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1月5日【港股Podcast】恆指、快手、藥明康德、友邦保險、小米集團、騰訊控股
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-07 04:16
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) showed a positive trend at the beginning of the year, with a significant rise last Friday, breaking through the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, which pleased many investors [1] - Today's performance saw a slight increase in the closing price, but the overall gain was not substantial, leading to some investor disappointment [2] - Despite the stable movement of the HSI, trading volume increased compared to previous periods, which typically suggests a potential for upward movement [2] Technical Signals - The HSI is currently at the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, with 9 sell signals and 4 buy signals indicating a bearish sentiment [3] - Support is estimated around 25,800 points, with a potential drop to 25,500 points if this level is breached, while resistance is at approximately 26,400 points [3] - For bullish investors, buying options below 25,500 points is considered safer, with some options having leverage ratios close to 20 times [4] Individual Stock Analysis Kuaishou (01024.HK) - Kuaishou's stock price has shown significant upward movement, closing at 73.6 HKD, with trading volume breaking previous records [8] - Technical signals indicate 8 sell signals and 5 buy signals, suggesting a bearish outlook in the short term, with a resistance level at 81.4 HKD [9] WuXi AppTec (02359.HK) - WuXi AppTec's stock price reached a high of 104.2 HKD before closing lower, with increased trading volume compared to recent days [13] - The resistance level is identified at 108.2 HKD, with a potential further increase to 112.3 HKD if this level is surpassed [13] AIA Group (01299.HK) - AIA's stock price closed at 89.9 HKD, showing a slight increase, but with a predominance of sell signals (8 sell vs. 6 buy) indicating a cautious outlook [17] - The stock needs to break the resistance at 85 HKD to have a chance of reaching 90.4 HKD [17] Xiaomi (01810.HK) - Xiaomi's stock price closed at 39.3 HKD, with increased trading volume but overall disappointing performance [20] - The support level is around 38.4 HKD, with a potential drop to 35.8 HKD if this level is breached, while resistance is noted at 40 HKD [20] Tencent (00700.HK) - Tencent's stock price saw a slight increase, with a resistance level at approximately 629 HKD, and potential further increase to 657 HKD if this level is surpassed [25] - The technical signals are currently neutral, indicating no clear direction for investors [25]
12月8日【港股Podcast】恆指、中信建投證券、美團、瑞聲科技、小米、百度
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-09 13:14
Simon:大家好呀,又到了我們的港股回顧時間。首先,我們還是先來看一下恆指數的走勢。 1、恆指:投資者表示壓低指數入牛證,過幾日準備拉升,收回價25500的牛證;也有看跌投資者認為日線穿頭破,26100企不穩都要繼續跌。 Simon:相信今天(8日)恆指的表現會讓不少投資者感到些許失望,因為今天恆指確實跌得比較多。上周五的時候,恆指曾經回升到保利加通道中線的位 置,但今天最終出現了較大幅度的下跌,又回落了下來。其實觀察近期走勢就能發現,恆指好幾次都嘗試衝擊保利加通道中線,但每次觸及中線後,都會出 現調整回落的情況,今天的走勢也是如此。上周五恆指的高位已經接近保利加通道中線,今天盤中高位同樣挨近甚至觸及了中線位置,但收盤時卻收在了 25765點,沒能站穩中線,稍微觸碰後就又跌了下來。 對於後續走勢,有投資者表示依然會繼續看好,會選擇買入牛證;也有投資者認為可能還會再跌一點,打算等後續再買入牛證,因為他們覺得市場或許還存 在一些調整空間;當然,也有投資者持看跌態度,這很正常,市場上總有看漲和看跌的分歧。看跌的投資者認為,如果當前的下跌走勢持續下去,後續市場 大概率還是以看跌為主。 賣出信號 信號總結 中立信號 ...
12月3日【港股Podcast】恆指、美團、洛陽鉬業、京東集團、匯豐控股、兗礦能源
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-04 19:55
Simon:大家好,歡迎來到今天的港股直播。我們先從市場行情入手,看看今天的大盤走勢,再分析一些相關個股的具體表現,同時也瞭解一下投資者的不 同看法。 1、恆指:投資者表示牛證過夜,收回價25278點。也有看跌投資者認為一浪底一浪需調整了,保守見25400,開熊。 Simon:首先來說恆生指數,在昨天略有上漲的情況下,今天(3日)恆生指數掉頭下跌,以收盤價計算,大概在25760點左右。今天下跌的時候,一些做短 線的投資者會選擇買入牛證,搏取過夜反彈;但與此同時,也有投資者認為,目前指數走勢呈現一浪低過一浪的態勢,可能還會繼續調整,所以選擇做空, 這都是比較正常的情況。其實現在大盤並沒有明顯的方向,從技術信號來看,買入信號有7個,賣出信號也同樣是7個,各占一半。這也是為什麼投資者會有 不同的操作,有人買熊證,有人買牛證,雙方都有自己的依據。這裏給大家參考一下支持位和阻力位,尤其是短線投資者,可能會將這些點位作為牛熊證收 回價的依據。 短線來看,支持位大概在25400點左右,如果跌破25400點,接下來可能會到24700點。當前指數在25760點,距離24700點有1000點左右的空間,而25400點距 離當前點 ...
11月6日【港股Podcast】恆指、騰訊控股、中芯國際、匯豐控股、紫金礦業 、比亞迪股份
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-07 08:17
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose to 26,485 points, showing a significant increase, but trading volume did not see a corresponding rise, which is a point of concern for investors [1][2] - Investors are speculating that the index could reach 26,700 points, as there are concerns about the potential recall of bear certificates in that range [2] - Some investors are betting on a market correction due to the recent gains, purchasing bear certificates close to the recall price, which poses a risk of being recalled easily [3][4] Group 2: Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) - Tencent's stock price increased to 644 HKD, aligning with the overall market trend, but investor sentiment is polarized with some waiting for a drop to 620 HKD [11][12] - The technical signals for Tencent are currently neutral, indicating no clear trend direction, with resistance levels at 661 HKD and 683 HKD for potential upward movement [12] - Investors are advised to choose call options with exercise prices closer to the current market price to mitigate risks associated with distant exercise prices [12] Group 3: SMIC (00981.HK) - SMIC's stock price rose to 76.95 HKD, with increased trading volume indicating positive market sentiment [19] - Investors are considering bull certificates with a recall price of 66 HKD, which offers a safety cushion with support levels at 71.4 HKD and 66.9 HKD [19] Group 4: HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) - HSBC's stock price reached 110 HKD, nearing previous highs, with a notable increase in trading volume [25] - Current technical signals indicate a predominance of sell signals, suggesting a potential for short-term correction after breaking the upper Bollinger Band [25] - Resistance levels are identified at 114.1 HKD and 118.2 HKD, while support levels are at 106.2 HKD and 102 HKD [25] Group 5: Zijin Mining (02899.HK) - Zijin Mining's stock price is at 32.06 HKD, approaching the middle line of the Bollinger Band, with resistance at 33.9 HKD [32] Group 6: BYD Company (01211.HK) - BYD's stock price has rebounded to 97.65 HKD after a period of decline, with a strong buy signal in the short term [34] - The resistance level is at 103.3 HKD, and if broken, the price could rise to 108.3 HKD, while support is at 93.1 HKD [35]
11月5日【港股Podcast】恆指、美團、網易、寧德時代、兗礦能源、蜜雪集團
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-06 13:21
Group 1: Hang Seng Index - The Hang Seng Index showed a slight increase but with disappointing performance overall, with a trading volume that continued to decrease [1] - Technical signals for the Hang Seng Index are predominantly "buy," with four buy signals and fewer sell signals, indicating a slight bullish sentiment in the short term [1] - Support levels are estimated around 25326 points, close to the mentioned 25400 points, while resistance is around 26400 points [1] Group 2: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - Meituan's closing price is 101.2 HKD, having returned above 100 HKD, but the stock has been relatively stable with a significant decline from previous highs of around 186 HKD [3] - The potential support level is around 97.1 HKD, and if it falls below 97 HKD, it could drop to 92 HKD or even 88 HKD based on Bollinger Bands calculations [3] Group 3: NetEase-S (09999.HK) - NetEase closed at 217.4 HKD, having reached a high of 248 HKD, and is currently holding above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [4] - The resistance level is calculated at 227 HKD, and if this is surpassed, it could rise to 237 HKD, indicating a potential upward movement of about 10 HKD [4] Group 4: Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. (03750.HK) - The stock price of Contemporary Amperex is currently at 547.5 HKD, fluctuating within a narrow range of 530-580 HKD [5] - Technical signals are neutral, suggesting a lack of clear direction, and investors are advised to wait for clearer trends before making decisions [5] Group 5: Yancoal Energy (01171.HK) - Yancoal Energy's closing price is 11.38 HKD, with a resistance level at 11.8 HKD, and if this is broken, it could rise to 12.2 HKD [7] - There is a possibility of the stock dropping back to around 10 HKD, with a support level at 10.08 HKD [7] Group 6: Mixue Group (02097.HK) - Mixue Group's closing price is 400.6 HKD, with a resistance level at 428 HKD, indicating potential for a rise above 420 HKD [8] - The technical signals are predominantly "buy," with 11 buy signals compared to 4 sell signals, suggesting a favorable outlook [8]
6月23日【港股Podcast】恆指、藥明生物、建行、中芯、理想、舜宇
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-23 12:59
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 23,689, close to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands at 23,718, indicating a neutral technical signal with support at 23,105 and resistance at 24,000 [2] - Investors are divided, with some holding bullish certificates expecting a rebound above 23,800, while others are buying put options anticipating a drop to 19,000 [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) is experiencing a rebound from a low of 23.1, but the overall trend remains bearish with a sell signal from 10 sell and 4 buy indicators, suggesting a cautious outlook with key levels at 21.9 and 20.6 [4] - China Construction Bank (00939.HK) has stabilized above 7.8, with investors speculating a challenge to the 8.0 mark [7] - SMIC (00981.HK) has shown a rebound for two consecutive days, with a buy signal from 12 buy and 3 sell indicators, needing to break resistance at 41.7 and 43.8 to reach 45 [8] - Li Auto-W (02015.HK) has fallen for 10 days, with a current sell signal from 9 sell and 6 buy indicators, indicating a weak trend with support at 101.5 [11] - Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) is fluctuating around 65, with a buy signal from 15 buy and 2 sell indicators, suggesting potential upward movement if it breaks resistance at 66.8 [14]
6月19日【港股Podcast】恆指、騰訊、美團、匯豐、比亞迪、中芯
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-19 10:30
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently showing weak signals, with a potential drop to support levels around 22,855 points and a lower Bollinger Band at 22,900 points [1] - Investors are considering entering the market at 23,000 points, with a focus on bear certificates with a recovery price of 23,865 HKD [1] Group 2 - Tencent Holdings (00700) is experiencing a bearish trend, with a technical signal indicating "sell." The stock price is currently above the lower Bollinger Band but has dipped below it during the day [3] - Key levels to watch include the middle Bollinger Band at 490 HKD; if it fails to hold, further declines may occur [3] Group 3 - Meituan-W (03690) is also showing a "sell" signal, with potential support levels at 121.9 HKD and 114.5 HKD, close to the lower Bollinger Band at 116.7 HKD [5] - Investors are advised to observe these support levels before considering a rebound at around 120 HKD [5] Group 4 - HSBC Holdings (00005) has shown relatively smaller declines compared to other stocks, but the technical signal remains "sell." The stock is nearing the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a weak trend [8] - The support level to watch is 88.1 HKD, with the middle Bollinger Band at 86.3 HKD [8] Group 5 - BYD (01211) is trading near its support level of 121 HKD, with a bearish signal indicating further potential declines [10] - Key support levels are identified at 119.5 HKD and 112 HKD [10] Group 6 - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981) is also under a "sell" signal, with the stock approaching the lower Bollinger Band [13] - Short-term support levels are at 38.1 HKD and 36.4 HKD, with the weekly Bollinger Band bottom at 36.6 HKD [13]
6月3日【港股Podcast】恆指、中石油、長城、小米、理想汽車、建行
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-04 09:37
Group 1: Hang Seng Index - Bullish investors believe the index will challenge 24,000 points, with a buyback price of 22,662 for index bull certificates [1] - Bearish investors are shorting at high levels, deploying bear certificates with a buyback price of 24,000 [1] - Technical signals indicate a "buy" with support at 22,951 and resistance at 23,800 [1] Group 2: China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (00857) - Investors are questioning whether the stock can challenge resistance at 7-8 CNY, with a defensive line at 6.3 CNY [3] - Technical analysis shows 16 buy signals, 6 neutral signals, and 2 sell signals, indicating a higher probability of upward movement [3] - Resistance levels are at 6.7 CNY and 6.9 CNY, with support at 6.43 CNY and 6.15 CNY [3] Group 3: Great Wall Motors (02333) - The stock price has rebounded from lows, with a potential to reach 15 CNY if it does not fall below 12 CNY [6] - The stock has maintained narrow fluctuations since May, with resistance levels at 12.7 CNY and 14.93 CNY [6] Group 4: Xiaomi Corporation (01810) - Investors are optimistic about Xiaomi reaching 55-65 CNY, with strong technical signals indicating a "strong buy" [9] - There are 16 buy signals, 1 sell signal, and 7 neutral signals, with resistance at 54.5 CNY and 57.2 CNY [9] - The weekly Bollinger Band top is at 59.4 CNY, suggesting potential for 55 CNY but more time needed for 65 CNY [9] Group 5: Li Auto Inc. (02015) - The stock is approaching its peak, with a potential challenge at 120 CNY [12] - Technical analysis shows 16 buy signals, 5 neutral signals, and 3 sell signals, with resistance at 121.9 CNY [12] - Support levels are at 108.6 CNY and 102.3 CNY [12] Group 6: China Construction Bank (00939) - The stock is experiencing upward momentum, with a potential to reach 10 CNY [15] - Technical signals indicate 17 buy signals, 1 sell signal, and 6 neutral signals, with resistance at 7.34 CNY and 7.54 CNY [15] - Support levels are at 6.9 CNY and 6.6 CNY, aligning with investor perspectives [15]
5月27日【港股Podcast】恆指、網易、小米、平安、港交所、藥明生物
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-28 18:10
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,381 points, showing a narrow range of fluctuations with a slight downward trend. Key support levels are identified at 23,000 and 22,737 points, with a potential drop below 22,700 being safer for investors [1] - Investors are optimistic about Netease's performance, with a closing price of 192.2 HKD. There is a strong upward trend since May 16, and technical signals indicate a "strong buy" with 18 buy signals and 3 sell signals [3] - Xiaomi closed at 51.55 HKD, currently in a downward trend. The bottom of the Bollinger Band is at 47.2 HKD, with a significant risk noted due to 100% street stock volume in the warrants market [6][7] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - China Ping An closed at 46.2 HKD, with resistance at 47.7 HKD and potential upward movement towards 48.9 HKD. Long-term investors are eyeing a target of 60 HKD [10] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing closed at 398.2 HKD, with key resistance levels at 406.5 HKD and 409 HKD. Investors are considering profit-taking strategies as the stock approaches these levels [13] - WuXi Biologics closed at 23.7 HKD, with significant resistance identified at 24.8 HKD and 25.8 HKD, indicating that the 25 HKD mark poses a considerable barrier [16]
【港股Podcast】Part.1-恆指、舜宇、領展、中國鐵塔、騰訊、百度
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-19 01:20
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index opened lower at 19,591 but rebounded to close at 19,752, supported by Tencent's performance. The index has been fluctuating around the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a narrow trading range. A breakout above this level could signal further upward movement, but the current trend remains sideways due to holiday market conditions [1]. Individual Stock Analysis - **Sunny Optical Technology (02382)**: The stock has shown a strong upward trend, reaching a high of 71.7. Investors are optimistic about the price reaching levels between 72-75. The monthly chart indicates a potential target of 82.7, although a short-term adjustment may occur upon reaching the upper Bollinger Band [2]. - **Link REIT (00823)**: The stock has experienced significant declines, closing at 32.5, which is below the lower Bollinger Band. There is a possibility of further declines to 31.6. Investors are advised to wait before attempting to bottom-fish for a rebound, as the current technical outlook is weak [2]. - **China Tower (788)**: The stock has risen for two consecutive days, approaching October highs. The next resistance level is at 1.14, with a potential for technical adjustments as it nears this level. There are suitable options for investors, including call warrants with a 5%-6% out-of-the-money range [3]. - **Tencent (00700)**: The stock showed notable movement, reaching a high of 422 before closing at 415.2. If it maintains above 415, there is potential for further gains, with resistance at 418 and 420. Investors are purchasing call warrants and bull certificates, with a preference for options that are 3%-7% out-of-the-money [3]. - **Baidu (9888)**: The stock closed at 84.1, showing some stability above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands at 83.8. However, if it falls below 80, it may test lower levels around 77.5, indicating a cautious outlook for investors [4].