Core Insights - PriceSmart, Inc. reported strong financial performance in its fiscal first quarter of 2026, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.29, slightly above estimates of $1.28, and revenue of approximately $1.38 billion, exceeding forecasts of $1.36 billion [2][6] Financial Performance - The company's revenue increased by 9.9% from the previous year's $1.26 billion, demonstrating consistent growth [2] - Net merchandise sales grew by 10.6%, reaching $1.35 billion, up from $1.22 billion in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, with comparable net merchandise sales rising by 8.0% [3][6] - Foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations contributed an additional $13.8 million, or 1.1%, to net merchandise sales [3] Valuation Metrics - PriceSmart's shares have risen by nearly 40% over the past year, trading at 23 times forward earnings, which is considered a discount compared to Costco [4][6] - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is approximately 25.92, with a price-to-sales ratio and enterprise value to sales ratio both at about 0.74, indicating favorable valuation relative to its sales and earnings [4] Financial Health - PriceSmart maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.14 and a current ratio of around 1.33, indicating strong liquidity [5] - The enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio is approximately 13.51, reflecting the company's ability to cover its enterprise value with operating cash flow [5] Growth Potential - The company has plans to expand in Costa Rica, demonstrating growth potential in underpenetrated markets [5]

1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Report's Core View - No clear core view presented in the content 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Global Asset Market Performance - **10 - Year Treasury Bonds**: Yields of 10 - year Treasury bonds in major economies are as follows: US 4.174, UK 4.480, France 3.553, Germany 2.841, Italy 3.533, Spain 3.270, Switzerland 0.246, Greece 3.413, Brazil 6.190, China 1.876, Australia 4.793, New Zealand 4.509 [3] - **2 - Year Treasury Bonds**: Yields of 2 - year Treasury bonds in major economies are: US 3.464, UK 3.693, Germany 2.098, Japan 1.179, Italy 2.204, China (1Y yield) 1.341, Australia 4.084 [3] - **Exchange Rates**: The latest exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies are: Brazil 5.376, South Africa zar 16.356, South Korean won 1447.500, Thai baht 31.245, Malaysian ringgit 4.047. The latest onshore RMB is 6.984, offshore RMB is 6.981, RMB central parity is 7.017, and RMB 12 - month NDF is 6.864 [3] - **Stock Indices**: The latest values of major economy stock indices are: S&P 500 6944.820, Dow Jones Industrial Average 49462.080, Nasdaq 23547.170, Mexican index 65022.240, UK index 10122.730, France CAC 8237.430, Germany DAX 24892.200, Spanish index 17647.100, Japanese Nikkei 52518.080, Hong Kong Hang Seng Index 26710.450, Shanghai Composite Index 4083.667, Taiwan index 30576.300, South Korean index 4525.480, Indian index 8933.609, Thai index 1274.750, Malaysian index 1672.350, Australian index 8996.918, emerging - economy index 1467.160 [3] - **Credit Bond Indices**: The latest values of credit bond indices are: US investment - grade credit bond index 3545.480, euro - zone investment - grade credit bond index 266.170, emerging - economy investment - grade credit bond index 290.480, US high - yield credit bond index 2921.870, euro - zone high - yield credit bond index 411.440, emerging - economy high - yield credit bond index 1827.901 [3] Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: The closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 are 4083.67, 4790.69, 3158.76, 3319.29, and 7814.14 respectively, with daily percentage changes of 1.50%, 1.55%, 1.90%, 0.75%, and 2.13% [4] - **Valuation**: The PE (TTM) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and Germany DAX are 14.52, 12.13, 35.38, 27.74, and 19.26 respectively, with环比 changes of 0.19, 0.15, 0.71, 0.17, and 0.01 [4] - **Risk Premium**: The risk premium for S&P 500 (1/PE - 10 - year rate) is - 0.57 with a环比 change of - 0.04, and for Germany DAX is 2.35 with a环比 change of 0.02 [4] - **Fund Flows**: The latest fund flow values for A - shares, main board, ChiNext, and CSI 300 are 631.23, 552.00, 78.91, and 396.75 respectively. The 5 - day average values are - 65.98, - 129.00, 41.00, and 104.37 respectively [4] Other Trading Data - **Transaction Amount**: The latest transaction amounts of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, CSI 300, SSE 50, small - and medium - sized board, and ChiNext are 28065.07, 7254.15, 1800.48, 5735.57, and 7565.29 respectively, with环比 changes of 2602.36, 948.38, 104.86, 498.64, and 603.11 [5] - **Main Contract Basis and Spread**: The basis of IF, IH, and IC are - 12.69, 3.04, and - 27.74 respectively, with spreads of - 0.26%, 0.10%, and - 0.35% [5] - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The closing prices of T2303, TF2303, T2306, and TF2306 are 107.70, 105.57, 107.66, and 105.57 respectively, with daily percentage changes of - 0.14%, - 0.13%, - 0.18%, and - 0.14% [5] - **Funding Rates**: The funding rates of R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M are 1.3302%, 1.4930%, and 1.5960% respectively, with daily changes of - 16.00 BP, 0.00 BP, and 0.00 BP [5]

Core Viewpoint - In 2026, the global debt issue will present three main solutions: real growth exceeding real interest rates (growth-based debt reduction), inflation exceeding expectations (inflation-based debt reduction), and fiscal tightening (fiscal-based debt reduction). Both AI and gold are expected to benefit from these paths, forming a dual mainline logic for asset performance [1] Group 1: A-Share Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to maintain a "slow bull" pattern in 2026, driven by a profound change in corporate profit structures despite ongoing weakness in real estate, infrastructure, consumption, social financing, and PPI [1] - The net asset return on equity (ROE) for non-financial enterprises in the A-share market has stabilized over several quarters, with profits from eight advanced manufacturing industries now accounting for 38% of total profits [1] - Companies with overseas operations have seen their overseas revenue share increase to 20%, with overseas market gross margins exceeding domestic margins by 5 percentage points, which may drive a rebound in overall A-share ROE after stabilization [1] Group 2: Investment Directions - Investment focus should be on industries with constrained supply and clear prosperity trends, such as the AI industry chain, which has strong capital expenditure demand and limited short-term supply release [1] - Other sectors to consider include energy storage and metals, which have undergone capacity clearing [1] - Tactically, it is recommended to utilize market adjustments to position for the spring rally, prioritizing the aforementioned high-prosperity sectors [1]

债券研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 【债券日报】 转债市场日度跟踪 20251231 (1) 收盘价：大周期环比+0.18%、制造环比-0.02%、科技环比+0.86%、大消费 环比+0.49%、大金融环比-0.76%。 (2) 转股溢价率：大周期环比+0.45pct、制造环比+0.9pct、科技环比-0.7pct、大 消费环比+0.15pct、大金融环比+0.22pct。 市场概况：12 月 31 日转债过半行业上涨，估值环比抬升 指数表现：中证转债指数环比上涨 0.02%、上证综指环比上涨 0.09%、深证成 指环比下降 0.58%、创业板指环比下降 1.23%、上证 50 指数环比下降 0.18%、 中证 1000 指数环比下降 0.03%。 市场风格：中盘价值相对占优。大盘成长环比下降 0.82%、大盘价值环比下降 0.13%、中盘成长环比下降 0.42%、中盘价值环比上涨 0.45%、小盘成长环比 上涨 0.14%、小盘价值环比下降 0.17%。 资金表现：转债市场成交情绪减弱。可转债市场成交额为 746.80 亿元，环比 减少 0.50%；万得全 A 总成交额为 20657.88 亿元，环比减少 4 ...

本周多家券商策略看好开门红行情。主题与业绩双线作战，也被普遍提及。 | | | 一周策略前瞻 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 券商/分析师 结论 | 逻辑 | | 关注板块 | | 兴证策略 张启尧 | 开门红可期,1月两个潜在变化 | 首先,支撑前期躁动的流动性因素,在1月仍 在后看,随着业绩预告进一步为最气线 | | | | 具备一定延续性并有望进一步深化。如险资 | | 索提供指引,后续市场的上涨结构也有 | | | "开门红"预期下,中长期资金入市值得期 | | 望进一步扩散,而对于前期基本面支撑 | | | 待。年末业绩考核期过后机构资金风险偏好 | | 偏弱的主题板块也需要阶段性警惕调整 | | | 抬升,开启新一年布局等。 | | 风险。 | | | 并且,前期人民币升值为流动性和风险偏好 | | 高景气的上游算力硬件(通信设备、元 | | | | 创造的偏暖环境,在1月仍有进一步演绎的空 件、半导体);新能源（光伏设备、电 | | | | 间，汇率市场与资本市场的春季躁动行情有 | | 池、风电设备）、军工（航海装备）、 | | | 望形成共振。 | | 汽车 ...

Core Viewpoint - Waymo is negotiating a new round of financing with a proposed valuation of $100 billion, which corresponds to 280 times its latest annual revenue, significantly higher than other ride-hailing platforms [3][12] Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - Waymo has completed over 14 million paid autonomous rides, doubling its volume compared to 2024, and has achieved an annual revenue exceeding $350 million from services in five cities [4][13] - Analysts predict that Waymo's annual revenue could reach at least $2.5 billion by 2030 if growth rates meet expectations [4][14] - If annual revenue reaches $2.5 billion, Waymo's expected valuation multiple would drop to 40 times revenue, contrasting sharply with Uber and Lyft, which have valuation multiples below 3 times [5][14] Group 2: Market Expansion and Diversification - Waymo plans to expand beyond ride-hailing services into local delivery and long-haul freight, and eventually license its autonomous driving technology to car manufacturers [7][16] - A partnership with DoorDash to launch autonomous delivery services in Phoenix is seen as a potential stepping stone for further business expansion [7][16] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Waymo's operational costs per mile are currently around $1.43, compared to Tesla's $0.81, although Waymo aims to reduce its costs to between $0.99 and $1.08 by 2026 [9][19] - Waymo has a regulatory advantage over competitors like Tesla and Zoox, which have not yet received approval for paid ride services in operational cities [10][20] - The company’s early market entry and aggressive expansion strategy could create a deeper competitive moat compared to Uber, which currently has a market value significantly higher than its competitors [10][20]

| | | | 冠 | | --- | 大类资产早报 研究中心宏观团队 2025/12/30 | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要经济体10年期国债 | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | | 英国 | 法国 | 德国 | 意大利 | 西班牙 | 瑞士 | 希腊 | | 最新 | 4.111 | 4.486 | 3.524 | 2.828 | 3.503 | 3.249 | 0.263 | 3.393 | | 日本 | | 巴西 | 中国 | 韩国 | 澳大利亚 | 新西兰 | | | | 最新 | 2.045 | 6.156 | 1.854 | - | 4.755 | 4.439 | | | | 主要经济体2年期国债 | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | | 英国 | 德国 | 日本 | 意大利 | 中国（1Y收益 率） | 韩国 | 澳大利亚 | | 最新 | 3.456 | 3.715 | 2.114 | 1.151 | 2.2 ...

Market Overview - The market is perceived as healthy, with a belief that the tech pullback is not indicative of a broader market decline, as many stocks are still performing well [1][2] - Predictions for 2026 suggest a total return of 12% to 15% for the market, indicating continued optimism [3][4] - Historical patterns show that after significant market volatility, such as a 15% decline, the following year typically sees an average increase of 20% [5] Stock Performance - Recent data indicates an increase in the number of stocks reaching 52-week highs on the NYSE, suggesting broad market strength beyond just technology [2] - Micron's recent strong performance is highlighted, with its stock price showing significant gains, although it has not yet surpassed its yearly highs [6][7] - Concerns remain about the concentration of the S&P 500, where 40% of the index is made up of a few large stocks, which could pose risks if any of these stocks falter [7][8] Sector Analysis - There is a cautious sentiment among investors regarding certain sectors, with some stocks like Oracle and Costco being viewed as overvalued [11][12] - Defensive stocks and biotechs are currently performing well, while oil stocks are underperforming [11] - Developed international markets are gaining attention, with countries like Japan and Germany reaching all-time highs, suggesting potential investment opportunities outside the U.S. [15][16] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain a dovish stance, with potential interest rate cuts anticipated, which could influence market dynamics [19][20] - Retail sales data and earnings reports have been solid, indicating a resilient economy despite concerns about the labor market [21]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation challenges faced by various industries in the A-share market, highlighting that despite global competitiveness, many sectors are undervalued due to market dynamics and investor behavior [1][10]. Group 1: Industry Valuations - Home Appliances: Midea (13x), Haier (12.3x), Hisense (12.73x) [1] - Engineering Machinery: Sany (23.6x), XCMG (20x), Zoomlion (17x) [2] - Forklifts: Hangcha (16x), Heli (14x) [2] - Tires: Zhongce (12x), Sailun (16x), Senqilin (14x) [2] - Heavy Trucks: China National Heavy Duty Truck (12x) [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The industries mentioned are characterized by low-frequency consumption and strong cyclicality, leading to fluctuating performance and valuations based on government subsidies and market conditions [1][2]. - The article suggests that a P/E ratio around 15x is reasonable for stable growth industries, providing a risk premium over ten-year government bonds [1][2]. Group 3: Investment Behavior - Institutional investors hold significant pricing power in these markets, making it challenging for individual investors to influence valuations [1][2]. - The article emphasizes that high expectations can lead to investment disasters, and that long-term returns may be better for established companies despite their low valuations [3][10]. Group 4: Valuation as an Incentive Mechanism - Valuation is described as an incentive mechanism that reflects market competition and societal evolution, where higher valuations encourage innovation and investment in growth sectors like technology [4][5][6]. - Conversely, traditional industries with stable earnings often receive lower valuations due to a lack of societal encouragement for new investments [7][10]. Group 5: Global Comparisons - The article notes that mature manufacturing companies globally, such as Toyota and Caterpillar, also exhibit low valuation multiples, indicating a broader trend beyond the A-share market [14][15][16].

Group 1 - The report indicates that in the week from December 15 to December 19, 2025, overseas markets experienced more declines than gains, with slight valuation changes. The Asia-Pacific region saw a broad decline, led by South Korea, while the Eurozone and the UK saw increases. Notably, the Nikkei 225 and the Korean Composite Index fell by 2.61% and 3.52%, respectively, but their P/E ratios expanded by 0.92x and 2.57x, indicating downward revisions in earnings expectations [3][8]. - In the same week, A-shares showed narrow fluctuations with slight valuation expansion. The large-cap value stocks outperformed growth stocks, with large-cap value rising by 1.52% while large-cap growth fell by 1.39%. The report highlights that the valuation distribution is asymmetric, with significant P/E contractions in small-cap growth and the National Index 2000 [3][23]. - The report notes that the downstream consumer sector has a favorable valuation attractiveness. The communication sector has the highest valuation percentiles, with rolling 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year averages of 96.80%, 98.93%, and 99.36%, respectively. Other consumer sectors like social services and beauty care also show relatively high valuation attractiveness [3][26]. Group 2 - The report highlights that the new energy sector experienced a broad decline, with photovoltaic stocks leading the drop at -3.91%. However, sectors such as insurance and military industry performed well, indicating a divergence in sector performance. The report also notes that some industries, like artificial intelligence and new energy, saw significant P/E expansions despite falling stock prices, reflecting downward revisions in profit expectations [3][23]. - The report provides a detailed valuation comparison of various indices, indicating that the core broad-based indices (CSI 300, Shanghai Composite, and Wind All A) are all above the 75th percentile level since 2010. In contrast, other indices are positioned between the median and the 75th percentile [3][28]. - The report concludes that large-cap growth stocks have superior valuation attractiveness, with their P/E, P/B, and P/S ratios showing higher percentile rankings compared to small-cap value stocks, which have lower valuation attractiveness across multiple time frames [3][26].