今日，A股市场震荡分化，三大指数盘中冲高，沪指再度创出年内新高，但受限于量能小 幅萎缩，资金承接力度不足，三大指数尾盘回落，最终悉数收跌。 盘面上，券商板块也是多数走低，国泰海通跌超4%，银行股集体大涨，工商银行、农业 银行、建设银行、中国银行、江苏银行、南京银行、杭州银行、北京银行等继续创历史新 高 ， 代 表 地 缘 变 数 的 油 气 股 快 速 反 弹 ， 准 油 股 份 冲 击 涨 停 ， 科 力 股 份 、 山 东 墨 龙 涨 超 7%，通源石油、神开股份、贝肯能源等跟涨。 01 一则消息引爆市场 近期，指数大涨，券商板块持续走强，很多人开始在拿这几天的行情去和去年9 2 4的行情 对比了。 924是牛市预期，引发了券商的上涨。 而这次是券商上涨，引发了牛市预期。 大家好好理解一下这里里面的逻辑关系。为什么说券商是渣男，其实不是券商渣，是人们 的认知太单一，券商一涨就觉得牛要来了。 但是我们要明白， 牛市只是券商上涨因素之一，不上上涨的唯一因素。 复盘往年中报行情，大致从6月开始提前启动，至于是上旬、中旬、还是下旬，则每年不 一定。 券商也可以因为别的因素上涨。而这轮券商上涨， 摩研君认为是一则有 ...

6月26日港股市场，北水成交净买入52.86亿港元，其中港股通(沪)成交净买入32.41亿港元，港股通(深) 成交净买入20.45亿港元。 中芯国际(00981)获净买入8.96亿港元。消息面上，美拟收紧半导体技术豁免。东方证券指出，台积电、 三星电子和SK海力士等半导体制造商在中国大陆的工厂在其全球供应链中具有重要地位。这些工厂同 时具有中国大陆的市场、政策、资源和人才等成本优势，及母公司的技术和设备优势。若豁免权取消， 其相较本土晶圆厂竞争设备和技术优势将受削弱，利好本土晶圆厂。 | 港股通(沪)活跃成交股 | | --- | | 荣昌生物 | 6.88亿 | 5.75亿 | 12.64亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | HK 09995 | | | +1.13 亿 | | 腾讯控股 | 2.91亿 | 8.62亿 | 11.54亿 | | HK 00700 | | | -5.71亿 | | 信达生物 | 8.95亿 | 2.20亿 | 11.15亿 | | HK 01801 | | | +6.75亿 | 港股通(深)活跃成交股 北水净买入最多的个股是中芯国际(00981)、信 ...

Group 1: Hong Kong Digital Asset Policy - The Hong Kong government released the "Hong Kong Digital Asset Development Policy Declaration 2.0" on June 26, reaffirming its commitment to making Hong Kong a global innovation center in the digital asset field [1] - This update follows the first declaration in October 2022 and clarifies the roadmap for establishing an international virtual asset center in Hong Kong [1] - The new policy marks a shift from "framework construction" to "full implementation," with breakthroughs in retail market access, stablecoin regulation, and tokenized government bonds expected to drive significant capital inflow [1] Group 2: Market Reactions and Developments - Huachuang Securities remains optimistic about the further development and improvement of Hong Kong's cryptocurrency and virtual asset trading ecosystem, noting that the regulatory framework is becoming more complete [1] - Guotai Junan International received approval from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to upgrade its existing securities trading license to provide virtual asset trading services, leading to a nearly 200% surge in its stock price [1] - As of June 24, a total of 40 institutions have upgraded their licenses to provide virtual asset trading services, indicating a growing participation in the market [1] Group 3: Stablecoin Concerns - The Bank for International Settlements issued a warning about stablecoins, stating that they may pose risks to financial stability and monetary sovereignty if not properly regulated [2] - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority's president also emphasized the need for a cautious perspective on stablecoins, suggesting a cooling sentiment in the market [2] Group 4: A-Share Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective pullback, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.22%, and the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index down 0.48% and 0.66%, respectively [3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.5832 trillion, a slight decrease from the previous day [3] Group 5: Sector Performance - The military industry sector saw gains, driven by expectations surrounding the upcoming military parade in September, with historical data suggesting potential for significant price movements in this sector [6] - The innovative drug sector faced a decline, with a 1.34% drop in the sector index, following a period of short-term gains and subsequent corrections [7] - The adjustment of the basic medical insurance directory and commercial insurance for innovative drugs is expected to expand the domestic innovative drug market [8]

智通财经6月26日电，香港虚拟资产业务反响持续热烈，持牌金融机构也被特别关注。据公开信息及记 者了解到，天风国际证券的证券交易牌照已升级为可提供虚拟资产交易服务。目前香港地区的虚拟资产 业务活动由香港证监会监管，涉及货币支付的领域，如稳定币、数码港币，则由香港金管局监管。香港 证监会对虚拟资产监管采取"相同业务，相同风险，相同监管"原则，在传统金融牌照基础上附加了虚拟 资产业务条件和技术规范。（智通财经记者 林坚） 天风国际获香港虚拟资产交易相关牌照 ...

上证指数6月25日突破了3月份的高点，上涨空间已经打开。泓德基金认为，主要有三方面因素：中东地 缘局势缓和引发全球避险情绪降温，中资券商布局虚拟资产交易服务想象空间打开以及美联储降息预期 升温。具体分析如下： MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 责任编辑：江钰涵 三是美联储降息预期升温。当地时间6月24日，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在参议院半年度货币政策报告 听证会上重申美联储将审慎观望，但是鲍威尔也表示"如果通胀不如预期那样强劲，将倾向于可能提前 降息"。除此之外，如果失业率陡然上升，美联储也可能提前降息。 风险提示：本材料中的观点和判断仅供参考，不构成投资、法律、会计或税务的最终操作建议或实际的 投资结果。本基金管理人不保证其中的观点和判断不会发生任何调整或变更，且不就材料中的内容对最 终操作建议做出任何担保。投资有风险，入市须谨慎。基金产品由基金管理公司发行与管理，销售机构 不承担产品的投资、兑付风险管理责任。 一是周一是油价的高点也是地缘风险消退和指数止稳的起点。6月24日以色列与伊朗相继宣布停火，中 东地缘局势缓和，引发全球避险情绪降温。市场全天震荡拉升，沪指创年内新高，创业板指涨超3%。 沪深两 ...

数据来源第三方，观点仅供参考。市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ 研究员: 徐玉花 期货从业资格号F03132080 期货投资咨询从业证书号 Z0021386 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料 ，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠 ，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任何保证 ，据此投资，责 任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议 ，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况 。本报告版权仅为我公司所有 ，未经书面许 可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版 、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为瑞 达 研 究瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院 ，且不得对本报告 进行有悖原意的引用 、删节和修改。 锰硅硅铁产业日报 2025/6/26 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | SM主力合约收盘价（日，元/吨） | 5,676.00 | +22.00↑ | SF主力合约收盘价（日，元/吨） | 5,384.00 | +10.00↑ | | | SM期货合约持仓量（日，手） | 5 ...

Company Insights - Guotai Junan International has received approval from the Securities and Futures Commission to provide virtual asset trading services, marking a strategic upgrade from traditional securities services to a comprehensive digital asset service hub [1] - As the first Chinese broker to obtain this license, Guotai Junan has established a full-service capability in virtual asset trading, custody, consulting, issuance, and derivatives [2] - The core value of this upgrade includes the opening of high-value revenue sources through cryptocurrency and stablecoin trading commissions, cross-border stablecoin clearing profits, and structured derivative design and issuance [2] Industry Implications - The approval of Guotai Junan serves as a significant demonstration effect for leading brokers, accelerating competition within the industry [3] - This development validates the feasibility of Chinese brokers engaging in compliant virtual asset operations, paving the way for other major firms like CITIC Securities and CICC to follow suit [3] - The focus of competition is shifting from low-value, homogeneous channel services to building core capabilities in cross-border digital financial infrastructure, including clearing hubs and securitization engines [3] Non-Bank Ecosystem - The wave of virtual asset compliance will reshape the entire non-bank financial industry chain, accelerating the formation of a collaborative ecosystem around digital asset issuance, circulation, management, and application [4] - Financial technology companies will see a surge in demand for blockchain infrastructure, smart contract auditing, and on-chain compliance monitoring services [4] - Payment institutions will seamlessly integrate into the stablecoin clearing system, significantly enhancing efficiency and sharing transaction fees, while asset management companies will develop new programmable assets to meet global investor demand [4]

在经历了此前一天高达仅200%的涨幅后，国泰君安国际(01788.HK)在6月26日再度出现刺激行情。该股 当日盘初再度大涨近90%，但随后出现跳水行情，截至发稿抹去当天全部涨幅。 近期，稳定币成为国际金融市场的焦点，美国Circle公司近期在纽交所上市后股价大幅上涨，美国参议 院也通过了稳定币相关法案，沃尔玛、亚马逊等跨国巨头也在探索发行稳定币的可能性。 与此同时，香港正打造全球虚拟资产核心枢纽，稳定币成为焦点，传统金融机构积极切入虚拟资产领 域。此前，香港特别行政区政府于6月6日宣布，《稳定币条例》将于2025年8月1日生效，要求在香港发 行法币稳定币或锚定港元价值的稳定币需申领牌照。 分析人士认为，香港作为港币与离岸人民币的结算中心，率先建立稳定币准入机制意义重大，有助于服 务"一带一路"等多边经济带的支付基础设施建设。 分析人士认为，国泰君安国际的牌照将为投资者开辟直接参与加密货币交易的渠道，可能带动相关金融 科技企业业务增长。受此消息影响，数字货币概念股集体走强，吉大正元实现4连板，格尔软件涨停， 京北方和恒生电子涨超7%。 据香港证监会披露，目前获批可通过综合账户提供虚拟资产交易服务的机构共计40 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.48%, down 117 points, closing at 24,357 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index remained unchanged [1] - The early trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market reached HKD 142.1 billion [1] Group 2: Digital Currency and Stablecoins - Citic Securities highlighted the need to focus on opportunities related to stablecoins in response to the rising international dominance of digital dollars [1] - Stocks related to stablecoins saw significant gains, with Victory Securities (08540) doubling in price, China Everbright Holdings (00165) rising nearly 28%, and Yikang (09923) and Huaxing Capital Holdings (01911) both increasing by approximately 11% [1] Group 3: Sector Performance - Hong Kong Travel (00308) surged over 60% as the tourism industry continues to show positive trends, with the company increasing its tourism investments [3] - Defense and military stocks rose against the market trend, with China Shipbuilding Defense (00317) up 8.5% and AVIC (02357) increasing by 2.88%, as institutions expect a revaluation of defense assets [3] - China Molybdenum (03993) rose by 5.92% due to a new round of cobalt export bans from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which may exceed market expectations, providing strong support for cobalt prices [3] - Ocean Park (02255) increased by over 19% as Xiangyuan Holdings is set to become the new controlling shareholder, potentially leading to complementary advantages [3] Group 4: Company-Specific News - Sinopharm (01801) fell by 3.94% after announcing a 4.9% discount on a share placement, raising HKD 4.265 billion [4] - Kingkey Financial International (01468) dropped over 6% following a profit warning, expecting an annual net loss of no more than HKD 1.25 billion [5]

Group 1 - Xianruida Medical - B (06669) surged over 18% after receiving registration approval from the National Medical Products Administration for its Armoni-HP® balloon dilation catheter [1] - Meili Tianyuan Medical Health (02373) rose nearly 3% as it announced plans to further acquire a 20% stake in Guangzhou Nairier [1] - Kingdee International (00268) increased over 3% due to adjustments in service fees expected to drive subscription ARR growth by 3% to 5% next year [1] - Sasa International (00178) fell over 5%, with its stock price dropping nearly 20% since its earnings report, as all mainland stores are set to close by the end of June [1] - Jingji Financial International (01468) dropped over 7% after issuing a profit warning, expecting a net loss of no more than HKD 125 million [1] - Kuaishou - W (01024) rose over 3%, with its AI subsidiary achieving an annualized revenue run rate exceeding USD 100 million [1] - Hengyue Holdings (01723) fell over 6% after a profit warning, anticipating a 90% decrease in annual profit attributable to shareholders [1] Group 2 - Military stocks rose against the market trend, with China Shipbuilding Defense (00317) up 7.27%, Aerospace Holdings (00031) up 2.44%, and AVIC (02357) up 1.68% [2] - Victory Securities (08540) soared over 61% as it actively expands into the virtual asset business [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) increased over 4% amid expectations that a new round of cobalt export bans from the Democratic Republic of Congo may exceed market expectations [2] - China Financial Leasing (02312) surged 229% yesterday and rose another 43% today after a premium acquisition of approximately 35% equity by Meitu's founder [2] - Guotai Junan International (01788) rose over 11% with a trading range of 104%, becoming the first Chinese broker to offer comprehensive virtual asset services [2] - Ganfeng Lithium (01772) increased over 3% as its new battery research institute and Pack integration project is set to begin trial production [2] Group 3 - Innovent Biologics (01801) fell over 4% after announcing a placement of 55 million shares at HKD 78.36 each, a discount of about 4.9% from the closing price on June 25, aiming to raise approximately HKD 4.265 billion [3] - Zhouliufu (06168) opened 11.25% higher on its debut, ranking fifth among jewelry brands in China by store count [3] - Rongchang Biologics (09995) opened nearly 15% lower after licensing its Taitasip to US Vor Bio for an upfront payment of USD 45 million [3] - Western Cement (02233) opened over 5% higher as it plans to sell its Xinjiang company and assets to release operational cash flow for expansion projects [3] - Yingtong Holdings (06883) opened 10.42% lower on its debut, being the largest non-branded perfume group in China [3] Group 4 - BP (BP.US) rose nearly 2% as Shell entered preliminary talks to acquire the company [4] - General Mills (GIS.US) saw its stock price drop over 5.1%, reaching a five-year low [4] - Brain Regen Technologies (RGC.US) fell over 5%, with a market cap shrinking to USD 10.7 billion [4] - Blackberry (BB.US) increased over 12% [4] - Google (GOOGL.US) rose over 2% after launching its first device robot model, Gemini Robotics On-Device [4] - Nvidia (NVDA.US) increased over 4% ahead of its online shareholder meeting, with Loop Capital noting that the AI trend driving Nvidia's stock price remains strong [4] - Chip stocks generally rose, with Supermicro (SMCI.US) up over 8%, Nvidia (NVDA.US) up over 4%, and AMD (AMD.US) up over 3% [4] - Novo Nordisk (NVO.US) fell over 4% as Spain's health ministry investigates whether it violated advertising laws for prescription drugs [4] Group 5 - Therapeutics (NKTR.US) surged nearly 30% after positive results from clinical trials for its eczema treatment [5] - Tesla (TSLA.US) dropped over 5.3% as new car registrations in the EU fell 40.5% year-on-year in May, marking the fifth consecutive month of significant decline [5] Group 6 - US cryptocurrency stocks collectively surged, with Sharplink Gaming (SBET.US) up nearly 6%, Coinbase (COIN.US) up over 3%, and Robinhood (HOOD.US) up over 0.9% [6] - Circle (CRCL.US), a stablecoin giant, continued its downward trend, falling over 10% [6] - Tiger Brokers (TIGR.US) surged nearly 22% as traditional financial institutions explore virtual assets, igniting market enthusiasm [6]