Core Viewpoint - New Power Financial (600318) experienced a significant increase of 5.91% in stock price with a trading volume of 1.793 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 32.66% on the day of reporting [2] Trading Activity - The stock was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's "Dragon and Tiger List" due to its high turnover rate, with a net buying amount of 22.8421 million yuan from brokerage seats [2] - The top five brokerage seats accounted for a total trading volume of 322 million yuan, with a buying amount of 173 million yuan and a selling amount of 150 million yuan, resulting in a net buying of 22.8421 million yuan [2] - The largest buying brokerage was Guotai Junan Securities with a buying amount of 58.6792 million yuan, while the largest selling brokerage was CITIC Securities with a selling amount of 41.2129 million yuan [2] Fund Flow - The stock saw a net inflow of 240 million yuan from main funds, with a significant inflow of 248 million yuan from large orders, while smaller orders experienced a net outflow of 795,070 yuan [3] - Over the past five days, the main funds have seen a net inflow of 202 million yuan [3] Margin Trading Data - As of July 16, the margin trading balance for the stock was 405 million yuan, with a financing balance of 403 million yuan and a securities lending balance of 2.1527 million yuan [3] - In the past five days, the financing balance increased by 13.1744 million yuan, representing a growth of 3.38%, while the securities lending balance decreased by 97,100 yuan, a decline of 4.31% [3] Financial Performance - The company reported a first-quarter revenue of 89.8757 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.13%, and a net profit of 17.4284 million yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of 29.83% [3]

Core Insights - As of July 16, the total inflow of funds into ETFs in the two markets was 141.177 billion yuan, while outflows amounted to 141.933 billion yuan, resulting in a net outflow of 0.0756 billion yuan [1] Fund Flow Summary - Stock ETFs experienced a net outflow of 2.596 billion yuan, while bond ETFs saw a net inflow of 2.054 billion yuan [1] - Money market ETFs had a net inflow of 0.541 billion yuan, while commodity ETFs faced a net outflow of 0.0863811 billion yuan [1] - QDII ETFs recorded a net outflow of 0.668 billion yuan [1] Top Inflows and Outflows - The ETFs with the highest net inflows were: - E Fund CSI Hong Kong Securities Investment Theme ETF (513090) with an inflow of 0.463 billion yuan - GF CSI Hong Kong Innovative Medicine (QDII-ETF) (513120) with an inflow of 0.302 billion yuan - Huaxia SSE Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 ETF (588000) with an inflow of 0.152 billion yuan [1] - The ETFs with the highest net outflows were: - Southern CSI A500 ETF (159352) with an outflow of 0.305 billion yuan - E Fund ChiNext ETF (159915) with an outflow of 0.259 billion yuan - Guotai CSI All-Share Securities Company ETF (512880) with an outflow of 0.216 billion yuan [1]

Report Information - Report Title: Big Asset Morning Report - Report Date: July 16, 2025 - Report Team: Macro Team of the Research Center [2] Global Asset Market Performance 10 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies - On July 15, 2025, yields in different countries varied, e.g., the US was 4.483%, the UK was 4.624%, etc. - Latest changes ranged from -0.026% (France) to 0.048% (US). - One - week changes were between -0.008% (UK) and 0.082% (US). - One - month changes were from -0.012% (Japan) to 0.178% (Germany). - One - year changes were from -0.664% (Japan) to 0.500% (UK) [3] 2 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies - On July 15, 2025, the US was 3.900%, the UK was 3.830%, etc. - Latest changes were from -0.023% (Italy) to 0.040% (US). - One - week changes: some data were missing, with others ranging from -0.037% (UK) to 0.074% (Australia). - One - month changes were from -0.028% (Italy) to 0.170% (US). - One - year changes were from -1.345% (Italy) to 0.432% (Japan) [3] Dollar Exchange Rates Against Major Emerging - Market Currencies - On July 15, 2025, the rate against the Brazilian real was 5.557, etc. - Latest changes were from -0.56% (Brazil) to 0.33% (South Korean won). - One - week changes were from -0.38% (Thai baht) to 2.00% (Brazil). - One - month changes were from -1.41% (South African rand) to 1.06% (South Korean won). - One - year changes were from -11.41% (Thai baht) to 1.77% (Brazil) [3] RMB Exchange Rates - On July 15, 2025, the on - shore RMB was 7.183, the off - shore RMB was 7.185, etc. - Latest changes were from 0.01% (RMB central parity rate) to 0.17% (off - shore RMB). - One - week changes were from -0.05% (RMB central parity rate) to 0.06% (on - shore RMB). - One - month changes were from -0.35% (RMB central parity rate) to -0.02% (RMB 12 - month NDF). - One - year changes were from -1.43% (off - shore RMB) to 0.29% (RMB central parity rate) [3] Stock Indices of Major Economies - On July 15, 2025, the S&P 500 was 6243.760, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was 44023.290, etc. - Latest changes were from -1.15% (Spanish index) to 1.60% (Hang Seng Index). - One - week changes were from -1.45% (Spanish index) to 4.07% (Thai index). - One - month changes were from -0.34% (Mexican index) to 8.98% (South Korean index). - One - year changes were from -11.51% (Thai index) to 38.15% (Hang Seng Index) [3] Credit Bond Indices - Latest changes were from -0.24% (US investment - grade credit bond index) to 0.11% (Eurozone investment - grade credit bond index). - One - week changes were from -0.34% (US investment - grade credit bond index) to 0.18% (Eurozone high - yield credit bond index). - One - month changes were from 0.16% (US investment - grade credit bond index) to 1.31% (Emerging - market high - yield credit bond index). - One - year changes were from 4.75% (US investment - grade credit bond index) to 13.83% (Emerging - market high - yield credit bond index) [3][4] Stock Index Futures Trading Data Index Performance - Closing prices: A - shares were 3505.00, CSI 300 was 4019.06, etc. - Percentage changes were from -0.42% (A - shares) to 1.73% (ChiNext). Valuation - PE (TTM): CSI 300 was 13.32, S&P 500 was 26.55, etc. -环比 changes were from -0.11% (S&P 500) to -0.01% (CSI 300). Risk Premium - 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate: S&P 500 was -0.72, German DAX was 2.15. -环比 changes were from -0.04% (S&P 500) to 0.04% (German DAX). Fund Flows - Latest values were from -1048.16 (A - shares) to -148.29 (CSI 300). - 5 - day average values were from -566.14 (A - shares) to -23.58 (CSI 300). Trading Volume - Latest values were from 798.06 (SSE 50) to 16120.48 (Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets). -环比 changes were from -102.33 (SSE 50) to 1533.09 (Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets). Basis and Spread - Basis: IF was -38.46, IH was -13.03, IC was -10.56. - Spread: IF was -0.96%, IH was -0.47%, IC was -0.18% [5] Treasury Futures Trading Data Treasury Futures - Closing prices: T00 was 108.890, TF00 was 106.025, etc. - Percentage changes were from -0.10% (T01) to -0.07% (TF00). Funding Rates - R001 was 1.5745%, R007 was 1.5877%, SHIBOR - 3M was 1.5590%. - Daily changes (BP) were from 0.00 (SHIBOR - 3M) to 5.00 (R007) [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a slight decline of 0.03% on July 16, with 14 out of 28 sectors showing gains, particularly in social services and automotive sectors, which rose by 1.13% and 1.07% respectively. Conversely, the steel and banking sectors faced declines of 1.28% and 0.74% respectively. The public utilities sector also saw a decrease of 0.20% [1]. Group 1: Public Utilities Sector Performance - The public utilities sector recorded a decline of 0.20% but had a net inflow of 28.23 billion yuan in main funds, with 71 out of 132 stocks in the sector rising, including one hitting the daily limit. A total of 50 stocks in this sector saw net inflows, with N Huaxin leading at 31.72 billion yuan [2]. - The top three stocks in the public utilities sector by net inflow were N Huaxin (125.79% increase), YN Energy (10.02% increase), and Mingxing Electric (3.30% increase) [2]. - The public utilities sector also had stocks with significant net outflows, with the top three being Xiexin Energy (-4.87%), Jingyuntong (-9.69%), and Nanshan Energy (-0.41%) [4]. Group 2: Fund Flow Analysis - The overall market saw a net outflow of 14.265 billion yuan, with 12 sectors experiencing net inflows. The public utilities sector led in net inflow despite its decline, followed by the pharmaceutical and biological sectors, which saw a 0.95% increase and a net inflow of 20.95 billion yuan [1]. - The telecommunications sector had the highest net outflow, totaling 4.019 billion yuan, followed by the electronics sector with a net outflow of 3.559 billion yuan [1].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights that Zhonggong International's stock closed at 8.46 yuan, down 1.05%, with a rolling PE ratio of 27.88 times and a total market value of 10.468 billion yuan [1] - The average PE ratio for the engineering construction industry is 14.24 times, with a median of 19.89 times, placing Zhonggong International at the 50th position in the industry ranking [1] - In terms of capital flow, Zhonggong International experienced a net outflow of 18.9759 million yuan on July 15, with a total outflow of 46.6535 million yuan over the past five days [1] Group 2 - Zhonggong International's main business includes design consulting and engineering contracting, advanced engineering technology equipment development and application, and engineering investment and operation [1] - The company has received over 300 national and provincial-level scientific and technological achievement awards and holds a national-level first-class engineering design qualification for cableway [1] - The latest quarterly report for Q1 2025 shows that the company achieved an operating income of 2.183 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.61%, and a net profit of 131 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.17%, with a sales gross margin of 19.72% [1]

Company Performance - As of July 14, 2025, Steel Research High-Tech (300034) closed at 16.27 yuan, down 0.73%, with a turnover rate of 1.28% and a trading volume of 98,500 lots, amounting to 161 million yuan [1] - The latest quarterly report shows total operating revenue of 937 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.39%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 55.05 million yuan, a decrease of 41.90% [1] - The company's non-recurring net profit was 50.97 million yuan, down 44.78% year-on-year, with a current ratio of 1.927, quick ratio of 1.247, and a debt-to-asset ratio of 43.99% [1] Capital Flow - On the day of reporting, the main capital saw a net outflow of 17.01 million yuan, accounting for 10.57% of the total trading volume [1] - Large orders experienced a net outflow of 8.37 million yuan, representing 5.2% of the trading volume, while medium orders had a net inflow of 18.87 million yuan, making up 11.72% of the trading volume [1] Company Background - Beijing Steel Research High-Tech Co., Ltd. was established in 2002 and is located in Beijing, primarily engaged in technology promotion and application services [2] - The company has made investments in 13 enterprises, participated in 929 bidding projects, and holds 22 trademark registrations and 405 patents, along with 82 administrative licenses [2]

Group 1 - Core stocks in the Shanghai market, including China Telecom, China Shenhua, Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway, Postal Savings Bank, and Industrial and Commercial Bank, experienced significant selling pressure during the closing auction phase, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors [1] - China Telecom, as a leading company in the telecommunications sector, has recently made moves in the eSIM business, but the market remains watchful regarding its short-term performance [1] - China Shenhua, a key player in the coal industry, also faced selling pressure, indicating that its price movements directly impact related index performance [1] Group 2 - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 17,368.99 billion yuan, indicating active overall trading despite the concentrated selling of core stocks [2] - The unusual fluctuations in core stocks during the closing auction phase may suggest adjustments in fund allocation strategies, often associated with institutional rebalancing, index fund redemptions, or block trades [2] - The price discovery function during the closing auction is crucial, as it reflects supply and demand dynamics, allowing the market to correct stock prices and provide preliminary expectations for the next day's performance [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significance of the 3500-point mark in the A-share market, highlighting the mixed emotions of excitement and anxiety among investors as the index approaches this historical level [2][4][5]. Market Sentiment - The A-share market has experienced prolonged periods below the 3500-point mark, leading many investors to doubt the possibility of a sustained bull market [4][5]. - The historical context of the A-share market includes two notable bull markets in 2007 and 2015, contrasting with the long periods of stagnation [2][4]. Understanding Market Dynamics - The article critiques the traditional view of "bulls" and "bears," suggesting that true market dynamics are influenced more by capital flow than by emotional trading behaviors [6][9]. - A key perspective presented is that actions such as large shareholder sell-offs or corporate financing that withdraw capital from the market are the real "bears" [8][9]. Capital Flow Analysis - The A-share market has historically been a "financing market," where the capital raised through financing has often exceeded the dividends paid to shareholders, leading to a net outflow of funds [12][14]. - Data shows that in 2016, financing amounts reached nearly 1 trillion, indicating significant capital withdrawal from the market [12]. Recent Trends in Dividends and Financing - Recent years have seen a shift where dividends paid to shareholders are beginning to exceed financing activities, with the dividend payout ratio increasing from around 30% to over 45% [21][24]. - This trend is viewed as a positive development for the market's stability and long-term growth potential [22][24]. Future Market Outlook - The article posits that for a sustained bull market ("slow bull") to materialize, the inflow of capital through dividends must consistently surpass the outflow from financing [21][24]. - The establishment of a regular and large-scale share buyback mechanism is deemed crucial for reinforcing market stability and supporting long-term growth [24]. Conclusion on Market Stability - The current market environment, characterized by a trend of dividends exceeding financing, is seen as a foundational change that could lead to a more stable market, despite the potential for short-term volatility [25].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.48% on July 10, with 18 out of 28 sectors experiencing gains. The leading sectors were real estate and oil & petrochemicals, with increases of 3.19% and 1.54% respectively. The banking sector saw an increase of 0.92% [1] - The total net outflow of capital from the two markets was 13.025 billion yuan, with 10 sectors experiencing net inflows. The non-bank financial sector led with a net inflow of 3.470 billion yuan and a daily increase of 1.37%, followed by the real estate sector with a net inflow of 2.228 billion yuan [1] Banking Sector Performance - The banking sector increased by 0.92% today, with a total net inflow of 2.049 billion yuan. Out of 42 stocks in this sector, 34 rose while 8 fell. Notably, 25 stocks had net inflows, with 6 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow [2] - The top three banks by net inflow were Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (7.34 billion yuan), China Merchants Bank (6.11 billion yuan), and Agricultural Bank of China (4.73 billion yuan) [2] - The banks with the highest net outflows included Postal Savings Bank (1.22 billion yuan), Jiangsu Bank (1.21 billion yuan), and Qilu Bank (1.01 billion yuan) [2] Individual Bank Performance - The following table summarizes the performance of selected banks in terms of daily change, turnover rate, and main capital flow: | Code | Name | Daily Change (%) | Turnover Rate (%) | Main Capital Flow (10,000 yuan) | |--------|--------------------|------------------|-------------------|----------------------------------| | 601398 | Industrial Bank | 2.93 | 0.22 | 73449.67 | | 600036 | China Merchants Bank| 2.36 | 0.59 | 61065.89 | | 601288 | Agricultural Bank | 1.77 | 0.18 | 47284.97 | | 000001 | Ping An Bank | 2.65 | 1.28 | 31685.48 | | 600016 | Minsheng Bank | 5.31 | 1.69 | 24045.05 | | 601229 | Shanghai Bank | -0.45 | 0.53 | 11518.03 | | 601997 | Guiyang Bank | 3.24 | 2.99 | 7867.96 | | 600926 | Hangzhou Bank | 0.35 | 0.90 | 5261.85 | | 601009 | Nanjing Bank | 0.25 | 0.61 | 5127.41 | | 600015 | Huaxia Bank | 1.66 | 0.53 | 4954.70 | [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.48% on July 10, with 18 out of 28 sectors experiencing gains, particularly in real estate and oil & petrochemicals, which increased by 3.19% and 1.54% respectively [1] Industry Summary - The oil & petrochemical sector saw a 1.54% increase, with a net inflow of 525 million yuan in capital. Out of 48 stocks in this sector, 34 rose, and 1 hit the daily limit up, while 12 declined [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net capital inflow were China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) with 440 million yuan, followed by China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) with 264 million yuan, and China Petroleum with 55.96 million yuan [1] - The stocks with the largest net capital outflow included Guanghui Energy, Yueyang Xingchang, and Zhongman Petroleum, with outflows of 176 million yuan, 36.79 million yuan, and 27.54 million yuan respectively [1] Stock Performance - CNOOC's stock rose by 3.59% with a turnover rate of 3.74% and a main capital flow of 440.40 million yuan [1] - Sinopec's stock increased by 1.41% with a turnover rate of 0.24% and a main capital flow of 264.20 million yuan [1] - China Petroleum's stock saw a 0.93% rise with a turnover rate of 0.08% and a main capital flow of 55.96 million yuan [1]