⼀、 端到端盛行的当下，轨迹预测这个方向还有研究价值吗？ 最近有同学后台问我们，现在都是搞端到端了，前面的轨迹预测和规划控制还有啥研究的价值吗？端到端真的 上车的并不多，很多依然沿用分层方案，其中轨迹预测作为后半段的核心算法，依然是许多公司和机构研究的 热点。包括联合轨迹预测和目标轨迹预测。相关的会议和期刊依然有较大量的工作产出。 自动驾驶之心针对目前比较火的基于扩散模型的多智能体轨迹预测方法研究展开了首个1v6小班课！本课题聚 焦于"基于扩散模型的多智能体轨迹预测方法"。多智能体轨迹预测旨在根据多个交互主体的历史轨迹，预测其 未来运动轨迹，这在自动驾驶、智能监控和机器人导航等场景中至关重要。然而，由于人的行为具有不确定性 和多模态性，预测任务十分困难。传统方法通常依赖循环神经网络、卷积网络或图神经网络建模社会交互，而 生成模型（如GAN和CVAE）虽然可以模拟多模态分布，但效率不高。 扩散模型是一类通过逐步去噪实现复杂分布生成的新型模型，近年来在图像生成等领域取得了重大突破。研究 者发现将扩散模型应用于轨迹预测可以显著提升多模态建模能力。例如，LeapfrogDiffusionModel（LED）采 用可训 ...

⼀、课题简介⭐ 基于扩散模型的多智能体轨迹预测方法研究来啦！本课题聚焦于"基于扩散模型的多智能体轨迹预测方法"。多 智能体轨迹预测旨在根据多个交互主体的历史轨迹，预测其未来运动轨迹，这在自动驾驶、智能监控和机器人 导航等场景中至关重要。然而，由于人的行为具有不确定性和多模态性，预测任务十分困难。传统方法通常依 赖循环神经网络、卷积网络或图神经网络建模社会交互，而生成模型（如GAN和CVAE）虽然可以模拟多模态 分布，但效率不高。 扩散模型是一类通过逐步去噪实现复杂分布生成的新型模型，近年来在图像生成等领域取得了重大突破。研究 者发现将扩散模型应用于轨迹预测可以显著提升多模态建模能力。例如，LeapfrogDiffusionModel（LED）采 用可训练的"跳跃"初始化器，减少去噪步骤并实现实时预测，在NBA/NFL/SDD/ETHUCY等数据集上显著提升 精度并加速了19–30倍。MixedGaussianFlow（MGF）通过构建混合高斯先验来更好地匹配未来轨迹的多峰分 布，在UCY/ETH和SDD数据集上达到了最先进性能。此外，Pattern Memory-based Diffusion Model （ ...

Core Viewpoint - End-to-End Autonomous Driving (E2E) is identified as the core algorithm for intelligent driving mass production, with significant advancements and competition emerging in the industry following the recognition of UniAD at CVPR [2][3] Group 1: E2E Autonomous Driving Overview - E2E systems directly model the relationship between sensor inputs and vehicle control information, avoiding error accumulation seen in traditional modular approaches [2] - The introduction of BEV perception has bridged gaps between modular methods, leading to a significant technological leap [2] - The emergence of various algorithms indicates that UniAD is not the ultimate solution for E2E, highlighting the rapid development in this field [2] Group 2: Learning Challenges in E2E - The fast-paced development in E2E technology has made previous educational resources inadequate, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of multiple domains such as multimodal large models, BEV perception, and reinforcement learning [3][4] - Beginners face challenges due to fragmented knowledge and the overwhelming volume of literature, often leading to abandonment before mastering the concepts [3] Group 3: Course Development - A new course titled "End-to-End and VLA Autonomous Driving" has been developed to address learning challenges, focusing on practical and theoretical integration [4][5][6] - The course aims to provide a structured framework for understanding E2E research and enhance research capabilities by categorizing papers and extracting innovative points [5] Group 4: Course Structure - The course includes five chapters covering topics from the introduction of E2E algorithms to practical applications involving RLHF fine-tuning [9][10][11][12][13] - Key areas of focus include the evolution of E2E paradigms, the significance of VLA in the current landscape, and practical implementations of diffusion models [11][12] Group 5: Expected Outcomes - Participants are expected to achieve a level equivalent to one year of experience as an E2E autonomous driving algorithm engineer, mastering various methodologies and key technologies [18] - The course aims to facilitate the application of learned concepts in real-world projects, enhancing employability in the autonomous driving sector [18]

代码生成领域刚刚迎来了一次地震级的突破。来自字节跳动旗下Seed团队与清华大学智能产业研究院联 合发布的最新研究成果，将人工智能代码生成的速度推向了一个全新的高度。这项名为"Seed Diffusion Preview"的研究发表于2025年8月，有兴趣深入了解的读者可以通过arXiv:2508.02193访问完整论文。 想象一下，如果传统的代码生成AI是一位细心的程序员，需要一个字符一个字符地敲击键盘写代码， 那么这次的新技术就像是拥有了神奇魔法的超级程序员，可以同时用多只手并行写代码，速度快得惊 人。传统的自回归语言模型就像是严格按照从左到右顺序写作的作家，必须写完一个词才能写下一个 词，而Seed Diffusion则打破了这种束缚，就像一位艺术家可以同时在画布的不同位置作画，最终拼凑 出完整的作品。 来源：至顶网 | | | 这项研究的核心创新在于采用了离散状态扩散模型来进行代码生成。扩散模型原本是从图像生成领域发 展出来的技术，可以把它理解为一个"去噪"过程。就好比你有一张被大量噪点遮盖的照片，扩散模型能 够逐步去除噪点，最终还原出清晰的图像。而Seed Diffusion巧妙地将这种思路应用到了文 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the introduction of a new model called Monte Carlo Tree Diffusion (MCTD), which combines Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) with diffusion models, achieving a 100% success rate in maze navigation tasks [4][3]. Group 1: MCTD Overview - MCTD addresses the limitations of traditional diffusion models in long-range reasoning by integrating MCTS's exploration capabilities with the global consistency of diffusion models [8][4]. - The model balances exploration and exploitation by dividing trajectories into sub-plans, allowing for differentiated denoising scheduling [8][12]. Group 2: Experimental Results - MCTD demonstrated near 100% success rates across various maze sizes, significantly outperforming baseline methods [17]. - In robotic arm tasks, MCTD-Replanning improved success rates from 22% to 50% in multi-block scenarios [19]. - The model's performance in visual mazes indicates robustness in high-dimensional perceptual spaces [20]. Group 3: Efficiency Improvements with Fast-MCTD - Fast-MCTD was introduced to address the high computational costs of MCTD, achieving up to 100 times faster inference in specific tasks [25][40]. - The model incorporates parallel processing and trajectory coarsening to enhance efficiency while maintaining performance [29][35]. - In maze navigation tests, Fast-MCTD achieved significant speed improvements of 80-110 times with minimal performance loss [36]. Group 4: Authors and Research Background - The primary authors of the papers are Jaesik Yoon and Sungjin Ahn from KAIST, with Ahn also affiliated with New York University [41][43].

Core Viewpoint - The autonomous driving industry is facing significant profitability challenges, with even leading companies struggling to achieve stable profits due to high operational costs and regulatory constraints [3][4]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The complexity of technology and high implementation costs mean that traditional solutions (like human labor) remain more cost-effective in certain scenarios [2][4]. - The overall job market for autonomous driving has cooled compared to previous years, with a noticeable reduction in job openings, especially for Level 4 positions, leading to increased competition [5][6]. - The profitability model of the industry is still unclear, and companies are under significant survival pressure [2][3]. Group 2: Job Market Insights - The demand for talent in the autonomous driving sector has shifted, with current hiring requiring not only solid engineering skills but also experience in mass production and practical application [6][8]. - Job openings in the sector are fewer than in previous years, and the requirements for candidates have become more stringent and practical [5][6]. Group 3: Specific Applications and Opportunities - Certain specific applications, such as logistics in ports, mines, and campuses, are more mature but face cost-effectiveness challenges and limited market size [4]. - Companies are encouraged to explore opportunities in related fields, such as robotics and industrial automation, as the autonomous driving sector continues to evolve [8].

Core Viewpoint - The autonomous driving industry is experiencing a paradox where job vacancies exist alongside a scarcity of suitable talent, leading to a cautious hiring environment as companies prioritize financial sustainability and effective business models over rapid expansion [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - Many companies possess a seemingly complete technology stack (perception, control, prediction, mapping, data closure), yet they still face significant challenges in achieving large-scale, low-cost, and high-reliability commercialization [3]. - The gap between "laboratory results" and "real-world performance" remains substantial, indicating that practical application of technology is still a work in progress [3]. Group 2: Talent Acquisition - Companies are not necessarily unwilling to hire; rather, they have an unprecedented demand for "top talent" and "highly compatible talent" in the autonomous driving sector [4]. - The industry is shifting towards a more selective hiring process, focusing on candidates with strong technical skills and relevant experience in cutting-edge research and production [3][4]. Group 3: Community and Resources - The "Autonomous Driving Heart Knowledge Planet" is the largest community for autonomous driving technology in China, established to provide industry insights and facilitate talent development [9]. - The community has nearly 4,000 members and includes over 100 experts in the autonomous driving field, offering various learning pathways and resources [7][9]. Group 4: Learning and Development - The community emphasizes the importance of continuous learning and networking, providing a platform for newcomers to quickly gain knowledge and for experienced individuals to enhance their skills and connections [10]. - The platform includes comprehensive learning routes covering nearly all subfields of autonomous driving technology, such as perception, mapping, and AI model deployment [9][12].

Group 1 - The article discusses the recruitment of business partners for the "Autonomous Driving Heart" initiative, aiming to onboard 10 outstanding partners (individuals and enterprises) for various autonomous driving projects [2] - The main focus areas for potential partners include large models, multimodal models, diffusion models, and other advanced AI technologies related to autonomous driving [2] - The article outlines the requirements for applicants, emphasizing a master's degree or higher from universities ranked within QS200, with a preference for candidates with significant contributions to top conferences [2] Group 2 - The article highlights the benefits for partners, including resource sharing for job placements, PhD recommendations, and study abroad opportunities [3] - It mentions attractive cash incentives and opportunities for collaboration on entrepreneurial projects [3] - Contact information is provided for interested parties to inquire about collaboration in autonomous driving projects [3]

Core Viewpoint - GraspGen framework addresses the challenge of generalization in 6-DOF grasping by modeling the grasp generation process as an iterative diffusion process, enhancing grasp generation capabilities through the DiffusionTransformer architecture and an efficient discriminator for sampling evaluation [2][21]. Group 1: Core Methodology - GraspGen models the 6-DOF grasp generation as a diffusion process in SE(3) space, utilizing Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model (DDPM) for faster computation and simpler implementation compared to traditional energy-based models [4]. - The framework employs PointTransformerV3 (PTv3) to convert unstructured point clouds into structured formats, reducing translation error by 5.3mm and improving recall rate by 4% compared to PointNet++ [4]. - The noise prediction network generates grasps through a 10-step denoising process, significantly fewer than the hundreds of steps required for image diffusion [5]. Group 2: Discriminator Innovations - GraspGen's discriminator innovatively reuses the generator's object encoder, reducing memory usage by 21 times compared to traditional methods [7]. - The discriminator is trained on a dataset generated by the generator, allowing it to better identify failure modes such as collisions and distant grasps, achieving an AUC of 0.947 compared to 0.886 when trained solely on offline data [16][21]. Group 3: Experimental Results - In single-object scenarios, GraspGen's precision-recall curve AUC exceeds baseline by 48% on the ACRONYM dataset, demonstrating the importance of the discriminator [10]. - In cluttered scenes, GraspGen achieves the highest task success rate and grasp success rate, outperforming Contact-GraspNet by 16.9% and M2T2 by 7.8% [13]. - Real robot experiments on the UR10 robotic arm show an overall success rate of 81.3% across various scenarios, significantly higher than M2T2 (28%) and AnyGrasp (17.6%) [19]. Group 4: Limitations and Future Directions - GraspGen shows limitations in performance on cubical objects and relies heavily on the quality of depth sensing and instance segmentation, with training requiring approximately 3,000 GPU hours [21].

Core Viewpoint - End-to-End Autonomous Driving is a key algorithm for intelligent driving mass production, with significant salary potential for related positions, and it has evolved into various technical directions since the introduction of UniAD [2][4]. Group 1: Technical Directions - End-to-End Autonomous Driving can be categorized into one-stage and two-stage approaches, with various subfields emerging under each category [2][4]. - The core advantage of end-to-end systems is the direct modeling from sensor input to vehicle planning/control information, avoiding error accumulation seen in modular methods [2]. - Notable algorithms include PLUTO for two-stage end-to-end, UniAD for perception-based one-stage, OccWorld for world model-based one-stage, and DiffusionDrive for diffusion model-based one-stage [4]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The demand for VLA/VLM algorithm experts is increasing, with salary ranges for positions requiring 3-5 years of experience being between 40K-70K [9]. - The industry is witnessing a shift towards large model algorithms, with companies focusing on VLA as the next generation of autonomous driving solutions [8][9]. Group 3: Course Offerings - A new course titled "End-to-End and VLA Autonomous Driving" is being offered to help individuals understand the complexities of end-to-end algorithms and their applications [15][28]. - The course covers various topics, including background knowledge, two-stage end-to-end, one-stage end-to-end, and practical applications of reinforcement learning [20][22][24]. - The course aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of the end-to-end framework, including key technologies like BEV perception, multi-modal large models, and diffusion models [31].