock of Shandong Molong has experienced a consecutive two-day limit-up, indicating strong market interest and performance [1] - The stock reached a trading halt at 13:06 with a transaction volume of 1.066 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 23.10% [1] - The company primarily engages in the design, research and development, manufacturing, sales services, and export trade of products required for the energy equipment industry [1] Group 2 - The company's drilling equipment business is driven by energy security policies, which have positively impacted its growth [1] - The development of high gas-tight special threaded casing for shale gas development has been completed and is now in mass production [1] - The actual controller of the company is the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, classifying it as a state-owned enterprise [1] Group 3 - International crude oil prices remain relatively high, supporting global investment in oil and gas exploration and development [1] - This trend has led to an increase in demand for oil and gas equipment and services, indicating a recovery in industry prosperity [1] - The company has seen a significant growth in overseas orders, reflecting its expanding market presence [1]

Group 1 - The stock price of PetroChina Machinery increased by 2.06% on January 12, reaching 7.91 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 348 million CNY and a turnover rate of 4.74%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 7.562 billion CNY [1] - Year-to-date, the stock price has risen by 8.80%, with increases of 8.36% over the last five trading days, 12.52% over the last 20 days, and 22.26% over the last 60 days [1] - The company specializes in the manufacturing, sales, and maintenance of oil drilling equipment, with its main business revenue composition being 56.52% from oil machinery equipment, 17.22% from oil and gas pipes, 14.80% from other sources, 10.01% from drill bits and tools, and 1.45% from hydrogen energy equipment [1] Group 2 - As of December 19, the number of shareholders for PetroChina Machinery was 46,300, a decrease of 3.36% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 3.48% to 20,419 shares [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, the company reported a revenue of 4.819 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 14.62%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.8856 million CNY, down 91.85% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 896 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends distributed in the last three years [3]