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牛證VS熊證大對決!美團高波動行情下的衍生品選擇攻略」
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-28 18:40
Group 1 - Meituan's stock price has been under pressure, currently trading at 128.5 HKD, down 0.62%, with a clear bearish technical pattern [1] - The stock has formed a death cross as the 10-day moving average (MA10) at 134.59 HKD has fallen below the 30-day (MA30) at 136.09 HKD and the 60-day moving average (MA60) at 150.42 HKD [1] - The stock is oscillating between 122.6 HKD and 136.4 HKD, with a 5-day volatility of 13.3%, indicating significant market divergence [1] Group 2 - There are 19 sell signals, 2 neutral signals, and 2 buy signals, indicating a strong sell sentiment [2] - Key support levels are identified at 126.4 HKD and 125.5 HKD, with a second support at 118.2 HKD [2] - The average daily trading volume is 54.3 billion HKD, showing sufficient liquidity but heavy selling pressure remains [3] Group 3 - Recent bearish derivative products related to Meituan have surged over 30%, with notable gains in put options and bear certificates [5][6] - The performance of these products highlights the explosive potential of bearish derivatives in a declining market [6] - For investors anticipating a rebound, HSBC's call options provide a leverage of 9 times with a strike price of 143.3 HKD, suitable for technical rebounds [8] Group 4 - Bull certificates from Morgan Stanley offer a recovery price of 117 HKD with a leverage of 9.8 times, while another option has a lower recovery price of 115 HKD with a leverage of 7.9 times [10] - Bear certificates from UBS and Societe Generale provide leverage of 7.7 times and 7.5 times, respectively, with recovery prices above 143 HKD [10]
小米業績亮眼;窩輪牛熊如何佈局?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-28 18:10
港股今早開市表現波動,小米昨日公佈業績公司Q1營收1112.93億元(人民幣,下同),同比增長47.4%,創下歷史新高,市場預期1089.65億元。高盛發佈 研報稱,將小米集團-W(01810)目標價從62港元上調4.8%至65港元,重申《買入》評級 截止10點 30分小米股價升1.65%, 報52.4元。從技術面看,小米正處於關鍵轉折點,10日線(52.17元)形成上方阻力,但30日線(48.91元)提供支撐。值得關注的 是,RSI指標55處於中性區域,MACD卻呈現買入信號,而保力加通道持續收窄,暗示即將出現突破行情。短線若未能突破54.3元阻力,可能下探47.7元支 持位。各位投資者,您認為小米短期會延續反彈,還是會再次測試下方支撐? 週二盤後專欄【港股Podcast】點評提到:小米(01810):投資者問如果業績好,是否有機會上至60元?不過有看跌投資者認為財報後跌回48左 右,會有人大量掃貨。窩輪市場上,有人留意牛證收回價在48.5元,不過街貨量已經100%,是否有風險? Simon: 全日收51.55元,短期處於下跌趨勢。如果繼續下跌,參考當前保利加通道的底部47.2元。而我們數據系統分析的48. ...
小米(01810)短線衝高遇阻!56元關口成多空決戰關鍵
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-23 18:04
Group 1 - Xiaomi's stock price is currently fluctuating around 54.45 HKD, with technical indicators showing mixed signals [1] - As of 9:55 AM, Xiaomi's stock price was at 54.55 HKD, a slight increase of 0.18%, with resistance at 56 HKD and support at 50.4 HKD [1] - The MACD and Ichimoku indicators are signaling a buy, while the RSI is at 66, nearing the overbought zone, and the Williams indicator shows a sell warning [1] Group 2 - On May 19, when Xiaomi's stock rose by 4.01%, related derivatives performed strongly, with the Morgan Stanley call option (14642) surging by 22% [3] - UBS bull certificates (66801) and call options (14991) increased by 19% and 18% respectively, while Morgan Stanley bull certificates (67102) also rose by 18% [3] - This data highlights the leverage effect of derivatives in high volatility markets, particularly call options [3] Group 3 - For investors optimistic about Xiaomi breaking the 56 HKD resistance, several high-leverage products are available, including UBS call options (14991) with a leverage of 4.8 times [5] - HSBC call options (15392) follow closely with a leverage of 4.7 times, while Morgan Stanley bull certificates (55982) offer a leverage of 6.7 times with an attractive premium level [5] - Morgan Stanley bull certificates (55750) have a lower recovery price of 46 HKD but provide a leverage of 5.6 times, suitable for aggressive investors [5] Group 4 - For bearish expectations, HSBC put options (14333) and Morgan Stanley put options (14322) offer leverage of 2.3 times and 2.4 times respectively, both with a strike price of 46.45 HKD [8] - Among bear certificates, UBS bear certificates (56421) provide a leverage of 8.8 times with a recovery price of 61 HKD, while Societe Generale bear certificates (56288) offer 9.4 times leverage with a recovery price of 60.5 HKD, suitable for short-term trading [8] Group 5 - Investors can choose based on their risk preferences: conservative investors may consider out-of-the-money call options, balanced investors may opt for medium-leverage bull certificates, and aggressive investors may select high-leverage bear certificates for short-term trades [11] - Regardless of market position, strict position control and clear stop-loss points are recommended [11]
平保(2318)短線突破關鍵阻力位分析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-22 02:26
今日上午11點50分,平保(02318)盤中表現穩健,最新報46.7元,上漲0.65%,股價逼近日線圖的保利加通道頂部47.57元。同時周線圖的保利加通道頂部在 48.57元。 從技術面來看,10日均線(47.04元)與30日均線(45.33元)形成黃金交叉,MACD指標發出買入信號,但動能略顯溫和。RSI處於55的中性水平,顯示股價仍有 上行空間。關鍵支持位在44.9元(支持1)和44元(支持2),上方阻力則看48.4元(阻力1)和49.4元(阻力2)。 窩輪市場上,有投資者表示從周線和日k線上看是買入時機,後續會持續上漲,等50元再賣出。不過有看淡的投資者則認為站不穩55元,走勢仍弱勢。 回顧5月19日表現,平保相關衍生品表現亮眼。當日正股上漲2.19%,法巴認購證15999大漲16%,摩通牛證53834也有15%升幅,跑贏正股表現。 窩輪產品精選 現階段的窩輪選擇上,可關注花旗認購證13225,行使價49.93元,提供13.4倍槓桿,其最大優勢是溢價及引伸波幅均屬市場最低;摩利認購證15639則提供 12.9倍槓桿,行使價同樣為49.93元,引伸波幅較為理想。看跌方向的可考慮摩通認沽證28028和瑞銀認 ...
航運股強勢延續;中遠海控技術面解析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-20 10:30
今日中午13點20分,中遠海航(1919)股價報14.48元,盤中最高14.54元。走勢上,逼近日線圖的保利加通道頂部14.81元,從周線圖來看表現強勢,保利加通道的頂 部13.73,已經被突破。 | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 | 中立信號 買入信號 | | --- | --- | --- | | 強力買入 | | 8 | 窩輪精選:航運股衍生工具如何部署? 現階段可考慮瑞銀認購證27472,行使價14.5元,提供4.3倍槓桿,引伸波幅處於理想水準;滙豐認購證27475則提供4.5倍槓桿,行使價同樣為14.5元,其最大 優勢是溢價及引伸波幅均為市場最低。摩通認購證27469,行使價14.5元,引伸波幅52.14%,槓桿4.5倍。 昨日(19日)盤後專欄中提到中遠海航(1919):全日收14.36元,投資者問能否挑戰15元?走勢可喜可賀,整體走勢比較強。自4月中至今,升勢沒有停 過。短期信號總結為"強力買入",周線圖的股價走勢向上。短期可以高看一線,參考數據系統分析的阻力位14.7元。不過留意周線圖的保利加通道頂部已經 被突破,留意是否會有技術性調整。有投資者早前留意行使價14元左右的認購證,目前會食糊一部分盈利 ...
小米短線技術分析:關鍵位與策略
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-15 09:59
昨日(13日)收市點評【港股Podcast】中提到小米(01810):週二收48.65元,投資者問什麼位置有支持位?從走勢看,如果再跌,留意是否會 跌穿中線(47.2元),其次參考數據系統分析的第一個支持位44.2元。如果再跌則考慮第二支持位40.8元同時也是日線圖的保利加通道的底部。 窩輪市場上,投資者留意熊證,同時也有投資者考慮在46元撈底。 | 09:13 6 | | 160 | 09:13 6 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | Hi > Q C+ < | | | | 資訊 圖表 輪設 評論 | | | 間表 輪 評論 | 省計 | | 14642 小米摩利五九購F.C | | | 14991 小米瑞銀五九購B. | | | 盤前競價 05/13 16:00:00 | | | 28 42 盤前競價 05/13 16:00:00 | | | 最 0.071 | | -- 開 市 | - 0.076 | 를 高 | | 最 低 +0.000 +0.00% | | 前 收 -- | 0.071 +0.000 +0.00% | 最 仕 | | 成交量 0股 成交 ...