美联储独立性
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海国志丨施压升级!特朗普罕见造访美联储,鲍威尔会选择降息吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 09:43
美国白宫与美联储之间的矛盾正在加剧。 而尽管历任总统都曾对美联储的政策表示不满,但从未有哪一名总统尝试解除美联储主席职务。鲍威尔此 前说,"法律不允许"解除其职务。 当地时间7月24日下午,美国总统特朗普罕见地访问美联储,考察美联储耗巨资的建设项目。美媒称这是 将近20年来,美国总统首次正式造访美联储(据《纽约时报》此前报道,通常情况下,美国总统不会以官 方身份造访美联储,以体现美联储"独立"于白宫的传统)。 7月24日,美国华盛顿,美国总统特朗普(左)与美联储主席鲍威尔(右)交谈(来源:视觉中国) 美国消费者新闻与商业频道(CNBC)指出,市场普遍认为,这是特朗普向美联储主席鲍威尔施压的新方 式,目的是迫使鲍威尔降息,或辞去美联储主席的职务。 特朗普急催降息,称"解雇鲍威尔将是个大动作" 在当日的媒体提问环节,特朗普和鲍威尔就利率、是否将解雇鲍威尔等问题作出回应。 当被问及,鲍威尔是否可以说些什么,以让特朗普收回批评言论时,特朗普表示,希望鲍威尔降低利率。 据央视新闻报道,特朗普表示,如果把利率降低三个百分点至一个百分点,美国就能省下一万多亿美元。 他将观察委员会如何制定利率规则。 而在谈及是否将解雇鲍威尔 ...
深追踪:“工地调研”后 特朗普还要不要“炒”掉鲍威尔?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 08:34
国际在线消息:当地时间7月24日下午,美国总统特朗普前往美联储,考察美联储"耗巨资"25亿美元的建设项目。美媒称这是近20年来,美国总统首次正式 造访美联储总部,此举是特朗普对美联储主席鲍威尔施压的升级,目的是迫使鲍威尔降低利率或辞去美联储主席一职。 据美媒报道,在参观位于华盛顿特区的美联储总部翻修现场时,二人就装修费用发生了短暂争执。特朗普可以合法解雇美联储主席鲍威尔吗?解雇鲍威尔美 国又会面临什么? 从19亿到25亿美元的翻修泥潭有多深 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)报道称,历任总统都习惯把美联储主席当作"出气筒",一再呼吁这位独立央行的负责人降低利率以刺激经济。尽管针对鲍威尔 的"口头攻击"仍在继续,但自上月起,矛头转向美联储耗资巨大的总部翻修项目。 在鲍威尔向国会进行半年一次的作证中,他多次被追问该项目的天价开支和严重超支情况。共和党人将该项目戏称为"凡尔赛宫",指责鲍威尔主导了一个过 于奢华的项目,充斥着华丽的雕塑和奢靡的设计。鲍威尔则否认这些指控,表示翻修百年老楼早已迫在眉睫,且属必要之举。 "没有贵宾餐厅,没有新的大理石.......也没有专属电梯,只有几十年来的老电梯。"鲍威尔上月在参议院作证时 ...
汇丰:美联储料将连续第五次会议按兵不动
news flash· 2025-07-25 07:24
Core Viewpoint - HSBC economists predict that the Federal Reserve is likely to keep the policy interest rate unchanged in the upcoming meeting, marking the fifth consecutive pause in rate hikes [1] Group 1 - HSBC's Ryan Wang notes that there are differing views among policymakers regarding the recent policy path ahead of the meeting [1] - Federal Reserve Governor Waller has expressed support for a rate cut in July, indicating potential dissent among officials in the upcoming decision [1] - Chairman Powell may face questions regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve during the meeting [1]
特朗普造访美联储“敲打”鲍威尔,为何紧盯翻修案是影响美联储独立性更狠一招?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 06:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses President Trump's visit to the Federal Reserve, focusing on the controversy surrounding the renovation costs of the Fed's headquarters and his ongoing pressure for interest rate cuts, which may indicate a potential shift in the relationship between the Trump administration and the Federal Reserve [1][3][8]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Renovation and Costs - Trump highlighted that the renovation costs for the two Federal Reserve buildings have exceeded $3.1 billion, a claim that Fed Chairman Powell disputed, stating that Trump included costs from a third building completed five years ago [1]. - The visit comes after a historical precedent where only three U.S. presidents have visited the Federal Reserve, indicating the significance of Trump's engagement with the institution [1]. Group 2: Interest Rate Cuts and Political Pressure - Trump has been urging the Federal Reserve to lower the benchmark interest rate from the current range of 4.25% to 4.5% down to 1% to reduce federal borrowing costs [1]. - Following Trump's comments, market expectations have shifted, with traders betting on a more significant rate cut than previously anticipated, reflecting growing belief that the Fed may align more closely with White House demands after Powell's potential departure [8]. Group 3: Potential Reforms and Regulatory Changes - Trump's administration is exploring the possibility of reforming the Federal Reserve's operations, with officials suggesting a comprehensive investigation into the Fed's efficiency and operations [4]. - There is speculation about merging the roles of the Treasury and the Federal Reserve under a single leadership, which could significantly alter the Fed's independence and operational framework [4][6]. Group 4: Legislative Changes and Political Dynamics - Trump is attempting to change the Senate's "60-vote rule," which could allow for easier passage of reforms affecting the Federal Reserve, potentially increasing presidential influence over the Fed [7]. - If successful, this could lead to a restructuring of the Federal Reserve's governance, including the appointment of more officials aligned with Trump's policies, thereby impacting the Fed's decision-making process [7][8].
强调美联储独立性白银td偏多
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-25 04:31
Group 1 - The renovation project of the Federal Reserve's headquarters in Washington has a budget of $2.5 billion, which may have escalated to $3.1 billion according to Trump [3] - The White House has criticized the project for budget overruns and mismanagement, suggesting potential regulatory loopholes and fraud [3] - Trump's visit to the site highlighted the tension between the White House and the Federal Reserve, particularly regarding monetary policy independence [3][4] Group 2 - Powell typically communicates with regional Federal Reserve Bank presidents before interest rate meetings, but Trump's unexpected visit disrupted this routine [4] - Despite the pressure from Trump regarding interest rate cuts and project criticisms, Powell maintained a professional demeanor and focused on the technical aspects of monetary policy [4]
债基巨头PIMCO警告:特朗普削弱美联储独立性必遭市场反噬
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-25 01:47
Group 1 - PIMCO warns that any attempt to undermine the independence of the Federal Reserve would be "extremely detrimental" to the markets [1] - Dan Ivascyn, PIMCO's CIO, emphasizes the importance of central bank independence, particularly in setting policy interest rates [1] - President Trump has intensified his criticism of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, calling for a reduction in the current benchmark interest rate of 4.25%-4.5% [1][2] Group 2 - Trump claims there is "no tension" between him and Powell, stating he sees no need to dismiss the Fed chairman [2] - Concerns arise among former central bank officials that the government's attacks may be a pressure tactic to force Powell to resign before his term ends in May 2026 [2] - Powell asserts he will remain in his position and believes Trump lacks legal grounds to dismiss him [3]
KVB plus:特朗普视察美联储演“政治秀”,攻击鲍威尔成其王牌战术
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 01:15
KVB App发现周四这一天,本应是美联储建筑翻新工地里一次寻常的巡视,却因美国总统特朗普与美联储 主席鲍威尔的到场,演变成了一场充满火药味的交锋。两人刚一碰面,就为央行大楼的改造费用争执起 来,气氛瞬间变得紧张。 特朗普一开口就直指预算问题,称原本 25 亿美元的预算已经膨胀到了 31 亿美元,语气中满是不满。面对 总统的指责,鲍威尔并没有退缩,而是冷静地进行反驳。就在两人各执一词时,特朗普从西装内袋里掏出 一张纸,递给了鲍威尔。鲍威尔戴上眼镜,仔细查看这张纸,很快便发现了问题所在,他指着纸上的内 容,语气带着一丝无奈地纠正道:"您刚加进了第三栋楼,先生。" 原来,特朗普所说的这栋楼,是美联储 在 2021 年就已经完成翻新的相邻办公楼,显然不该被算进此次的改造预算中。 这场关于预算的争执,只是两人矛盾的冰山一角。《华尔街日报》著名记者 Nick Timiraos,这位素有 "美 联储传声筒" 之称的资深媒体人,在其文章中明确表示,这远远不是特朗普和鲍威尔之间最严重的分歧。 但特朗普显然不满足于此,他把这次非同寻常的工地巡视时刻打造成政治剧场,就是要利用舆论的力量, 给鲍威尔制造更多的公众压力。他试图让民众 ...
凌晨突发!美联储,降息大消息!
券商中国· 2025-07-24 23:25
北京时间25日凌晨,美国总统特朗普访问美联储。特朗普表示,跟美联储主席鲍威尔讨论了利率问题,称"这 次谈话很有成效"。他还表示,希望鲍威尔能降息,如果把利率降低三个百分点至一个百分点,美国就能省下 一万多亿美元。根据业内统计,这是近二十年来美国总统首次正式造访美联储。 有分析指出,特朗普访问的时间点非常敏感,距离美联储7月利率决议发布仅剩不到一周的时间。特朗普此举 意在加大对美联储的压力,这是他为推动美联储降息而采取的部分非常规行动,同时加剧了围绕美联储总部25 亿美元翻修项目的争议。 值得注意的是,在特朗普持续施压之下,交易员们开始下注美联储将在明年更积极降息。目前交易员预计,美 联储明年将降息76个基点,明显高于今年4月份的预期(25个基点)。 特朗普罕见访问美联储 美东时间7月24日美股尾盘时段(北京时间25日凌晨),特朗普来到位于美国首都华盛顿的美联储总部视察, 就高成本的美联储总部翻修工程争议同联储主席鲍威尔对话,特朗普再次敦促美联储降息,但暗示放弃解雇鲍 威尔的打算。 据白宫此前发布的总统日程表,特朗普此次访问行程约持续一小时。视察期间,特朗普向陪同的鲍威尔展示了 关于联储总部建筑物翻修成本的纸质 ...
特朗普突访美联储总部 公开施压鲍威尔降息
智通财经网· 2025-07-24 22:28
智通财经APP获悉,在美国总统特朗普频频施压美联储主席鲍威尔降息之际,特朗普周四突访美联储位于 华盛顿特区的埃克尔斯大楼,引发市场关注。此次"考察"原本是针对斥资25亿美元的总部翻修工程,但特 朗普很快将焦点转向了自己真正的目的,向鲍威尔施压,要求尽快大幅降息。 当天陪同特朗普访问的还包括多位国会议员及高级官员,其中包括预算管理局局长Russ Vought、联邦住 房金融局局长Bill Pulte等人。美联储工作人员则带领媒体参观了施工区域,展示了包括防爆窗、屋顶绿化 及新的安保设施。 特朗普甚至展示了一封起草中的信件,内容涉及解除鲍威尔职务,但随后他又称"目前没有计划"解雇美联 储主席。不过他暗示,可能会以翻修工程"涉嫌欺诈"为由推动罢免。值得注意的是,最高法院近期的判决 限制了总统在任期内罢免美联储主席的权力,而鲍威尔本人也多次公开表示即使被要求辞职,他也不会主 动下台。 市场对特朗普与鲍威尔的紧张关系有所警惕,但美股仍持续走强。标普500和纳指屡创新高,债市平稳, 波动率维持低位。特朗普政府近期还与英国、日本达成贸易协议,与欧盟的谈判也在推进中。稳健的市场 表现似乎进一步增强了特朗普挑战美联储的信心。 ...
美银:美联储独立性存疑施压美元 市场担忧加剧宽松倾向
news flash· 2025-07-24 14:39
金十数据7月24日讯,美国银行策略师Alex Cohen表示,围绕美联储领导层前景的不确定性正在削弱美 元表现,相关疑虑"显然比其他资产更早影响到美元",并可能是美元迟迟未能反弹的主要阻力。"即便 未来领导层更换以较常规方式进行,市场也开始预期一个更加宽松的美联储环境,"科恩指出。特朗普 持续向美联储主席鲍威尔施压,要求其降息,今日还计划到访美联储总部,进一步凸显政治干预迹象。 美银:美联储独立性存疑施压美元 市场担忧加剧宽松倾向 ...