Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The underlying index market remains in a bull market in Q4 2025, but there is a local overheating of leveraged funds in the short - term. The implied volatility of options is at a moderately low level, and there may be local volatility pulses in Q4 due to increased Sino - US relations uncertainty. In a bull market with a negative skew structure, shorting out - of - the - money put options after local volatility pulses is worth attention. As Sino - US relations uncertainty grows, index trends may shift from unilateral upward to range - bound, and investors with long futures positions are advised to sell out - of - the - money call options near the upper bound of the range for additional income [4][5][66]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 2025 Pre - Q3 Financial Options Market Operation Option Market Activity Highly Differentiated - There are 12 listed financial options, with 5 on the SSE, 4 on the SZSE, and 3 on the CFFEX. From January 1 to September 25, 2025, the total trading volume was 1.353 billion contracts, with an average daily trading volume of 7.516 million contracts, a total turnover of 1.25744 trillion yuan, an average daily turnover of 6.986 billion yuan, and an average daily open interest of 8.706 million contracts. Compared with the same period in 2024, the average daily trading volume, turnover, and open interest increased by about 17%, 48%, and 47% respectively. In Q3 2025, the average daily turnover increased by 101.4% quarter - on - quarter. The turnover of small - and medium - cap index options and ChiNext options increased significantly, while that of large - cap index options changed little [10][11][12]. Market Prefers to Trade Growth - Oriented Index Options - In Q3 2025, the CSI 1000 index options had the highest market share at 33.29%, followed by the Southern CSI 500 ETF options at 18.05%, and the ChiNext ETF options at 12.85%. The market generally prefers growth - oriented index options with higher volatility [14]. The PCR of Open Interest Indicates Over - Enthusiasm among Put Option Sellers - In Q3 2025, the PCR of open interest of major financial options mostly followed the underlying index's fluctuations, showing an upward - trending oscillation. The PCR of IO and MO options reached extremely high levels above the 99th percentile, indicating an over - proportion of put option sellers and local market overheating [20]. Stock Index Options Market Volatility Option Implied Volatility Shows an Up - and - Down Trend - In Q3 2025, the implied volatility of options first rose and then fell. The average implied volatility of IO and MO options reached around the 90th and 87th percentiles in the past three years, respectively. During the upward movement of the underlying index, the implied volatility showed different patterns at different stages. Currently, the implied volatility has returned to a relatively low level in the past five - year period, and the room for further decline is limited [23][28][29]. The Proportion of Negative Skew Decreased Significantly in Q3 - The proportion of negative skew in Q3 decreased compared with Q2. The decrease was partly due to the end of the dividend period of index component stocks and the stagnation of small - cap stocks after late August, which reduced the hedging demand of public and private funds. The buying momentum of out - of - the - money call options weakened after reaching a high in late August, indicating market caution [33][35]. The Frequency of "Near - Low, Far - High" Implied Volatility Increases - Taking the CSI 300 and CSI 1000 index options as examples, the proportion of the "near - low, far - high" term structure of the CSI 1000 index options increased in Q3, indicating a relatively stable market trend and a lower frequency of short - term sharp fluctuations, suggesting a healthier and more sustainable market upward movement [38][40]. Q4 Volatility Outlook - In Q3 2025, the difference between the implied volatility and the 30 - day historical volatility of IO and MO options had a certain range of fluctuations, and the average difference showed that the environment for option sellers improved compared with Q2. Currently, the implied volatility of the CSI 300 and CSI 1000 index options has bottomed out and rebounded, with a moderately low premium level. There is a possibility of upward volatility pulses in Q4 [41][42][44]. Option Strategy Review and Recommendation Long - Term Excess Returns of IM Long Positions - As of October 10, 2025, long - term holding of the IM current - month contract has achieved a cumulative return of 44.5%, 11.2 percentage points higher than the CSI 1000 index. However, there was a significant retracement from mid - August to early September due to the stagnation of small - cap stocks and the convergence of futures discounts [45]. Returns of Put Option Sellers in the First Three Quarters - Back - testing shows that although put option sellers did not outperform the underlying index in Q3, the stability of the fund curve was better, and the average retracement was significantly reduced [48]. Quantitative Timing Strategy Based on Option Synthetic Underlying Premiums - The quantitative timing strategy based on ETF option synthetic underlying premiums has achieved an annualized return of 19.5% and a maximum retracement of 17.83% on the CSI 500 index futures since 2018. In the first three quarters of 2025, it achieved an absolute return of 21.41% with a maximum retracement of only 3.25% [54]. Classic Option Double - Selling Strategy - The double - selling strategy is most suitable for the relatively stable SSE 50 index options, with a cumulative return of 12.96% and a maximum retracement of less than 6% in the first three quarters of 2025. The IO option double - selling strategy has achieved positive returns but suffered a significant retracement during the unilateral market since July. The MO option double - selling strategy has the most unstable returns, with a cumulative return of - 2.52% and a relatively large maximum retracement [56][58]. Q4 2025 Outlook - In Q4 2025, the underlying index market is still in a bull market, but there is local overheating of leveraged funds in the short - term. The implied volatility of options is at a moderately low level, and there may be local volatility pulses. In a bull market with a negative skew structure, shorting out - of - the - money put options after local volatility pulses is worth attention. As Sino - US relations uncertainty grows, index trends may shift from unilateral upward to range - bound, and investors with long futures positions are advised to sell out - of - the - money call options near the upper bound of the range for additional income [66].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural product options market presents a complex situation with different sectors showing various trends. Oilseeds and oils are in a weak and volatile state, while agricultural by - products and soft commodities like sugar and cotton have their own specific market conditions. It is recommended to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers and spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Different agricultural product options have different performance in the futures market. For example, the latest price of soybean No.1 (A2511) is 3,954, with a decline of 14 and a decrease rate of 0.35%, while peanut (PK2601) has a latest price of 7,990, an increase of 152 and an increase rate of 1.94% [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Position PCR - Volume and position PCR are used to analyze the strength and turning points of the option underlying market. For example, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 0.60 with a change of 0.21, and the position PCR is 0.47 with a change of - 0.01 [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of the maximum position volume of call and put options, the pressure and support levels of the option underlying are analyzed. For instance, the pressure level of soybean No.1 is 4000 and the support level is 3900 [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of future price fluctuations. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 9.36%, and the weighted implied volatility is 11.29% with a change of - 0.91% [6]. 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations for Different Option Types 3.5.1 Oilseeds and Oils Options - **Soybean No.1 and No.2**: The fundamental situation of soybean shows that the oil mill operation rate is about 56.57%. The market trend of soybean No.1 is a weak and volatile state. It is recommended to construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **Soybean Meal and Rapeseed Meal**: The supply of soybean meal has a large pressure, and the market shows a weak trend. Directional strategies such as bear spread of put options, short - biased call + put option combination strategies, and long collar strategies for spot hedging are recommended [9]. - **Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, and Rapeseed Oil**: The export volume of palm oil has increased. The market of palm oil shows a high - level volatile and weakening trend. Short - biased call + put option combination strategies and long collar strategies for spot hedging are recommended [10]. - **Peanut**: The price of peanut is relatively stable. The market shows a weak and volatile trend. A long collar strategy for spot hedging is recommended [11]. 3.5.2 Agricultural By - products Options - **Pig**: The planned slaughter volume in October is large, and the market shows a weak trend. Short - biased call + put option combination strategies and covered call strategies for spot are recommended [11]. - **Egg**: The inventory of laying hens is high, and the market shows a weak and bearish trend. Bear spread of put options, short - biased call + put option combination strategies are recommended [12]. - **Apple**: The inventory of apples is at a certain level, and the market shows a warming - up trend. Short - biased long call + put option combination strategies and long collar strategies for spot hedging are recommended [12]. - **Jujube**: The new - season jujube is in a critical period, and the market shows a bullish trend. Short - biased wide - straddle option combination strategies and covered call strategies for spot hedging are recommended [13]. 3.5.3 Soft Commodities Options - **Sugar**: Typhoons have affected the sugar - cane producing areas. The market shows a weak and bearish trend. Short - biased call + put option combination strategies and long collar strategies for spot hedging are recommended [13]. - **Cotton**: The processing and inspection volume of cotton is at a certain level. The market shows a short - term weak trend. Short - biased call + put option combination strategies and covered call strategies for spot hedging are recommended [14]. 3.5.4 Grain Options - **Corn and Starch**: The supply of corn is abundant, and the market shows a weak and bearish trend. Short - biased call + put option combination strategies are recommended [14].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The metal sector is divided into non - ferrous metals, precious metals, and black metals. For non - ferrous metals, a neutral volatility seller strategy can be constructed as they are in a range - bound state; for black metals with large - amplitude fluctuations, a short - volatility portfolio strategy is suitable; for precious metals with an upward - breaking trend, a spot hedging strategy is recommended [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Copper (CU2511) closed at 86,520, up 1,710 (2.02%), with a trading volume of 29.14 million lots and an open interest of 20.18 million lots [3]. - Aluminum (AL2511) closed at 20,975, up 115 (0.55%), with a trading volume of 19.17 million lots and an open interest of 17.09 million lots [3]. - Other metals such as zinc, lead, nickel, etc., also have detailed price, trading volume, and open - interest data presented [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - For copper options, the volume PCR is 0.74 (up 0.40), and the open - interest PCR is 0.71 (down 0.03) [4]. - Aluminum options have a volume PCR of 1.03 (up 0.63) and an open - interest PCR of 0.84 (up 0.11) [4]. - Different metals' option volume and open - interest PCR data reflect market sentiment and potential trend reversals [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - Copper's pressure point is 92,000 and support point is 80,000 [5]. - Aluminum's pressure point is 21,400 and support point is 20,400 [5]. - These levels are derived from the strike prices of the maximum open - interest call and put options [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Copper's at - the - money implied volatility is 22.38%, and the weighted implied volatility is 24.94% (down 0.46%) [6]. - Aluminum's at - the - money implied volatility is 9.91%, and the weighted implied volatility is 12.62% (up 0.09%) [6]. - The implied volatility data helps in formulating volatility - based option strategies [6]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper Options**: Construct a short - volatility seller option portfolio strategy and a spot hedging strategy [7]. - **Aluminum/Alumina Options**: Build a neutral short - call and short - put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Zinc/Lead Options**: Adopt a neutral short - call and short - put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Nickel Options**: Implement a short - bearish call and put option combination strategy and a spot covered - call strategy [10]. - **Tin Options**: Use a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate Options**: Apply a short - bearish call and put option combination strategy and a spot long - put and short - call strategy [11]. 3.5.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver Options**: Build a bullish call spread strategy, a long - biased short - volatility option seller portfolio strategy, and a spot hedging strategy [12]. 3.5.3 Black Metals - **Rebar Options**: Use a short - bearish call and put option combination strategy and a spot covered - call strategy [13]. - **Iron Ore Options**: Adopt a neutral short - call and short - put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [13]. - **Ferroalloy Options**: Implement a short - volatility strategy for manganese - silicon options [14]. - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon Options**: Build a short - volatility short - call and short - put option combination strategy and a spot long - put and short - call strategy [14]. - **Glass Options**: Use a short - volatility short - call and short - put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [15].

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: Energy and Chemical Options Strategy Morning Report [1] - Date: October 14, 2025 - Research Scope: Energy (crude oil, LPG), polyolefins (polypropylene, PVC, plastic, styrene), polyester (PX, PTA, short - fiber, bottle - chip), alkali chemicals (caustic soda, soda ash), others (rubber) [2] - Strategy Suggestion: Build option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, and spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2] Group 2: Market Conditions of Underlying Futures - Crude oil (SC2512): Latest price 454, up 0 (0.02%), trading volume 6.51 million lots (+ 3.49 million), open interest 3.11 million lots (+ 0.33 million) [3] - LPG (PG2511): Latest price 4,121, up 52 (1.28%), trading volume 5.24 million lots (- 0.56 million), open interest 5.86 million lots (- 0.44 million) [3] - Methanol (MA2512): Latest price 2,319, up 0 (0.00%), trading volume 4.95 million lots (+ 1.18 million), open interest 4.02 million lots (+ 0.22 million) [3] - And other varieties with detailed price, change, volume, and open - interest data provided [3] Group 3: Option Factors - Volume and Open - Interest PCR - Crude oil: Volume PCR 1.11 (+ 0.41), Open - interest PCR 0.56 (- 0.03) [4] - LPG: Volume PCR 0.52 (- 0.13), Open - interest PCR 0.48 (- 0.07) [4] - Methanol: Volume PCR 0.68 (+ 0.01), Open - interest PCR 0.65 (+ 0.06) [4] - And other varieties with corresponding PCR data [4] Group 4: Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - Crude oil: Pressure point 570, support point 440 [5] - LPG: Pressure point 4,700, support point 4,050 [5] - Methanol: Pressure point 2,300, support point 2,250 [5] - And other varieties with their respective pressure and support levels [5] Group 5: Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Crude oil: At - the - money implied volatility 27.545%, weighted implied volatility 35.73% (+ 3.29%), historical average 37.02% [6] - LPG: At - the - money implied volatility 16.82%, weighted implied volatility 22.03% (+ 1.86%), historical average 24.00% [6] - Methanol: At - the - money implied volatility 17.03%, weighted implied volatility 19.61% (+ 3.13%), historical average 21.83% [6] - And other varieties with implied volatility data [6] Group 6: Option Strategies for Different Varieties Crude Oil - Fundamental: OPEC+ started a new round of production increase of 1.65 million barrels per day in October, market worries about long - term supply surplus, and the production increase cycle will continue until next year. The situation in the Middle East has eased [7] - Market Analysis: Since July, it has been weak, with a downward trend in October [7] - Option Factors: Implied volatility fluctuates above the average; Open - interest PCR below 0.60 indicates a weak market; Pressure point 570, support point 440 [7] - Strategies: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Sell a neutral call + put option combination; Spot long - hedging strategy: Build a long collar strategy [7] LPG - Fundamental: PDH device maintenance is stable, but profit is declining. It is expected that the capacity utilization rate will decline after entering the peak season [9] - Market Analysis: After a decline in July, it has shown an oversold rebound with pressure [9] - Option Factors: Implied volatility drops to near the average; Open - interest PCR below 0.60 indicates a weak market; Pressure point 4,700, support point 4,050 [9] - Strategies: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Sell a neutral call + put option combination; Spot long - hedging strategy: Build a long collar strategy [9] Other Varieties - Similar analysis and strategy suggestions are provided for methanol, ethylene glycol, polypropylene, rubber, polyester products, caustic soda, soda ash, and urea [9][10][11][12][13][14] Group 7: Charts - Charts for each variety include price trends, trading volume and open - interest, PCR, implied volatility, historical volatility cones, and pressure and support levels [15][36][56][75][94][113][133][152][170][188]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The stock market showed a slight decline in the bullish trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index, large - cap blue - chip stocks, small and medium - cap stocks, and ChiNext stocks all experiencing this pattern [2]. - The implied volatility of financial options remained at a relatively high level [2]. - For ETF options, it is suitable to construct bullish buyer strategies and call option bull spread combination strategies; for index options, it is appropriate to build bullish seller strategies, call option bull spread combination strategies, and arbitrage strategies between synthetic long futures of options and short futures [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Financial Market Important Index Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,889.50, down 0.19% with a trading volume of 10,854 billion yuan, a decrease of 467 billion yuan [3]. - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13,231.47, down 0.93% with a trading volume of 12,693 billion yuan, a decrease of 1,142 billion yuan [3]. - The SSE 50 Index closed at 2,967.21, down 0.26% with a trading volume of 1,858 billion yuan, a decrease of 144 billion yuan [3]. - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4,593.98, down 0.50% with a trading volume of 7,140 billion yuan, a decrease of 787 billion yuan [3]. - The CSI 500 Index closed at 7,376.56, down 0.29% with a trading volume of 4,733 billion yuan, a decrease of 288 billion yuan [3]. - The CSI 1000 Index closed at 7,519.76, down 0.19% with a trading volume of 4,710 billion yuan, a decrease of 147 billion yuan [3]. 3.2 Option - underlying ETF Market Overview - The SSE 50 ETF closed at 3.101, down 0.35% with a trading volume of 537.71 million shares and a trading value of 16.58 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.56 billion yuan [4]. - The SSE 300 ETF closed at 4.692, down 0.57% with a trading volume of 965.84 million shares and a trading value of 45.00 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.82 billion yuan [4]. - The SSE 500 ETF closed at 7.469, down 0.48% with a trading volume of 386.54 million shares and a trading value of 28.63 billion yuan, an increase of 6.66 billion yuan [4]. - The Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF closed at 1.546, up 1.18% with a trading volume of 4,771.06 million shares and a trading value of 73.06 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.02 billion yuan [4]. - The E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF closed at 1.513, up 1.00% with a trading volume of 1,520.00 million shares and a trading value of 22.74 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.31 billion yuan [4]. - The Shenzhen 300 ETF closed at 4.844, down 0.47% with a trading volume of 240.51 million shares and a trading value of 11.56 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.90 billion yuan [4]. - The Shenzhen 500 ETF closed at 2.983, down 0.50% with a trading volume of 210.99 million shares and a trading value of 6.23 billion yuan, an increase of 2.00 billion yuan [4]. - The Shenzhen 100 ETF closed at 3.502, down 1.27% with a trading volume of 92.51 million shares and a trading value of 3.22 billion yuan, an increase of 1.17 billion yuan [4]. - The ChiNext ETF closed at 3.054, down 1.32% with a trading volume of 2,223.55 million shares and a trading value of 67.31 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.51 billion yuan [4]. 3.3 Option Factor - Volume and Position PCR - For SSE 50 ETF options, the trading volume PCR was 1.20 (up 0.35), and the position PCR was 0.69 (down 0.02) [5]. - For SSE 300 ETF options, the trading volume PCR was 1.31 (up 0.16), and the position PCR was 0.86 (down 0.05) [5]. - For SSE 500 ETF options, the trading volume PCR was 1.32 (up 0.25), and the position PCR was 1.25 (up 0.04) [5]. - For Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF options, the trading volume PCR was 1.13 (up 0.06), and the position PCR was 1.05 (up 0.02) [5]. - For E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF options, the trading volume PCR was 1.11 (up 0.32), and the position PCR was 0.85 (down 0.01) [5]. - For Shenzhen 300 ETF options, the trading volume PCR was 1.32 (up 0.28), and the position PCR was 0.76 (up 0.04) [5]. - For Shenzhen 500 ETF options, the trading volume PCR was 1.40 (up 0.50), and the position PCR was 0.88 (down 0.02) [5]. - For Shenzhen 100 ETF options, the trading volume PCR was 1.81 (down 0.33), and the position PCR was 1.21 (up 0.04) [5]. - For ChiNext ETF options, the trading volume PCR was 1.20 (up 0.14), and the position PCR was 0.98 (down 0.07) [5]. - For SSE 50 index options, the trading volume PCR was 0.70 (up 0.16), and the position PCR was 0.72 (unchanged) [5]. - For CSI 300 index options, the trading volume PCR was 0.91 (up 0.19), and the position PCR was 0.88 (down 0.01) [5]. - For CSI 1000 index options, the trading volume PCR was 1.07 (up 0.11), and the position PCR was 0.99 (unchanged) [5]. 3.4 Option Factor - Pressure and Support Points - The pressure point of SSE 50 ETF was 3.20, and the support point was 3.10 [7]. - The pressure point of SSE 300 ETF was 4.80, and the support point was 4.60 [7]. - The pressure point of SSE 500 ETF was 7.50, and the support point was 7.25 [7]. - The pressure point of Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF was 1.65, and the support point was 1.50 [7]. - The pressure point of E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF was 1.60, and the support point was 1.50 [7]. - The pressure point of Shenzhen 300 ETF was 4.90, and the support point was 4.70 [7]. - The pressure point of Shenzhen 500 ETF was 3.00, and the support point was 2.90 [7]. - The pressure point of Shenzhen 100 ETF was 3.60, and the support point was 2.90 [7]. - The pressure point of ChiNext ETF was 3.20, and the support point was 3.10 [7]. - The pressure point of SSE 50 index was 3,000, and the support point was 2,900 [7]. - The pressure point of CSI 300 index was 4,700, and the support point was 4,500 [7]. - The pressure point of CSI 1000 index was 7,500, and the support point was 7,200 [7]. 3.5 Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The at - the - money implied volatility of SSE 50 ETF options was 17.41%, and the weighted implied volatility was 19.20% (up 1.53%) [9]. - The at - the - money implied volatility of SSE 300 ETF options was 18.34%, and the weighted implied volatility was 19.56% (up 2.28%) [9]. - The at - the - money implied volatility of SSE 500 ETF options was 21.51%, and the weighted implied volatility was 23.12% (up 2.68%) [9]. - The at - the - money implied volatility of Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF options was 44.86%, and the weighted implied volatility was 46.89% (up 2.80%) [9]. - The at - the - money implied volatility of E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF options was 44.29%, and the weighted implied volatility was 47.02% (up 2.20%) [9]. - The at - the - money implied volatility of Shenzhen 300 ETF options was 18.98%, and the weighted implied volatility was 21.31% (up 3.03%) [9]. - The at - the - money implied volatility of Shenzhen 500 ETF options was 22.10%, and the weighted implied volatility was 23.40% (up 1.31%) [9]. - The at - the - money implied volatility of Shenzhen 100 ETF options was 26.08%, and the weighted implied volatility was 32.51% (up 4.10%) [9]. - The at - the - money implied volatility of ChiNext ETF options was 38.06%, and the weighted implied volatility was 40.71% (up 3.51%) [9]. - The at - the - money implied volatility of SSE 50 index options was 16.59%, and the weighted implied volatility was 17.86% (up 0.92%) [9]. - The at - the - money implied volatility of CSI 300 index options was 17.91%, and the weighted implied volatility was 18.61% (up 1.96%) [9]. - The at - the - money implied volatility of CSI 1000 index options was 22.16%, and the weighted implied volatility was 23.99% (up 2.87%) [9]. 3.6 Strategy and Recommendations 3.6.1 Financial Stock Sector (SSE 50 ETF, SSE 50) - SSE 50 ETF showed a bullish trend with high - level fluctuations. The implied volatility remained above the average, and the position PCR indicated increasing upward pressure. The pressure point was 3.20, and the support point was 3.10. Recommended strategies included a seller - biased bullish combination strategy for volatility and a spot long - covered call strategy [12]. 3.6.2 Large - Cap Blue - Chip Stock Sector (CSI 300, SSE 300 ETF, Shenzhen 300 ETF) - SSE 300 ETF showed a bullish trend with support at the short - term bottom. The implied volatility remained above the average, and the position PCR indicated increasing upward pressure. The pressure point was 4.80, and the support point was 4.60. Recommended strategies included a short - volatility strategy of selling calls and puts and a spot long - covered call strategy [12]. 3.6.3 Large - and Medium - Sized Stock Sector (Shenzhen 100 ETF) - Shenzhen 100 ETF showed a bullish trend with a significant decline. The implied volatility was at a relatively high level, and the position PCR indicated a strong - oscillating market. The pressure point was 3.60, and the support point was 2.90. Recommended strategies included a call bull spread strategy for direction, a short - volatility strategy of selling calls and puts, and a spot long - covered call strategy [13]. 3.6.4 Small - and Medium - Sized Stock Sector (SSE 500 ETF, Shenzhen 500 ETF, CSI 1000) - SSE 500 ETF showed a short - term bullish trend with high - level fluctuations. The implied volatility remained at a relatively high level, and the position PCR indicated a bullish oscillation. The pressure point was 7.50, and the support point was 7.25. Recommended strategies included a call bull spread strategy for direction and a spot long - covered call strategy [13]. - CSI 1000 showed a bullish trend with high - level fluctuations. The implied volatility increased to a relatively high level, and the position PCR indicated an oscillating market. The pressure point was 7,500, and the support point was 7,200. Recommended strategies included a short - volatility strategy of selling calls and puts [14]. 3.6.5 ChiNext Sector (Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF, E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF, ChiNext ETF) - ChiNext ETF showed a bullish trend with a rapid decline after breaking through. The implied volatility increased to a historical high and then declined significantly, and the position PCR indicated an oscillating market. The pressure point was 3.20, and the support point was 3.10. Recommended strategies included a short - volatility strategy and a spot long - covered call strategy [14].

金融期权 2025-10-13 金融期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | 金融期权策略早报概要： （1）股市短评：上证综指数、大盘蓝筹股、中小盘股和创业板股表现为多头趋势方向上大幅回落的市场行情。 （2）金融期权波动性分析：金融期权隐含波动率维持较高水平波动。 （3）金融期权策略与建议：对于ETF期权来说，适合构建偏多头的买方策略，认购期权牛市价差组合策略；对于股 指期权来说，适合构建偏多头的卖方策略、认购期权牛市价差组合策略和期权合成期货多头与期货空头做套利策略 。 表1：金融市场重要指数概况 | 重要指数 | 指数代码 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 额变化 | PE | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For non - ferrous metals, build a seller's neutral volatility strategy as they are in a range - bound oscillation [2]. - For black metals, construct a short - volatility portfolio strategy due to their large - amplitude fluctuations [2]. - For precious metals, build a spot hedging strategy as they break upward [2]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices of various metal futures have different changes. For example, copper (CU2511) dropped 4.46% to 83,030, while gold (AU2512) rose 0.42% to 913.26. The trading volumes and open interests also vary among different metals [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR of different metal options have different trends. For instance, the volume PCR of copper decreased by 0.14 to 0.33, and the open interest PCR decreased by 0.02 to 0.74 [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of option factors, different metal options have their own pressure and support levels. For example, the pressure level of copper is 92,000 and the support level is 80,000 [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different metal options shows different characteristics. For example, the weighted implied volatility of copper increased by 1.37 to 25.40%, while that of aluminum decreased by 0.35 to 12.53% [6]. 3.5 Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1 Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Build a short - volatility seller's option portfolio strategy and a spot hedging strategy. The pressure level is 92,000 and the support level is 80,000 [7]. - **Aluminum/Alumina**: Construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy. The pressure level of aluminum is 21,400 and the support level is 20,000; for alumina, the pressure level is 3,000 and the support level is 2,800 [9]. - **Zinc/Lead**: Build a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy. The pressure level of zinc is 22,000 and the support level is 21,800 [9]. - **Nickel**: Construct a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot covered - call strategy. The pressure level is 130,000 and the support level is 120,000 [10]. - **Tin**: Build a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy. The pressure level is 320,000 and the support level is 270,000 [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Construct a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy. The pressure level is 99,000 and the support level is 65,000 [11]. 3.5.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver**: For gold, construct a bull - spread call option strategy, a short - volatility option seller's combination strategy, and a spot hedging strategy. The pressure level is 888 and the support level is 800 [12]. 3.5.3 Black Metals - **Rebar**: Build a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy and a spot covered - call strategy. The pressure level is 3,500 and the support level is 3,000 [13]. - **Iron Ore**: Construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - collar strategy. The pressure level is 850 and the support level is 750 [13]. - **Ferroalloys**: For manganese silicon, build a short - volatility strategy. The pressure level is 6,000 and the support level is 5,800 [14]. - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon**: Construct a short - volatility call + put option combination strategy and a spot hedging strategy. The pressure level of industrial silicon is 14,200 and the support level is 8,000 [14]. - **Glass**: Build a short - volatility call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - collar strategy. The pressure level is 1,200 and the support level is 1,000 [15].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural products sector includes beans, oils, agricultural by - products, soft commodities, grains, and others. The overall market shows different trends: oilseeds and oils are weakly volatile, oils and agricultural by - products are in a volatile range, soft commodity sugar has a slight fluctuation, cotton is weakly consolidating, and grains like corn and starch are weakly and narrowly consolidating. It is recommended to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Various agricultural product futures have different price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes. For example, the latest price of soybean No.1 (A2511) is 3,945, down 13 with a decline rate of 0.33%, trading volume of 11.03 million lots, and open interest of 12.56 million lots with a decrease of 1.19 million lots [3] 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - Different option varieties have different volume and open - interest PCR values and their changes. For instance, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 0.40, down 0.26, and the open - interest PCR is 0.48, down 0.01 [4] 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of the maximum open interest of call and put options, the pressure and support levels of different option varieties are determined. For example, the pressure level of soybean No.1 is 4,000 and the support level is 3,900 [5] 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Each option variety has different implied volatility indicators, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and its changes. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 9.535, the weighted implied volatility is 12.20, down 0.33 [6] 3.5 Strategies and Recommendations for Different Option Varieties 3.5.1 Oilseeds and Oils Options - **Soybean No.1 and No.2**: The fundamental situation of soybeans shows that the oil mill operating rate is about 56.57%. The soybean market has formed a pattern of weak consolidation. It is recommended to construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7] - **Soybean Meal and Rapeseed Meal**: The domestic supply of soybean meal has great pressure, and the market is weakly volatile. It is recommended to construct a bear spread strategy for directionality, a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9] - **Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, and Rapeseed Oil**: The export volume of palm oil has increased. The market shows a pattern of high - level volatility and weakening. It is recommended to construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] - **Peanuts**: The peanut market is in a pattern of weak consolidation under short - selling pressure. It is recommended to construct a bear spread strategy for directionality, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] 3.5.2 Agricultural By - products Options - **Pigs**: The planned slaughter volume of large - scale farms in October is large, and the market is in a pattern of weak consolidation under short - selling pressure. It is recommended to construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a covered call strategy for spot [11] - **Eggs**: The inventory of laying hens is high, and the market is in a pattern of weak short - selling. It is recommended to construct a bear spread strategy for directionality, a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility [12] - **Apples**: The market shows a pattern of continuous recovery and upward movement with pressure above. It is recommended to construct a long - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [12] - **Red Dates**: The new - season red dates are in a critical period, and the market shows a pattern of upward movement with support below. It is recommended to construct a long - biased strangle option combination strategy for volatility, and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [13] 3.5.3 Soft Commodity Options - **Sugar**: Typhoons have affected the sugar cane production areas. The market is in a pattern of weak short - selling. It is recommended to construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13] - **Cotton**: The cotton market is in a short - term weak pattern. It is recommended to construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a covered call strategy for spot [14] 3.5.4 Grain Options - **Corn and Starch**: The corn market has a loose supply and weak demand. The market shows a pattern of weak short - selling and rebound followed by decline. It is recommended to construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility [14]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy - chemical sector is divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others [8]. - For each sector, some varieties are selected to give option strategies and suggestions, and option strategy reports are compiled based on underlying market analysis, option factor research, and option strategy suggestions for each option variety [8]. - Strategies suggest constructing option combination strategies mainly as sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summaries According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - For different energy - chemical option varieties, data on the latest price, price change, price change rate, trading volume, volume change, open interest, and open interest change of the underlying contracts are presented. For example, the latest price of crude oil SC2512 is 449, with a price change of - 20 and a price change rate of - 4.27% [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - Volume PCR and open interest PCR are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and whether the underlying market has a turning point. Data on volume, volume change, open interest, open interest change, volume PCR, volume PCR change, open interest PCR, and open interest PCR change for different option varieties are provided [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - Pressure and support levels of option varieties are analyzed from the perspective of the exercise prices with the largest open interest of call and put options. Data on the underlying contract, at - the - money exercise price, pressure point, pressure point deviation, support point, support point deviation, maximum call open interest, and maximum put open interest for different option varieties are given [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Implied volatility data, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, weighted implied volatility change, annual average implied volatility, call implied volatility, put implied volatility, historical volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility, are provided for different option varieties [6]. 3.5 Strategies and Suggestions 3.5.1 Energy - related Options - **Crude Oil**: The OPEC+ started a new round of production increase of 1.65 million barrels per day in October, and the market is worried about long - term oversupply. The market shows a weak trend. Suggested strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **LPG**: The PDH device maintenance situation is stable, but the profit is declining. The market shows an oversold rebound with pressure. Suggested strategies are similar to those of crude oil [9]. 3.5.2 Alcohol - related Options - **Methanol**: Port inventory has increased, and the market shows a weak trend. Suggested strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: The supply load has increased slightly, and the market is weak. Suggested strategies include a bearish spread strategy for directionality, a short - volatility strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. 3.5.3 Polyolefin - related Options - **Polypropylene**: The commercial inventory has increased, and the market is weak. Suggested strategies include a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. 3.5.4 Rubber - related Options - **Rubber**: Inventory has decreased, and the market shows a weak consolidation. Suggested strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility [12]. 3.5.5 Polyester - related Options - **PTA**: The market start - up rate is 75.61%, and the supply support is insufficient. The market is weak. Suggested strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility [12]. 3.5.6 Alkali - related Options - **Caustic Soda**: The start - up rate has decreased, and inventory has increased. The market shows a downward trend with pressure. Suggested strategies include a bearish spread strategy for directionality and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. - **Soda Ash**: Inventory has increased, and the market shows a low - level weak consolidation. Suggested strategies include a short - volatility combination strategy for volatility and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]. 3.5.7 Urea Options - The supply utilization rate has increased, and demand from some downstream industries has decreased. The market shows a low - level weak consolidation. Suggested strategies include a bearish spread strategy for directionality, a bearish call + put option combination strategy for volatility, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14].

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Date: October 10, 2025 [1] - Report Type: Energy and Chemical Options Strategy Morning Report - Covered Option Types: Energy (crude oil, LPG), polyolefins (PP, PVC, plastic, styrene), polyesters (PX, PTA, short - fiber, bottle chips), alkali chemicals (caustic soda, soda ash), others (rubber) [2] - General Strategy: Construct option combination strategies mainly as sellers, and spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview Price and Volume - Crude oil (SC2511): Latest price 464, down 5 (-0.96%), volume 4.45 million lots (down 3.78 million lots), open interest 2.62 million lots (up 0.16 million lots) [3] - LPG (PG2511): Latest price 4,061, down 17 (-0.42%), volume 7.04 million lots (down 0.40 million lots), open interest 6.69 million lots (up 0.20 million lots) [3] - Methanol (MA2512): Latest price 2,268, down 8 (-0.35%), volume 1.38 million lots (down 3.85 million lots), open interest 3.03 million lots (up 0.07 million lots) [3] - And other options with their respective price, volume, and open - interest changes [3] Group 3: Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR PCR Metrics - Crude oil: Volume PCR 0.59 (down 0.11), open - interest PCR 0.66 (down 0.11) [4] - LPG: Volume PCR 0.74 (up 0.14), open - interest PCR 0.56 (down 0.11) [4] - Methanol: Volume PCR 0.71 (down 0.08), open - interest PCR 0.62 (down 0.05) [4] - Other options also have their corresponding PCR values and changes [4] Group 4: Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels Pressure and Support - Crude oil: Pressure point 570, support point 480 [5] - LPG: Pressure point 4,700, support point 4,050 [5] - Methanol: Pressure point 2,300, support point 2,250 [5] - Each option has its specific pressure and support levels [5] Group 5: Option Factor - Implied Volatility Implied Volatility Metrics - Crude oil: At - the - money implied volatility 25.7%, weighted implied volatility 33.76% (down 18.12%), historical volatility difference - 3.90 [6] - LPG: At - the - money implied volatility 16.17%, weighted implied volatility 23.06% (down 3.48%), historical volatility difference - 3.39 [6] - Methanol: At - the - money implied volatility 16.39%, weighted implied volatility 19.49% (down 6.31%), historical volatility difference - 0.94 [6] - Other options have their respective implied volatility data [6] Group 6: Strategy and Recommendations for Each Option Crude Oil - Fundamental Analysis: US API data shows Cushing inventory decreased by 1.15 million barrels. OPEC meeting ended on October 5 with a "principle - based low - speed production increase" of 137,000 barrels per day [7] - Market Analysis: Since July, it has been weak, with a downward trend in October [7] - Option Factor Research: Implied volatility fluctuates above the mean, open - interest PCR above 1.00 indicates support below, pressure point 570, support point 480 [7] - Strategy: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Sell a neutral call + put option combination; Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [7] LPG - Fundamental Analysis: PDH device maintenance was stable last week, with a capacity utilization rate of 74.77%. Profits are declining [9] - Market Analysis: After a decline in July, it showed an oversold rebound with pressure above [9] - Option Factor Research: Implied volatility dropped to near the mean, open - interest PCR below 0.80 indicates a weak market, pressure point 4,500, support point 4,200 [9] - Strategy: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Sell a neutral call + put option combination; Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [9] Methanol - Fundamental Analysis: Supply - side开工 declined, demand improved marginally, and inventory decreased [9] - Market Analysis: It showed a weak trend with pressure above [9] - Option Factor Research: Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical mean, open - interest PCR below 0.80 indicates a weak - oscillating market, pressure point 2,350, support point 2,250 [9] - Strategy: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Sell a bearish call + put option combination; Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [9] Other Options - Each option (ethylene glycol, polypropylene, etc.) has its own fundamental analysis, market analysis, option factor research, and corresponding strategies [10][12][13]