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11月6日【港股Podcast】恆指、騰訊控股、中芯國際、匯豐控股、紫金礦業 、比亞迪股份
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-07 08:17
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose to 26,485 points, showing a significant increase, but trading volume did not see a corresponding rise, which is a point of concern for investors [1][2] - Investors are speculating that the index could reach 26,700 points, as there are concerns about the potential recall of bear certificates in that range [2] - Some investors are betting on a market correction due to the recent gains, purchasing bear certificates close to the recall price, which poses a risk of being recalled easily [3][4] Group 2: Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) - Tencent's stock price increased to 644 HKD, aligning with the overall market trend, but investor sentiment is polarized with some waiting for a drop to 620 HKD [11][12] - The technical signals for Tencent are currently neutral, indicating no clear trend direction, with resistance levels at 661 HKD and 683 HKD for potential upward movement [12] - Investors are advised to choose call options with exercise prices closer to the current market price to mitigate risks associated with distant exercise prices [12] Group 3: SMIC (00981.HK) - SMIC's stock price rose to 76.95 HKD, with increased trading volume indicating positive market sentiment [19] - Investors are considering bull certificates with a recall price of 66 HKD, which offers a safety cushion with support levels at 71.4 HKD and 66.9 HKD [19] Group 4: HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) - HSBC's stock price reached 110 HKD, nearing previous highs, with a notable increase in trading volume [25] - Current technical signals indicate a predominance of sell signals, suggesting a potential for short-term correction after breaking the upper Bollinger Band [25] - Resistance levels are identified at 114.1 HKD and 118.2 HKD, while support levels are at 106.2 HKD and 102 HKD [25] Group 5: Zijin Mining (02899.HK) - Zijin Mining's stock price is at 32.06 HKD, approaching the middle line of the Bollinger Band, with resistance at 33.9 HKD [32] Group 6: BYD Company (01211.HK) - BYD's stock price has rebounded to 97.65 HKD after a period of decline, with a strong buy signal in the short term [34] - The resistance level is at 103.3 HKD, and if broken, the price could rise to 108.3 HKD, while support is at 93.1 HKD [35]
11月5日【港股Podcast】恆指、美團、網易、寧德時代、兗礦能源、蜜雪集團
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-06 13:21
Group 1: Hang Seng Index - The Hang Seng Index showed a slight increase but with disappointing performance overall, with a trading volume that continued to decrease [1] - Technical signals for the Hang Seng Index are predominantly "buy," with four buy signals and fewer sell signals, indicating a slight bullish sentiment in the short term [1] - Support levels are estimated around 25326 points, close to the mentioned 25400 points, while resistance is around 26400 points [1] Group 2: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - Meituan's closing price is 101.2 HKD, having returned above 100 HKD, but the stock has been relatively stable with a significant decline from previous highs of around 186 HKD [3] - The potential support level is around 97.1 HKD, and if it falls below 97 HKD, it could drop to 92 HKD or even 88 HKD based on Bollinger Bands calculations [3] Group 3: NetEase-S (09999.HK) - NetEase closed at 217.4 HKD, having reached a high of 248 HKD, and is currently holding above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [4] - The resistance level is calculated at 227 HKD, and if this is surpassed, it could rise to 237 HKD, indicating a potential upward movement of about 10 HKD [4] Group 4: Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. (03750.HK) - The stock price of Contemporary Amperex is currently at 547.5 HKD, fluctuating within a narrow range of 530-580 HKD [5] - Technical signals are neutral, suggesting a lack of clear direction, and investors are advised to wait for clearer trends before making decisions [5] Group 5: Yancoal Energy (01171.HK) - Yancoal Energy's closing price is 11.38 HKD, with a resistance level at 11.8 HKD, and if this is broken, it could rise to 12.2 HKD [7] - There is a possibility of the stock dropping back to around 10 HKD, with a support level at 10.08 HKD [7] Group 6: Mixue Group (02097.HK) - Mixue Group's closing price is 400.6 HKD, with a resistance level at 428 HKD, indicating potential for a rise above 420 HKD [8] - The technical signals are predominantly "buy," with 11 buy signals compared to 4 sell signals, suggesting a favorable outlook [8]
6月23日【港股Podcast】恆指、藥明生物、建行、中芯、理想、舜宇
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-23 12:59
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 23,689, close to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands at 23,718, indicating a neutral technical signal with support at 23,105 and resistance at 24,000 [2] - Investors are divided, with some holding bullish certificates expecting a rebound above 23,800, while others are buying put options anticipating a drop to 19,000 [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) is experiencing a rebound from a low of 23.1, but the overall trend remains bearish with a sell signal from 10 sell and 4 buy indicators, suggesting a cautious outlook with key levels at 21.9 and 20.6 [4] - China Construction Bank (00939.HK) has stabilized above 7.8, with investors speculating a challenge to the 8.0 mark [7] - SMIC (00981.HK) has shown a rebound for two consecutive days, with a buy signal from 12 buy and 3 sell indicators, needing to break resistance at 41.7 and 43.8 to reach 45 [8] - Li Auto-W (02015.HK) has fallen for 10 days, with a current sell signal from 9 sell and 6 buy indicators, indicating a weak trend with support at 101.5 [11] - Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) is fluctuating around 65, with a buy signal from 15 buy and 2 sell indicators, suggesting potential upward movement if it breaks resistance at 66.8 [14]
6月19日【港股Podcast】恆指、騰訊、美團、匯豐、比亞迪、中芯
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-19 10:30
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently showing weak signals, with a potential drop to support levels around 22,855 points and a lower Bollinger Band at 22,900 points [1] - Investors are considering entering the market at 23,000 points, with a focus on bear certificates with a recovery price of 23,865 HKD [1] Group 2 - Tencent Holdings (00700) is experiencing a bearish trend, with a technical signal indicating "sell." The stock price is currently above the lower Bollinger Band but has dipped below it during the day [3] - Key levels to watch include the middle Bollinger Band at 490 HKD; if it fails to hold, further declines may occur [3] Group 3 - Meituan-W (03690) is also showing a "sell" signal, with potential support levels at 121.9 HKD and 114.5 HKD, close to the lower Bollinger Band at 116.7 HKD [5] - Investors are advised to observe these support levels before considering a rebound at around 120 HKD [5] Group 4 - HSBC Holdings (00005) has shown relatively smaller declines compared to other stocks, but the technical signal remains "sell." The stock is nearing the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a weak trend [8] - The support level to watch is 88.1 HKD, with the middle Bollinger Band at 86.3 HKD [8] Group 5 - BYD (01211) is trading near its support level of 121 HKD, with a bearish signal indicating further potential declines [10] - Key support levels are identified at 119.5 HKD and 112 HKD [10] Group 6 - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981) is also under a "sell" signal, with the stock approaching the lower Bollinger Band [13] - Short-term support levels are at 38.1 HKD and 36.4 HKD, with the weekly Bollinger Band bottom at 36.6 HKD [13]
6月3日【港股Podcast】恆指、中石油、長城、小米、理想汽車、建行
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-04 09:37
Group 1: Hang Seng Index - Bullish investors believe the index will challenge 24,000 points, with a buyback price of 22,662 for index bull certificates [1] - Bearish investors are shorting at high levels, deploying bear certificates with a buyback price of 24,000 [1] - Technical signals indicate a "buy" with support at 22,951 and resistance at 23,800 [1] Group 2: China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (00857) - Investors are questioning whether the stock can challenge resistance at 7-8 CNY, with a defensive line at 6.3 CNY [3] - Technical analysis shows 16 buy signals, 6 neutral signals, and 2 sell signals, indicating a higher probability of upward movement [3] - Resistance levels are at 6.7 CNY and 6.9 CNY, with support at 6.43 CNY and 6.15 CNY [3] Group 3: Great Wall Motors (02333) - The stock price has rebounded from lows, with a potential to reach 15 CNY if it does not fall below 12 CNY [6] - The stock has maintained narrow fluctuations since May, with resistance levels at 12.7 CNY and 14.93 CNY [6] Group 4: Xiaomi Corporation (01810) - Investors are optimistic about Xiaomi reaching 55-65 CNY, with strong technical signals indicating a "strong buy" [9] - There are 16 buy signals, 1 sell signal, and 7 neutral signals, with resistance at 54.5 CNY and 57.2 CNY [9] - The weekly Bollinger Band top is at 59.4 CNY, suggesting potential for 55 CNY but more time needed for 65 CNY [9] Group 5: Li Auto Inc. (02015) - The stock is approaching its peak, with a potential challenge at 120 CNY [12] - Technical analysis shows 16 buy signals, 5 neutral signals, and 3 sell signals, with resistance at 121.9 CNY [12] - Support levels are at 108.6 CNY and 102.3 CNY [12] Group 6: China Construction Bank (00939) - The stock is experiencing upward momentum, with a potential to reach 10 CNY [15] - Technical signals indicate 17 buy signals, 1 sell signal, and 6 neutral signals, with resistance at 7.34 CNY and 7.54 CNY [15] - Support levels are at 6.9 CNY and 6.6 CNY, aligning with investor perspectives [15]
5月27日【港股Podcast】恆指、網易、小米、平安、港交所、藥明生物
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-28 18:10
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,381 points, showing a narrow range of fluctuations with a slight downward trend. Key support levels are identified at 23,000 and 22,737 points, with a potential drop below 22,700 being safer for investors [1] - Investors are optimistic about Netease's performance, with a closing price of 192.2 HKD. There is a strong upward trend since May 16, and technical signals indicate a "strong buy" with 18 buy signals and 3 sell signals [3] - Xiaomi closed at 51.55 HKD, currently in a downward trend. The bottom of the Bollinger Band is at 47.2 HKD, with a significant risk noted due to 100% street stock volume in the warrants market [6][7] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - China Ping An closed at 46.2 HKD, with resistance at 47.7 HKD and potential upward movement towards 48.9 HKD. Long-term investors are eyeing a target of 60 HKD [10] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing closed at 398.2 HKD, with key resistance levels at 406.5 HKD and 409 HKD. Investors are considering profit-taking strategies as the stock approaches these levels [13] - WuXi Biologics closed at 23.7 HKD, with significant resistance identified at 24.8 HKD and 25.8 HKD, indicating that the 25 HKD mark poses a considerable barrier [16]
【港股Podcast】Part.1-恆指、舜宇、領展、中國鐵塔、騰訊、百度
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-19 01:20
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index opened lower at 19,591 but rebounded to close at 19,752, supported by Tencent's performance. The index has been fluctuating around the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a narrow trading range. A breakout above this level could signal further upward movement, but the current trend remains sideways due to holiday market conditions [1]. Individual Stock Analysis - **Sunny Optical Technology (02382)**: The stock has shown a strong upward trend, reaching a high of 71.7. Investors are optimistic about the price reaching levels between 72-75. The monthly chart indicates a potential target of 82.7, although a short-term adjustment may occur upon reaching the upper Bollinger Band [2]. - **Link REIT (00823)**: The stock has experienced significant declines, closing at 32.5, which is below the lower Bollinger Band. There is a possibility of further declines to 31.6. Investors are advised to wait before attempting to bottom-fish for a rebound, as the current technical outlook is weak [2]. - **China Tower (788)**: The stock has risen for two consecutive days, approaching October highs. The next resistance level is at 1.14, with a potential for technical adjustments as it nears this level. There are suitable options for investors, including call warrants with a 5%-6% out-of-the-money range [3]. - **Tencent (00700)**: The stock showed notable movement, reaching a high of 422 before closing at 415.2. If it maintains above 415, there is potential for further gains, with resistance at 418 and 420. Investors are purchasing call warrants and bull certificates, with a preference for options that are 3%-7% out-of-the-money [3]. - **Baidu (9888)**: The stock closed at 84.1, showing some stability above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands at 83.8. However, if it falls below 80, it may test lower levels around 77.5, indicating a cautious outlook for investors [4].
3月18日【港股Podcast】恆指、百度、中芯國際、阿里、中國鐵塔、京東
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-19 01:20
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) showed strong momentum, reaching an intraday high of 24,745.13, close to the resistance level of 24,754, with a closing value of 24,740 points. Investors anticipate a challenge to the resistance levels of 25,000-25,200 [1] - The daily and weekly charts of the HSI are at the top of the Bollinger Bands, indicating potential for technical adjustments despite current upward momentum [2] Baidu (9888) - Baidu's stock price reached a high of 103.6 HKD, closing up 12.22% at 103.3 HKD. Investors view the breakout above 100 HKD as a corrective rally, with potential for further gains [3] - The stock has shown a downward trend since September 2023 but began stabilizing in November 2024. The key resistance level is at 113.2 HKD, while potential support levels are at 93.9 HKD and 89.5 HKD [3] SMIC (00981) - SMIC's stock rose 4.34% to 51.7 HKD, but the recent price action has been volatile, remaining within a narrow range. The stock has not yet stabilized above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [4] - Investors are divided on the outlook, with some expecting stabilization while others predict a drop back to 50 HKD before any potential recovery [4] Alibaba (09988) - Alibaba's stock increased nearly 6%, closing at 143.3 HKD, just shy of the previous high of 145.9 HKD. There is speculation about reaching 150-160 HKD this month [5] - The first resistance level is at 147.9 HKD, with further potential to test 156 HKD. However, a technical adjustment is anticipated after breaking the top [5] China Tower (00788) - China Tower's stock fell 6.86% to 11.4 HKD, with investors questioning the appropriate entry point for bottom fishing. The stock has been fluctuating between the upper and middle lines of the Bollinger Bands [5] - A potential rebound is expected around 11.1 HKD, but investors are advised to wait for confirmation of a rebound after a possible drop below the middle line [5] JD Group (09618) - JD Group's stock reached an intraday high of 178 HKD, closing at 117.9 HKD, up 5.27%. The outlook among investors is mixed, with some expecting a rise to 190 HKD while others foresee a period of consolidation [6] - The stock's movement above the Bollinger Bands suggests a potential for adjustment, and a cautious approach is recommended [6]