Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the food and beverage sector [5][4]. Core Views - The report highlights that the demand for high-end liquor continues to face pressure during the off-season, while beer and beverages are entering a demand peak [11][1]. - The liquor index has decreased by 0.9%, indicating ongoing short-term fundamental pressures [13]. - The report suggests three investment themes in the liquor sector: 1) Leading companies with proven risk resilience such as Kweichow Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye; 2) Companies like Luzhou Laojiao that are showing positive feedback from digital initiatives and are undervalued; 3) Brands like Jinsiyuan and Yingjia Gongjiu that still have market share growth potential [12][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Liquor - The report notes that high-end liquor prices have slightly declined, with Kweichow Moutai's stock buyback and international product launches indicating a strategic shift [2][11]. - Luzhou Laojiao plans to focus on expanding its market presence and enhancing brand image [2][11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of consumer engagement and market health for liquor companies moving forward [12]. 2. Consumer Goods - The beer industry is expected to enter a peak sales phase, with potential for good performance due to low comparative bases from the previous year [14]. - The snack food sector is experiencing a trend of differentiation, with leading companies driving efficiency across the supply chain [15]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with new product launches and channel breakthroughs, such as Wei Long and Yihai International [15]. 3. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - Kweichow Moutai is projected to have an EPS of 75.28 in 2025, with a PE ratio of 20.0 [4]. - Wuliangye is expected to have an EPS of 8.44 in 2025, with a PE ratio of 14.8 [4]. - Luzhou Laojiao's forecasted EPS is 9.64 for 2025, with a PE ratio of 12.1 [4]. 4. Market Trends - The food and beverage sector saw a decline of 0.65% this week, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.78 percentage points [20]. - The report indicates that the beverage sector is entering a peak season, with expectations for continued growth in segments like sugar-free tea and energy drinks [19].

Group 1 - The core competition among major players like JD, Meituan, and Taobao is centered around capturing consumer attention within a 30-minute radius, focusing on instant retail [1][3] - Instant retail is evolving into a lifestyle trend, emphasizing the importance of "consumption scenarios" for food brands to address [2][4] - The demand for local supply and high delivery efficiency is growing, with instant retail expanding to all categories, enhancing consumer convenience [4][28] Group 2 - Instant retail alters consumer demand triggers from traditional bulk purchasing to scenario-based consumption, driven by immediate needs [7][28] - Food brands must innovate products and build trust around specific consumption scenarios to remain competitive [7][28] - The 2025 Foodaily report identifies key consumption scenarios across various dimensions, highlighting opportunities for brand growth [9][28] Group 3 - Case studies illustrate how brands like Kikkoman, Itoen, and Doritos are leveraging specific consumption scenarios to drive growth [11][28] - Kikkoman's microwave seasoning products cater to busy consumers seeking efficiency without sacrificing quality [12][14] - Itoen's barley tea targets health-conscious consumers across all age groups, expanding its market presence through diverse packaging [18][20] - Doritos addresses the gaming community's need for quiet snacking options, showcasing the importance of user experience in consumption scenarios [22][26]