11月29日，在中国经济时报社主办的经济前瞻论坛2025年会上，与会专家学者聚焦"'十五五'：奋力推动高质量发展"主题，围绕"十五五"时期面临的形 势、高质量发展需要推动落实的重点任务、重要领域发展趋势及其中蕴含的机遇等展开深入讨论。 经济前瞻论坛2025年会现场 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请 读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱：news_center@staff.hexun.com 大消费既需要短期措施，也需要长期政策，更重要的是短期政策与长期政策的密切配合与有效搭配。提高居民消费率要与降低居民储蓄率统筹施策，扩大居 民消费要高度注重居民收入占比的提高，优化供给结构与收入分配结构的有效对接，同时进一步优化扩大消费环境。 国家数据发展研究院院长胡坚波在题为《释放数据要素价值，助力数字中国建设》的演讲中，围绕"十五五"期间以数据要素为核心的数字经济发展，提 出以下观点：要释放数据要素价值，需深化制度创新，特别是通过"三权分置"明确数据持有权、使用权与经营权，为数据流通交易奠定基础； ...

Group 1: Economic Development Goals - The provincial government emphasizes the importance of unifying thoughts and actions to align with the spirit of the 11th Plenary Session, focusing on strategic determination and confidence in achieving modernization [1][2] - The "1+2+4+N" target task system is highlighted as a framework for planning the "15th Five-Year" development blueprint, aiming for high-quality economic growth [2][5] Group 2: Technological Innovation - The provincial government aims to enhance technological innovation to support economic and social development, focusing on key technological breakthroughs and the integration of technology with industry [1] - The provincial science and technology department plans to promote collaborative efforts among enterprises, universities, and research institutions to tackle core technologies and facilitate the application of scientific achievements [1] Group 3: Financial Sector Initiatives - The financial regulatory system in the province is tasked with enhancing quality financial supply to support high-quality economic development, focusing on consumer expansion and stable foreign trade [5] - There is a commitment to improving financial services for small and micro enterprises, ensuring better access to financing, and supporting rural revitalization through tailored financial products [5] Group 4: Transportation Infrastructure - The transportation department aims to build a strong transportation province by addressing bottlenecks in the national market and enhancing the modern infrastructure system [3] - The focus will be on high-quality development in transportation, integrating various modes of transport, and improving safety and efficiency [3] Group 5: Agricultural Modernization - The agricultural sector is set to strengthen food security and enhance the rural economy by developing a modern rural industry system and improving agricultural disaster response capabilities [4] - The initiative includes creating a comprehensive service system for agriculture and promoting rural infrastructure and governance improvements [4]

数据显示，11月份，在13个中国制造业PMI分项指数中，生产指数、新订单指数、新出口订单指数、在 手订单指数、采购量指数、进口指数、主要原材料购进价格指数、出厂价格指数、从业人员指数、供应 商配送时间指数和生产经营活动预期指数均较上月有所上升，升幅在0.1至1.7个百分点之间；原材料库 存指数与上月持平；产成品库存指数较上月有所下降，降幅为0.8个百分点。其中，新出口订单指数为 47.6%，较上月上升1.7个百分点，升幅是上述13个分项指数中最大的。 新华财经北京11月30日电（记者安娜）11月份，反映宏观经济运行情况的重要先行指标——中国制造业 采购经理指数（PMI）止降回升，特别是制造业出口相关分项指数表现亮眼，成为带动市场需求恢复， 支撑中国制造业PMI回升的重要力量。 国家统计局服务业调查中心、中国物流与采购联合会11月30日发布的数据显示，11月份，中国制造业 PMI为49.2%，较上月上升0.2个百分点，景气水平有所改善。 "11月份中国制造业PMI小幅回升，表明市场信心有所改善。四中全会精神全面贯彻落实，'十五五'发展 目标鼓舞人心，都对市场信心产生了积极影响。"国务院发展研究中心宏观经济研究部 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trends in China's manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors, highlighting improvements in manufacturing PMI and challenges in the non-manufacturing sector due to seasonal factors and economic pressures [3][10]. Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for November is reported at 49.2%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a modest recovery in market confidence [3][4]. - New export orders index rose to 47.6%, up by 1.7 percentage points, reflecting a stabilization in manufacturing exports across various industries, including high-tech and consumer goods [5]. - The production index for manufacturing stands at 50%, indicating a return to the expansion zone after a brief contraction, with equipment manufacturing, high-tech manufacturing, and consumer goods all showing positive growth [4][5]. - Finished goods inventory index decreased to 47.3%, suggesting smoother sales activities for enterprises [6]. - Raw material prices are on the rise, with the purchasing price index at 53.6%, indicating upward pressure on production costs [8]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index fell to 49.5%, down 0.6 percentage points, primarily due to the seasonal decline in consumer-related services following the holiday peak [10][11]. - The construction industry showed improvement with a business activity index of 49.6%, indicating a slight recovery in construction activities [11]. - Despite the slowdown in non-manufacturing activities, there are positive indicators such as sustained financial activities and optimism in the construction sector, which may support economic stability towards year-end [11].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trends in China's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for November, indicating a mixed economic outlook with slight improvements in manufacturing but a slowdown in non-manufacturing sectors [2][6]. Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for November is reported at 49.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, suggesting an improvement in market confidence [2][3]. - Key indices such as production, new orders, and procurement volume have shown increases, with production index at 50.0% and new orders at 49.2%, indicating recovery in both production and demand [3][4]. - Analysts expect that December will see a stabilization and potential recovery in manufacturing demand, driven by year-end consumption and festive activities [5]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index decreased to 49.5%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting a slowdown in service-related activities [6][7]. - The decline is attributed to the high base effect from the previous month’s holiday season, impacting sectors like retail, hospitality, and transportation [7]. - However, financial services and information services have shown resilience, with indices above 55%, indicating robust growth in these areas [7]. Investment Outlook - Despite the slowdown in some service sectors, the construction business activity index rose to 49.6%, marking the second increase in the second half of the year [8]. - The business activity expectation index for construction is at 57.9%, indicating renewed confidence among construction firms [8]. - Analysts predict that with the acceleration of key projects and supportive policies, investment will continue to play a crucial role in stabilizing economic growth towards the end of the year [8].

随着稳增长政策不断落地见效，以及10月末中美经贸会谈取得积极成果，国家统计局11月30日发布的11 月份中国制造业采购经理指数（PMI）为49.2%，比上月上升0.2个百分点。 受上月黄金周假期高基数影响，消费相关服务业活动呈现淡季回落特征。11月份，非制造业商务活动指 数为49.5%，比上月下降0.6个百分点。综合PMI产出指数为49.7%，比上月下降0.3个百分点。 中国物流与采购联合会特约分析师张立群认为，11月份制造业PMI指数小幅回升，表明市场信心有所改 善。"十五五"发展目标鼓舞人心，对市场信心产生积极影响。同时也要注意到制造业PMI指数仍处于荣 枯线之下，市场引导的需求收缩仍比较突出，经济仍有下行压力。 张立群强调，要围绕"十五五"良好开局进一步加强宏观经济政策逆周期调节力度，显著加大政府公共产 品、公共服务投资规模，有效有力带动企业订单增加，尽快扭转市场引导的需求收缩发展趋势。 尽管国际经济环境仍然复杂，但中美经贸磋商达成主要成果共识带动11月我国外贸环境有所改善，制造 业出口也趋稳运行。新出口订单指数为47.6%，较上月上升1.7个百分点，指数升幅较为明显。出口趋稳 运行带动制造业市场需求整 ...

Core Points - The meeting emphasized the importance of implementing the "15th Five-Year Plan" for economic and social development in Hunan Province, aligning with the "Three Highs and Four News" blueprint for modernization [5][6][8] - The meeting highlighted the achievements during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, attributing success to the guidance of the central leadership and the implementation of Xi Jinping's thoughts [5][6] - The meeting called for a focus on high-quality development, innovation, and effective governance to address current challenges and improve public services [7][8] Summary by Sections Meeting Overview - The 9th Plenary Session of the 12th Hunan Provincial Committee was held in Changsha, focusing on the "15th Five-Year Plan" and the implementation of the spirit of the 20th Central Committee [1][3] Achievements and Guidance - The "14th Five-Year Plan" was described as extraordinary, with significant progress made under the leadership of Xi Jinping, who provided direction during his visits to Hunan [5][6] Strategic Focus for the Future - The meeting stressed the need to understand the significance of the "15th Five-Year Plan" in the context of achieving socialist modernization, emphasizing the importance of adapting to changing circumstances [6][7] Implementation Strategies - Key strategies include adhering to high-quality development, leveraging technological innovation, and enhancing resource allocation efficiency [7][8] - The meeting also highlighted the importance of addressing social issues and improving public service delivery while maintaining a focus on safety and stability [8] Current Priorities - The meeting outlined immediate priorities, including completing annual economic goals, preparing the "15th Five-Year Plan," and addressing feedback from central inspections [8]

# 读者福利 ， 欢迎留言互动， 12 月 5 日前，平台随机从留言中选取 1 位读者获赠本期推 荐好书！ 内容简介 读懂 " 十五五 " 重大任务、关键路径和发展机遇， 精准把握当下和未来 "十五五"时期是中国迈向第二个百年奋斗目标、基本实现社会主义现代化的 战略决胜期。科学谋划好"十五五"规划，对于指导未来五年乃至更长时间的 经济社会发展具有重要意义。 本书由张军扩、蔡昉、朱克力等权威经济学家领衔，联合多位政策制定者、智库 学者与行业专家，聚焦"十五五"时期中国经济发展的核心命题，从宏观形势与经 济运行、新质生产力与高质量发展、数智赋能与未来产业、全面深化改革与制度 创新、财政金融与政策转型、"反内卷"与区域协调发展、投资于人与民生服务七 大维度展开系统分析，全面阐述这一时期的发展理念、指导方针、主要目标和战 略布局。 《读懂"十五五"：高质量发展新征程》 张军扩 蔡昉 朱克力 等著 中信出版集团 出版 通过理论解读、政策研判与案例剖析，本书揭示了中国经济转型的底层逻辑与未 来机遇，为政府与企业提供前瞻性指引，助力实现高质量发展与民生福祉的协同 提升，帮助读者把握宏观大势，科学制定决策。 作者简介 张军扩 ...

Core Points - The training session for provincial political consultative committee members aims to deeply study and implement the spirit of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session of the Communist Party of China [1][2] - Emphasis on unifying thoughts and actions with the Central Committee's decisions for the "14th Five-Year Plan" period and contributing to the modernization of Shaanxi [1] - The importance of enhancing political awareness, confidence, and maintaining the leadership of the Party is highlighted [1][2] Summary by Sections - **Training Session Objectives** - The session is designed to promote understanding of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session and its implications for economic and social development [1] - The goal is to gather consensus and wisdom to support the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the modernization efforts in Shaanxi [1] - **Key Messages from Xu Xinrong** - Xu stresses the need for all committee members to learn and implement the session's spirit as a major political task [2] - Members are encouraged to engage with the community to promote unity and positive energy for development [2] - The focus is on improving capabilities in political judgment, research, community engagement, and collaboration [2] - **Commitment to High-Quality Development** - The committee is urged to maintain a culture of direct communication, practical effectiveness, and integrity [2] - Members are expected to align their actions with the major deployments of the 20th Central Committee to contribute to the province's development [2]

党建领航，奋进新程。2025年11月25日，中共北京恒昌公益基金会流动党员支部委员会(简称：恒昌公 益流动党员党支部)正式获批成立，这标志着恒昌公益党建工作迈入协同发展、规范提升的全新阶段。 恒昌公益流动党员党支部正式成立大会 为深入学习贯彻党的创新理论，推动党建工作与公益实践深度融合，恒昌公益党员及志愿者代表同步开 展《深刻理解"十五五"时期的重要地位》专题党课学习，进一步提高对党和国家未来发展战略的领会， 为助力公益事业高质量发展注入红色动能。 党建新起点 公益新征程 在全面建设社会主义现代化国家的新征程中，公益事业作为第三次分配的重要载体，其健康发展直接关 系到共同富裕目标的实现。而公益事业的党建引领，是将党的政治优势、组织优势与公益组织的专业优 势、灵活性优势深度融合的关键机制，能有效提升公益组织自身的战斗力。 成立仪式在庄严的《中华人民共和国国歌》声中拉开帷幕。全体党员握拳过肩、逐字重温入党誓词，铮 铮誓言既是对入党初心的回溯，也是对践行公益使命的再宣誓。 关于同意成立北京恒昌公益基金会流动党员党支部的批复 党支部书记宋贵龙首先宣读了上级党委《关于同意成立北京恒昌公益基金会流动党员党支部的批复》， ...