北京商报讯（记者 刘宇阳）岁末年初之际，2026年权益市场将如何演绎成为投资者关注的焦点。12月 18日，摩根资产管理中国权益投资团队在策略会上，分享了对于2026年市场机会的研判。 展望2026年，摩根资产管理中国副总经理兼投资总监杜猛指出，随着中国产业全球竞争力的提升，国际 投资者正重新审视中国资产的配置价值，中国资产的长期价值重估进程仍在持续，看好2026年市场结构 性机会。他进一步强调，在当前市场分化格局下，判断优质资产应突破"新旧行业"的传统框架，回归产 业需求是否稳定增长以及现金流能否持续这一核心逻辑。 ...

权益投资团队均衡成长组组长李博认为，明年科技成长风格有望保持相对优势。权益均衡与价值组组长 倪权生重点提示了两类机会：一是受益于供给约束、格局改善且现金流持续优化的周期行业（如有色金 属），二是依托中国供应链与效率优势，积极拓展海外市场的高端制造业。 新京报贝壳财经讯（记者张晓翀）12月19日，摩根资产管理中国权益投资团队分享了对于2026年市场机 会的研判。 校对 柳宝庆 摩根资产管理中国副总经理兼投资总监杜猛指出，中国资产的长期价值重估进程仍在持续，看好2026年 市场结构性机会。在当前市场分化格局下，判断是不是优质资产应回归产业需求是否稳定增长以及现金 流能否持续这一核心逻辑。 权益成长组基金经理赵隆隆看好锂电与储能产业链，指数及量化投资部总监胡迪指出，展望2026 年，"哑铃型"配置策略仍具有重要价值。 编辑 岳彩周 ...

专题：2025基金行业年终大盘点：公募规模近36万亿元，主动权益重夺主场，"冠军基"揭榜倒计时 在岁末年初之际，2026年权益市场将如何演绎成为投资者关注的焦点。近日，摩根资产管理中国权益投 资团队在策略会上，以多元与国际视角，分享了对于2026年市场机会的研判。 摩根资产管理中国总经理王琼慧在开场致辞中表示，面对全球被动投资的浪潮，摩根资产管理始终坚持 发展主动投资能力，致力于打造"立足本土，与全球融会贯通"的投研平台。依托研究驱动、团队协作与 严谨的风险管理体系，公司持续为投资者提供高质量的产品与服务，挖掘长期价值。 银河证券数据显示，截至11月30日，摩根基金近1年、2年、3年及20年的主动股票投资管理能力均位列 行业前10（分别为6/130、6/127、8/122、7/29），其中近一年主动股票投资管理收益率超过50%。同时 近年来公司在指数及量化、固定收益、多资产解决方案、混合资产以及流动性管理等领域齐头并进，各 投资团队实力不断增强。 展望2026年，摩根资产管理中国副总经理兼投资总监杜猛指出，随着中国产业全球竞争力的提升，国际 投资者正重新审视中国资产的配置价值，中国资产的长期价值重估进程仍在持 ...

Core Insights - The primary focus of the article is the resurgence of dollar funds in the primary market, indicating a renewed confidence among investors in China's market [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - A notable fundraising wave has emerged in the primary market, with several institutions announcing successful fundraising rounds, particularly for dollar funds [3][4]. - The dollar fund sector is experiencing a revival, with significant changes in recruitment trends, particularly for Investor Relations (IR) positions, signaling a potential increase in fundraising activities [6][7]. - Many institutions that previously focused on RMB funds are now expanding into overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, by adding dollar IR positions [7]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment - There is a marked increase in engagement from foreign Limited Partners (LPs), with many foreign family offices conducting intensive research trips to China, indicating a renewed recognition of China's technological innovation and asset value [7][8]. - Recent fundraising successes by firms like Monolith Capital and Source Code Capital have bolstered market confidence [7][8]. Group 3: Strategic Opportunities - Blue Pool Capital, backed by Alibaba's co-founder, is launching its first direct private equity fund with a target of $750 million, focusing on global investments, including in China [8]. - The shift in foreign investment sentiment is attributed to ongoing policy benefits and significant breakthroughs in domestic technology, leading to a recovery in market confidence [10][15]. Group 4: Regional Initiatives - Shenzhen has introduced a comprehensive plan to attract overseas sovereign funds, aiming to enhance cross-border capital cooperation and support local industries [11][12]. - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is also focusing on expanding institutional openness and cross-border investment channels, encouraging long-term value investments rather than short-term trading [12]. Group 5: Asset Valuation - The article emphasizes the re-evaluation of Chinese assets, particularly in competitive sectors like manufacturing and the vast consumer market, which are seen as undervalued [13]. - The global competitive landscape is shifting, with Chinese entrepreneurs and tech companies gaining parity with their U.S. counterparts, leading to increased foreign interest in China's innovation capabilities [13][15].

Core Viewpoint - The revaluation of Chinese assets is underway, driven by multiple factors including institutional reforms, economic resilience, and emerging investment opportunities [1] Group 1: Institutional Reforms - The ongoing institutional opening of China's capital market is creating a favorable environment for global capital allocation [3] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange aims to expand institutional openness, enhance cross-border investment channels, and improve international competitiveness [3] - Systematic implementation of institutional innovations is reshaping global capital allocation logic, boosting international investors' confidence in the Chinese market [3] Group 2: Economic Resilience - China's economic resilience during structural transformation provides a solid foundation for asset value revaluation [4] - Economic indicators suggest a steady recovery, with GDP growth expected to remain around 5% in 2026 [4] - The attractiveness of RMB assets in global capital allocation is increasing, evidenced by rising foreign capital inflows and diversified corporate financing channels [4][5] Group 3: Emerging Investment Opportunities - Three main paths—innovation, mergers and acquisitions (M&A), and globalization—are driving continuous momentum for the revaluation of Chinese assets [6] - Sectors like AI and new consumption are becoming hotspots for global capital, creating structural opportunities [7] - The M&A market is seeing significant activity, with over 1,000 disclosed transactions since the introduction of the "M&A Six Guidelines," including a 138% year-on-year increase in major asset restructurings [7] - The globalization of Chinese enterprises is accelerating, broadening revenue sources and reconstructing valuation systems on a global scale [7][8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's asset prices are undergoing a significant revaluation driven by multiple factors, marking the beginning of a new era for the Chinese capital market [1] - The institutional opening of China's capital market is deepening, reshaping global capital allocation logic, as evidenced by the Shanghai Stock Exchange's focus on expanding cross-border investment channels and enhancing international competitiveness [3][4] - China's economic resilience is providing a solid foundation for asset value revaluation, with GDP growth expected to remain around 5% in 2026, and the attractiveness of RMB assets in global capital allocation is increasing [4][5] Group 2 - New growth drivers are emerging, with innovation, mergers and acquisitions, and globalization creating diverse investment paths that expand valuation space for Chinese assets [6][7] - The innovation sector, particularly in AI and new consumption, is becoming a hotspot for global capital, while mergers and acquisitions are enhancing asset quality through industry consolidation [7][8] - The globalization of Chinese enterprises is accelerating, broadening revenue sources and reconstructing the valuation system on a global scale, indicating that the revaluation of Chinese assets is not just a forecast but a current reality [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significant opportunities for the Chinese capital market during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, driven by comprehensive reforms, economic transformation, institutional improvements, and value reassessment of assets [1][9][15]. Group 1: Economic Context and Historical Comparison - The Chinese stock market has experienced a prolonged period of platform consolidation, similar to historical patterns observed in the U.S. stock market, which also underwent extended phases of stagnation before significant upward movements [3][4][6]. - The Shanghai Composite Index has been fluctuating around the 3000-point mark for 17.5 years, indicating a long-term consolidation phase before recent upward trends [3]. Group 2: Opportunities for Capital Market Development - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines three major certainties that could lead to significant opportunities for the capital market: high-quality economic development, macro policy expectations, and the recovery of asset valuations [9][10]. - Comprehensive reforms are expected to release dividends, addressing long-standing issues of unbalanced and insufficient development, which have been exacerbated by the pandemic and global changes [10]. - Economic transformation is anticipated to create new opportunities, with a focus on building a strong domestic market and enhancing technological self-reliance [11]. Group 3: Institutional Improvements - The article highlights the importance of improving the capital market's institutional framework, which has been lacking in the past, leading to a disparity in asset price movements compared to real estate [12][13]. - Recent policies aimed at enhancing the quality of listed companies and encouraging long-term investments are expected to provide a solid foundation for the capital market's operation [12]. Group 4: Value Reassessment and Market Dynamics - Despite recent highs in the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index, the overall valuation of A-shares remains low, indicating potential for future value reassessment [14]. - The article identifies three driving forces for the value reassessment of Chinese assets: economic transformation, increased diversification of household assets, and the global shift of capital away from U.S. dollar assets [14]. Group 5: Conclusion and Future Outlook - The combination of economic recovery, technological innovation, ongoing institutional improvements, and asset value reassessment suggests a positive outlook for the Chinese capital market [15]. - However, the article cautions that investors should adopt a long-term value investment approach, as uncertainties and risks remain prevalent in the market [15].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the renewed interest of foreign capital in the Chinese market, highlighting a strategic shift as international investors express optimism about China's economic growth and investment opportunities [4][10][19]. Group 1: Foreign Capital Interest - Foreign capital is increasingly focusing on strategic investments in China, with many international institutions raising their growth forecasts for the Chinese economy [4][10]. - The "2025 IPEM Private Equity and Industry Conference" in Wuxi attracted over 200 international GP and LP institutions, indicating a strong interest in global private equity trends and cross-border cooperation [4][10]. Group 2: Wuxi's Investment Ecosystem - Wuxi has become a hub for global capital, with significant contributions from technology and innovation, evidenced by a technology progress contribution rate exceeding 69% and a total market value of technology companies ranking sixth nationally [8][9]. - The city hosts 7,200 foreign enterprises, with imports and exports accounting for nearly 60% of the total trade, showcasing its robust international trade environment [8][9]. Group 3: Market Recovery and Investment Trends - 2023 is identified as a pivotal year for foreign capital re-entering China, driven by policy incentives and breakthroughs in local technological innovation [12][14]. - The venture capital landscape is showing signs of recovery, with a 40.3% month-on-month increase in LP investment activity in September, reaching the highest level of the year [16]. Group 4: Domestic VC Strategies - Domestic venture capital firms are actively preparing for the influx of global capital, with early-stage investment institutions particularly vibrant, indicating a return to high-frequency investment patterns reminiscent of a decade ago [16][17]. - The collaboration between dollar VC and state-owned capital is anticipated to be a significant trend in the next decade, particularly in the Yangtze River Delta region, which is experiencing heightened entrepreneurial activity [17]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The article concludes that the growth opportunities driven by China's new productive forces are becoming increasingly significant, with foreign capital transitioning from a wait-and-see approach to tentative re-engagement [19][20].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's capital market is expected to emerge from previous platform consolidation and enter a significant development opportunity period, as outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" recommendations [1][8] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission emphasizes the importance of a robust capital market in the context of national financial strength and global competition [1][8] - The recent performance of the Shanghai Composite Index, which has rebounded to around 4000 points, indicates a positive trend in the Chinese stock market [2][8] Group 2 - Historical analysis shows that the U.S. stock market has also experienced prolonged periods of platform consolidation, highlighting that such phenomena are not unique to China [2][3][4] - The first period of the Dow Jones Industrial Average's consolidation lasted 36 years, reflecting the market's immaturity during that time [3] - The second and third periods of consolidation for the Dow were marked by significant economic events, including oil crises and the dot-com bubble, which influenced market dynamics [4][5] Group 3 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" identifies four key opportunities for the development of China's capital market, including comprehensive reforms, economic transformation, institutional improvements, and value reassessment [8][9][10] - Comprehensive reforms are expected to address structural issues in the economy, enhancing the capital market's functionality and supporting high-quality development [9][11] - The economic transformation is anticipated to create new opportunities, with significant market space projected from optimizing traditional industries and fostering emerging sectors [10][12] Group 4 - Institutional improvements are crucial for enhancing the capital market's appeal and competitiveness, with recent policies aimed at increasing the quality of listed companies and encouraging long-term investments [11][12] - The value reassessment of Chinese assets is driven by various factors, including the diversification of domestic asset allocation and the global shift away from dollar-denominated assets [12][13] - The overall sentiment in the Chinese capital market is improving, with a growing number of positive narratives emerging, which is expected to support market stability and activity [10][14]

Group 1 - The conference held by Guotai Junan on November 4, 2023, focused on the theme "Setting Sail for a New Journey," gathering experts from various sectors to discuss market hotspots and investment strategies for 2026 [2][4] - Guotai Junan's President Li Junjie emphasized that China's economy is responding to external uncertainties with a focus on high-quality development, positioning itself as a key driver of global economic growth [4] - The capital market reform aims to enhance inclusivity, adaptability, and competitiveness, potentially leading to a broad revaluation of Chinese assets [4] Group 2 - The main forum featured notable speakers discussing topics such as China's macroeconomic situation, U.S. economic outlook, global geopolitical dynamics, and the future of artificial intelligence [7] - Guotai Junan's Chief Macro Analyst Liang Zhonghua presented a view that China's economy has significant growth potential, with a focus on stabilizing prices as a key to growth in 2026 [10] - Chief Strategy Analyst Fang Yi highlighted that 2025 will mark a significant growth period for the Chinese stock market, driven by capital market reforms and economic transformation, with a bullish outlook for both technology and non-technology sectors [12] Group 3 - The conference included six sub-forums covering various topics such as humanoid robots, AI ecosystems, new energy, and innovative pharmaceuticals, providing a comprehensive platform for dialogue [14] - The event attracted thousands of viewers through live streaming on Guotai Junan's apps, indicating strong interest in the discussions and insights shared [14]