1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The stock indexes oscillated and corrected today. The total trading volume of the stock market was 1190.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 159.5 billion yuan from the previous day. The April social financing and credit data were mixed, with significant government bond issuance, but the financing demand of enterprises and residents remained weak. The stock indexes have insufficient momentum for continuous upward movement, and there is a possibility of a short - term pullback after reaching a high and repeated oscillations [3]. - In the second quarter, the external tariff war conflict has eased. The recent "order - grabbing" in Sino - US trade is expected to improve external demand to some extent. The continuous efforts of internal policies can also provide good support. Currently, the corporate profit differentiation among industries is obvious. The acceleration of the public fund new regulations promotes the aggregation of funds to large - cap weighted stocks. It is expected that the performance of the Shanghai 50 and CSI 300 will be stronger than that of the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 [3]. - Generally speaking, the domestic policy is clear in supporting the economy and stabilizing the stock market. Coupled with the easing of external risk factors, the market sentiment is cautiously optimistic. It is expected that the stock indexes will oscillate and strengthen in the short term. Currently, the implied volatility of options is within the normal range. Considering the long - term upward trend of the stock indexes, a bull spread portfolio can be used to layout the medium - and long - term upward market [3]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Option Indicators - On May 15, 2025, the 50ETF fell 0.50% to 2.803; the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) fell 0.84% to 4.011; the 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) fell 0.86% to 4.047; the CSI 300 Index fell 0.91% to 3907.20; the CSI 1000 Index fell 1.68% to 6057.04; the 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) fell 1.33% to 5.721; the 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) fell 1.30% to 2.286; the GEM ETF fell 2.04% to 2.012; the Shenzhen 100ETF fell 1.36% to 2.688; the Shanghai 50 Index fell 0.49% to 2740.30; the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF fell 1.41% to 1.05; the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF fell 1.45% to 1.02 [5]. - The trading volume PCR and position PCR of various options changed compared with the previous trading day. For example, the trading volume PCR of the Shanghai 50ETF option was 83.83 (73.37 the previous day), and the position PCR was 119.37 (129.62 the previous day) [6]. - The implied volatility of at - the - money options and the 30 - day historical volatility of the underlying assets of various options are provided. For example, the implied volatility of the at - the - money option of the Shanghai 50ETF option in May 2025 was 13.98%, and the 30 - day historical volatility of the underlying asset was 19.67% [7]. 3.2 Relevant Charts - **Shanghai 50ETF Option**: Charts include the Shanghai 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each tenure [9][11][13][17]. - **Shanghai Stock Exchange 300ETF Option**: Charts cover the Shanghai Stock Exchange 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each tenure [20]. - **Shenzhen Stock Exchange 300ETF Option**: Charts involve the Shenzhen Stock Exchange 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each tenure [23]. - **CSI 300 Index Option**: Charts include the CSI 300 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each tenure [37]. - **CSI 1000 Index Option**: Charts cover the CSI 1000 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each tenure [50]. - **Shanghai Stock Exchange 500ETF Option**: Charts involve the Shanghai Stock Exchange 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each tenure [62]. - **Shenzhen Stock Exchange 500ETF Option**: Charts include the Shenzhen Stock Exchange 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each tenure [74]. - **GEM ETF Option**: Charts cover the GEM ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each tenure [88]. - **Shenzhen 100ETF Option**: Charts involve the Shenzhen 100ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each tenure [97]. - **Shanghai 50 Index Option**: Charts include the Shanghai 50 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each tenure [110]. - **Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Option**: Charts cover the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each tenure [124]. - **E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Option**: Charts involve the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each tenure [127].

Report Information - Report Date: May 15, 2025 [2] - Team: Research Center's Macro Team [2] Global Asset Market Performance 10-Year Treasury Yields - On May 14, 2025, the 10-year Treasury yields of the US, UK, and France were 4.538%, 4.712%, and 3.378% respectively [3]. - Latest changes in yields for major economies varied, with the US up 0.071 and Switzerland down -0.009 [3]. - One-year changes showed significant differences, like the UK up 0.491 and Japan down -0.780 [3]. 2-Year Treasury Yields - On May 14, 2025, the 2-year Treasury yields of the US, UK, and Germany were 3.980%, 4.018%, and 1.938% respectively [3]. - Latest changes in yields had different trends, such as the US up 0.100 and South Korea down -0.024 [3]. - One-year changes also differed greatly, like the US down -0.990 and Japan up 0.423 [3]. Exchange Rates - On May 14, 2025, the US dollar to Brazilian real exchange rate was 5.638, and the latest change was 0.53% [3]. - The onshore and offshore RMB exchange rates were 7.208 and 7.211 respectively, with latest changes of 0.05% and 0.17% [3]. - One-year changes in exchange rates showed various trends, such as the US dollar to Brazilian real up 11.06% and the US dollar to Malaysian ringgit down -9.52% [3]. Stock Indices - On May 14, 2025, the S&P 500 index was 5892.580, and the latest change was 0.10% [3]. - The Hang Seng Index was 23640.650, with a latest change of 2.30% [3]. - One-year changes in stock indices also varied, like the S&P 500 up 13.74% and the French CAC down -2.00% [3]. Credit Bond Indices - Latest changes in credit bond indices showed different trends, with the US investment - grade credit bond index down -0.30% and the euro - zone high - yield credit bond index unchanged at 0.00% [3][4]. - One - year changes were positive across the board, with the US investment - grade credit bond index up 4.70% and the emerging economies high - yield credit bond index up 12.31% [4]. Stock Index Futures Trading Data Index Performance - The closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, and SSE 50 were 3403.95, 3943.21, and 2753.79 respectively, with corresponding daily increases of 0.86%, 1.21%, and 1.69% [5]. Valuation - The PE (TTM) of CSI 300, SSE 50, and S&P 500 were 12.72, 11.08, and 25.21 respectively, with环比 changes of 0.15, 0.15, and 0.03 [5]. Fund Flows - The latest net inflow of A - shares was 149.28, while the 5 - day average was -304.29 [5]. Trading Volume - The latest trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 13167.27, with a环比 increase of 252.02 [5]. Basis and Spread - The basis of IF, IH, and IC were -35.81, -16.19, and -101.32 respectively, with corresponding spreads of -0.91%, -0.59%, and -1.75% [5]. Treasury Futures Trading Data Closing Prices and Price Changes - The closing prices of T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 were 108.535, 105.810, 108.690, and 106.080 respectively, with price increases of 0.17%, 0.06%, 0.15%, and 0.04% [6]. Funding Rates - The R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M were 1.4412%, 1.5440%, and 1.6530% respectively, with daily changes of -9.00 BP, 1.00 BP, and -1.00 BP [6].

Group 1 - The NIFTY 50 and SENSEX indices in India rose by 2% [1] - The NSE volatility index decreased to 17.4, marking the lowest level since May 2 [1] - The rise in indices follows a ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan [1]

Report Overview - The report is a macro team report from the research center, titled "Large Asset Morning Report", dated May 9, 2025, presenting global asset market performance, stock index futures trading data, and treasury bond futures trading data [1] Global Asset Market Performance 10-Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies - On May 8, 2025, the 10-year treasury yields of the US, UK, France, etc. were 4.380, 4.545, 3.239 respectively. The latest changes were 0.109, 0.087, 0.045; weekly changes were 0.170, 0.037, 0.003; monthly changes were 0.194, -0.069, -0.158; annual changes were -0.325, 0.184, 0.112 [2] 2-Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies - On May 8, 2025, the 2-year treasury yields of the US, UK, Germany, etc. were 3.780, 3.921, 1.769 respectively. The latest changes were 0.180, 0.124, 0.059; weekly changes were 0.010, 0.062, 0.030; monthly changes were -0.030, -0.069, -0.005; annual changes were -1.080, -0.550, -1.239 [2] Dollar Exchange Rates Against Major Emerging Market Currencies - On May 8, 2025, the dollar exchange rates against the Brazilian real, Russian ruble, South African rand, etc. were 5.663, - , 18.201 respectively. The latest changes were -1.43%, - , -0.35%; weekly changes were 0.14%, - , -1.75%; monthly changes were -4.25%, - , -7.42%; annual changes were 9.77%, - , -4.37% [2] Stock Indices of Major Economies - On May 8, 2025, the closing prices of the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq, etc. were 5663.940, 41368.450, 17928.140 respectively. The latest changes were 0.58%, 0.62%, 1.07%; weekly changes were 2.45%, 2.84%, 3.24%; monthly changes were 11.89%, 8.96%, 14.90%; annual changes were 12.19%, 8.62%, 14.84% [2] Credit Bond Indices - The latest changes in the US investment-grade credit bond index, eurozone investment-grade credit bond index, and emerging market investment-grade credit bond index were -0.40%, -0.07%, -0.23% respectively; weekly changes were -0.88%, -0.04%, -0.38%; monthly changes were 0.28%, 1.33%, 0.22%; annual changes were 7.02%, 6.35%, 7.53% [2] Stock Index Futures Trading Data Index Performance - The closing prices of A-shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, etc. were 3352.00, 3852.90, 2679.51 respectively, with changes of 0.28%, 0.56%, 0.33% [3] Valuation - The PE (TTM) of the CSI 300, SSE 50, and CSI 500 were 12.45, 10.81, 29.04 respectively, with环比 changes of 0.04, 0.00, 0.17 [3] Risk Premium - The risk premiums of the S&P 500 and German DAX (1/PE - 10-year interest rate) were -0.25, 2.80 respectively, with环比 changes of -0.13, -0.12 [3] Fund Flows - The latest values of A-shares, the main board, and the GEM were 178.56, 85.42, 96.57 respectively [3] Trading Volume - The latest trading volumes of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, and SSE 50 were 12933.77, 2469.87, 634.09 respectively, with环比 changes of -1749.40, -390.24, -172.46 [3] Basis - The basis of IF, IH, and IC were -36.90, -14.71, -113.81 respectively, with amplitudes of -0.96%, -0.55%, -1.97% [3] Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - The closing prices of T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 were 109.060, 106.180, 109.215, 106.515 respectively, with changes of -0.18%, -0.06%, -0.18%, -0.04% [4] - The funding rates of R001, R007, and SHIBOR-3M were 1.5757%, 1.6477%, 1.7200% respectively, with daily changes of -13.00, -6.00, -2.00 [4]

金融期货日报 股指 ◆ 核心观点： 特朗普喊"买股票"，再批鲍威尔动作慢，称他什么都不懂，几乎没有通胀。 英美就关税贸易协议条款达成一致，细节待敲定；特朗普称对英协议并非模 板，10%或是最低，他国关税可能更高。欧盟将就美关税向世贸组织提出诉 讼，并准备对 950 亿欧元自美国进口产品采取反制措施，拿汽车、飞机和威 士忌"开刀"。关注近期的中美会谈，股指或震荡运行。 ◆ 策略建议： 震荡偏强 国债 ◆ 核心观点： 后续走势上，如果中短端仍继续强势，曲线陡峭化也会让长端有一定性价比， 在没有利空环境下，长端或出现补涨。央行大概率仍会继续净投放，参考之 前发行，可能会先营造较好的情绪，压低一级发行利率，但午后可能开始避 险周末中美谈判，不过目前市场对谈判达成成果的预期不高，可能调整也不 会有太大空间，下周还会陆续公布 4 月份经济金融数据，整体利好债市。 ◆ 策略建议： 短期看好 研究咨询部 2025-05-09 公司资质 长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业 务资格：鄂证监期货字{2014}1 号 金融期货团队 研究员： 彭博 从业编号：F3080600 投资咨询编号：Z0021839 研究员： 张志恒 从业编号：F ...

| | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要经济体10年期国债收益率 | | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | 英国 | 法国 | 德国 | 意大利 | 西班牙 | 瑞士 | 希腊 | | 2025/05/07 | 4.297 | 4.512 | 3.257 | 2.539 | 3.626 | 3.191 | 0.280 | 3.369 | | 最新变化 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | | 一周变化 | 0.060 | 0.034 | 0.070 | 0.071 | 0.053 | 0.070 | -0.099 | 0.079 | | 一月变化 | 0.267 | -0.007 | -0.120 | -0.111 | -0.145 | -0.112 | -0.162 | -0.088 | | 一年变化 | -0.346 | 0.179 | 0.167 | ...

Group 1 - The US dollar has depreciated against the Canadian dollar by approximately 0.4%, reaching a daily low of 1.3766, coinciding with a meeting between US President Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Carney [1] - The Canadian stock index initially declined, hitting a daily low of 24865.49 points before rebounding to a daily high of 25025.09 points [1] Group 2 - The yield on Canadian 10-year government bonds experienced a V-shaped reversal, increasing by over 2 basis points and approaching a daily high of 3.214% [4]

股指可考虑节前防守，国 债短期看好 2025-04-28 长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业务资格：鄂证监期货字[2014]1号 长江期货股份有限公司研究咨询部 研究员：彭 博 执业编号：F3090600 投资咨询号：Z0021839 研究员：张志恒 执业编号：F03102085 投资咨询号：Z0021210 金融期货策略建议 重点数据跟踪 目 录 0102 01 金融期货策略建议 资料来源：iFinD、华尔街见闻、长江期货 p 核心观点：特朗普：谈成200份协议，美日协议"非常接近" ，关税不太可能再暂缓90天。中共中央政 治局会议：统筹国内经济工作和国际经贸斗争，根据形势变化及时推出增量储备政策。中国一季度规模 以上工业企业利润由降转增，同比增长0.8%。中国六部门：下调离境退税起退点至200元，现金退税 限额上调至2万元。国家市场监管总局：长和港口交易各方不得采取任何方式规避反垄断审查。特朗普 虚张声势，扰动市场。会议对一季度以来的经济评价是"经济呈现向好态势，社会信心持续提振，高质 量发展扎实推进" ，表明高层对今年以来的经济表现是比较满意的，国内战略定力强，股指或震荡运行， 节前难出重大利好政策，股指较 ...