经验时代
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图灵奖得主理查德·萨顿:人工智能进入“经验时代”,潜力超以往
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 04:47
Core Insights - Richard Sutton, the 2024 Turing Award winner, emphasized that the human data dividend is nearing its limit, and artificial intelligence is entering an "experience era" centered on continuous learning, which has the potential to exceed previous capabilities [1][2] Group 1: AI and Learning - Sutton stated that most current machine learning aims to transfer existing human knowledge to static AI, which lacks autonomous learning capabilities. He believes we are reaching the limits of human data, and existing methods cannot generate new knowledge, making continuous learning essential for intelligence [2] - He defined "experience" as the interaction of observation, action, and reward, which is crucial for an intelligent agent's ability to predict and control its input signals. Experience is the core of all intelligence [2] Group 2: Collaboration and Future Predictions - Addressing fears about AI causing bias, unemployment, or even human extinction, Sutton argued that such fears are exaggerated and often fueled by those who profit from them. He highlighted that economic systems function best when individuals have different goals and abilities, similar to how decentralized collaboration among intelligent agents can lead to win-win outcomes [3] - Sutton proposed four predictive principles for the future of AI: 1. There is no consensus on how the world should operate, and no single view can dominate [3] 2. Humanity will truly understand intelligence and create it through technology [3] 3. Current human intelligence will soon be surpassed by superintelligent AI or enhanced humans [3] 4. Power and resources will flow to the most intelligent agents [3] Group 3: Historical Context and Future Outlook - Sutton categorized the history of the universe into four eras: the particle era, the star era, the replicator era, and the design era. He believes humanity's uniqueness lies in pushing design to its limits, which is the goal pursued through AI today [4] - He described AI as the inevitable next step in the evolution of the universe, urging society to embrace it with courage, pride, and a spirit of adventure [4] Group 4: Event Overview - The 2025 Inclusion Bund Conference, themed "Reshaping Innovative Growth," took place in Shanghai from September 10 to 13, featuring a main forum, over 40 open insight forums, global theme days, innovation stages, a technology exhibition, and various networking opportunities [4]
图灵奖得主萨顿:人们对人工智能的恐惧被夸大了
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 04:06
Core Insights - The evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) is seen as a necessary next step in the universe, and humanity should embrace it with courage, pride, and a spirit of adventure [5] Group 1: AI Development and Data Sources - Richard Sutton emphasizes the need for a new type of data source that can continuously grow and optimize alongside the capabilities of intelligent agents, moving beyond traditional static databases [1] - The current phase is described as the "human data era," where AI systems primarily rely on predicting human language and labels, but the utilization of human data is nearing its limits [1] - The transition to the "experience era" is highlighted, where intelligent agents will interact with the world from a first-person perspective, generating new data sources termed "experiences" [1] Group 2: Political and Philosophical Implications - AI has become a highly politicized topic, with increasing calls for regulation and control due to public concerns about bias, unemployment, and existential risks [2] - Sutton argues that the fear surrounding AI is exaggerated and reflects a human tendency to demonize the unknown, advocating for a decentralized cooperative model rather than centralized control [3] - He posits that AI is one of humanity's oldest pursuits, closely aligned with human nature, and understanding intelligence is a shared goal of both science and the humanities [3] Group 3: Future Predictions and Human Role - Sutton outlines four principles regarding the future of AI, including the lack of consensus on how the world should operate, the eventual understanding of intelligence by humans, the surpassing of current human intelligence, and the inevitable shift of power and resources towards the most intelligent agents [3] - As AI evolves, humanity must redefine its role, with humans acting as catalysts and pioneers in the "design era," where machines increasingly resemble living forms [4]
AI跨步进入“经验时代”
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-09-11 03:50
Group 1 - The AI industry is transitioning into an "experience era," where continuous learning is essential for intelligence, moving beyond the limitations of human data [2] - Richard Sutton emphasizes that knowledge is derived from experience, which involves observation, action, and reward, and that the intelligence of an agent depends on its ability to predict and control input signals [2] - Two technologies, continual learning and meta-learning, are necessary to unlock the full potential of AI in this new experience era [2] Group 2 - Concerns about AI leading to bias, unemployment, or even human extinction are exaggerated and fueled by certain organizations and individuals profiting from such fears [3] - Sutton argues that decentralized collaboration among agents with different goals can lead to mutual benefits, highlighting human cooperation as a unique strength [3] - He presents four predictive principles regarding the future of AI, including the lack of consensus on how the world should operate and the potential for superintelligent AI to surpass human intelligence [3] Group 3 - Sutton categorizes the history of the universe into four eras: particle, star, replicator, and design, asserting that humanity's unique ability to push design to its limits is crucial in the current pursuit of AI [4] - He believes that AI is an inevitable next step in the evolution of the universe, advocating for a courageous and adventurous approach to its development [5]
“强化学习之父” 理查德·萨顿:人类数据红利逼近极限,AI正进入以持续学习为核心的“经验时代”
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-09-11 03:50
Core Insights - Richard Sutton, the 2024 Turing Award winner, emphasizes that the human data dividend is nearing its limit, and artificial intelligence is entering an "experience era" centered on continuous learning, which has the potential to exceed previous capabilities [1][2] Group 1: Experience Era - Sutton defines "experience" as the signals of observation, action, and reward that are exchanged between agents and the world, asserting that knowledge derives from experience and that the intelligence of an agent depends on its ability to predict and control its input signals [2] - The transition to the experience era is driven by reinforcement learning, but to fully unlock its potential, two currently immature technologies—continual learning and meta-learning—are required [2] Group 2: Collaboration and AI - Addressing concerns about AI leading to bias, unemployment, or even human extinction, Sutton argues that fears surrounding artificial intelligence are exaggerated, and that decentralized collaboration among different agents can lead to mutually beneficial outcomes [2] - He highlights that humanity's greatest strength lies in collaboration, which has been the foundation of economic, market, and governmental successes [2] Group 3: Future of AI - Sutton posits that the replacement of human roles by AI is inevitable, with humans acting as catalysts and pioneers for the "design era," which he categorizes as the fourth era in the evolution of the universe, following the particle, star, and replicator eras [2][3] - He encourages embracing the evolution of artificial intelligence with courage, pride, and a spirit of adventure [3]
强化学习之父” 理查德·萨顿:人类数据红利逼近极限,AI正进入以持续学习为核心的“经验时代
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-09-11 03:26
Core Insights - Richard Sutton, the 2024 Turing Award winner, emphasizes that the human data dividend is nearing its limits, and artificial intelligence is entering an "experience era" centered on continuous learning, which has the potential to exceed previous capabilities [1][2] Group 1: Experience Era - Sutton defines "experience" as the interaction of observation, action, and reward, which are signals exchanged between agents and the world [2] - The current machine learning methods are reaching their limits in generating new knowledge, making them unsuitable for continuous learning, which is crucial for intelligence [1][2] Group 2: Technological Advancements - To fully unlock the potential of AI in the experience era, two currently immature technologies are needed: continual learning and meta-learning [2] - Sutton believes that the collaboration between decentralized agents can lead to win-win outcomes, countering fears about AI causing bias, unemployment, or even human extinction [2] Group 3: Human-AI Collaboration - Sutton argues that human collaboration is the greatest success, and AI's role will be to enhance this collaboration, which is fundamental to economic, market, and governmental successes [2] - He posits that AI's replacement of human roles is inevitable, with humans acting as catalysts in ushering in a new "design era" in the evolution of the universe [2] Group 4: Future Perspective - Sutton views artificial intelligence as a necessary next step in the evolution of the universe, advocating for a courageous and adventurous approach to its development [3]
图灵奖得主理查德·萨顿:我们正进入“经验时代”需要一种新的数据源
Xin Lang Ke Ji· 2025-09-11 02:51
Core Viewpoint - The emergence of the "Experience Era" in artificial intelligence emphasizes the need for new data sources that evolve with the intelligence of agents, akin to self-play in computer games [1][3][4] Group 1: Scientific Development Trends - The current state of AI is characterized by a reliance on human data, which limits the ability to generate new knowledge and sustain learning [2][4] - The concept of "experience" is defined as the interaction between agents and the world, consisting of observation, action, and reward, which is essential for learning [4][3] - Future advancements in AI will require technologies for continuous learning and meta-learning to fully harness the potential of experience [4][10] Group 2: Political Implications - AI has become a highly politicized issue, with concerns about bias, unemployment, and existential risks prompting calls for regulation and control [5][8] - The fear surrounding AI is often exaggerated and fueled by certain organizations, reflecting a broader human tendency to distrust others [6][8] - The core conclusion is that the prosperity of both AI and humanity relies on decentralized collaboration rather than centralized control [8][6] Group 3: Philosophical Considerations - AI is viewed as a natural extension of humanity's quest for understanding intelligence, which has been a longstanding pursuit in philosophy [9][10] - The evolution of AI is seen as a necessary step in the universe's progression, with humans acting as catalysts in this transition to a "Design Era" [10][11] - The unique role of humans is to elevate design to unprecedented levels, ultimately leading to the creation of self-designing entities [11][10]
下一代 AI 系统怎么改?让 AI 自己改?!
机器之心· 2025-07-12 10:54
Group 1 - The core idea of the article revolves around the evolution of AI systems, particularly the concept of "self-evolution" where AI can improve itself without human intervention, marking a shift from traditional training methods [4][5][10] - The "Era of Experience" proposed by Richard Sutton and David Silver emphasizes that AI will learn primarily from its own experiences, moving beyond human knowledge limitations [4][6] - The Darwin Gödel Machine (DGM) is highlighted as a significant development in self-evolving AI, capable of modifying its own code to enhance performance, particularly in coding tasks [6][10] Group 2 - The article discusses the limitations of current AI models due to the depletion of human-generated data, prompting the need for new modeling paradigms that allow machines to interact with the world and generate their own experiences [4][5] - DGM's performance improvements are quantified, showing a rise from 20.0% to 50.0% on SWE-bench and from 14.2% to 30.7% on Polyglot after 80 iterations, demonstrating its self-learning capabilities [6] - The article contrasts self-evolution with traditional supervised learning (SL) and reinforcement learning (RL), noting that self-evolution relies on models generating their own training data, which introduces new challenges and opportunities [7][8]
AI将受困于人类数据
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-16 12:34
Core Insights - The article discusses the transition from the "human data era" to the "experience era" in artificial intelligence, emphasizing the need for AI to learn from first-hand experiences rather than relying solely on human-generated data [2][5][10] - Richard S. Sutton highlights the limitations of current AI models, which are based on second-hand experiences, and advocates for a new approach where AI interacts with its environment to generate original data [6][7][11] Group 1: Transition to Experience Era - The current large language models are reaching the limits of human data, necessitating a shift to real-time interaction with environments to generate scalable original data [7][10] - Sutton draws parallels between AI learning and human learning, suggesting that AI should learn through sensory experiences similar to how infants and athletes learn [6][8] - The experience era will require AI to develop world models and memory systems that can be reused over time, enhancing sample efficiency through high parallel interactions [3][6] Group 2: Decentralized Cooperation vs. Centralized Control - Sutton argues that decentralized cooperation is superior to centralized control, warning against the dangers of imposing single goals on AI, which can stifle innovation [3][12] - The article emphasizes the importance of diverse goals among AI agents, suggesting that a multi-objective ecosystem fosters innovation and resilience [3][12][13] - Sutton posits that human and AI prosperity relies on decentralized cooperation, which allows for individual goals to coexist and promotes beneficial interactions [12][14][16] Group 3: Future of AI Development - The development of fully intelligent agents will require advancements in deep learning algorithms that enable continuous learning from experiences [11][12] - Sutton expresses optimism about the future of AI, viewing the creation of superintelligent agents as a positive development for society, despite the long-term nature of this endeavor [10][11] - The article concludes with a call for humans to leverage their experiences and observations to foster trust and cooperation in the development of AI [17]
AI将受困于人类数据
腾讯研究院· 2025-06-16 09:26
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transition from the "human data era" to the "experience era" in artificial intelligence, emphasizing the need for AI to learn from first-hand experiences rather than relying solely on human-generated data [1][5][12]. Group 1: Transition to Experience Era - AI models currently depend on second-hand experiences, such as internet text and human annotations, which are becoming less valuable as high-quality human data is rapidly consumed [1][5]. - The marginal value of new data is declining, leading to diminishing returns despite the increasing scale of models, a phenomenon referred to as "scale barriers" [1][5]. - To overcome these limitations, AI must interact with its environment to generate first-hand experiences, akin to how infants learn through play or athletes make decisions on the field [1][5][8]. Group 2: Technical Characteristics of the Experience Era - In the experience era, AI agents need to operate continuously in real or high-fidelity simulated environments, using environmental feedback as intrinsic reward signals rather than human preferences [2][5]. - The development of reusable world models and memory systems is crucial, along with significantly improving sample efficiency through high parallel interactions [2][5]. Group 3: Philosophical and Governance Implications - The article highlights the superiority of decentralized cooperation over centralized control, warning against the dangers of imposing single objectives on AI, which mirrors historical attempts to control human behavior out of fear [2][5][18]. - A diverse ecosystem of multiple goals fosters innovation and resilience, reducing the risks of single points of failure and rigidity in AI governance [2][5][18]. Group 4: Future Perspectives - The evolution of AI is seen as a long-term journey requiring decades of development, with the success hinging on stronger continuous learning algorithms and an open, shared ecosystem [5][12]. - The article posits that the creation of superintelligent agents and their collaboration with humans will ultimately benefit the world, emphasizing the need for patience and preparation for this transformation [12].
强化学习之父Richard Sutton:人类数据耗尽,AI正在进入“经验时代”!
AI科技大本营· 2025-06-06 10:18
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that true intelligence in AI should stem from experience rather than pre-set human data and knowledge, marking a shift towards an "Era of Experience" in AI development [5][16]. Summary by Sections Introduction to the Era of Experience - The current era in AI is characterized by a transition from reliance on human-generated data to a focus on experiential learning, where AI systems learn through interaction with the world [9][16]. Key Insights from Richard Sutton's Speech - Richard Sutton argues that genuine AI must have a dynamic data source that evolves with its capabilities, as static datasets will become inadequate [6][9]. - He highlights that the essence of intelligence lies in the ability to predict and control sensory inputs, which is fundamental to AI and intelligence [13]. The Learning Process - The learning process in both humans and animals is based on interaction with the environment, where actions determine the information received, leading to a deeper understanding [10][11]. - Sutton illustrates that AI should emulate this learning process by engaging with the world to generate new data and enhance its capabilities [10][12]. Transition from Human Data to Experience - The article outlines a timeline of AI evolution, indicating that the current "Human Data Era" is nearing its end, paving the way for the "Experience Era" where AI learns through real-world interactions [14][16]. - Sutton emphasizes that the future of AI lies in its ability to continuously learn from experiences, which is essential for unlocking the full potential of the "Experience Era" [17]. Decentralized Cooperation - The concept of "decentralized cooperation" is introduced as a framework for understanding social organization, where multiple agents pursue their own goals while collaborating for mutual benefit [24][25]. - Sutton argues that human prosperity and the future of AI should be built on this foundation of decentralized cooperation rather than centralized control [27][28]. Conclusion - The article concludes by encouraging a shift in perspective towards viewing interactions between humans and AI through the lens of decentralized cooperation versus centralized control, which could provide valuable insights into future developments in AI [28].